Fixture Case File · Ref V ⚽
C

CR Belouizdad

Home Side
D W W W W
6W 4D 0L ▲ Trending Up
VS
—
8:00 pm
—
N/A
S
Saoura
Away Side
D L L D D
1W 5D 4L ▲ Trending Up
⚑
MODERATE
60%
Monday, 2nd November 2026 Case Verdict
1
Filing on CR Belouizdad to win
Implied Prob72.5%Bookmaker's implied odds
Case Edge-12.5%Overpriced
Kelly %0%Suggested bankroll %
Fixture Ledger Code
V<DFBCR<B<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<S<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<98D63438F4DFB2611022M2611029<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<
DD
Case reviewed & signed off by DailyForebet Verification Desk
Senior Fixture Analyst · Last checked 2 Nov 2026
✓ Data-Audited ✓ Independently Checked
⚔
Head to Head
Record
8
CR Belouizdad
1
Draws
1
Saoura
10
Meetings
2.2
Avg Goals
40%
BTTS
50%
Over 2.5
Supports Filing CR Belouizdad won 8 of the last 10 meetings (1 draws).
📊
Stats Duel
Comparison
CR Belouizdad
Metric
Saoura
1.8
Goals For / Game
0.5
1
Goals Against / Game
1.2
40%
Clean Sheets
40%
6-4-0
W — D — L
1-5-4
Win Rate
60%
10%
2.3
Avg Goals
50%
Over 1.5
40%
Over 2.5
45%
BTTS Rate
🎯
Score Probability Matrix
Poisson Model
S0
S1
S2
S3
S4
S5
C0
0-0 10.5%
0-1 7.9%
0-2 3.0%
0-3 0.7%
0-4 0.1%
0-5 0.0%
C1
1-0 15.8%
1-1 11.9%
1-2 4.5%
1-3 1.1%
1-4 0.2%
1-5 0.0%
C2
2-0 11.9%
2-1 8.9%
2-2 3.3%
2-3 0.8%
2-4 0.2%
2-5 0.0%
C3
3-0 5.9%
3-1 4.5%
3-2 1.7%
3-3 0.4%
3-4 0.1%
3-5 0.0%
C4
4-0 2.2%
4-1 1.7%
4-2 0.6%
4-3 0.2%
4-4 0.0%
4-5 0.0%
C5
5-0 0.7%
5-1 0.5%
5-2 0.2%
5-3 0.1%
5-4 0.0%
5-5 0.0%
Top Scores 1-0(15.8%) 2-0(11.9%) 2-1(8.9%)
■ Best match ■ Possible ■ Low · ■ Contradicts filing C=Home goals ↓   S=Away →
📈
Team Ratings
Grades
CR Belouizdad
Overall
7.2 ▼
Scoring
6.0 ▼
Defence
6.7 ▼
Saoura
Overall
2.5 ▲
Scoring
1.7 ▲
Defence
6.0 ▲
🔀
Combination Markets
Smart Picks
Result & BTTS
Home Win & BTTS Yes 23%
Home Win & BTTS No 29%
Draw & BTTS Yes 18%
Draw & BTTS No 21%
Away Win & BTTS Yes 4%
Away Win & BTTS No 5%
Result & Goals
Home Win & Over 2.5 21%
Home Win & Under 2.5 31%
Draw & Over 2.5 16%
Draw & Under 2.5 23%
Away Win & Over 2.5 4%
Away Win & Under 2.5 5%
🧮
Stake Calculator
Bankroll Tool
—
Kelly %
—
Stake
—
Potential Profit
Uses the Kelly Criterion at your selected fraction. Half Kelly (0.5) is recommended for reduced variance. Not financial advice.
🔎 How we calculate confidence, edge & Kelly %

Our confidence score blends three inputs: the market-implied signal from public odds, the head-to-head record between these two sides, and each team's recent form (weighted by sample size). No single input can move the score more than 18 points from the market signal, which keeps the model grounded.

  • Case Edge compares our confidence against the bookmaker's implied probability from the odds you enter — a positive number suggests the price may be generous relative to our model.
  • Kelly % is a standard bankroll-management formula, not a guarantee — it sizes a stake relative to perceived edge and odds.
  • Score matrix uses a Poisson distribution built from each side's recent scoring and conceding rates.

All models are statistical estimates, not certainties. Treat every figure on this page as one input into your own decision, not as a promise of an outcome.

📐 Editorial Standards for This Case File
  • Every fixture is cross-checked against at least three data points: recent form, head-to-head history, and market odds — no case is filed on a single signal alone.
  • Confidence and edge figures are generated by a documented formula (see methodology above), never assigned arbitrarily.
  • Case files are reviewed by a named analyst before publication and re-checked closer to kickoff for team news or lineup changes.
  • Settled cases are logged publicly with WON / LOST / VOID status — nothing is quietly deleted or hidden after the fact.
  • Corrections to a published case (updated odds, lineup news, postponements) are recorded in the update log below with a timestamp.
📜
Match Archives
History
Head to Head
12.05.26DIV
Saoura0
CR Belouizdad0
13.09.25DIV
CR Belouizdad1
Saoura2
10.04.25DIV
Saoura1
CR Belouizdad3
17.12.24DIV
CR Belouizdad3
Saoura0
14.06.24DIV
Saoura1
CR Belouizdad2
27.01.24DIV
CR Belouizdad3
Saoura1
05.04.23DIV
CR Belouizdad2
Saoura0
02.10.22DIV
Saoura0
CR Belouizdad1
12.04.22DIV
Saoura0
CR Belouizdad1
18.12.21DIV
CR Belouizdad1
Saoura0
Recent Form
CR Belouizdad
24.10.26DIV
USM Alger2
CR Belouizdad2
D
12.10.26DIV
El Biar2
CR Belouizdad3
W
07.10.26DIV
CR Belouizdad1
Khenchela0
W
17.09.26DIV
Biskra0
CR Belouizdad1
W
11.09.26DIV
CR Belouizdad1
ES Setif0
W
05.09.26DIV
ASO Chlef3
CR Belouizdad3
D
05.06.26DIV
Kabylie0
CR Belouizdad0
D
02.06.26DIV
USM Alger1
CR Belouizdad1
D
24.05.26DIV
CR Belouizdad3
Ben Aknoun1
W
20.05.26DIV
CR Belouizdad3
Oran1
W
Saoura
24.10.26DIV
Saoura0
Ben Aknoun0
D
18.10.26DIV
Rouisset1
Saoura0
L
13.10.26DIV
USM Alger1
Saoura0
L
08.10.26DIV
Saoura0
Olympique Akbou0
D
22.09.26DIV
Biskra0
Saoura0
D
18.09.26DIV
El Biar4
Saoura0
L
13.09.26CL
Horoya3
Saoura1
L
04.09.26CL
Saoura1
Horoya0
W
11.08.26CF
Ben Aknoun2
Saoura2
D
06.08.26CF
Harrach1
Saoura1
D
📝
Match Analysis
Case Notes

On Monday, 2nd November 2026, CR Belouizdad host Saoura at N/A in Algeria Ligue 1. Our analysis desk recommends CR Belouizdad to win as the standout selection.

CR Belouizdad arrive showing mixed form, having recorded 6 wins, 4 draws and 0 defeats from their last 10 outings.

Saoura are struggling away from home, with a record of 1W 5D 4L across 10 matches.

Historical meetings favour CR Belouizdad, who lead the head-to-head with 8 wins to Saoura's 1, with 1 draws from 10 encounters. Both teams have scored in 40% of those meetings.

Our verdict: cr belouizdad to win at odds of 1.38 represents the most compelling value in this fixture.


Before any bet goes on, one question is worth asking: what exactly is this price paying me for? A bookmaker’s odds are sharp but not flawless. They blend a model, the public’s money, and a margin — and somewhere in that blend, gaps open up. This Algeria Ligue 1 fixture is a hunt for one of those gaps.

The hosts come in on 4 wins, 1 draw from their last 5 games, which is the anchor the market has wrapped its line around. We push past the anchor. Is this a home side currently converting their dominance into goals, grinding out narrow wins, or leaking results they ought to be banking? Each pattern carries a wildly different implication for what is likely at N/A, and only the recent run tells you which one applies.

The visitors answer with 3 draws, 2 losses from their last 5 games. The away record is the part casual bettors underweight most. A team quietly accumulating points on the road over recent weeks is a genuinely different animal from one whose seasonal away tally was banked early and has since dried up. We treat the recent away form as the live signal it is.

Weigh the two and the value crystallises. Our read is 1 at @1.38, a call the model rates at roughly 47%. Things get underway at 8:00 pm.

That is the play, and the thinking that produced it. We have broken down a full card of fixtures today — worth a browse before you settle on your final selections, because the smart slips are usually built from more than one good read.

Source: Recent fixture results Source: Head-to-head archive Source: Public market odds Model: Poisson score distribution
DD
DailyForebet Verification Desk
Senior Fixture Analyst
Cross-checks every fixture against form, head-to-head and market data before a case file is closed for publication.
Reviewed on 2 Nov 2026
❓
Quick Answers
FAQ
What is the recommended bet for CR Belouizdad vs Saoura?
Our selection is 1 — CR Belouizdad to win, priced at approximately 1.38. Tip confidence rating: 60%.
What is CR Belouizdad's current form?
CR Belouizdad have won 6, drawn 4 and lost 0 of their last 10 matches.
How has Saoura been performing recently?
Saoura have recorded 1 wins, 5 draws and 4 defeats from 10 recent games.
What does the head-to-head record show?
CR Belouizdad lead with 8 wins versus Saoura's 1, with 1 draws across 10 meetings.
How many goals are expected in this match?
Recent fixtures involving these sides average 2.3 goals per game. The head-to-head BTTS rate stands at 40%.
⚠️
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