Fixture Case File · Ref V ⚽
A

Al Ahly

Home Side
W W D W W
8W 2D 0L ▼ Trending Down
VS
—
7:00 pm
—
N/A
A
Arab Contractors
Away Side
L W D W W
5W 2D 3L ▼ Trending Down
⚑
MODERATE
60%
Monday, 2nd November 2026 Case Verdict
1
Filing on Al Ahly to win
Implied Prob75.8%Bookmaker's implied odds
Case Edge-15.8%Overpriced
Kelly %0%Suggested bankroll %
Fixture Ledger Code
V<DFBA<<A<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<A<<<<C<<<<<<<<<<<5D7E409764DFB2611022M2611029<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<
DD
Case reviewed & signed off by DailyForebet Verification Desk
Senior Fixture Analyst · Last checked 2 Nov 2026
✓ Data-Audited ✓ Independently Checked
⚡
Supporting Markets
Extras
Primary Filing
1 — Al Ahly to win
1.32
Over 1.5 Goals80% Al Ahly Clean Sheet70%
📋 Case Slip / Combo Builder
Al Ahly vs Arab Contractors Competition: Egypt League Cup Date: Monday, 2nd November 2026 KO: 7:00 pm Pick: 1 (Al Ahly to win) Odds: 1.32 Confidence: 60% Also: Over 1.5 Goals (80%) Also: Al Ahly Clean Sheet (70%) Ledger Ref: 5D7E40976
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Head to Head
Record
5
Al Ahly
4
Draws
1
Arab Contractors
10
Meetings
2.8
Avg Goals
70%
BTTS
60%
Over 2.5
Neutral Al Ahly won 5 of the last 10 meetings (4 draws).
📊
Stats Duel
Comparison
Al Ahly
Metric
Arab Contractors
2.3
Goals For / Game
1.6
0.5
Goals Against / Game
0.9
70%
Clean Sheets
40%
8-2-0
W — D — L
5-2-3
Win Rate
80%
50%
2.7
Avg Goals
80%
Over 1.5
40%
Over 2.5
40%
BTTS Rate
🎯
Score Probability Matrix
Poisson Model
A0
A1
A2
A3
A4
A5
A0
0-0 7.1%
0-1 7.4%
0-2 3.9%
0-3 1.4%
0-4 0.4%
0-5 0.1%
A1
1-0 11.3%
1-1 11.9%
1-2 6.2%
1-3 2.2%
1-4 0.6%
1-5 0.1%
A2
2-0 9.0%
2-1 9.5%
2-2 5.0%
2-3 1.7%
2-4 0.5%
2-5 0.1%
A3
3-0 4.8%
3-1 5.1%
3-2 2.7%
3-3 0.9%
3-4 0.2%
3-5 0.1%
A4
4-0 1.9%
4-1 2.0%
4-2 1.1%
4-3 0.4%
4-4 0.1%
4-5 0.0%
A5
5-0 0.6%
5-1 0.7%
5-2 0.3%
5-3 0.1%
5-4 0.0%
5-5 0.0%
Top Scores 1-0(11.3%) 2-1(9.5%) 2-0(9.0%)
■ Best match ■ Possible ■ Low · ■ Contradicts filing A=Home goals ↓   A=Away →
📈
Team Ratings
Grades
Al Ahly
Overall
8.6 —
Scoring
7.7 —
Defence
8.3 —
Arab Contractors
Overall
5.6 ▼
Scoring
5.3 ▼
Defence
7.0 ▼
🔀
Combination Markets
Smart Picks
Result & BTTS
Home Win & BTTS Yes 21%
Home Win & BTTS No 32%
Draw & BTTS Yes 5%
Draw & BTTS No 8%
Away Win & BTTS Yes 14%
Away Win & BTTS No 20%
Result & Goals
Home Win & Over 2.5 21%
Home Win & Under 2.5 32%
Draw & Over 2.5 5%
Draw & Under 2.5 8%
Away Win & Over 2.5 14%
Away Win & Under 2.5 20%
🧮
Stake Calculator
Bankroll Tool
—
Kelly %
—
Stake
—
Potential Profit
Uses the Kelly Criterion at your selected fraction. Half Kelly (0.5) is recommended for reduced variance. Not financial advice.
🔎 How we calculate confidence, edge & Kelly %

Our confidence score blends three inputs: the market-implied signal from public odds, the head-to-head record between these two sides, and each team's recent form (weighted by sample size). No single input can move the score more than 18 points from the market signal, which keeps the model grounded.

  • Case Edge compares our confidence against the bookmaker's implied probability from the odds you enter — a positive number suggests the price may be generous relative to our model.
  • Kelly % is a standard bankroll-management formula, not a guarantee — it sizes a stake relative to perceived edge and odds.
  • Score matrix uses a Poisson distribution built from each side's recent scoring and conceding rates.

All models are statistical estimates, not certainties. Treat every figure on this page as one input into your own decision, not as a promise of an outcome.

📐 Editorial Standards for This Case File
  • Every fixture is cross-checked against at least three data points: recent form, head-to-head history, and market odds — no case is filed on a single signal alone.
  • Confidence and edge figures are generated by a documented formula (see methodology above), never assigned arbitrarily.
  • Case files are reviewed by a named analyst before publication and re-checked closer to kickoff for team news or lineup changes.
  • Settled cases are logged publicly with WON / LOST / VOID status — nothing is quietly deleted or hidden after the fact.
  • Corrections to a published case (updated odds, lineup news, postponements) are recorded in the update log below with a timestamp.
📜
Match Archives
History
Head to Head
09.09.26PL
Arab Contractors1
Al Ahly1
05.03.26PL
Arab Contractors1
Al Ahly3
30.12.25CUP
Al Ahly0
Arab Contractors3
04.08.24PL
Al Ahly4
Arab Contractors0
04.11.23PL
Arab Contractors1
Al Ahly2
16.07.23PL
Arab Contractors1
Al Ahly4
07.03.23PL
Al Ahly2
Arab Contractors1
27.11.22CUP
Al Ahly1
Arab Contractors (4-3)1
30.07.22PL
Arab Contractors0
Al Ahly0
21.01.22CUP
Al Ahly1
Arab Contractors1
Recent Form
Al Ahly
29.10.26PL
Modern Sport0
Al Ahly1
W
25.10.26CON
Al Ahly4
Kitara0
W
21.10.26PL
Al Ahly3
Al Qanah3
D
17.10.26CON
Kitara1
Al Ahly2
W
11.10.26PL
Zamalek0
Al Ahly2
W
07.10.26CUP
Asyut Petroleum0
Al Ahly5
W
15.09.26PL
Al Ahly2
Abu Qir Semad0
W
09.09.26PL
Arab Contractors1
Al Ahly1
D
03.09.26PL
Al Ahly1
Smouha0
W
28.08.26PL
ZED0
Al Ahly2
W
Arab Contractors
28.10.26PL
Zamalek2
Arab Contractors1
L
19.10.26PL
Enppi0
Arab Contractors3
W
12.10.26PL
Arab Contractors1
ZED1
D
08.10.26CUP
Arab Contractors2
El Gouna0
W
15.09.26PL
Wadi Degla0
Arab Contractors2
W
09.09.26PL
Arab Contractors1
Al Ahly1
D
02.09.26PL
El Gouna0
Arab Contractors1
W
27.08.26PL
Arab Contractors2
Al Masry3
L
22.08.26PL
El Gaish1
Arab Contractors0
L
29.05.26PL
Arab Contractors3
Modern Sport1
W
📝
Match Analysis
Case Notes

On Monday, 2nd November 2026, Al Ahly host Arab Contractors at N/A in Egypt League Cup. Our analysis desk recommends Al Ahly to win as the standout selection.

Al Ahly arrive in strong form, having recorded 8 wins, 2 draws and 0 defeats from their last 10 outings.

Arab Contractors are inconsistent on the road, with a record of 5W 2D 3L across 10 matches.

Historical meetings favour Al Ahly, who lead the head-to-head with 5 wins to Arab Contractors's 1, with 4 draws from 10 encounters. Both teams have scored in 70% of those meetings.

Our verdict: al ahly to win at odds of 1.32 represents the most compelling value in this fixture.


Before any bet goes on, one question is worth asking: what exactly is this price paying me for? A bookmaker’s odds are sharp but not flawless. They blend a model, the public’s money, and a margin — and somewhere in that blend, gaps open up. This Egypt League Cup fixture is a hunt for one of those gaps.

The hosts come in on 4 wins, 1 draw from their last 5 games, which is the anchor the market has wrapped its line around. We push past the anchor. Is this a home side currently converting their dominance into goals, grinding out narrow wins, or leaking results they ought to be banking? Each pattern carries a wildly different implication for what is likely at N/A, and only the recent run tells you which one applies.

The visitors answer with 3 wins, 1 draw, 1 loss from their last 5 games. The away record is the part casual bettors underweight most. A team quietly accumulating points on the road over recent weeks is a genuinely different animal from one whose seasonal away tally was banked early and has since dried up. We treat the recent away form as the live signal it is.

Weigh the two and the value crystallises. Our read is 1 at @1.32, a call the model rates at roughly 53%. Things get underway at 7:00 pm.

That is the play, and the thinking that produced it. We have broken down a full card of fixtures today — worth a browse before you settle on your final selections, because the smart slips are usually built from more than one good read.

Source: Recent fixture results Source: Head-to-head archive Source: Public market odds Model: Poisson score distribution
DD
DailyForebet Verification Desk
Senior Fixture Analyst
Cross-checks every fixture against form, head-to-head and market data before a case file is closed for publication.
Reviewed on 2 Nov 2026
❓
Quick Answers
FAQ
What is the recommended bet for Al Ahly vs Arab Contractors?
Our selection is 1 — Al Ahly to win, priced at approximately 1.32. Tip confidence rating: 60%.
What is Al Ahly's current form?
Al Ahly have won 8, drawn 2 and lost 0 of their last 10 matches.
How has Arab Contractors been performing recently?
Arab Contractors have recorded 5 wins, 2 draws and 3 defeats from 10 recent games.
What does the head-to-head record show?
Al Ahly lead with 5 wins versus Arab Contractors's 1, with 4 draws across 10 meetings.
How many goals are expected in this match?
Recent fixtures involving these sides average 2.7 goals per game. The head-to-head BTTS rate stands at 70%.
⚠️
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