Fixture Case File · Ref V ⚽
H

Hapoel Ramat Gan

Home Side
L W L L W
2W 1D 7L ▼ Trending Down
VS
—
7:00 pm
—
Ramat Gan Stadium (Ramat Gan)
M
Maccabi Tel Aviv
Away Side
L W D D W
5W 3D 2L ▼ Trending Down
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CASE VERIFIED
77%
Monday, 2nd November 2026 Case Verdict
2
Filing on Maccabi Tel Aviv to win
Implied Prob77.5%Bookmaker's implied odds
Case Edge-0.5%Overpriced
Kelly %0%Suggested bankroll %
Fixture Ledger Code
V<DFBH<<<<<<R<<<<<G<<<<<<<<M<<<<<<<T<<<A<<<<2057795AF4DFB2611022M2611029<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<
DD
Case reviewed & signed off by DailyForebet Verification Desk
Senior Fixture Analyst · Last checked 2 Nov 2026
✓ Data-Audited ✓ Independently Checked
⚡
Supporting Markets
Extras
Primary Filing
2 — Maccabi Tel Aviv to win
1.29
Over 2.5 Goals70% Over 1.5 Goals85%
📋 Case Slip / Combo Builder
Hapoel Ramat Gan vs Maccabi Tel Aviv Competition: Israel Leumit League Date: Monday, 2nd November 2026 KO: 7:00 pm Pick: 2 (Maccabi Tel Aviv to win) Odds: 1.29 Confidence: 77% Also: Over 2.5 Goals (70%) Also: Over 1.5 Goals (85%) Ledger Ref: 2057795AF
⚔
Head to Head
Record
0
Hapoel Ramat Gan
0
Draws
8
Maccabi Tel Aviv
8
Meetings
2.8
Avg Goals
38%
BTTS
50%
Over 2.5
Supports Filing Maccabi Tel Aviv won 8 of 8 meetings.
📊
Stats Duel
Comparison
Hapoel Ramat Gan
Metric
Maccabi Tel Aviv
1.1
Goals For / Game
2.3
2
Goals Against / Game
1.6
20%
Clean Sheets
20%
2-1-7
W — D — L
5-3-2
Win Rate
20%
50%
3.5
Avg Goals
85%
Over 1.5
70%
Over 2.5
65%
BTTS Rate
🎯
Score Probability Matrix
Poisson Model
M0
M1
M2
M3
M4
M5
H0
0-0 3.0%
0-1 6.5%
0-2 7.0%
0-3 5.0%
0-4 2.7%
0-5 1.2%
H1
1-0 4.1%
1-1 8.8%
1-2 9.4%
1-3 6.8%
1-4 3.6%
1-5 1.6%
H2
2-0 2.8%
2-1 5.9%
2-2 6.4%
2-3 4.6%
2-4 2.5%
2-5 1.1%
H3
3-0 1.2%
3-1 2.7%
3-2 2.9%
3-3 2.1%
3-4 1.1%
3-5 0.5%
H4
4-0 0.4%
4-1 0.9%
4-2 1.0%
4-3 0.7%
4-4 0.4%
4-5 0.2%
H5
5-0 0.1%
5-1 0.2%
5-2 0.3%
5-3 0.2%
5-4 0.1%
5-5 0.0%
Top Scores 1-2(9.4%) 0-2(7.0%) 1-3(6.8%)
■ Best match ■ Possible ■ Low · ■ Contradicts filing H=Home goals ↓   M=Away →
📈
Team Ratings
Grades
Hapoel Ramat Gan
Overall
2.3 ▼
Scoring
3.7 ▼
Defence
3.3 ▼
Maccabi Tel Aviv
Overall
5.9 ▲
Scoring
7.7 ▲
Defence
4.7 ▲
🔀
Combination Markets
Smart Picks
Result & BTTS
Home Win & BTTS Yes 14%
Home Win & BTTS No 8%
Draw & BTTS Yes 14%
Draw & BTTS No 8%
Away Win & BTTS Yes 36%
Away Win & BTTS No 20%
Result & Goals
Home Win & Over 2.5 15%
Home Win & Under 2.5 7%
Draw & Over 2.5 15%
Draw & Under 2.5 7%
Away Win & Over 2.5 39%
Away Win & Under 2.5 17%
🧮
Stake Calculator
Bankroll Tool
—
Kelly %
—
Stake
—
Potential Profit
Uses the Kelly Criterion at your selected fraction. Half Kelly (0.5) is recommended for reduced variance. Not financial advice.
🔎 How we calculate confidence, edge & Kelly %

Our confidence score blends three inputs: the market-implied signal from public odds, the head-to-head record between these two sides, and each team's recent form (weighted by sample size). No single input can move the score more than 18 points from the market signal, which keeps the model grounded.

  • Case Edge compares our confidence against the bookmaker's implied probability from the odds you enter — a positive number suggests the price may be generous relative to our model.
  • Kelly % is a standard bankroll-management formula, not a guarantee — it sizes a stake relative to perceived edge and odds.
  • Score matrix uses a Poisson distribution built from each side's recent scoring and conceding rates.

All models are statistical estimates, not certainties. Treat every figure on this page as one input into your own decision, not as a promise of an outcome.

📐 Editorial Standards for This Case File
  • Every fixture is cross-checked against at least three data points: recent form, head-to-head history, and market odds — no case is filed on a single signal alone.
  • Confidence and edge figures are generated by a documented formula (see methodology above), never assigned arbitrarily.
  • Case files are reviewed by a named analyst before publication and re-checked closer to kickoff for team news or lineup changes.
  • Settled cases are logged publicly with WON / LOST / VOID status — nothing is quietly deleted or hidden after the fact.
  • Corrections to a published case (updated odds, lineup news, postponements) are recorded in the update log below with a timestamp.
📜
Match Archives
History
Head to Head
02.02.13LH
Hap. Ramat Gan0
Maccabi Tel Aviv1
03.11.12LH
Maccabi Tel Aviv3
Hap. Ramat Gan1
12.02.11LH
Hap. Ramat Gan0
Maccabi Tel Aviv3
23.10.10LH
Maccabi Tel Aviv2
Hap. Ramat Gan0
13.02.10LH
Hap. Ramat Gan1
Maccabi Tel Aviv4
24.10.09LH
Maccabi Tel Aviv3
Hap. Ramat Gan1
22.09.09TOT
Maccabi Tel Aviv2
Hap. Ramat Gan0
15.08.09TOT
Hap. Ramat Gan0
Maccabi Tel Aviv1
Recent Form
Hapoel Ramat Gan
24.10.26LH
Hap. Ramat Gan1
Maccabi Petah Tikva2
L
17.10.26LH
Hapoel Haifa0
Hap. Ramat Gan2
W
11.10.26LH
Hap. Ramat Gan0
Beitar Jerusalem4
L
19.09.26LH
Sakhnin1
Hap. Ramat Gan0
L
14.09.26LH
Hap. Ramat Gan2
Netanya0
W
07.09.26LH
Hapoel Tel Aviv4
Hap. Ramat Gan0
L
29.08.26LH
Hap. Ramat Gan1
H. Beer Sheva2
L
22.08.26LH
Maccabi Haifa2
Hap. Ramat Gan1
L
17.08.26TOT
Hap. Ramat Gan3
Beitar Jerusalem (4-5)3
09.08.26TOT
Maccabi Petah Tikva2
Hap. Ramat Gan1
L
Maccabi Tel Aviv
29.10.26TOT
Maccabi Tel Aviv2
Hapoel Tel Aviv3
L
24.10.26LH
Maccabi Tel Aviv6
Hapoel Haifa2
W
19.10.26LH
Beitar Jerusalem0
Maccabi Tel Aviv0
D
10.10.26LH
Maccabi Tel Aviv0
Sakhnin0
D
19.09.26LH
Netanya1
Maccabi Tel Aviv2
W
14.09.26LH
Maccabi Tel Aviv4
Hapoel Tel Aviv1
W
07.09.26LH
H. Beer Sheva1
Maccabi Tel Aviv4
W
31.08.26LH
Maccabi Tel Aviv3
Maccabi Haifa1
W
27.08.26UECL
Maccabi Tel Aviv1
Lugano1
D
23.08.26LH
Hapoel Jerusalem2
Maccabi Tel Aviv5
W
📝
Match Analysis
Case Notes

On Monday, 2nd November 2026, Hapoel Ramat Gan host Maccabi Tel Aviv at Ramat Gan Stadium (Ramat Gan) in Israel Leumit League. Our analysis desk recommends Maccabi Tel Aviv to win as the standout selection.

Hapoel Ramat Gan arrive going through a difficult run, having recorded 2 wins, 1 draws and 7 defeats from their last 10 outings.

Maccabi Tel Aviv are inconsistent on the road, with a record of 5W 3D 2L across 10 matches.

Historical meetings favour Hapoel Ramat Gan, who lead the head-to-head with 0 wins to Maccabi Tel Aviv's 8, with 0 draws from 8 encounters. Both teams have scored in 38% of those meetings.

Our verdict: maccabi tel aviv to win at odds of 1.29 represents the most compelling value in this fixture.


Before any bet goes on, one question is worth asking: what exactly is this price paying me for? A bookmaker’s odds are sharp but not flawless. They blend a model, the public’s money, and a margin — and somewhere in that blend, gaps open up. This Israel Leumit League fixture is a hunt for one of those gaps.

The hosts come in on 2 wins, 3 losses from their last 5 games, which is the anchor the market has wrapped its line around. We push past the anchor. Is this a home side currently converting their dominance into goals, grinding out narrow wins, or leaking results they ought to be banking? Each pattern carries a wildly different implication for what is likely at Ramat Gan Stadium (Ramat Gan), and only the recent run tells you which one applies.

The visitors answer with 2 wins, 2 draws, 1 loss from their last 5 games. The away record is the part casual bettors underweight most. A team quietly accumulating points on the road over recent weeks is a genuinely different animal from one whose seasonal away tally was banked early and has since dried up. We treat the recent away form as the live signal it is.

Weigh the two and the value crystallises. Our read is 2 at @1.29, a call the model rates at roughly 17%. Things get underway at 7:00 pm.

That is the play, and the thinking that produced it. We have broken down a full card of fixtures today — worth a browse before you settle on your final selections, because the smart slips are usually built from more than one good read.

Source: Recent fixture results Source: Head-to-head archive Source: Public market odds Model: Poisson score distribution
DD
DailyForebet Verification Desk
Senior Fixture Analyst
Cross-checks every fixture against form, head-to-head and market data before a case file is closed for publication.
Reviewed on 2 Nov 2026
❓
Quick Answers
FAQ
What is the recommended bet for Hapoel Ramat Gan vs Maccabi Tel Aviv?
Our selection is 2 — Maccabi Tel Aviv to win, priced at approximately 1.29. Tip confidence rating: 77%.
What is Hapoel Ramat Gan's current form?
Hapoel Ramat Gan have won 2, drawn 1 and lost 7 of their last 10 matches.
How has Maccabi Tel Aviv been performing recently?
Maccabi Tel Aviv have recorded 5 wins, 3 draws and 2 defeats from 10 recent games.
What does the head-to-head record show?
Hapoel Ramat Gan lead with 0 wins versus Maccabi Tel Aviv's 8, with 0 draws across 8 meetings.
How many goals are expected in this match?
Recent fixtures involving these sides average 3.5 goals per game. The head-to-head BTTS rate stands at 38%.
⚠️
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