WON Case WON Vikingur 2 3-2 Sandur

Fixture Case File · Ref V ⚽

Vikingur 2

Q: What is the recommended bet for Vikingur 2 vs Sandur?

Our selection is Over 2.5 — over 2.5 goals, priced at approximately 1.40. Tip confidence rating: 87%.

Q: What is Vikingur 2's current form?

Vikingur 2 have won 3, drawn 0 and lost 2 of their last 5 matches.

Q: How has Sandur been performing recently?

Sandur have recorded 2 wins, 0 draws and 3 defeats from 5 recent games.

Q: What does the head-to-head record show?

Vikingur 2 lead with 2 wins versus Sandur's 1, with 2 draws across 5 meetings.

Q: How many goals are expected in this match?

Recent fixtures involving these sides average 4.1 goals per game. The head-to-head BTTS rate stands at 80%.

Home Side

W W L W L

3W 0D 2L ▼ Trending Down

3-2

Sandur

Away Side

L W L L W

2W 0D 3L → Holding Steady

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CASE VERIFIED

87%

Thursday, 12th March 2026 Case Verdict

Over 2.5

Filing on over 2.5 goals

Implied Prob71.4%Bookmaker's implied odds

Case Edge+15.6%Value detected

Kelly %54.5%Suggested bankroll %

Fixture Ledger Code

V<DFBV<<<<<<<<2<<<<<<<<<<<<S<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<46BCAF6994DFB2607262M2607269<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<

Case reviewed & signed off by DailyForebet Verification Desk

Senior Fixture Analyst · Last checked 12 Mar 2026

✓ Data-Audited ✓ Independently Checked

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Supporting Markets

Extras

Primary Filing

Over 2.5 — over 2.5 goals

1.40

Over 2.5 Goals90% Over 1.5 Goals90% BTTS — Yes70%

📋 Case Slip / Combo Builder

Vikingur 2 vs Sandur Competition: Faroe Island 1 Delid Date: Thursday, 12th March 2026 Pick: Over 2.5 (over 2.5 goals) Odds: 1.40 Confidence: 87% Also: Over 2.5 Goals (90%) Also: Over 1.5 Goals (90%) Also: BTTS — Yes (70%) Ledger Ref: 46BCAF699

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Head to Head

Record

Vikingur 2

Draws

Sandur

Meetings

3.6

Avg Goals

80%

BTTS

60%

Over 2.5

Supports Filing Over 2.5 in 60% of H2H.

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Stats Duel

Comparison

Vikingur 2

Metric

Sandur

Goals For / Game

2.6

2.2

Goals Against / Game

1.4

Clean Sheets

20%

3-0-2

W — D — L

2-0-3

Win Rate

60%

40%

4.1

Avg Goals

90%

Over 1.5

90%

Over 2.5

70%

BTTS Rate

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Score Probability Matrix

Poisson Model

0-0 1.7%

0-1 4.0%

0-2 4.8%

0-3 3.8%

0-4 2.3%

0-5 1.1%

1-0 2.8%

1-1 6.8%

1-2 8.1%

1-3 6.5%

1-4 3.9%

1-5 1.9%

2-0 2.4%

2-1 5.8%

2-2 6.9%

2-3 5.5%

2-4 3.3%

2-5 1.6%

3-0 1.4%

3-1 3.3%

3-2 3.9%

3-3 3.1%

3-4 1.9%

3-5 0.9%

4-0 0.6%

4-1 1.4%

4-2 1.7%

4-3 1.3%

4-4 0.8%

4-5 0.4%

5-0 0.2%

5-1 0.5%

5-2 0.6%

5-3 0.5%

5-4 0.3%

5-5 0.1%

Top Scores 1-2(8.1%) 2-2(6.9%) 1-1(6.8%)

■ Best match ■ Possible ■ Low · ■ Contradicts filing V=Home goals ↓ S=Away →

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Team Ratings

Grades

Vikingur 2

Overall

6.0 —

Scoring

6.7 —

Defence

2.7 —

Sandur

Overall

4.0 —

Scoring

8.7 —

Defence

5.3 —

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Combination Markets

Smart Picks

Result & BTTS

Home Win & BTTS Yes 42%

Home Win & BTTS No 18%

Draw & BTTS Yes 0%

Draw & BTTS No 0%

Away Win & BTTS Yes 28%

Away Win & BTTS No 12%

Result & Goals

Home Win & Over 2.5 54%

Home Win & Under 2.5 6%

Draw & Over 2.5 0%

Draw & Under 2.5 0%

Away Win & Over 2.5 36%

Away Win & Under 2.5 4%

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Stake Calculator

Bankroll Tool

Bankroll

Decimal Odds

Win Probability %

Kelly Fraction

—

Kelly %

—

Stake

—

Potential Profit

Uses the Kelly Criterion at your selected fraction. Half Kelly (0.5) is recommended for reduced variance. Not financial advice.

🔎 How we calculate confidence, edge & Kelly %

Our confidence score blends three inputs: the market-implied signal from public odds, the head-to-head record between these two sides, and each team's recent form (weighted by sample size). No single input can move the score more than 18 points from the market signal, which keeps the model grounded.

Case Edge compares our confidence against the bookmaker's implied probability from the odds you enter — a positive number suggests the price may be generous relative to our model.
Kelly % is a standard bankroll-management formula, not a guarantee — it sizes a stake relative to perceived edge and odds.
Score matrix uses a Poisson distribution built from each side's recent scoring and conceding rates.

All models are statistical estimates, not certainties. Treat every figure on this page as one input into your own decision, not as a promise of an outcome.

📐 Editorial Standards for This Case File

Every fixture is cross-checked against at least three data points: recent form, head-to-head history, and market odds — no case is filed on a single signal alone.
Confidence and edge figures are generated by a documented formula (see methodology above), never assigned arbitrarily.
Case files are reviewed by a named analyst before publication and re-checked closer to kickoff for team news or lineup changes.
Settled cases are logged publicly with WON / LOST / VOID status — nothing is quietly deleted or hidden after the fact.
Corrections to a published case (updated odds, lineup news, postponements) are recorded in the update log below with a timestamp.

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Match Archives

History

Head to Head

⚽ DEI (23.08.25): Vikingur 23

Sandur3

⚽ DEI (20.08.25): Sandur0

Vikingur 22

⚽ DEI (25.04.25): Vikingur 22

Sandur3

⚽ DEI (14.09.24): Vikingur 21

Sandur1

⚽ DEI (28.06.24): Vikingur 22

Sandur1

Recent Form

Vikingur 2

⚽ DEI (07.03.26): Hoyvik1

Vikingur 24

⚽ DEI (24.10.25): NSI Runavik 22

Vikingur 23

⚽ DEI (18.10.25): Vikingur 20

B36 Torshavn 21

⚽ DEI (03.10.25): Vikingur 23

Streymur 22

⚽ DEI (27.09.25): Skala Itrottarfelag5

Vikingur 20

Sandur

⚽ DEI (07.03.26): Sandur1

FC Suduroy2

⚽ DEI (25.10.25): Sandur3

IF Fuglafjordur0

⚽ DEI (18.10.25): AB Argir2

Sandur1

⚽ DEI (03.10.25): Skala Itrottarfelag2

Sandur1

⚽ DEI (27.09.25): Sandur7

07 Vestur Sorvagur 21

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Match Analysis

Case Notes

On Thursday, 12th March 2026, Vikingur 2 host Sandur in Faroe Island 1 Delid. Our analysis desk recommends over 2.5 goals as the standout selection.

Vikingur 2 arrive showing mixed form, having recorded 3 wins, 0 draws and 2 defeats from their last 5 outings.

Sandur are inconsistent on the road, with a record of 2W 0D 3L across 5 matches.

Historical meetings favour Vikingur 2, who lead the head-to-head with 2 wins to Sandur's 1, with 2 draws from 5 encounters. Both teams have scored in 80% of those meetings.

Our verdict: over 2.5 goals at odds of 1.40 represents the most compelling value in this fixture.

Source: Recent fixture results Source: Head-to-head archive Source: Public market odds Model: Poisson score distribution

DailyForebet Verification Desk

Senior Fixture Analyst

Cross-checks every fixture against form, head-to-head and market data before a case file is closed for publication.

Reviewed on 12 Mar 2026

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Quick Answers

FAQ

What is the recommended bet for Vikingur 2 vs Sandur?

Our selection is Over 2.5 — over 2.5 goals, priced at approximately 1.40. Tip confidence rating: 87%.

What is Vikingur 2's current form?

Vikingur 2 have won 3, drawn 0 and lost 2 of their last 5 matches.

How has Sandur been performing recently?

Sandur have recorded 2 wins, 0 draws and 3 defeats from 5 recent games.

What does the head-to-head record show?

Vikingur 2 lead with 2 wins versus Sandur's 1, with 2 draws across 5 meetings.

How many goals are expected in this match?

Recent fixtures involving these sides average 4.1 goals per game. The head-to-head BTTS rate stands at 80%.

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