WON Case WON Unterhaching 1-0 Augsburg II

Fixture Case File · Ref V ⚽

Unterhaching

Q: What is the recommended bet for Unterhaching vs Augsburg II?

Our selection is 1 — Unterhaching to win, priced at approximately 1.46. Tip confidence rating: 55%.

Q: What is Unterhaching's current form?

Unterhaching have won 2, drawn 2 and lost 1 of their last 5 matches.

Q: How has Augsburg II been performing recently?

Augsburg II have recorded 1 wins, 1 draws and 3 defeats from 5 recent games.

Q: What does the head-to-head record show?

Unterhaching lead with 4 wins versus Augsburg II's 0, with 1 draws across 5 meetings.

Q: How many goals are expected in this match?

Recent fixtures involving these sides average 1.7 goals per game. The head-to-head BTTS rate stands at 40%.

Home Side

W W D L D

2W 2D 1L ▼ Trending Down

1-0

Augsburg II

Away Side

L L W D L

1W 1D 3L ▲ Trending Up

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MODERATE

55%

Tuesday, 17th March 2026 Case Verdict

Filing on Unterhaching to win

Unterhaching 50%

Draw 30%

Augsburg II 20%

H Fair Odds2

D Fair Odds3.33

A Fair Odds5

Implied Prob68.5%Bookmaker's implied odds

Case Edge-13.5%Overpriced

Kelly %0%Suggested bankroll %

Fixture Ledger Code

V<DFBU<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<A<<<<<<<<II<<<<<<EA96F4D4D4DFB2607272M2607279<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<

Case reviewed & signed off by DailyForebet Verification Desk

Senior Fixture Analyst · Last checked 17 Mar 2026

✓ Data-Audited ✓ Independently Checked

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Supporting Markets

Extras

Primary Filing

1 — Unterhaching to win

1.46

Under 2.5 Goals90% BTTS — No80% Unterhaching Clean Sheet60%

📋 Case Slip / Combo Builder

Unterhaching vs Augsburg II Competition: Ger. Regionalliga Bayern Date: Tuesday, 17th March 2026 Pick: 1 (Unterhaching to win) Odds: 1.46 Confidence: 55% Also: Under 2.5 Goals (90%) Also: BTTS — No (80%) Also: Unterhaching Clean Sheet (60%) Ledger Ref: EA96F4D4D

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Head to Head

Record

Unterhaching

Draws

Augsburg II

Meetings

2.2

Avg Goals

40%

BTTS

20%

Over 2.5

Supports Filing Unterhaching won 4 of the last 5 meetings (1 draws).

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Stats Duel

Comparison

Unterhaching

Metric

Augsburg II

Goals For / Game

0.6

0.4

Goals Against / Game

1.4

60%

Clean Sheets

40%

2-2-1

W — D — L

1-1-3

Win Rate

40%

20%

1.7

Avg Goals

50%

Over 1.5

10%

Over 2.5

20%

BTTS Rate

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Score Probability Matrix

Poisson Model

0-0 18.3%

0-1 9.1%

0-2 2.3%

0-3 0.4%

0-4 0.1%

0-5 0.0%

1-0 21.9%

1-1 11.0%

1-2 2.7%

1-3 0.5%

1-4 0.1%

1-5 0.0%

2-0 13.2%

2-1 6.6%

2-2 1.6%

2-3 0.3%

2-4 0.0%

2-5 0.0%

3-0 5.3%

3-1 2.6%

3-2 0.7%

3-3 0.1%

3-4 0.0%

3-5 0.0%

4-0 1.6%

4-1 0.8%

4-2 0.2%

4-3 0.0%

4-4 0.0%

4-5 0.0%

5-0 0.4%

5-1 0.2%

5-2 0.1%

5-3 0.0%

5-4 0.0%

5-5 0.0%

Top Scores 1-0(21.9%) 2-0(13.2%) 2-1(6.6%)

■ Best match ■ Possible ■ Low · ■ Contradicts filing U=Home goals ↓ A=Away →

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Market Odds Intelligence

Value Finder

Unterhaching Win

50%

Draw

30%

3.33

Augsburg II Win

20%

Fair value decimal odds based on our probability model. Compare against your bookmaker's line to identify value.

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Team Ratings

Grades

Unterhaching

Overall

5.2 —

Scoring

3.3 —

Defence

8.7 —

Augsburg II

Overall

2.6 —

Scoring

2.0 —

Defence

5.3 —

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Combination Markets

Smart Picks

Result & BTTS

Home Win & BTTS Yes 9%

Home Win & BTTS No 35%

Draw & BTTS Yes 7%

Draw & BTTS No 26%

Away Win & BTTS Yes 5%

Away Win & BTTS No 18%

Result & Goals

Home Win & Over 2.5 4%

Home Win & Under 2.5 40%

Draw & Over 2.5 3%

Draw & Under 2.5 30%

Away Win & Over 2.5 2%

Away Win & Under 2.5 21%

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Stake Calculator

Bankroll Tool

Bankroll

Decimal Odds

Win Probability %

Kelly Fraction

—

Kelly %

—

Stake

—

Potential Profit

Uses the Kelly Criterion at your selected fraction. Half Kelly (0.5) is recommended for reduced variance. Not financial advice.

🔎 How we calculate confidence, edge & Kelly %

Our confidence score blends three inputs: the market-implied signal from public odds, the head-to-head record between these two sides, and each team's recent form (weighted by sample size). No single input can move the score more than 18 points from the market signal, which keeps the model grounded.

Case Edge compares our confidence against the bookmaker's implied probability from the odds you enter — a positive number suggests the price may be generous relative to our model.
Kelly % is a standard bankroll-management formula, not a guarantee — it sizes a stake relative to perceived edge and odds.
Score matrix uses a Poisson distribution built from each side's recent scoring and conceding rates.

All models are statistical estimates, not certainties. Treat every figure on this page as one input into your own decision, not as a promise of an outcome.

📐 Editorial Standards for This Case File

Every fixture is cross-checked against at least three data points: recent form, head-to-head history, and market odds — no case is filed on a single signal alone.
Confidence and edge figures are generated by a documented formula (see methodology above), never assigned arbitrarily.
Case files are reviewed by a named analyst before publication and re-checked closer to kickoff for team news or lineup changes.
Settled cases are logged publicly with WON / LOST / VOID status — nothing is quietly deleted or hidden after the fact.
Corrections to a published case (updated odds, lineup news, postponements) are recorded in the update log below with a timestamp.

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Match Archives

History

Head to Head

08.08.25

RL: Augsburg II2

Unterhaching3

17.02.23

CF: Augsburg II0

Unterhaching1

19.11.22

RL: Unterhaching1

Augsburg II0

30.07.22

RL: Augsburg II0

Unterhaching2

20.11.21

RL: Augsburg II1

Unterhaching1

Recent Form

Unterhaching

14.03.26

RL: Nürnberg II0

Unterhaching2

07.03.26

RL: Unterhaching2

Illertissen0

28.02.26

RL: Aubstadt1

Unterhaching1

24.02.26

RL: Bayern Munich II1

Unterhaching0

13.02.26

CF: Austria Lustenau0

Unterhaching0

Augsburg II

14.03.26

RL: Augsburg II0

Würzburger Kickers1

10.03.26

RL: Bayern Munich II2

Augsburg II0

07.03.26

RL: Vilzing0

Augsburg II1

28.02.26

RL: Augsburg II0

Ansbach0

14.02.26

CF: Augsburg II2

Grossaspach4

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Match Analysis

Case Notes

On Tuesday, 17th March 2026, Unterhaching host Augsburg II in Ger. Regionalliga Bayern. Our analysis desk recommends Unterhaching to win as the standout selection.

Unterhaching arrive showing mixed form, having recorded 2 wins, 2 draws and 1 defeats from their last 5 outings.

Augsburg II are struggling away from home, with a record of 1W 1D 3L across 5 matches.

Historical meetings favour Unterhaching, who lead the head-to-head with 4 wins to Augsburg II's 0, with 1 draws from 5 encounters. Both teams have scored in 40% of those meetings.

Our verdict: unterhaching to win at odds of 1.46 represents the most compelling value in this fixture.

Source: Recent fixture results Source: Head-to-head archive Source: Public market odds Model: Poisson score distribution

DailyForebet Verification Desk

Senior Fixture Analyst

Cross-checks every fixture against form, head-to-head and market data before a case file is closed for publication.

Reviewed on 17 Mar 2026

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Quick Answers

FAQ

What is the recommended bet for Unterhaching vs Augsburg II?

Our selection is 1 — Unterhaching to win, priced at approximately 1.46. Tip confidence rating: 55%.

What is Unterhaching's current form?

Unterhaching have won 2, drawn 2 and lost 1 of their last 5 matches.

How has Augsburg II been performing recently?

Augsburg II have recorded 1 wins, 1 draws and 3 defeats from 5 recent games.

What does the head-to-head record show?

Unterhaching lead with 4 wins versus Augsburg II's 0, with 1 draws across 5 meetings.

How many goals are expected in this match?

Recent fixtures involving these sides average 1.7 goals per game. The head-to-head BTTS rate stands at 40%.

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