WON Case WON Zrinjski 2-1 Radnik Bijeljina

Fixture Case File · Ref V ⚽

Zrinjski

Q: What is the recommended bet for Zrinjski vs Radnik Bijeljina?

Our selection is 1 — Zrinjski to win, priced at approximately 1.23. Tip confidence rating: 55%.

Q: What is Zrinjski's current form?

Zrinjski have won 2, drawn 2 and lost 1 of their last 5 matches.

Q: How has Radnik Bijeljina been performing recently?

Radnik Bijeljina have recorded 2 wins, 1 draws and 2 defeats from 5 recent games.

Q: What does the head-to-head record show?

Zrinjski lead with 4 wins versus Radnik Bijeljina's 1, with 0 draws across 5 meetings.

Q: How many goals are expected in this match?

Recent fixtures involving these sides average 2.3 goals per game. The head-to-head BTTS rate stands at 0%.

Home Side

W W L D D

2W 2D 1L ▼ Trending Down

2-1

Radnik Bijeljina

Away Side

W L D L W

2W 1D 2L → Holding Steady

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MODERATE

55%

Sunday, 8th March 2026 Case Verdict

Filing on Zrinjski to win

Zrinjski 50%

Draw 30%

Radnik Bijeljina 20%

H Fair Odds2

D Fair Odds3.33

A Fair Odds5

Implied Prob81.3%Bookmaker's implied odds

Case Edge-26.3%Overpriced

Kelly %0%Suggested bankroll %

Fixture Ledger Code

V<DFBZ<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<R<<<<<<B<<<<<<<<<3A72AE3894DFB2607202M2607209<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<

Case reviewed & signed off by DailyForebet Verification Desk

Senior Fixture Analyst · Last checked 8 Mar 2026

✓ Data-Audited ✓ Independently Checked

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Supporting Markets

Extras

Primary Filing

1 — Zrinjski to win

1.23

Under 2.5 Goals70%

📋 Case Slip / Combo Builder

Zrinjski vs Radnik Bijeljina Competition: Bosnia WWIN Liga BiH Date: Sunday, 8th March 2026 Pick: 1 (Zrinjski to win) Odds: 1.23 Confidence: 55% Also: Under 2.5 Goals (70%) Ledger Ref: 3A72AE389

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Head to Head

Record

Zrinjski

Draws

Radnik Bijeljina

Meetings

2.6

Avg Goals

BTTS

20%

Over 2.5

Supports Filing Zrinjski won 4 of the last 5 meetings (0 draws).

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Stats Duel

Comparison

Zrinjski

Metric

Radnik Bijeljina

1.4

Goals For / Game

1.2

Goals Against / Game

0.8

Clean Sheets

40%

2-2-1

W — D — L

2-1-2

Win Rate

40%

2.3

Avg Goals

70%

Over 1.5

30%

Over 2.5

50%

BTTS Rate

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Score Probability Matrix

Poisson Model

0-0 10.0%

0-1 12.0%

0-2 7.2%

0-3 2.9%

0-4 0.9%

0-5 0.2%

1-0 11.0%

1-1 13.2%

1-2 7.9%

1-3 3.2%

1-4 1.0%

1-5 0.2%

2-0 6.1%

2-1 7.3%

2-2 4.4%

2-3 1.8%

2-4 0.5%

2-5 0.1%

3-0 2.2%

3-1 2.7%

3-2 1.6%

3-3 0.6%

3-4 0.2%

3-5 0.1%

4-0 0.6%

4-1 0.7%

4-2 0.4%

4-3 0.2%

4-4 0.1%

4-5 0.0%

5-0 0.1%

5-1 0.2%

5-2 0.1%

5-3 0.0%

5-4 0.0%

5-5 0.0%

Top Scores 1-0(11.0%) 2-1(7.3%) 2-0(6.1%)

■ Best match ■ Possible ■ Low · ■ Contradicts filing Z=Home goals ↓ R=Away →

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Market Odds Intelligence

Value Finder

Zrinjski Win

50%

Draw

30%

3.33

Radnik Bijeljina Win

20%

Fair value decimal odds based on our probability model. Compare against your bookmaker's line to identify value.

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Team Ratings

Grades

Zrinjski

Overall

5.2 —

Scoring

4.7 —

Defence

6.0 —

Radnik Bijeljina

Overall

4.6 —

Scoring

4.0 —

Defence

7.3 —

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Combination Markets

Smart Picks

Result & BTTS

Home Win & BTTS Yes 18%

Home Win & BTTS No 18%

Draw & BTTS Yes 14%

Draw & BTTS No 14%

Away Win & BTTS Yes 19%

Away Win & BTTS No 19%

Result & Goals

Home Win & Over 2.5 11%

Home Win & Under 2.5 25%

Draw & Over 2.5 8%

Draw & Under 2.5 19%

Away Win & Over 2.5 11%

Away Win & Under 2.5 26%

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Stake Calculator

Bankroll Tool

Bankroll

Decimal Odds

Win Probability %

Kelly Fraction

—

Kelly %

—

Stake

—

Potential Profit

Uses the Kelly Criterion at your selected fraction. Half Kelly (0.5) is recommended for reduced variance. Not financial advice.

🔎 How we calculate confidence, edge & Kelly %

Our confidence score blends three inputs: the market-implied signal from public odds, the head-to-head record between these two sides, and each team's recent form (weighted by sample size). No single input can move the score more than 18 points from the market signal, which keeps the model grounded.

Case Edge compares our confidence against the bookmaker's implied probability from the odds you enter — a positive number suggests the price may be generous relative to our model.
Kelly % is a standard bankroll-management formula, not a guarantee — it sizes a stake relative to perceived edge and odds.
Score matrix uses a Poisson distribution built from each side's recent scoring and conceding rates.

All models are statistical estimates, not certainties. Treat every figure on this page as one input into your own decision, not as a promise of an outcome.

📐 Editorial Standards for This Case File

Every fixture is cross-checked against at least three data points: recent form, head-to-head history, and market odds — no case is filed on a single signal alone.
Confidence and edge figures are generated by a documented formula (see methodology above), never assigned arbitrarily.
Case files are reviewed by a named analyst before publication and re-checked closer to kickoff for team news or lineup changes.
Settled cases are logged publicly with WON / LOST / VOID status — nothing is quietly deleted or hidden after the fact.
Corrections to a published case (updated odds, lineup news, postponements) are recorded in the update log below with a timestamp.

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Match Archives

History

Head to Head

⚽ LIG (Nov 21, 2025): Radnik Bijeljina0

Zrinjski2

⚽ LIG (Sep 1, 2025): Zrinjski2

Radnik Bijeljina0

⚽ LIG (May 10, 2025): Zrinjski5

Radnik Bijeljina0

⚽ LIG (Dec 15, 2024): Radnik Bijeljina2

Zrinjski0

⚽ LIG (Oct 16, 2024): Zrinjski2

Radnik Bijeljina0

Recent Form

Zrinjski

⚽ CUP (Mar 5, 2026): GOSK Gabela1

Zrinjski2

⚽ LIG (Mar 2, 2026): Zeljeznicar1

Zrinjski3

⚽ UECL (Feb 26, 2026): Crystal Palace2

Zrinjski0

⚽ LIG (Feb 22, 2026): Zrinjski1

Siroki Brijeg1

⚽ UECL (Feb 19, 2026): Zrinjski1

Crystal Palace1

Radnik Bijeljina

⚽ LIG (Feb 28, 2026): Radnik Bijeljina1

Velez Mostar0

⚽ CUP (Feb 25, 2026): Laktasi2

Radnik Bijeljina0

⚽ LIG (Feb 21, 2026): Prijedor0

Radnik Bijeljina0

⚽ LIG (Feb 15, 2026): Radnik Bijeljina0

Posusje1

⚽ CUP (Feb 11, 2026): Radnik Bijeljina5

Krusevo1

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Match Analysis

Case Notes

On Sunday, 8th March 2026, Zrinjski host Radnik Bijeljina in Bosnia WWIN Liga BiH. Our analysis desk recommends Zrinjski to win as the standout selection.

Zrinjski arrive showing mixed form, having recorded 2 wins, 2 draws and 1 defeats from their last 5 outings.

Radnik Bijeljina are inconsistent on the road, with a record of 2W 1D 2L across 5 matches.

Historical meetings favour Zrinjski, who lead the head-to-head with 4 wins to Radnik Bijeljina's 1, with 0 draws from 5 encounters. Both teams have scored in 0% of those meetings.

Our verdict: zrinjski to win at odds of 1.23 represents the most compelling value in this fixture.

Source: Recent fixture results Source: Head-to-head archive Source: Public market odds Model: Poisson score distribution

DailyForebet Verification Desk

Senior Fixture Analyst

Cross-checks every fixture against form, head-to-head and market data before a case file is closed for publication.

Reviewed on 8 Mar 2026

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Quick Answers

FAQ

What is the recommended bet for Zrinjski vs Radnik Bijeljina?

Our selection is 1 — Zrinjski to win, priced at approximately 1.23. Tip confidence rating: 55%.

What is Zrinjski's current form?

Zrinjski have won 2, drawn 2 and lost 1 of their last 5 matches.

How has Radnik Bijeljina been performing recently?

Radnik Bijeljina have recorded 2 wins, 1 draws and 2 defeats from 5 recent games.

What does the head-to-head record show?

Zrinjski lead with 4 wins versus Radnik Bijeljina's 1, with 0 draws across 5 meetings.

How many goals are expected in this match?

Recent fixtures involving these sides average 2.3 goals per game. The head-to-head BTTS rate stands at 0%.

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