WON Case WON Drochtersen/Assel 4-1 Lohne

Fixture Case File · Ref V ⚽

Drochtersen/Assel

Q: What is the recommended bet for Drochtersen/Assel vs Lohne?

Our selection is 1 — Drochtersen/Assel to win, priced at approximately 1.48. Tip confidence rating: 63%.

Q: What is Drochtersen/Assel's current form?

Drochtersen/Assel have won 5, drawn 0 and lost 0 of their last 5 matches.

Q: How has Lohne been performing recently?

Lohne have recorded 1 wins, 3 draws and 1 defeats from 5 recent games.

Q: What does the head-to-head record show?

Drochtersen/Assel lead with 2 wins versus Lohne's 1, with 2 draws across 5 meetings.

Q: How many goals are expected in this match?

Recent fixtures involving these sides average 3.5 goals per game. The head-to-head BTTS rate stands at 40%.

Home Side

W W W W W

5W 0D 0L → Holding Steady

4-1

Lohne

Away Side

D D D L W

1W 3D 1L ▲ Trending Up

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MODERATE

63%

Tuesday, 17th March 2026 Case Verdict

Filing on Drochtersen/Assel to win

Drochtersen/Assel 50%

Draw 30%

Lohne 20%

H Fair Odds2

D Fair Odds3.33

A Fair Odds5

Implied Prob67.6%Bookmaker's implied odds

Case Edge-4.6%Overpriced

Kelly %0%Suggested bankroll %

Fixture Ledger Code

V<DFBD<<<<<<<<<<<A<<<<<<<<<L<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<7BECFFFE34DFB2607202M2607209<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<

Case reviewed & signed off by DailyForebet Verification Desk

Senior Fixture Analyst · Last checked 18 Mar 2026

✓ Data-Audited ✓ Independently Checked

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Supporting Markets

Extras

Primary Filing

1 — Drochtersen/Assel to win

1.48

Over 1.5 Goals90%

📋 Case Slip / Combo Builder

Drochtersen/Assel vs Lohne Competition: Ger. Regionalliga North Date: Tuesday, 17th March 2026 Pick: 1 (Drochtersen/Assel to win) Odds: 1.48 Confidence: 63% Also: Over 1.5 Goals (90%) Ledger Ref: 7BECFFFE3

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Head to Head

Record

Drochtersen/Assel

Draws

Lohne

Meetings

2.8

Avg Goals

40%

BTTS

40%

Over 2.5

Against Filing Drochtersen/Assel won 2 of the last 5 meetings (2 draws).

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Stats Duel

Comparison

Drochtersen/Assel

Metric

Lohne

4.2

Goals For / Game

0.8

Goals Against / Game

40%

Clean Sheets

40%

5-0-0

W — D — L

1-3-1

Win Rate

100%

20%

3.5

Avg Goals

90%

Over 1.5

60%

Over 2.5

50%

BTTS Rate

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Score Probability Matrix

Poisson Model

0-0 3.0%

0-1 2.7%

0-2 1.2%

0-3 0.4%

0-4 0.1%

0-5 0.0%

1-0 7.9%

1-1 7.1%

1-2 3.2%

1-3 1.0%

1-4 0.2%

1-5 0.0%

2-0 10.2%

2-1 9.2%

2-2 4.1%

2-3 1.2%

2-4 0.3%

2-5 0.1%

3-0 8.9%

3-1 8.0%

3-2 3.6%

3-3 1.1%

3-4 0.2%

3-5 0.0%

4-0 5.8%

4-1 5.2%

4-2 2.3%

4-3 0.7%

4-4 0.2%

4-5 0.0%

5-0 3.0%

5-1 2.7%

5-2 1.2%

5-3 0.4%

5-4 0.1%

5-5 0.0%

Top Scores 2-0(10.2%) 2-1(9.2%) 3-0(8.9%)

■ Best match ■ Possible ■ Low · ■ Contradicts filing D=Home goals ↓ L=Away →

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Market Odds Intelligence

Value Finder

Drochtersen/Assel Win

50%

Draw

30%

3.33

Lohne Win

20%

Fair value decimal odds based on our probability model. Compare against your bookmaker's line to identify value.

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Team Ratings

Grades

Drochtersen/Assel

Overall

10.0 —

Scoring

10.0 —

Defence

7.3 —

Lohne

Overall

3.8 —

Scoring

3.3 —

Defence

6.7 —

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Combination Markets

Smart Picks

Result & BTTS

Home Win & BTTS Yes 34%

Home Win & BTTS No 34%

Draw & BTTS Yes 10%

Draw & BTTS No 10%

Away Win & BTTS Yes 7%

Away Win & BTTS No 7%

Result & Goals

Home Win & Over 2.5 40%

Home Win & Under 2.5 27%

Draw & Over 2.5 12%

Draw & Under 2.5 8%

Away Win & Over 2.5 8%

Away Win & Under 2.5 5%

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Stake Calculator

Bankroll Tool

Bankroll

Decimal Odds

Win Probability %

Kelly Fraction

—

Kelly %

—

Stake

—

Potential Profit

Uses the Kelly Criterion at your selected fraction. Half Kelly (0.5) is recommended for reduced variance. Not financial advice.

🔎 How we calculate confidence, edge & Kelly %

Our confidence score blends three inputs: the market-implied signal from public odds, the head-to-head record between these two sides, and each team's recent form (weighted by sample size). No single input can move the score more than 18 points from the market signal, which keeps the model grounded.

Case Edge compares our confidence against the bookmaker's implied probability from the odds you enter — a positive number suggests the price may be generous relative to our model.
Kelly % is a standard bankroll-management formula, not a guarantee — it sizes a stake relative to perceived edge and odds.
Score matrix uses a Poisson distribution built from each side's recent scoring and conceding rates.

All models are statistical estimates, not certainties. Treat every figure on this page as one input into your own decision, not as a promise of an outcome.

📐 Editorial Standards for This Case File

Every fixture is cross-checked against at least three data points: recent form, head-to-head history, and market odds — no case is filed on a single signal alone.
Confidence and edge figures are generated by a documented formula (see methodology above), never assigned arbitrarily.
Case files are reviewed by a named analyst before publication and re-checked closer to kickoff for team news or lineup changes.
Settled cases are logged publicly with WON / LOST / VOID status — nothing is quietly deleted or hidden after the fact.
Corrections to a published case (updated odds, lineup news, postponements) are recorded in the update log below with a timestamp.

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Match Archives

History

Head to Head

23.08.25

RL: Lohne3

Drochtersen/Assel4

05.04.25

RL: Lohne0

Drochtersen/Assel0

02.10.24

RL: Drochtersen/Assel2

Lohne0

26.04.24

RL: Drochtersen/Assel2

Lohne3

27.10.23

RL: Lohne0

Drochtersen/Assel0

Recent Form

Drochtersen/Assel

14.03.26

RL: Drochtersen/Assel3

SC Weiche-081

07.03.26

RL: Phonix Lubeck0

Drochtersen/Assel2

27.02.26

RL: Drochtersen/Assel5

Eintracht Norderstedt1

22.02.26

CF: St. Pauli II2

Drochtersen/Assel4

11.02.26

CF: Drochtersen/Assel7

Dassendorf0

Lohne

13.03.26

RL: Oldenburg1

Lohne1

07.03.26

RL: Lohne0

Werder Bremen II0

01.03.26

RL: St. Pauli II1

Lohne1

22.02.26

RL: Lohne0

SC Weiche-083

13.02.26

CF: Lohne3

Bersenbruck0

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Match Analysis

Case Notes

On Tuesday, 17th March 2026, Drochtersen/Assel host Lohne in Ger. Regionalliga North. Our analysis desk recommends Drochtersen/Assel to win as the standout selection.

Drochtersen/Assel arrive in strong form, having recorded 5 wins, 0 draws and 0 defeats from their last 5 outings.

Lohne are struggling away from home, with a record of 1W 3D 1L across 5 matches.

Historical meetings favour Drochtersen/Assel, who lead the head-to-head with 2 wins to Lohne's 1, with 2 draws from 5 encounters. Both teams have scored in 40% of those meetings.

Our verdict: drochtersen/assel to win at odds of 1.48 represents the most compelling value in this fixture.

Source: Recent fixture results Source: Head-to-head archive Source: Public market odds Model: Poisson score distribution

DailyForebet Verification Desk

Senior Fixture Analyst

Cross-checks every fixture against form, head-to-head and market data before a case file is closed for publication.

Reviewed on 18 Mar 2026

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Quick Answers

FAQ

What is the recommended bet for Drochtersen/Assel vs Lohne?

Our selection is 1 — Drochtersen/Assel to win, priced at approximately 1.48. Tip confidence rating: 63%.

What is Drochtersen/Assel's current form?

Drochtersen/Assel have won 5, drawn 0 and lost 0 of their last 5 matches.

How has Lohne been performing recently?

Lohne have recorded 1 wins, 3 draws and 1 defeats from 5 recent games.

What does the head-to-head record show?

Drochtersen/Assel lead with 2 wins versus Lohne's 1, with 2 draws across 5 meetings.

How many goals are expected in this match?

Recent fixtures involving these sides average 3.5 goals per game. The head-to-head BTTS rate stands at 40%.

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