WON Case WON UE Santa Coloma 3-0 Ordino

Fixture Case File · Ref V ⚽

UE Santa Coloma

Q: What is the recommended bet for UE Santa Coloma vs Ordino?

Our selection is 1 — UE Santa Coloma to win, priced at approximately 1.19. Tip confidence rating: 65%.

Q: What is UE Santa Coloma's current form?

UE Santa Coloma have won 3, drawn 1 and lost 1 of their last 5 matches.

Q: How has Ordino been performing recently?

Ordino have recorded 1 wins, 0 draws and 4 defeats from 5 recent games.

Q: What does the head-to-head record show?

UE Santa Coloma lead with 4 wins versus Ordino's 0, with 1 draws across 5 meetings.

Q: How many goals are expected in this match?

Recent fixtures involving these sides average 2.2 goals per game. The head-to-head BTTS rate stands at 60%.

Home Side

D W W L W

3W 1D 1L → Holding Steady

3-0

Ordino

Away Side

L L W L L

1W 0D 4L ▲ Trending Up

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CASE VERIFIED

65%

Thursday, 12th March 2026 Case Verdict

Filing on UE Santa Coloma to win

UE Santa Coloma 60%

Draw 20%

Ordino 20%

H Fair Odds1.67

D Fair Odds5

A Fair Odds5

Implied Prob84%Bookmaker's implied odds

Case Edge-19%Overpriced

Kelly %0%Suggested bankroll %

Fixture Ledger Code

V<DFBUE<S<<<<<C<<<<<<<<<<<<O<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<FAB9BA8084DFB2607272M2607279<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<

Case reviewed & signed off by DailyForebet Verification Desk

Senior Fixture Analyst · Last checked 12 Mar 2026

✓ Data-Audited ✓ Independently Checked

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Head to Head

Record

UE Santa Coloma

Draws

Ordino

Meetings

2.8

Avg Goals

60%

BTTS

60%

Over 2.5

Supports Filing UE Santa Coloma won 4 of the last 5 meetings (1 draws).

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Stats Duel

Comparison

UE Santa Coloma

Metric

Ordino

1.2

Goals For / Game

0.8

Goals Against / Game

1.6

40%

Clean Sheets

3-1-1

W — D — L

1-0-4

Win Rate

60%

20%

2.2

Avg Goals

70%

Over 1.5

60%

Over 2.5

60%

BTTS Rate

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Score Probability Matrix

Poisson Model

0-0 11.1%

0-1 8.9%

0-2 3.6%

0-3 1.0%

0-4 0.2%

0-5 0.0%

1-0 15.5%

1-1 12.4%

1-2 5.0%

1-3 1.3%

1-4 0.3%

1-5 0.0%

2-0 10.9%

2-1 8.7%

2-2 3.5%

2-3 0.9%

2-4 0.2%

2-5 0.0%

3-0 5.1%

3-1 4.1%

3-2 1.6%

3-3 0.4%

3-4 0.1%

3-5 0.0%

4-0 1.8%

4-1 1.4%

4-2 0.6%

4-3 0.2%

4-4 0.0%

4-5 0.0%

5-0 0.5%

5-1 0.4%

5-2 0.2%

5-3 0.0%

5-4 0.0%

5-5 0.0%

Top Scores 1-0(15.5%) 2-0(10.9%) 2-1(8.7%)

■ Best match ■ Possible ■ Low · ■ Contradicts filing U=Home goals ↓ O=Away →

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Market Odds Intelligence

Value Finder

UE Santa Coloma Win

60%

1.67

Draw

20%

Ordino Win

20%

Fair value decimal odds based on our probability model. Compare against your bookmaker's line to identify value.

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Team Ratings

Grades

UE Santa Coloma

Overall

6.6 —

Scoring

4.0 —

Defence

7.3 —

Ordino

Overall

2.0 —

Scoring

2.7 —

Defence

4.7 —

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Combination Markets

Smart Picks

Result & BTTS

Home Win & BTTS Yes 40%

Home Win & BTTS No 27%

Draw & BTTS Yes 7%

Draw & BTTS No 4%

Away Win & BTTS Yes 13%

Away Win & BTTS No 9%

Result & Goals

Home Win & Over 2.5 40%

Home Win & Under 2.5 27%

Draw & Over 2.5 7%

Draw & Under 2.5 4%

Away Win & Over 2.5 13%

Away Win & Under 2.5 9%

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Stake Calculator

Bankroll Tool

Bankroll

Decimal Odds

Win Probability %

Kelly Fraction

—

Kelly %

—

Stake

—

Potential Profit

Uses the Kelly Criterion at your selected fraction. Half Kelly (0.5) is recommended for reduced variance. Not financial advice.

🔎 How we calculate confidence, edge & Kelly %

Our confidence score blends three inputs: the market-implied signal from public odds, the head-to-head record between these two sides, and each team's recent form (weighted by sample size). No single input can move the score more than 18 points from the market signal, which keeps the model grounded.

Case Edge compares our confidence against the bookmaker's implied probability from the odds you enter — a positive number suggests the price may be generous relative to our model.
Kelly % is a standard bankroll-management formula, not a guarantee — it sizes a stake relative to perceived edge and odds.
Score matrix uses a Poisson distribution built from each side's recent scoring and conceding rates.

All models are statistical estimates, not certainties. Treat every figure on this page as one input into your own decision, not as a promise of an outcome.

📐 Editorial Standards for This Case File

Every fixture is cross-checked against at least three data points: recent form, head-to-head history, and market odds — no case is filed on a single signal alone.
Confidence and edge figures are generated by a documented formula (see methodology above), never assigned arbitrarily.
Case files are reviewed by a named analyst before publication and re-checked closer to kickoff for team news or lineup changes.
Settled cases are logged publicly with WON / LOST / VOID status — nothing is quietly deleted or hidden after the fact.
Corrections to a published case (updated odds, lineup news, postponements) are recorded in the update log below with a timestamp.

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Match Archives

History

Head to Head

⚽ PD (22.02.26): UE Santa Coloma2

Ordino1

⚽ PD (01.02.26): UE Santa Coloma1

Ordino0

⚽ PD (22.10.25): Ordino0

UE Santa Coloma2

⚽ PD (09.03.25): Ordino1

UE Santa Coloma3

⚽ PD (01.02.25): UE Santa Coloma2

Ordino2

Recent Form

UE Santa Coloma

⚽ PD (08.03.26): UE Santa Coloma0

Atletic Escaldes0

⚽ PD (01.03.26): FC Rangers1

UE Santa Coloma2

⚽ PD (22.02.26): UE Santa Coloma2

Ordino1

⚽ PD (07.02.26): Penya Encarnada2

UE Santa Coloma1

⚽ PD (01.02.26): UE Santa Coloma1

Ordino0

Ordino

⚽ PD (07.03.26): Ordino1

FC Rangers2

⚽ PD (22.02.26): UE Santa Coloma2

Ordino1

⚽ PD (15.02.26): Ordino2

FC Santa Coloma1

⚽ PD (08.02.26): Ordino0

Inter Escaldes2

⚽ PD (01.02.26): UE Santa Coloma1

Ordino0

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Match Analysis

Case Notes

On Thursday, 12th March 2026, UE Santa Coloma host Ordino in Andorra Cup. Our analysis desk recommends UE Santa Coloma to win as the standout selection.

UE Santa Coloma arrive showing mixed form, having recorded 3 wins, 1 draws and 1 defeats from their last 5 outings.

Ordino are struggling away from home, with a record of 1W 0D 4L across 5 matches.

Historical meetings favour UE Santa Coloma, who lead the head-to-head with 4 wins to Ordino's 0, with 1 draws from 5 encounters. Both teams have scored in 60% of those meetings.

Our verdict: ue santa coloma to win at odds of 1.19 represents the most compelling value in this fixture.

Source: Recent fixture results Source: Head-to-head archive Source: Public market odds Model: Poisson score distribution

DailyForebet Verification Desk

Senior Fixture Analyst

Cross-checks every fixture against form, head-to-head and market data before a case file is closed for publication.

Reviewed on 12 Mar 2026

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Quick Answers

FAQ

What is the recommended bet for UE Santa Coloma vs Ordino?

Our selection is 1 — UE Santa Coloma to win, priced at approximately 1.19. Tip confidence rating: 65%.

What is UE Santa Coloma's current form?

UE Santa Coloma have won 3, drawn 1 and lost 1 of their last 5 matches.

How has Ordino been performing recently?

Ordino have recorded 1 wins, 0 draws and 4 defeats from 5 recent games.

What does the head-to-head record show?

UE Santa Coloma lead with 4 wins versus Ordino's 0, with 1 draws across 5 meetings.

How many goals are expected in this match?

Recent fixtures involving these sides average 2.2 goals per game. The head-to-head BTTS rate stands at 60%.

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