Fixture Case File · Ref V ⚽
H

Hacken W

Home Side
D W W W L
7W 1D 2L ▲ Trending Up
VS
—
6:00 pm
—
Nordic Wellness Arena (Göteborg)
K
Kristianstad W
Away Side
L W W L W
5W 2D 3L ▼ Trending Down
⚑
MODERATE
55%
Monday, 2nd November 2026 Case Verdict
1
Filing on Hacken W to win
Implied Prob79.4%Bookmaker's implied odds
Case Edge-24.4%Overpriced
Kelly %0%Suggested bankroll %
Fixture Ledger Code
V<DFBH<<<<<<W<<<<<<<<<<<<<<K<<<<<<<<<<<<W<<<96A67A8134DFB2611022M2611029<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<
DD
Case reviewed & signed off by DailyForebet Verification Desk
Senior Fixture Analyst · Last checked 2 Nov 2026
✓ Data-Audited ✓ Independently Checked
⚡
Supporting Markets
Extras
Primary Filing
1 — Hacken W to win
1.26
Over 1.5 Goals90% BTTS — No70% Hacken W Clean Sheet60%
📋 Case Slip / Combo Builder
Hacken W vs Kristianstad W Competition: Sweden Allsvenskan Women Date: Monday, 2nd November 2026 KO: 6:00 pm Pick: 1 (Hacken W to win) Odds: 1.26 Confidence: 55% Also: Over 1.5 Goals (90%) Also: BTTS — No (70%) Also: Hacken W Clean Sheet (60%) Ledger Ref: 96A67A813
⚔
Head to Head
Record
5
Hacken W
4
Draws
1
Kristianstad W
10
Meetings
3.2
Avg Goals
50%
BTTS
50%
Over 2.5
Neutral Hacken W won 5 of the last 10 meetings (4 draws).
📊
Stats Duel
Comparison
Hacken W
Metric
Kristianstad W
3
Goals For / Game
2.3
0.6
Goals Against / Game
1
60%
Clean Sheets
50%
7-1-2
W — D — L
5-2-3
Win Rate
70%
50%
3.5
Avg Goals
90%
Over 1.5
60%
Over 2.5
30%
BTTS Rate
🎯
Score Probability Matrix
Poisson Model
K0
K1
K2
K3
K4
K5
H0
0-0 3.2%
0-1 4.6%
0-2 3.3%
0-3 1.6%
0-4 0.6%
0-5 0.2%
H1
1-0 6.4%
1-1 9.2%
1-2 6.7%
1-3 3.2%
1-4 1.2%
1-5 0.3%
H2
2-0 6.4%
2-1 9.2%
2-2 6.7%
2-3 3.2%
2-4 1.2%
2-5 0.3%
H3
3-0 4.2%
3-1 6.1%
3-2 4.5%
3-3 2.2%
3-4 0.8%
3-5 0.2%
H4
4-0 2.1%
4-1 3.1%
4-2 2.2%
4-3 1.1%
4-4 0.4%
4-5 0.1%
H5
5-0 0.9%
5-1 1.2%
5-2 0.9%
5-3 0.4%
5-4 0.2%
5-5 0.1%
Top Scores 2-1(9.2%) 1-0(6.4%) 2-0(6.4%)
■ Best match ■ Possible ■ Low · ■ Contradicts filing H=Home goals ↓   K=Away →
📈
Team Ratings
Grades
Hacken W
Overall
7.3 ▲
Scoring
10.0 ▲
Defence
8.0 ▲
Kristianstad W
Overall
5.6 ▼
Scoring
7.7 ▼
Defence
6.7 ▼
🔀
Combination Markets
Smart Picks
Result & BTTS
Home Win & BTTS Yes 16%
Home Win & BTTS No 36%
Draw & BTTS Yes 3%
Draw & BTTS No 8%
Away Win & BTTS Yes 11%
Away Win & BTTS No 26%
Result & Goals
Home Win & Over 2.5 31%
Home Win & Under 2.5 21%
Draw & Over 2.5 7%
Draw & Under 2.5 4%
Away Win & Over 2.5 22%
Away Win & Under 2.5 15%
🧮
Stake Calculator
Bankroll Tool
—
Kelly %
—
Stake
—
Potential Profit
Uses the Kelly Criterion at your selected fraction. Half Kelly (0.5) is recommended for reduced variance. Not financial advice.
🔎 How we calculate confidence, edge & Kelly %

Our confidence score blends three inputs: the market-implied signal from public odds, the head-to-head record between these two sides, and each team's recent form (weighted by sample size). No single input can move the score more than 18 points from the market signal, which keeps the model grounded.

  • Case Edge compares our confidence against the bookmaker's implied probability from the odds you enter — a positive number suggests the price may be generous relative to our model.
  • Kelly % is a standard bankroll-management formula, not a guarantee — it sizes a stake relative to perceived edge and odds.
  • Score matrix uses a Poisson distribution built from each side's recent scoring and conceding rates.

All models are statistical estimates, not certainties. Treat every figure on this page as one input into your own decision, not as a promise of an outcome.

📐 Editorial Standards for This Case File
  • Every fixture is cross-checked against at least three data points: recent form, head-to-head history, and market odds — no case is filed on a single signal alone.
  • Confidence and edge figures are generated by a documented formula (see methodology above), never assigned arbitrarily.
  • Case files are reviewed by a named analyst before publication and re-checked closer to kickoff for team news or lineup changes.
  • Settled cases are logged publicly with WON / LOST / VOID status — nothing is quietly deleted or hidden after the fact.
  • Corrections to a published case (updated odds, lineup news, postponements) are recorded in the update log below with a timestamp.
📜
Match Archives
History
Head to Head
31.05.26ALL
Kristianstad W0
Hacken3
06.09.25ALL
Hacken W1
Kristianstad1
02.08.25CF
Hacken W6
Kristianstad2
29.03.25ALL
Kristianstad W2
Hacken0
30.06.24ALL
Hacken W0
Kristianstad0
09.06.24ALL
Kristianstad W2
Hacken2
24.03.24CUP
Hacken W7
Kristianstad2
19.06.23ALL
Kristianstad W0
Hacken0
02.06.23ALL
Hacken W1
Kristianstad0
18.03.23CUP
Hacken W2
Kristianstad1
Recent Form
Hacken W
29.10.26CL
Paris FC W1
Hacken W1
D
23.10.26ALL
Vaxjo DFF W1
Hacken W2
W
18.10.26ALL
Hacken W3
Hammarby W0
W
04.10.26ALL
Hacken W9
Uppsala W0
W
30.09.26CL
Hacken W0
Juventus W3
L
26.09.26ALL
Norrkoping W0
Hacken W6
W
22.09.26CL
Inter W1
Hacken W0
L
19.09.26ALL
Eskilstuna Utd W0
Hacken W3
W
13.09.26ALL
Hacken W4
Vittsjo W0
W
09.09.26CUP
Goteborg W0
Hacken W2
W
Kristianstad W
24.10.26ALL
Kristianstad W1
Malmo FF W2
L
17.10.26ALL
Uppsala W0
Kristianstad W5
W
03.10.26ALL
Vaxjo DFF W0
Kristianstad W2
W
26.09.26ALL
Kristianstad W1
Vittsjo W3
L
23.09.26CUP
Varnamo W0
Kristianstad W8
W
20.09.26ALL
Kristianstad W2
Pitea W2
D
13.09.26ALL
Djurgarden W0
Kristianstad W2
W
05.09.26ALL
Kristianstad W0
IF Brommapojkarna W2
L
29.08.26ALL
AIK W0
Kristianstad W1
W
22.08.26ALL
Kristianstad W1
Rosengard W1
D
Hacken W (Home)
18.10.26ALL
Hacken W3
Hammarby W0
W
04.10.26ALL
Hacken W9
Uppsala W0
W
30.09.26CL
Hacken W0
Juventus W3
L
13.09.26ALL
Hacken W4
Vittsjo W0
W
06.09.26ALL
Hacken W1
Malmo FF W1
D
23.08.26ALL
Hacken W4
AIK W1
W
02.08.26ALL
Hacken W6
Eskilstuna Utd W0
W
27.07.26CF
Hacken W2
Valerenga W0
W
18.06.26ALL
Hacken W2
Rosengard W0
W
24.05.26ALL
Hacken W2
Norrkoping W0
W
Kristianstad W (Away)
17.10.26ALL
Uppsala W0
Kristianstad W5
W
03.10.26ALL
Vaxjo DFF W0
Kristianstad W2
W
23.09.26CUP
Varnamo W0
Kristianstad W8
W
13.09.26ALL
Djurgarden W0
Kristianstad W2
W
29.08.26ALL
AIK W0
Kristianstad W1
W
16.08.26ALL
Norrkoping W0
Kristianstad W5
W
08.08.26ALL
Eskilstuna Utd W1
Kristianstad W0
L
25.07.26CF
Vaxjo DFF W0
Kristianstad W4
W
18.07.26CF
Goteborg W1
Kristianstad W6
W
27.06.26ALL
Malmo FF W6
Kristianstad W0
L
📝
Match Analysis
Case Notes

On Monday, 2nd November 2026, Hacken W host Kristianstad W at Nordic Wellness Arena (Göteborg) in Sweden Allsvenskan Women. Our analysis desk recommends Hacken W to win as the standout selection.

Hacken W arrive in strong form, having recorded 7 wins, 1 draws and 2 defeats from their last 10 outings.

Kristianstad W are inconsistent on the road, with a record of 5W 2D 3L across 10 matches.

Historical meetings favour Hacken W, who lead the head-to-head with 5 wins to Kristianstad W's 1, with 4 draws from 10 encounters. Both teams have scored in 50% of those meetings.

Our verdict: hacken w to win at odds of 1.26 represents the most compelling value in this fixture.


Before any bet goes on, one question is worth asking: what exactly is this price paying me for? A bookmaker’s odds are sharp but not flawless. They blend a model, the public’s money, and a margin — and somewhere in that blend, gaps open up. This Sweden Allsvenskan Women fixture is a hunt for one of those gaps.

The hosts come in on 3 wins, 1 draw, 1 loss from their last 5 games, which is the anchor the market has wrapped its line around. We push past the anchor. Is this a home side currently converting their dominance into goals, grinding out narrow wins, or leaking results they ought to be banking? Each pattern carries a wildly different implication for what is likely at Nordic Wellness Arena (Göteborg), and only the recent run tells you which one applies.

The visitors answer with 3 wins, 2 losses from their last 5 games. The away record is the part casual bettors underweight most. A team quietly accumulating points on the road over recent weeks is a genuinely different animal from one whose seasonal away tally was banked early and has since dried up. We treat the recent away form as the live signal it is.

Weigh the two and the value crystallises. Our read is 1 at @1.26, a call the model rates at roughly close to 47. Things get underway at 6:00 pm.

That is the play, and the thinking that produced it. We have broken down a full card of fixtures today — worth a browse before you settle on your final selections, because the smart slips are usually built from more than one good read.

Source: Recent fixture results Source: Head-to-head archive Source: Public market odds Model: Poisson score distribution
DD
DailyForebet Verification Desk
Senior Fixture Analyst
Cross-checks every fixture against form, head-to-head and market data before a case file is closed for publication.
Reviewed on 2 Nov 2026
❓
Quick Answers
FAQ
What is the recommended bet for Hacken W vs Kristianstad W?
Our selection is 1 — Hacken W to win, priced at approximately 1.26. Tip confidence rating: 55%.
What is Hacken W's current form?
Hacken W have won 7, drawn 1 and lost 2 of their last 10 matches.
How has Kristianstad W been performing recently?
Kristianstad W have recorded 5 wins, 2 draws and 3 defeats from 10 recent games.
What does the head-to-head record show?
Hacken W lead with 5 wins versus Kristianstad W's 1, with 4 draws across 10 meetings.
How many goals are expected in this match?
Recent fixtures involving these sides average 3.5 goals per game. The head-to-head BTTS rate stands at 50%.
⚠️
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