Our confidence score blends three inputs: the market-implied signal from public odds, the head-to-head record between these two sides, and each team's recent form (weighted by sample size). No single input can move the score more than 18 points from the market signal, which keeps the model grounded.
All models are statistical estimates, not certainties. Treat every figure on this page as one input into your own decision, not as a promise of an outcome.
On Sunday, 8th March 2026, Rangers host Celtic in Scottish Cup. Our analysis desk recommends over 2.5 goals as the standout selection.
Rangers arrive showing mixed form, having recorded 2 wins, 3 draws and 0 defeats from their last 5 outings.
Celtic are inconsistent on the road, with a record of 2W 1D 2L across 5 matches.
Historical meetings favour Rangers, who lead the head-to-head with 1 wins to Celtic's 1, with 3 draws from 5 encounters. Both teams have scored in 80% of those meetings.
Our verdict: over 2.5 goals at odds of 1.60 represents the most compelling value in this fixture.
