LOST Case LOST Hannover 1-2 Greuther Furth

Fixture Case File · Ref V ⚽

Hannover

Q: What is the recommended bet for Hannover vs Greuther Furth?

Our selection is 1 — Hannover to win, priced at approximately 1.37. Tip confidence rating: 57%.

Q: What is Hannover's current form?

Hannover have won 4, drawn 1 and lost 0 of their last 5 matches.

Q: How has Greuther Furth been performing recently?

Greuther Furth have recorded 2 wins, 1 draws and 2 defeats from 5 recent games.

Q: What does the head-to-head record show?

Hannover lead with 2 wins versus Greuther Furth's 1, with 2 draws across 5 meetings.

Q: How many goals are expected in this match?

Recent fixtures involving these sides average 3.1 goals per game. The head-to-head BTTS rate stands at 80%.

Home Side

W D W W W

4W 1D 0L ▲ Trending Up

1-2

Greuther Furth

Away Side

D W L L W

2W 1D 2L → Holding Steady

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MODERATE

57%

Sunday, 8th March 2026 Case Verdict

Filing on Hannover to win

Hannover 50%

Draw 30%

Greuther Furth 20%

H Fair Odds2

D Fair Odds3.33

A Fair Odds5

Implied Prob73%Bookmaker's implied odds

Case Edge-16%Overpriced

Kelly %0%Suggested bankroll %

Fixture Ledger Code

V<DFBH<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<G<<<<<<<<F<<<<<<<90FC1A7E54DFB2607272M2607279<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<

Case reviewed & signed off by DailyForebet Verification Desk

Senior Fixture Analyst · Last checked 8 Mar 2026

✓ Data-Audited ✓ Independently Checked

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Supporting Markets

Extras

Primary Filing

1 — Hannover to win

1.37

BTTS — Yes70%

📋 Case Slip / Combo Builder

Hannover vs Greuther Furth Competition: Germany 2 Bundesliga Date: Sunday, 8th March 2026 Pick: 1 (Hannover to win) Odds: 1.37 Confidence: 57% Also: BTTS — Yes (70%) Ledger Ref: 90FC1A7E5

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Head to Head

Record

Hannover

Draws

Greuther Furth

Meetings

2.8

Avg Goals

80%

BTTS

60%

Over 2.5

Against Filing Hannover won 2 of the last 5 meetings (2 draws).

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Stats Duel

Comparison

Hannover

Metric

Greuther Furth

1.8

Goals For / Game

1.8

0.8

Goals Against / Game

1.8

40%

Clean Sheets

4-1-0

W — D — L

2-1-2

Win Rate

80%

40%

3.1

Avg Goals

70%

Over 1.5

60%

Over 2.5

70%

BTTS Rate

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Score Probability Matrix

Poisson Model

0-0 4.5%

0-1 5.9%

0-2 3.8%

0-3 1.7%

0-4 0.5%

0-5 0.1%

1-0 8.1%

1-1 10.5%

1-2 6.9%

1-3 3.0%

1-4 1.0%

1-5 0.3%

2-0 7.3%

2-1 9.5%

2-2 6.2%

2-3 2.7%

2-4 0.9%

2-5 0.2%

3-0 4.4%

3-1 5.7%

3-2 3.7%

3-3 1.6%

3-4 0.5%

3-5 0.1%

4-0 2.0%

4-1 2.6%

4-2 1.7%

4-3 0.7%

4-4 0.2%

4-5 0.1%

5-0 0.7%

5-1 0.9%

5-2 0.6%

5-3 0.3%

5-4 0.1%

5-5 0.0%

Top Scores 2-1(9.5%) 1-0(8.1%) 2-0(7.3%)

■ Best match ■ Possible ■ Low · ■ Contradicts filing H=Home goals ↓ G=Away →

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Market Odds Intelligence

Value Finder

Hannover Win

50%

Draw

30%

3.33

Greuther Furth Win

20%

Fair value decimal odds based on our probability model. Compare against your bookmaker's line to identify value.

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Team Ratings

Grades

Hannover

Overall

8.6 —

Scoring

6.0 —

Defence

7.3 —

Greuther Furth

Overall

4.6 —

Scoring

6.0 —

Defence

4.0 —

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Combination Markets

Smart Picks

Result & BTTS

Home Win & BTTS Yes 40%

Home Win & BTTS No 17%

Draw & BTTS Yes 10%

Draw & BTTS No 4%

Away Win & BTTS Yes 20%

Away Win & BTTS No 9%

Result & Goals

Home Win & Over 2.5 34%

Home Win & Under 2.5 23%

Draw & Over 2.5 8%

Draw & Under 2.5 6%

Away Win & Over 2.5 17%

Away Win & Under 2.5 12%

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Stake Calculator

Bankroll Tool

Bankroll

Decimal Odds

Win Probability %

Kelly Fraction

—

Kelly %

—

Stake

—

Potential Profit

Uses the Kelly Criterion at your selected fraction. Half Kelly (0.5) is recommended for reduced variance. Not financial advice.

🔎 How we calculate confidence, edge & Kelly %

Our confidence score blends three inputs: the market-implied signal from public odds, the head-to-head record between these two sides, and each team's recent form (weighted by sample size). No single input can move the score more than 18 points from the market signal, which keeps the model grounded.

Case Edge compares our confidence against the bookmaker's implied probability from the odds you enter — a positive number suggests the price may be generous relative to our model.
Kelly % is a standard bankroll-management formula, not a guarantee — it sizes a stake relative to perceived edge and odds.
Score matrix uses a Poisson distribution built from each side's recent scoring and conceding rates.

All models are statistical estimates, not certainties. Treat every figure on this page as one input into your own decision, not as a promise of an outcome.

📐 Editorial Standards for This Case File

Every fixture is cross-checked against at least three data points: recent form, head-to-head history, and market odds — no case is filed on a single signal alone.
Confidence and edge figures are generated by a documented formula (see methodology above), never assigned arbitrarily.
Case files are reviewed by a named analyst before publication and re-checked closer to kickoff for team news or lineup changes.
Settled cases are logged publicly with WON / LOST / VOID status — nothing is quietly deleted or hidden after the fact.
Corrections to a published case (updated odds, lineup news, postponements) are recorded in the update log below with a timestamp.

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Match Archives

History

Head to Head

⚽ 2BUN (Oct 5, 2025): Greuther Furth2

Hannover2

⚽ 2BUN (May 11, 2025): Hannover1

Greuther Furth1

⚽ 2BUN (Dec 15, 2024): Greuther Furth1

Hannover0

⚽ 2BUN (Feb 16, 2024): Hannover2

Greuther Furth1

⚽ 2BUN (Sep 3, 2023): Greuther Furth1

Hannover3

Recent Form

Hannover

⚽ 2BUN (Feb 28, 2026): Arminia Bielefeld0

Hannover1

⚽ 2BUN (Feb 22, 2026): Hannover0

SG Dynamo Dresden0

⚽ 2BUN (Feb 14, 2026): Hertha Berlin2

Hannover3

⚽ 2BUN (Feb 8, 2026): Hannover3

Holstein Kiel1

⚽ 2BUN (Jan 30, 2026): Magdeburg1

Hannover2

Greuther Furth

⚽ 2BUN (Feb 28, 2026): Greuther Furth1

Schalke1

⚽ 2BUN (Feb 20, 2026): Greuther Furth2

Arminia Bielefeld1

⚽ 2BUN (Feb 14, 2026): Kaiserslautern1

Greuther Furth0

⚽ 2BUN (Feb 6, 2026): Greuther Furth4

Magdeburg5

⚽ 2BUN (Jan 31, 2026): Holstein Kiel1

Greuther Furth2

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Match Analysis

Case Notes

On Sunday, 8th March 2026, Hannover host Greuther Furth in Germany 2 Bundesliga. Our analysis desk recommends Hannover to win as the standout selection.

Hannover arrive in strong form, having recorded 4 wins, 1 draws and 0 defeats from their last 5 outings.

Greuther Furth are inconsistent on the road, with a record of 2W 1D 2L across 5 matches.

Historical meetings favour Hannover, who lead the head-to-head with 2 wins to Greuther Furth's 1, with 2 draws from 5 encounters. Both teams have scored in 80% of those meetings.

Our verdict: hannover to win at odds of 1.37 represents the most compelling value in this fixture.

Source: Recent fixture results Source: Head-to-head archive Source: Public market odds Model: Poisson score distribution

DailyForebet Verification Desk

Senior Fixture Analyst

Cross-checks every fixture against form, head-to-head and market data before a case file is closed for publication.

Reviewed on 8 Mar 2026

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Quick Answers

FAQ

What is the recommended bet for Hannover vs Greuther Furth?

Our selection is 1 — Hannover to win, priced at approximately 1.37. Tip confidence rating: 57%.

What is Hannover's current form?

Hannover have won 4, drawn 1 and lost 0 of their last 5 matches.

How has Greuther Furth been performing recently?

Greuther Furth have recorded 2 wins, 1 draws and 2 defeats from 5 recent games.

What does the head-to-head record show?

Hannover lead with 2 wins versus Greuther Furth's 1, with 2 draws across 5 meetings.

How many goals are expected in this match?

Recent fixtures involving these sides average 3.1 goals per game. The head-to-head BTTS rate stands at 80%.

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