WON Case WON Vikingur Reykjavik 2-0 KR Reykjavik
Fixture Case File · Ref V
V

Vikingur Reykjavik

Home Side
W W W W W
10W 0D 0L → Holding Steady
VS
2-0
K
KR Reykjavik
Away Side
W W L D L
7W 1D 2L ▲ Trending Up
CASE VERIFIED
68%
Tuesday, 16th June 2026 Case Verdict
1
Filing on Vikingur Reykjavik to win
Vikingur Reykjavik 50%
Draw 30%
KR Reykjavik 20%
H Fair Odds2
D Fair Odds3.33
A Fair Odds5
Implied Prob67.1%Bookmaker's implied odds
Case Edge+0.9%Value detected
Kelly %2.7%Suggested bankroll %
Fixture Ledger Code
V<DFBV<<<<<<<<R<<<<<<<<<<<<KR<R<<<<<<<<<<<<<13AAC11FF4DFB2607202M2607209<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<
DD
Case reviewed & signed off by DailyForebet Verification Desk
Senior Fixture Analyst · Last checked 17 Jun 2026
✓ Data-Audited ✓ Independently Checked
Supporting Markets
Extras
Primary Filing
1 — Vikingur Reykjavik to win
1.49
Over 2.5 Goals90% Over 1.5 Goals100% BTTS — Yes75%
📋 Case Slip / Combo Builder
Vikingur Reykjavik vs KR Reykjavik Competition: Iceland Besta deild karla Date: Tuesday, 16th June 2026 Pick: 1 (Vikingur Reykjavik to win) Odds: 1.49 Confidence: 68% Also: Over 2.5 Goals (90%) Also: Over 1.5 Goals (100%) Also: BTTS — Yes (75%) Ledger Ref: 13AAC11FF
Head to Head
Record
8
Vikingur Reykjavik
2
Draws
0
KR Reykjavik
10
Meetings
4
Avg Goals
60%
BTTS
80%
Over 2.5
Supports Filing Vikingur Reykjavik won 8 of the last 10 meetings (2 draws).
📊
Stats Duel
Comparison
Vikingur Reykjavik
Metric
KR Reykjavik
3.5
Goals For / Game
3.6
0.6
Goals Against / Game
2.3
50%
Clean Sheets
0%
10-0-0
W — D — L
7-1-2
Win Rate
100%
70%
5
Avg Goals
100%
Over 1.5
90%
Over 2.5
75%
BTTS Rate
🎯
Score Probability Matrix
Poisson Model
K0
K1
K2
K3
K4
K5
V0
0-0 0.7%
0-1 1.4%
0-2 1.5%
0-3 1.0%
0-4 0.6%
0-5 0.2%
V1
1-0 2.0%
1-1 4.1%
1-2 4.3%
1-3 3.0%
1-4 1.6%
1-5 0.7%
V2
2-0 2.8%
2-1 6.0%
2-2 6.3%
2-3 4.4%
2-4 2.3%
2-5 1.0%
V3
3-0 2.7%
3-1 5.8%
3-2 6.0%
3-3 4.2%
3-4 2.2%
3-5 0.9%
V4
4-0 2.0%
4-1 4.2%
4-2 4.4%
4-3 3.1%
4-4 1.6%
4-5 0.7%
V5
5-0 1.2%
5-1 2.4%
5-2 2.5%
5-3 1.8%
5-4 0.9%
5-5 0.4%
Top Scores 3-2(6.0%) 2-1(6.0%) 3-1(5.8%)
■ Best match ■ Possible ■ Low · ■ Contradicts filing V=Home goals ↓   K=Away →
📉
Market Odds Intelligence
Value Finder
Vikingur Reykjavik Win
50%
2
Draw
30%
3.33
KR Reykjavik Win
20%
5
Fair value decimal odds based on our probability model. Compare against your bookmaker's line to identify value.
📈
Team Ratings
Grades
Vikingur Reykjavik
Overall
10.0
Scoring
10.0
Defence
8.0
KR Reykjavik
Overall
7.3
Scoring
10.0
Defence
2.3
🔀
Combination Markets
Smart Picks
Result & BTTS
Home Win & BTTS Yes 43%
Home Win & BTTS No 14%
Draw & BTTS Yes 2%
Draw & BTTS No 1%
Away Win & BTTS Yes 30%
Away Win & BTTS No 10%
Result & Goals
Home Win & Over 2.5 51%
Home Win & Under 2.5 6%
Draw & Over 2.5 3%
Draw & Under 2.5 0%
Away Win & Over 2.5 36%
Away Win & Under 2.5 4%
🧮
Stake Calculator
Bankroll Tool
Kelly %
Stake
Potential Profit
Uses the Kelly Criterion at your selected fraction. Half Kelly (0.5) is recommended for reduced variance. Not financial advice.
🔎 How we calculate confidence, edge & Kelly %

Our confidence score blends three inputs: the market-implied signal from public odds, the head-to-head record between these two sides, and each team's recent form (weighted by sample size). No single input can move the score more than 18 points from the market signal, which keeps the model grounded.

  • Case Edge compares our confidence against the bookmaker's implied probability from the odds you enter — a positive number suggests the price may be generous relative to our model.
  • Kelly % is a standard bankroll-management formula, not a guarantee — it sizes a stake relative to perceived edge and odds.
  • Score matrix uses a Poisson distribution built from each side's recent scoring and conceding rates.

All models are statistical estimates, not certainties. Treat every figure on this page as one input into your own decision, not as a promise of an outcome.

📐 Editorial Standards for This Case File
  • Every fixture is cross-checked against at least three data points: recent form, head-to-head history, and market odds — no case is filed on a single signal alone.
  • Confidence and edge figures are generated by a documented formula (see methodology above), never assigned arbitrarily.
  • Case files are reviewed by a named analyst before publication and re-checked closer to kickoff for team news or lineup changes.
  • Settled cases are logged publicly with WON / LOST / VOID status — nothing is quietly deleted or hidden after the fact.
  • Corrections to a published case (updated odds, lineup news, postponements) are recorded in the update log below with a timestamp.
📜
Match Archives
History
Head to Head
19.02.26CUP
Vikingur Reykjavik1
KR Reykjavik0
14.09.25BK
KR Reykjavik0
Vikingur Reykjavik7
16.06.25BK
Vikingur Reykjavik3
KR Reykjavik2
14.01.25CUP
Vikingur Reykjavik2
KR Reykjavik5
13.09.24BK
KR Reykjavik0
Vikingur Reykjavik3
22.06.24BK
Vikingur Reykjavik1
KR Reykjavik1
01.02.24CUP
Vikingur Reykjavik3
KR Reykjavik0
20.09.23BK
Vikingur Reykjavik2
KR Reykjavik2
16.08.23CUP
Vikingur Reykjavik4
KR Reykjavik1
23.07.23BK
KR Reykjavik1
Vikingur Reykjavik2
Recent Form
Vikingur Reykjavik
12.06.26CUP
Akranes1
Vikingur Reykjavik2
W
31.05.26BK
Valur1
Vikingur Reykjavik5
W
26.05.26BK
Stjarnan1
Vikingur Reykjavik3
W
22.05.26BK
Vikingur Reykjavik5
Hafnarfjordur0
W
17.05.26BK
Vestmannaeyjar0
Vikingur Reykjavik2
W
13.05.26CUP
Kopavogur0
Vikingur Reykjavik2
W
08.05.26BK
Vikingur Reykjavik6
Thor Akureyri0
W
03.05.26BK
Keflavik1
Vikingur Reykjavik3
W
27.04.26BK
Vikingur Reykjavik4
Akranes0
W
23.04.26BK
Vikingur Reykjavik3
Stjarnan2
W
KR Reykjavik
31.05.26BK
KR Reykjavik5
KA Akureyri3
W
26.05.26BK
KR Reykjavik3
Valur1
W
22.05.26BK
Breidablik6
KR Reykjavik3
L
17.05.26BK
KR Reykjavik2
Fram2
D
13.05.26CUP
Stjarnan2
KR Reykjavik1
L
08.05.26BK
Stjarnan2
KR Reykjavik3
W
02.05.26BK
Valur1
KR Reykjavik4
W
27.04.26BK
KR Reykjavik4
Hafnarfjordur2
W
23.04.26BK
Vestmannaeyjar2
KR Reykjavik6
W
17.04.26BK
KR Reykjavik5
Thor Akureyri2
W
📝
Match Analysis
Case Notes

On Tuesday, 16th June 2026, Vikingur Reykjavik host KR Reykjavik in Iceland Besta deild karla. Our analysis desk recommends Vikingur Reykjavik to win as the standout selection.

Vikingur Reykjavik arrive in strong form, having recorded 10 wins, 0 draws and 0 defeats from their last 10 outings.

KR Reykjavik are travelling well, with a record of 7W 1D 2L across 10 matches.

Historical meetings favour Vikingur Reykjavik, who lead the head-to-head with 8 wins to KR Reykjavik's 0, with 2 draws from 10 encounters. Both teams have scored in 60% of those meetings.

Our verdict: vikingur reykjavik to win at odds of 1.49 represents the most compelling value in this fixture.


If you want to actually make money on football instead of just throwing it away, you have to trust the stats. This Iceland Besta deild karla game is a perfect chance to do exactly that. Forget about the fan hype and focus entirely on how these teams are actually playing on the grass.

We always check the home team first to set the stage. Their overall season gives us a starting point, but their recent matches tell us if they are hot or cold right now in the moments that matter. Then we turn our attention to the away side.

We compare what they have done all year with their last few weeks to see if the bookies are offering a really good deal by mistake. Looking at their past matchups against each other is just as important. Head-to-head records often reveal playing styles that just do not mix well for one team, creating a natural advantage.

Taking those past games and adding today’s form makes picking a winner so much easier. Right now, the smartest bet on the board is 1, especially with the odds sitting nicely at @1.49. Once the referee starts the game, the stats step aside and the players take over.

The final score will tell us if we got it right. Check our other daily tips for more winning ideas.

Source: Recent fixture results Source: Head-to-head archive Source: Public market odds Model: Poisson score distribution
DD
DailyForebet Verification Desk
Senior Fixture Analyst
Cross-checks every fixture against form, head-to-head and market data before a case file is closed for publication.
Reviewed on 17 Jun 2026
Quick Answers
FAQ
What is the recommended bet for Vikingur Reykjavik vs KR Reykjavik?
Our selection is 1 — Vikingur Reykjavik to win, priced at approximately 1.49. Tip confidence rating: 68%.
What is Vikingur Reykjavik's current form?
Vikingur Reykjavik have won 10, drawn 0 and lost 0 of their last 10 matches.
How has KR Reykjavik been performing recently?
KR Reykjavik have recorded 7 wins, 1 draws and 2 defeats from 10 recent games.
What does the head-to-head record show?
Vikingur Reykjavik lead with 8 wins versus KR Reykjavik's 0, with 2 draws across 10 meetings.
How many goals are expected in this match?
Recent fixtures involving these sides average 5 goals per game. The head-to-head BTTS rate stands at 60%.
⚠️
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