Fixture Case File · Ref V ⚽
T

Teuta

Home Side
L D W W W
7W 2D 1L ▼ Trending Down
VS
—
6:30 pm
—
Stadiumi Niko Dovana (Durrës)
P
Partizani
Away Side
L L L L W
2W 1D 7L → Holding Steady
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MODERATE
48%
Monday, 2nd November 2026 Case Verdict
1
Filing on Teuta to win
Implied Prob78.1%Bookmaker's implied odds
Case Edge-30.1%Overpriced
Kelly %0%Suggested bankroll %
Fixture Ledger Code
V<DFBT<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<P<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<01045CE464DFB2611022M2611029<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<
DD
Case reviewed & signed off by DailyForebet Verification Desk
Senior Fixture Analyst · Last checked 2 Nov 2026
✓ Data-Audited ✓ Independently Checked
⚡
Supporting Markets
Extras
Primary Filing
1 — Teuta to win
1.28
Over 1.5 Goals80% Teuta Clean Sheet70%
📋 Case Slip / Combo Builder
Teuta vs Partizani Competition: Albania Abissnet Superiore Date: Monday, 2nd November 2026 KO: 6:30 pm Pick: 1 (Teuta to win) Odds: 1.28 Confidence: 48% Also: Over 1.5 Goals (80%) Also: Teuta Clean Sheet (70%) Ledger Ref: 01045CE46
⚔
Head to Head
Record
1
Teuta
5
Draws
4
Partizani
10
Meetings
1.9
Avg Goals
40%
BTTS
30%
Over 2.5
Against Filing Teuta won 1 of the last 10 meetings (5 draws).
📊
Stats Duel
Comparison
Teuta
Metric
Partizani
1.9
Goals For / Game
1.2
0.3
Goals Against / Game
2.2
70%
Clean Sheets
10%
7-2-1
W — D — L
2-1-7
Win Rate
70%
20%
2.8
Avg Goals
80%
Over 1.5
55%
Over 2.5
50%
BTTS Rate
🎯
Score Probability Matrix
Poisson Model
P0
P1
P2
P3
P4
P5
T0
0-0 6.1%
0-1 4.6%
0-2 1.7%
0-3 0.4%
0-4 0.1%
0-5 0.0%
T1
1-0 12.5%
1-1 9.4%
1-2 3.5%
1-3 0.9%
1-4 0.2%
1-5 0.0%
T2
2-0 12.8%
2-1 9.6%
2-2 3.6%
2-3 0.9%
2-4 0.2%
2-5 0.0%
T3
3-0 8.7%
3-1 6.6%
3-2 2.5%
3-3 0.6%
3-4 0.1%
3-5 0.0%
T4
4-0 4.5%
4-1 3.4%
4-2 1.3%
4-3 0.3%
4-4 0.1%
4-5 0.0%
T5
5-0 1.8%
5-1 1.4%
5-2 0.5%
5-3 0.1%
5-4 0.0%
5-5 0.0%
Top Scores 2-0(12.8%) 1-0(12.5%) 2-1(9.6%)
■ Best match ■ Possible ■ Low · ■ Contradicts filing T=Home goals ↓   P=Away →
📈
Team Ratings
Grades
Teuta
Overall
7.6 ▲
Scoring
6.3 ▲
Defence
9.0 ▲
Partizani
Overall
2.3 —
Scoring
4.0 —
Defence
2.7 —
🔀
Combination Markets
Smart Picks
Result & BTTS
Home Win & BTTS Yes 34%
Home Win & BTTS No 34%
Draw & BTTS Yes 7%
Draw & BTTS No 7%
Away Win & BTTS Yes 10%
Away Win & BTTS No 10%
Result & Goals
Home Win & Over 2.5 37%
Home Win & Under 2.5 30%
Draw & Over 2.5 8%
Draw & Under 2.5 6%
Away Win & Over 2.5 10%
Away Win & Under 2.5 9%
🧮
Stake Calculator
Bankroll Tool
—
Kelly %
—
Stake
—
Potential Profit
Uses the Kelly Criterion at your selected fraction. Half Kelly (0.5) is recommended for reduced variance. Not financial advice.
🔎 How we calculate confidence, edge & Kelly %

Our confidence score blends three inputs: the market-implied signal from public odds, the head-to-head record between these two sides, and each team's recent form (weighted by sample size). No single input can move the score more than 18 points from the market signal, which keeps the model grounded.

  • Case Edge compares our confidence against the bookmaker's implied probability from the odds you enter — a positive number suggests the price may be generous relative to our model.
  • Kelly % is a standard bankroll-management formula, not a guarantee — it sizes a stake relative to perceived edge and odds.
  • Score matrix uses a Poisson distribution built from each side's recent scoring and conceding rates.

All models are statistical estimates, not certainties. Treat every figure on this page as one input into your own decision, not as a promise of an outcome.

📐 Editorial Standards for This Case File
  • Every fixture is cross-checked against at least three data points: recent form, head-to-head history, and market odds — no case is filed on a single signal alone.
  • Confidence and edge figures are generated by a documented formula (see methodology above), never assigned arbitrarily.
  • Case files are reviewed by a named analyst before publication and re-checked closer to kickoff for team news or lineup changes.
  • Settled cases are logged publicly with WON / LOST / VOID status — nothing is quietly deleted or hidden after the fact.
  • Corrections to a published case (updated odds, lineup news, postponements) are recorded in the update log below with a timestamp.
📜
Match Archives
History
Head to Head
22.08.26SL
Partizani0
Teuta0
21.03.26SL
Teuta2
Partizani2
19.01.26SL
Partizani2
Teuta1
09.11.25SL
Teuta2
Partizani3
30.08.25SL
Partizani0
Teuta0
16.03.25SL
Partizani0
Teuta0
19.01.25SL
Teuta0
Partizani2
04.11.24SL
Partizani1
Teuta1
31.08.24SL
Teuta0
Partizani2
16.03.24SL
Teuta1
Partizani0
Recent Form
Teuta
29.10.26SL
Egnatia1
Teuta0
L
24.10.26SL
Teuta0
AF Elbasani0
D
16.10.26SL
Dinamo City0
Teuta2
W
10.10.26SL
Teuta2
Skenderbeu0
W
02.10.26CF
Teuta5
Kukesi0
W
18.09.26SL
Vllaznia0
Teuta2
W
12.09.26SL
Teuta2
Vora0
W
05.09.26SL
Laci1
Teuta3
W
30.08.26SL
Teuta3
KF Tirana1
W
22.08.26SL
Partizani0
Teuta0
D
Partizani
28.10.26SL
AF Elbasani2
Partizani1
L
24.10.26SL
Partizani0
Skenderbeu2
L
18.10.26SL
Vora4
Partizani1
L
11.10.26SL
Partizani1
KF Tirana3
L
02.10.26CF
Partizani2
Drenica1
W
20.09.26SL
Egnatia2
Partizani1
L
12.09.26SL
Partizani2
Dinamo City4
L
05.09.26SL
Vllaznia2
Partizani3
W
29.08.26SL
Partizani1
Laci2
L
22.08.26SL
Partizani0
Teuta0
D
📝
Match Analysis
Case Notes

On Monday, 2nd November 2026, Teuta host Partizani at Stadiumi Niko Dovana (Durrës) in Albania Abissnet Superiore. Our analysis desk recommends Teuta to win as the standout selection.

Teuta arrive in strong form, having recorded 7 wins, 2 draws and 1 defeats from their last 10 outings.

Partizani are struggling away from home, with a record of 2W 1D 7L across 10 matches.

Historical meetings favour Teuta, who lead the head-to-head with 1 wins to Partizani's 4, with 5 draws from 10 encounters. Both teams have scored in 40% of those meetings.

Our verdict: teuta to win at odds of 1.28 represents the most compelling value in this fixture.


Before any bet goes on, one question is worth asking: what exactly is this price paying me for? A bookmaker’s odds are sharp but not flawless. They blend a model, the public’s money, and a margin — and somewhere in that blend, gaps open up. This Albania Abissnet Superiore fixture is a hunt for one of those gaps.

The hosts come in on 3 wins, 1 draw, 1 loss from their last 5 games, which is the anchor the market has wrapped its line around. We push past the anchor. Is this a home side currently converting their dominance into goals, grinding out narrow wins, or leaking results they ought to be banking? Each pattern carries a wildly different implication for what is likely at Stadiumi Niko Dovana (Durrës), and only the recent run tells you which one applies.

The visitors answer with 1 win, 4 losses from their last 5 games. The away record is the part casual bettors underweight most. A team quietly accumulating points on the road over recent weeks is a genuinely different animal from one whose seasonal away tally was banked early and has since dried up. We treat the recent away form as the live signal it is.

Weigh the two and the value crystallises. Our read is 1 at @1.28, a call the model rates at roughly roughly 55. Things get underway at 6:30 pm.

That is the play, and the thinking that produced it. We have broken down a full card of fixtures today — worth a browse before you settle on your final selections, because the smart slips are usually built from more than one good read.

Source: Recent fixture results Source: Head-to-head archive Source: Public market odds Model: Poisson score distribution
DD
DailyForebet Verification Desk
Senior Fixture Analyst
Cross-checks every fixture against form, head-to-head and market data before a case file is closed for publication.
Reviewed on 2 Nov 2026
❓
Quick Answers
FAQ
What is the recommended bet for Teuta vs Partizani?
Our selection is 1 — Teuta to win, priced at approximately 1.28. Tip confidence rating: 48%.
What is Teuta's current form?
Teuta have won 7, drawn 2 and lost 1 of their last 10 matches.
How has Partizani been performing recently?
Partizani have recorded 2 wins, 1 draws and 7 defeats from 10 recent games.
What does the head-to-head record show?
Teuta lead with 1 wins versus Partizani's 4, with 5 draws across 10 meetings.
How many goals are expected in this match?
Recent fixtures involving these sides average 2.8 goals per game. The head-to-head BTTS rate stands at 40%.
⚠️
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