Fixture Case File · Ref V
E

Eastern Suburbs W

Home Side
W W L W W
8W 1D 1L ▼ Trending Down
VS
PP
O
Olympic FC W
Away Side
W W L W W
5W 3D 2L → Holding Steady
MODERATE
60%
Tuesday, 16th June 2026 Case Verdict
1
Filing on Eastern Suburbs W to win
Eastern Suburbs W 50%
Draw 20%
Olympic FC W 30%
H Fair Odds2
D Fair Odds5
A Fair Odds3.33
Implied Prob72.5%Bookmaker's implied odds
Case Edge-12.5%Overpriced
Kelly %0%Suggested bankroll %
Fixture Ledger Code
V<DFBE<<<<<<<S<<<<<<<W<<<<<O<<<<<<<FC<W<<<<<1059BD9254DFB2607222M2607229<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<
DD
Case reviewed & signed off by DailyForebet Verification Desk
Senior Fixture Analyst · Last checked 17 Jun 2026
✓ Data-Audited ✓ Independently Checked
Supporting Markets
Extras
Primary Filing
1 — Eastern Suburbs W to win
1.38
Over 1.5 Goals90% Eastern Suburbs W Clean Sheet60%
📋 Case Slip / Combo Builder
Eastern Suburbs W vs Olympic FC W Competition: Australia NPL Queensland W Date: Tuesday, 16th June 2026 Pick: 1 (Eastern Suburbs W to win) Odds: 1.38 Confidence: 60% Also: Over 1.5 Goals (90%) Also: Eastern Suburbs W Clean Sheet (60%) Ledger Ref: 1059BD925
Head to Head
Record
1
Eastern Suburbs W
1
Draws
0
Olympic FC W
2
Meetings
1.5
Avg Goals
50%
BTTS
0%
Over 2.5
Neutral Eastern Suburbs W won 1 of the last 2 meetings (1 draws).
📊
Stats Duel
Comparison
Eastern Suburbs W
Metric
Olympic FC W
2.2
Goals For / Game
1.9
0.6
Goals Against / Game
1.3
60%
Clean Sheets
10%
8-1-1
W — D — L
5-3-2
Win Rate
80%
50%
3
Avg Goals
90%
Over 1.5
50%
Over 2.5
60%
BTTS Rate
🎯
Score Probability Matrix
Poisson Model
O0
O1
O2
O3
O4
O5
E0
0-0 5.0%
0-1 6.2%
0-2 3.9%
0-3 1.6%
0-4 0.5%
0-5 0.1%
E1
1-0 8.7%
1-1 10.9%
1-2 6.8%
1-3 2.8%
1-4 0.9%
1-5 0.2%
E2
2-0 7.6%
2-1 9.5%
2-2 6.0%
2-3 2.5%
2-4 0.8%
2-5 0.2%
E3
3-0 4.5%
3-1 5.6%
3-2 3.5%
3-3 1.5%
3-4 0.5%
3-5 0.1%
E4
4-0 2.0%
4-1 2.4%
4-2 1.5%
4-3 0.6%
4-4 0.2%
4-5 0.1%
E5
5-0 0.7%
5-1 0.9%
5-2 0.5%
5-3 0.2%
5-4 0.1%
5-5 0.0%
Top Scores 2-1(9.5%) 1-0(8.7%) 2-0(7.6%)
■ Best match ■ Possible ■ Low · ■ Contradicts filing E=Home goals ↓   O=Away →
📉
Market Odds Intelligence
Value Finder
Eastern Suburbs W Win
50%
2
Draw
20%
5
Olympic FC W Win
30%
3.33
Fair value decimal odds based on our probability model. Compare against your bookmaker's line to identify value.
📈
Team Ratings
Grades
Eastern Suburbs W
Overall
8.3
Scoring
7.3
Defence
8.0
Olympic FC W
Overall
5.9
Scoring
6.3
Defence
5.7
🔀
Combination Markets
Smart Picks
Result & BTTS
Home Win & BTTS Yes 32%
Home Win & BTTS No 21%
Draw & BTTS Yes 8%
Draw & BTTS No 5%
Away Win & BTTS Yes 20%
Away Win & BTTS No 14%
Result & Goals
Home Win & Over 2.5 27%
Home Win & Under 2.5 27%
Draw & Over 2.5 7%
Draw & Under 2.5 7%
Away Win & Over 2.5 17%
Away Win & Under 2.5 17%
🧮
Stake Calculator
Bankroll Tool
Kelly %
Stake
Potential Profit
Uses the Kelly Criterion at your selected fraction. Half Kelly (0.5) is recommended for reduced variance. Not financial advice.
🔎 How we calculate confidence, edge & Kelly %

Our confidence score blends three inputs: the market-implied signal from public odds, the head-to-head record between these two sides, and each team's recent form (weighted by sample size). No single input can move the score more than 18 points from the market signal, which keeps the model grounded.

  • Case Edge compares our confidence against the bookmaker's implied probability from the odds you enter — a positive number suggests the price may be generous relative to our model.
  • Kelly % is a standard bankroll-management formula, not a guarantee — it sizes a stake relative to perceived edge and odds.
  • Score matrix uses a Poisson distribution built from each side's recent scoring and conceding rates.

All models are statistical estimates, not certainties. Treat every figure on this page as one input into your own decision, not as a promise of an outcome.

📐 Editorial Standards for This Case File
  • Every fixture is cross-checked against at least three data points: recent form, head-to-head history, and market odds — no case is filed on a single signal alone.
  • Confidence and edge figures are generated by a documented formula (see methodology above), never assigned arbitrarily.
  • Case files are reviewed by a named analyst before publication and re-checked closer to kickoff for team news or lineup changes.
  • Settled cases are logged publicly with WON / LOST / VOID status — nothing is quietly deleted or hidden after the fact.
  • Corrections to a published case (updated odds, lineup news, postponements) are recorded in the update log below with a timestamp.
📜
Match Archives
History
Head to Head
11.04.26QUW
Olympic FC W1
Eastern Suburbs1
07.02.26QUW
Eastern Suburbs W1
Olympic FC0
Recent Form
Eastern Suburbs W
06.06.26QUW
Eastern Suburbs W3
Capalaba W0
W
30.05.26QUW
FQ Academy QAS W2
Eastern Suburbs W4
W
24.05.26QUW
Gold Coast W2
Eastern Suburbs W1
L
17.05.26QUW
Eastern Suburbs W4
Souths Strikers W1
W
12.05.26QUW
Sunshine Coast Wanderers W0
Eastern Suburbs W3
W
08.05.26QUW
Eastern Suburbs W1
Gold Coast Knights W0
W
03.05.26QUW
Queensland Lions W0
Eastern Suburbs W2
W
11.04.26QUW
Olympic FC W1
Eastern Suburbs W1
D
31.03.26QUW
Sunshine Coast Wanderers W0
Eastern Suburbs W2
W
27.03.26QUW
Eastern Suburbs W1
Capalaba W0
W
Olympic FC W
06.06.26QUW
Gold Coast W1
Olympic FC W2
W
03.06.26QUW
Capalaba W1
Olympic FC W4
W
31.05.26QUW
Olympic FC W0
Brisbane City W2
L
24.05.26QUW
Sunshine Coast Wanderers W0
Olympic FC W - W (1-2)2
08.05.26QUW
Souths Strikers W1
Olympic FC W3
W
26.04.26QUW
FQ Academy QAS W4
Olympic FC W3
L
11.04.26QUW
Olympic FC W1
Eastern Suburbs W1
D
31.03.26QUW
Olympic FC W2
FQ Academy QAS W1
W
28.03.26QUW
Olympic FC W1
Gold Coast W1
D
21.03.26QUW
Brisbane City W1
Olympic FC W1
D
📝
Match Analysis
Case Notes

On Tuesday, 16th June 2026, Eastern Suburbs W host Olympic FC W in Australia NPL Queensland W. Our analysis desk recommends Eastern Suburbs W to win as the standout selection.

Eastern Suburbs W arrive in strong form, having recorded 8 wins, 1 draws and 1 defeats from their last 10 outings.

Olympic FC W are inconsistent on the road, with a record of 5W 3D 2L across 10 matches.

Historical meetings favour Eastern Suburbs W, who lead the head-to-head with 1 wins to Olympic FC W's 0, with 1 draws from 2 encounters. Both teams have scored in 50% of those meetings.

Our verdict: eastern suburbs w to win at odds of 1.38 represents the most compelling value in this fixture.


If you want to actually make money on football instead of just throwing it away, you have to trust the stats. This Australia NPL Queensland W game is a perfect chance to do exactly that. Forget about the fan hype and focus entirely on how these teams are actually playing on the grass.

We always check the home team first to set the stage. Their overall season gives us a starting point, but their recent matches tell us if they are hot or cold right now in the moments that matter. Then we turn our attention to the away side.

We compare what they have done all year with their last few weeks to see if the bookies are offering a really good deal by mistake. Looking at their past matchups against each other is just as important. Head-to-head records often reveal playing styles that just do not mix well for one team, creating a natural advantage.

Taking those past games and adding today’s form makes picking a winner so much easier. Right now, the smartest bet on the board is 1, especially with the odds sitting nicely at @1.38. Once the referee starts the game, the stats step aside and the players take over.

The final score will tell us if we got it right. Check our other daily tips for more winning ideas.

Source: Recent fixture results Source: Head-to-head archive Source: Public market odds Model: Poisson score distribution
DD
DailyForebet Verification Desk
Senior Fixture Analyst
Cross-checks every fixture against form, head-to-head and market data before a case file is closed for publication.
Reviewed on 17 Jun 2026
Quick Answers
FAQ
What is the recommended bet for Eastern Suburbs W vs Olympic FC W?
Our selection is 1 — Eastern Suburbs W to win, priced at approximately 1.38. Tip confidence rating: 60%.
What is Eastern Suburbs W's current form?
Eastern Suburbs W have won 8, drawn 1 and lost 1 of their last 10 matches.
How has Olympic FC W been performing recently?
Olympic FC W have recorded 5 wins, 3 draws and 2 defeats from 10 recent games.
What does the head-to-head record show?
Eastern Suburbs W lead with 1 wins versus Olympic FC W's 0, with 1 draws across 2 meetings.
How many goals are expected in this match?
Recent fixtures involving these sides average 3 goals per game. The head-to-head BTTS rate stands at 50%.
⚠️
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