WON Case WON Harrach 1-0 JSM Tiarat
Fixture Case File · Ref V
H

Harrach

Home Side
D W D W W
6W 3D 1L → Holding Steady
VS
1-0
J
JSM Tiarat
Away Side
W L W W L
5W 1D 4L → Holding Steady
MODERATE
59%
Saturday, 28th March 2026 Case Verdict
1
Filing on Harrach to win
Harrach 50%
Draw 30%
JSM Tiarat 20%
H Fair Odds2
D Fair Odds3.33
A Fair Odds5
Implied Prob77.5%Bookmaker's implied odds
Case Edge-18.5%Overpriced
Kelly %0%Suggested bankroll %
Fixture Ledger Code
V<DFBH<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<JSM<T<<<<<<<<<<<<11B563BDC4DFB2607262M2607269<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<
DD
Case reviewed & signed off by DailyForebet Verification Desk
Senior Fixture Analyst · Last checked 28 Mar 2026
✓ Data-Audited ✓ Independently Checked
Supporting Markets
Extras
Primary Filing
1 — Harrach to win
1.29
Under 2.5 Goals75% BTTS — No75%
📋 Case Slip / Combo Builder
Harrach vs JSM Tiarat Competition: Algeria Ligue 2 Date: Saturday, 28th March 2026 Pick: 1 (Harrach to win) Odds: 1.29 Confidence: 59% Also: Under 2.5 Goals (75%) Also: BTTS — No (75%) Ledger Ref: 11B563BDC
Head to Head
Record
5
Harrach
2
Draws
0
JSM Tiarat
7
Meetings
2
Avg Goals
0%
BTTS
43%
Over 2.5
Supports Filing Harrach won 5 of the last 7 meetings (2 draws).
📊
Stats Duel
Comparison
Harrach
Metric
JSM Tiarat
1.8
Goals For / Game
0
0.7
Goals Against / Game
0
50%
Clean Sheets
0%
6-3-1
W — D — L
5-1-4
Win Rate
60%
50%
1.3
Avg Goals
35%
Over 1.5
25%
Over 2.5
25%
BTTS Rate
🎯
Score Probability Matrix
Poisson Model
J0
J1
J2
J3
J4
J5
H0
0-0 28.7%
0-1 10.0%
0-2 1.8%
0-3 0.2%
0-4 0.0%
0-5 0.0%
H1
1-0 25.8%
1-1 9.0%
1-2 1.6%
1-3 0.2%
1-4 0.0%
1-5 0.0%
H2
2-0 11.6%
2-1 4.1%
2-2 0.7%
2-3 0.1%
2-4 0.0%
2-5 0.0%
H3
3-0 3.5%
3-1 1.2%
3-2 0.2%
3-3 0.0%
3-4 0.0%
3-5 0.0%
H4
4-0 0.8%
4-1 0.3%
4-2 0.1%
4-3 0.0%
4-4 0.0%
4-5 0.0%
H5
5-0 0.1%
5-1 0.1%
5-2 0.0%
5-3 0.0%
5-4 0.0%
5-5 0.0%
Top Scores 1-0(25.8%) 2-0(11.6%) 2-1(4.1%)
■ Best match ■ Possible ■ Low · ■ Contradicts filing H=Home goals ↓   J=Away →
📉
Market Odds Intelligence
Value Finder
Harrach Win
50%
2
Draw
30%
3.33
JSM Tiarat Win
20%
5
Fair value decimal odds based on our probability model. Compare against your bookmaker's line to identify value.
📈
Team Ratings
Grades
Harrach
Overall
6.9
Scoring
6.0
Defence
7.7
JSM Tiarat
Overall
5.3
Scoring
0.0
Defence
10.0
🔀
Combination Markets
Smart Picks
Result & BTTS
Home Win & BTTS Yes 12%
Home Win & BTTS No 35%
Draw & BTTS Yes 4%
Draw & BTTS No 11%
Away Win & BTTS Yes 10%
Away Win & BTTS No 29%
Result & Goals
Home Win & Over 2.5 12%
Home Win & Under 2.5 35%
Draw & Over 2.5 4%
Draw & Under 2.5 11%
Away Win & Over 2.5 10%
Away Win & Under 2.5 29%
🧮
Stake Calculator
Bankroll Tool
Kelly %
Stake
Potential Profit
Uses the Kelly Criterion at your selected fraction. Half Kelly (0.5) is recommended for reduced variance. Not financial advice.
🔎 How we calculate confidence, edge & Kelly %

Our confidence score blends three inputs: the market-implied signal from public odds, the head-to-head record between these two sides, and each team's recent form (weighted by sample size). No single input can move the score more than 18 points from the market signal, which keeps the model grounded.

  • Case Edge compares our confidence against the bookmaker's implied probability from the odds you enter — a positive number suggests the price may be generous relative to our model.
  • Kelly % is a standard bankroll-management formula, not a guarantee — it sizes a stake relative to perceived edge and odds.
  • Score matrix uses a Poisson distribution built from each side's recent scoring and conceding rates.

All models are statistical estimates, not certainties. Treat every figure on this page as one input into your own decision, not as a promise of an outcome.

📐 Editorial Standards for This Case File
  • Every fixture is cross-checked against at least three data points: recent form, head-to-head history, and market odds — no case is filed on a single signal alone.
  • Confidence and edge figures are generated by a documented formula (see methodology above), never assigned arbitrarily.
  • Case files are reviewed by a named analyst before publication and re-checked closer to kickoff for team news or lineup changes.
  • Settled cases are logged publicly with WON / LOST / VOID status — nothing is quietly deleted or hidden after the fact.
  • Corrections to a published case (updated odds, lineup news, postponements) are recorded in the update log below with a timestamp.
📜
Match Archives
History
Head to Head
07.11.25
L2: JSM Tiaret0
USM El Harrach2
12.03.22
L2: JSM Tiaret1
USM El Harrach0
29.11.21
L2: USM El Harrach0
JSM Tiaret0
25.01.07
L2: JSM Tiaret0
USM El Harrach2
31.08.06
L2: USM El Harrach3
JSM Tiaret0
14.04.06
L2: USM El Harrach3
JSM Tiaret0
11.11.05
L2: JSM Tiaret0
USM El Harrach3
Recent Form
Harrach
14.03.26
L2: WA Tlemcen0
USM El Harrach0
D
07.03.26
L2: USM El Harrach1
NA Hussein Dey0
W
28.02.26
L2: JS El Biar1
USM El Harrach1
D
17.02.26
L2: USM El Harrach2
CR Témouchent0
W
13.02.26
L2: CRB Adrar0
USM El Harrach4
W
07.02.26
L2: USM El Harrach2
RC Kouba1
W
24.01.26
L2: US Béchar Djedid0
USM El Harrach0
D
20.01.26
L2: MC Saïda1
USM El Harrach3
W
12.01.26
CUP: USM El Harrach2
USM Alger (AET)3
L
03.01.26
L2: WA Mostaganem1
USM El Harrach3
W
JSM Tiarat
14.03.26
L2: JSM Tiaret2
GC Mascara1
W
07.03.26
L2: ASM Oran1
JSM Tiaret0
L
28.02.26
L2: JSM Tiaret4
JS Tixeraine1
W
17.02.26
L2: JSM Tiaret3
WA Tlemcen0
W
13.02.26
L2: RC Arbaâ2
JSM Tiaret1
L
07.02.26
L2: JSM Tiaret1
NA Hussein Dey0
W
24.01.26
L2: ESM Koléa0
JSM Tiaret0
D
17.01.26
L2: JSM Tiaret0
JS El Biar1
L
03.01.26
L2: JSM Tiaret1
US Béchar Djedid0
W
27.12.25
L2: CR Témouchent2
JSM Tiaret1
L
📝
Match Analysis
Case Notes

On Saturday, 28th March 2026, Harrach host JSM Tiarat in Algeria Ligue 2. Our analysis desk recommends Harrach to win as the standout selection.

Harrach arrive showing mixed form, having recorded 6 wins, 3 draws and 1 defeats from their last 10 outings.

JSM Tiarat are inconsistent on the road, with a record of 5W 1D 4L across 10 matches.

Historical meetings favour Harrach, who lead the head-to-head with 5 wins to JSM Tiarat's 0, with 2 draws from 7 encounters. Both teams have scored in 0% of those meetings.

Our verdict: harrach to win at odds of 1.29 represents the most compelling value in this fixture.


If you want to actually make money on football instead of just throwing it away, you have to trust the stats. This Algeria Ligue 2 game is a perfect chance to do exactly that. Forget about the fan hype and focus entirely on how these teams are actually playing on the grass.

We always check the home team first to set the stage. Their overall season gives us a starting point, but their recent matches tell us if they are hot or cold right now in the moments that matter. Then we turn our attention to the away side.

We compare what they have done all year with their last few weeks to see if the bookies are offering a really good deal by mistake. Looking at their past matchups against each other is just as important. Head-to-head records often reveal playing styles that just do not mix well for one team, creating a natural advantage.

Taking those past games and adding today’s form makes picking a winner so much easier. Right now, the smartest bet on the board is 1, especially with the odds sitting nicely at @1.29. Once the referee starts the game, the stats step aside and the players take over.

The final score will tell us if we got it right. Check our other daily tips for more winning ideas.

Source: Recent fixture results Source: Head-to-head archive Source: Public market odds Model: Poisson score distribution
DD
DailyForebet Verification Desk
Senior Fixture Analyst
Cross-checks every fixture against form, head-to-head and market data before a case file is closed for publication.
Reviewed on 28 Mar 2026
Quick Answers
FAQ
What is the recommended bet for Harrach vs JSM Tiarat?
Our selection is 1 — Harrach to win, priced at approximately 1.29. Tip confidence rating: 59%.
What is Harrach's current form?
Harrach have won 6, drawn 3 and lost 1 of their last 10 matches.
How has JSM Tiarat been performing recently?
JSM Tiarat have recorded 5 wins, 1 draws and 4 defeats from 10 recent games.
What does the head-to-head record show?
Harrach lead with 5 wins versus JSM Tiarat's 0, with 2 draws across 7 meetings.
How many goals are expected in this match?
Recent fixtures involving these sides average 1.3 goals per game. The head-to-head BTTS rate stands at 0%.
⚠️
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