Fixture Case File · Ref V
L

Lyn W

Home Side
D W L W D
5W 3D 2L ▲ Trending Up
VS
B
Brann W
Away Side
W W W W W
10W 0D 0L → Holding Steady
CASE VERIFIED
77%
Tuesday, 16th June 2026 Case Verdict
Over 2.5
Filing on over 2.5 goals
Implied Prob67.1%Bookmaker's implied odds
Case Edge+9.9%Value detected
Kelly %30.1%Suggested bankroll %
Fixture Ledger Code
V<DFBL<<<W<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<B<<<<<W<<<<<<<<<<D1DF7CABE4DFB2607262M2607269<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<
DD
Case reviewed & signed off by DailyForebet Verification Desk
Senior Fixture Analyst · Last checked 16 Jun 2026
✓ Data-Audited ✓ Independently Checked
Supporting Markets
Extras
Primary Filing
Over 2.5 — over 2.5 goals
1.49
Over 2.5 Goals65% Over 1.5 Goals80% BTTS — No80% Lyn W Clean Sheet60% Brann W Clean Sheet80%
📋 Case Slip / Combo Builder
Lyn W vs Brann W Competition: Norway Cup Wiomen Date: Tuesday, 16th June 2026 Pick: Over 2.5 (over 2.5 goals) Odds: 1.49 Confidence: 77% Also: Over 2.5 Goals (65%) Also: Over 1.5 Goals (80%) Also: BTTS — No (80%) Also: Lyn W Clean Sheet (60%) Also: Brann W Clean Sheet (80%) Ledger Ref: D1DF7CABE
Head to Head
Record
2
Lyn W
1
Draws
7
Brann W
10
Meetings
3.6
Avg Goals
50%
BTTS
70%
Over 2.5
Supports Filing Over 2.5 in 70% of H2H.
📊
Stats Duel
Comparison
Lyn W
Metric
Brann W
2.6
Goals For / Game
3.5
1
Goals Against / Game
0.2
60%
Clean Sheets
80%
5-3-2
W — D — L
10-0-0
Win Rate
50%
100%
3.7
Avg Goals
80%
Over 1.5
65%
Over 2.5
20%
BTTS Rate
🎯
Score Probability Matrix
Poisson Model
B0
B1
B2
B3
B4
B5
L0
0-0 2.6%
0-1 5.9%
0-2 6.6%
0-3 4.9%
0-4 2.8%
0-5 1.3%
L1
1-0 3.6%
1-1 8.2%
1-2 9.2%
1-3 6.9%
1-4 3.9%
1-5 1.8%
L2
2-0 2.6%
2-1 5.7%
2-2 6.5%
2-3 4.8%
2-4 2.7%
2-5 1.2%
L3
3-0 1.2%
3-1 2.7%
3-2 3.0%
3-3 2.3%
3-4 1.3%
3-5 0.6%
L4
4-0 0.4%
4-1 0.9%
4-2 1.1%
4-3 0.8%
4-4 0.4%
4-5 0.2%
L5
5-0 0.1%
5-1 0.3%
5-2 0.3%
5-3 0.2%
5-4 0.1%
5-5 0.1%
Top Scores 1-2(9.2%) 1-1(8.2%) 1-3(6.9%)
■ Best match ■ Possible ■ Low · ■ Contradicts filing L=Home goals ↓   B=Away →
📈
Team Ratings
Grades
Lyn W
Overall
5.9
Scoring
8.7
Defence
6.7
Brann W
Overall
10.0
Scoring
10.0
Defence
9.3
🔀
Combination Markets
Smart Picks
Result & BTTS
Home Win & BTTS Yes 6%
Home Win & BTTS No 24%
Draw & BTTS Yes 2%
Draw & BTTS No 7%
Away Win & BTTS Yes 12%
Away Win & BTTS No 49%
Result & Goals
Home Win & Over 2.5 20%
Home Win & Under 2.5 11%
Draw & Over 2.5 6%
Draw & Under 2.5 3%
Away Win & Over 2.5 40%
Away Win & Under 2.5 21%
🧮
Stake Calculator
Bankroll Tool
Kelly %
Stake
Potential Profit
Uses the Kelly Criterion at your selected fraction. Half Kelly (0.5) is recommended for reduced variance. Not financial advice.
🔎 How we calculate confidence, edge & Kelly %

Our confidence score blends three inputs: the market-implied signal from public odds, the head-to-head record between these two sides, and each team's recent form (weighted by sample size). No single input can move the score more than 18 points from the market signal, which keeps the model grounded.

  • Case Edge compares our confidence against the bookmaker's implied probability from the odds you enter — a positive number suggests the price may be generous relative to our model.
  • Kelly % is a standard bankroll-management formula, not a guarantee — it sizes a stake relative to perceived edge and odds.
  • Score matrix uses a Poisson distribution built from each side's recent scoring and conceding rates.

All models are statistical estimates, not certainties. Treat every figure on this page as one input into your own decision, not as a promise of an outcome.

📐 Editorial Standards for This Case File
  • Every fixture is cross-checked against at least three data points: recent form, head-to-head history, and market odds — no case is filed on a single signal alone.
  • Confidence and edge figures are generated by a documented formula (see methodology above), never assigned arbitrarily.
  • Case files are reviewed by a named analyst before publication and re-checked closer to kickoff for team news or lineup changes.
  • Settled cases are logged publicly with WON / LOST / VOID status — nothing is quietly deleted or hidden after the fact.
  • Corrections to a published case (updated odds, lineup news, postponements) are recorded in the update log below with a timestamp.
📜
Match Archives
History
Head to Head
26.05.26TOP
Brann W4
Lyn0
03.10.25TOP
Brann W9
Lyn0
07.06.25TOP
Brann W0
Lyn1
10.05.25TOP
Lyn W0
Brann0
19.10.24TOP
Lyn W1
Brann3
29.06.24TOP
Lyn W1
Brann5
13.04.24TOP
Brann W2
Lyn1
11.11.23TOP
Lyn W3
Brann2
26.08.23TOP
Brann W1
Lyn0
25.03.23TOP
Lyn W1
Brann2
Recent Form
Lyn W
13.06.26TOP
Lyn W4
Rosenborg W4
D
31.05.26TOP
Lyn W2
Valerenga W0
W
26.05.26TOP
Brann W4
Lyn W0
L
21.05.26CUP
Grei W1
Lyn W4
W
15.05.26TOP
Lyn W0
Roa W0
D
12.05.26CUP
Frigg W0
Lyn W4
W
08.05.26TOP
Aalesund W1
Lyn W0
L
02.05.26TOP
Haugesund W0
Lyn W3
W
25.04.26TOP
Lyn W9
Bodo/Glimt W0
W
01.04.26TOP
Molde W0
Lyn W0
D
Brann W
13.06.26TOP
Valerenga W0
Brann W3
W
30.05.26TOP
Aalesund W1
Brann W2
W
26.05.26TOP
Brann W4
Lyn W0
W
20.05.26CUP
Fana W0
Brann W3
W
15.05.26TOP
Haugesund W0
Brann W7
W
12.05.26CUP
Sogndal W1
Brann W5
W
08.05.26TOP
Brann W1
Stabaek W0
W
03.05.26TOP
Brann W6
Honefoss W0
W
28.04.26TOP
Brann W2
Haugesund W0
W
25.04.26TOP
Roa W0
Brann W2
W
📝
Match Analysis
Case Notes

On Tuesday, 16th June 2026, Lyn W host Brann W in Norway Cup Wiomen. Our analysis desk recommends over 2.5 goals as the standout selection.

Lyn W arrive showing mixed form, having recorded 5 wins, 3 draws and 2 defeats from their last 10 outings.

Brann W are travelling well, with a record of 10W 0D 0L across 10 matches.

Historical meetings favour Lyn W, who lead the head-to-head with 2 wins to Brann W's 7, with 1 draws from 10 encounters. Both teams have scored in 50% of those meetings.

Our verdict: over 2.5 goals at odds of 1.49 represents the most compelling value in this fixture.


If you want to actually make money on football instead of just throwing it away, you have to trust the stats. This Norway Cup Wiomen game is a perfect chance to do exactly that. Forget about the fan hype and focus entirely on how these teams are actually playing on the grass.

We always check the home team first to set the stage. Their overall season gives us a starting point, but their recent matches tell us if they are hot or cold right now in the moments that matter. Then we turn our attention to the away side.

We compare what they have done all year with their last few weeks to see if the bookies are offering a really good deal by mistake. Looking at their past matchups against each other is just as important. Head-to-head records often reveal playing styles that just do not mix well for one team, creating a natural advantage.

Taking those past games and adding today’s form makes picking a winner so much easier. Right now, the smartest bet on the board is Over 2.5, especially with the odds sitting nicely at @1.49. Once the referee starts the game, the stats step aside and the players take over.

The final score will tell us if we got it right. Check our other daily tips for more winning ideas.

Source: Recent fixture results Source: Head-to-head archive Source: Public market odds Model: Poisson score distribution
DD
DailyForebet Verification Desk
Senior Fixture Analyst
Cross-checks every fixture against form, head-to-head and market data before a case file is closed for publication.
Reviewed on 16 Jun 2026
Quick Answers
FAQ
What is the recommended bet for Lyn W vs Brann W?
Our selection is Over 2.5 — over 2.5 goals, priced at approximately 1.49. Tip confidence rating: 77%.
What is Lyn W's current form?
Lyn W have won 5, drawn 3 and lost 2 of their last 10 matches.
How has Brann W been performing recently?
Brann W have recorded 10 wins, 0 draws and 0 defeats from 10 recent games.
What does the head-to-head record show?
Lyn W lead with 2 wins versus Brann W's 7, with 1 draws across 10 meetings.
How many goals are expected in this match?
Recent fixtures involving these sides average 3.7 goals per game. The head-to-head BTTS rate stands at 50%.
⚠️
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