WON Case WON Al Jeel 2-1 Jubbah
Fixture Case File · Ref V
A

Al Jeel

Home Side
W W W W W
7W 1D 2L ▼ Trending Down
VS
2-1
J
Jubbah
Away Side
D W L L D
5W 2D 3L → Holding Steady
MODERATE
53%
Saturday, 28th March 2026 Case Verdict
1
Filing on Al Jeel to win
Al Jeel 60%
Draw 20%
Jubbah 20%
H Fair Odds1.67
D Fair Odds5
A Fair Odds5
Implied Prob79.4%Bookmaker's implied odds
Case Edge-26.4%Overpriced
Kelly %0%Suggested bankroll %
Fixture Ledger Code
V<DFBA<<J<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<J<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<FAC57AC294DFB2607272M2607279<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<
DD
Case reviewed & signed off by DailyForebet Verification Desk
Senior Fixture Analyst · Last checked 28 Mar 2026
✓ Data-Audited ✓ Independently Checked
Head to Head
Record
0
Al Jeel
1
Draws
0
Jubbah
1
Meetings
0
Avg Goals
0%
BTTS
0%
Over 2.5
Against Filing Al Jeel won 0 of the last 1 meetings (1 draws).
📊
Stats Duel
Comparison
Al Jeel
Metric
Jubbah
1.4
Goals For / Game
1.6
1
Goals Against / Game
1
30%
Clean Sheets
50%
7-1-2
W — D — L
5-2-3
Win Rate
70%
50%
2.5
Avg Goals
65%
Over 1.5
45%
Over 2.5
45%
BTTS Rate
🎯
Score Probability Matrix
Poisson Model
J0
J1
J2
J3
J4
J5
A0
0-0 8.2%
0-1 10.7%
0-2 6.9%
0-3 3.0%
0-4 1.0%
0-5 0.3%
A1
1-0 9.9%
1-1 12.8%
1-2 8.3%
1-3 3.6%
1-4 1.2%
1-5 0.3%
A2
2-0 5.9%
2-1 7.7%
2-2 5.0%
2-3 2.2%
2-4 0.7%
2-5 0.2%
A3
3-0 2.4%
3-1 3.1%
3-2 2.0%
3-3 0.9%
3-4 0.3%
3-5 0.1%
A4
4-0 0.7%
4-1 0.9%
4-2 0.6%
4-3 0.3%
4-4 0.1%
4-5 0.0%
A5
5-0 0.2%
5-1 0.2%
5-2 0.1%
5-3 0.1%
5-4 0.0%
5-5 0.0%
Top Scores 1-0(9.9%) 2-1(7.7%) 2-0(5.9%)
■ Best match ■ Possible ■ Low · ■ Contradicts filing A=Home goals ↓   J=Away →
📉
Market Odds Intelligence
Value Finder
Al Jeel Win
60%
1.67
Draw
20%
5
Jubbah Win
20%
5
Fair value decimal odds based on our probability model. Compare against your bookmaker's line to identify value.
📈
Team Ratings
Grades
Al Jeel
Overall
7.3
Scoring
4.7
Defence
6.7
Jubbah
Overall
5.6
Scoring
5.3
Defence
6.7
🔀
Combination Markets
Smart Picks
Result & BTTS
Home Win & BTTS Yes 23%
Home Win & BTTS No 29%
Draw & BTTS Yes 5%
Draw & BTTS No 6%
Away Win & BTTS Yes 17%
Away Win & BTTS No 20%
Result & Goals
Home Win & Over 2.5 23%
Home Win & Under 2.5 29%
Draw & Over 2.5 5%
Draw & Under 2.5 6%
Away Win & Over 2.5 17%
Away Win & Under 2.5 20%
🧮
Stake Calculator
Bankroll Tool
Kelly %
Stake
Potential Profit
Uses the Kelly Criterion at your selected fraction. Half Kelly (0.5) is recommended for reduced variance. Not financial advice.
🔎 How we calculate confidence, edge & Kelly %

Our confidence score blends three inputs: the market-implied signal from public odds, the head-to-head record between these two sides, and each team's recent form (weighted by sample size). No single input can move the score more than 18 points from the market signal, which keeps the model grounded.

  • Case Edge compares our confidence against the bookmaker's implied probability from the odds you enter — a positive number suggests the price may be generous relative to our model.
  • Kelly % is a standard bankroll-management formula, not a guarantee — it sizes a stake relative to perceived edge and odds.
  • Score matrix uses a Poisson distribution built from each side's recent scoring and conceding rates.

All models are statistical estimates, not certainties. Treat every figure on this page as one input into your own decision, not as a promise of an outcome.

📐 Editorial Standards for This Case File
  • Every fixture is cross-checked against at least three data points: recent form, head-to-head history, and market odds — no case is filed on a single signal alone.
  • Confidence and edge figures are generated by a documented formula (see methodology above), never assigned arbitrarily.
  • Case files are reviewed by a named analyst before publication and re-checked closer to kickoff for team news or lineup changes.
  • Settled cases are logged publicly with WON / LOST / VOID status — nothing is quietly deleted or hidden after the fact.
  • Corrections to a published case (updated odds, lineup news, postponements) are recorded in the update log below with a timestamp.
📜
Match Archives
History
Head to Head
15.12.25
D2: Jubbah0
Al-Jeel0
Recent Form
Al Jeel
24.03.26
D2: Al-Jeel1
Najran0
W
14.03.26
D2: Jerash2
Al-Jeel3
W
27.02.26
D2: Al-Shoulla1
Al-Jeel2
W
21.02.26
D2: Al-Jeel2
Al-Rawdah1
W
16.02.26
D2: Al-Taraji1
Al-Jeel2
W
11.02.26
D2: Al-Sadd2
Al-Jeel3
W
06.02.26
D2: Al-Jeel0
Al-Ain0
D
31.01.26
D2: Tuwaiq0
Al-Jeel1
W
25.01.26
D2: Al-Jeel0
Al-Sahel2
L
20.01.26
D2: Al-Jeel0
Al-Washm1
L
Jubbah
24.03.26
D2: Al-Sahel1
Jubbah1
D
14.03.26
D2: Jubbah3
Al-Sharq1
W
27.02.26
D2: Tuwaiq2
Jubbah0
L
21.02.26
D2: Jubbah1
Al Taraji2
L
16.02.26
D2: Al Rawdah0
Jubbah0
D
11.02.26
D2: Jubbah2
Al Najoom0
W
06.02.26
D2: Al-Sadd0
Jubbah1
W
31.01.26
D2: Jubbah1
Al-Shoalah0
W
25.01.26
D2: Al-Washm4
Jubbah3
L
20.01.26
D2: Jubbah4
Al Entesar0
W
📝
Match Analysis
Case Notes

On Saturday, 28th March 2026, Al Jeel host Jubbah in Saudi Division 2. Our analysis desk recommends Al Jeel to win as the standout selection.

Al Jeel arrive in strong form, having recorded 7 wins, 1 draws and 2 defeats from their last 10 outings.

Jubbah are inconsistent on the road, with a record of 5W 2D 3L across 10 matches.

Historical meetings favour Al Jeel, who lead the head-to-head with 0 wins to Jubbah's 0, with 1 draws from 1 encounters. Both teams have scored in 0% of those meetings.

Our verdict: al jeel to win at odds of 1.26 represents the most compelling value in this fixture.


If you want to actually make money on football instead of just throwing it away, you have to trust the stats. This Saudi Division 2 game is a perfect chance to do exactly that. Forget about the fan hype and focus entirely on how these teams are actually playing on the grass.

We always check the home team first to set the stage. Their overall season gives us a starting point, but their recent matches tell us if they are hot or cold right now in the moments that matter. Then we turn our attention to the away side.

We compare what they have done all year with their last few weeks to see if the bookies are offering a really good deal by mistake. Looking at their past matchups against each other is just as important. Head-to-head records often reveal playing styles that just do not mix well for one team, creating a natural advantage.

Taking those past games and adding today’s form makes picking a winner so much easier. Right now, the smartest bet on the board is 1, especially with the odds sitting nicely at @1.26. Once the referee starts the game, the stats step aside and the players take over.

The final score will tell us if we got it right. Check our other daily tips for more winning ideas.

Source: Recent fixture results Source: Head-to-head archive Source: Public market odds Model: Poisson score distribution
DD
DailyForebet Verification Desk
Senior Fixture Analyst
Cross-checks every fixture against form, head-to-head and market data before a case file is closed for publication.
Reviewed on 28 Mar 2026
Quick Answers
FAQ
What is the recommended bet for Al Jeel vs Jubbah?
Our selection is 1 — Al Jeel to win, priced at approximately 1.26. Tip confidence rating: 53%.
What is Al Jeel's current form?
Al Jeel have won 7, drawn 1 and lost 2 of their last 10 matches.
How has Jubbah been performing recently?
Jubbah have recorded 5 wins, 2 draws and 3 defeats from 10 recent games.
What does the head-to-head record show?
Al Jeel lead with 0 wins versus Jubbah's 0, with 1 draws across 1 meetings.
How many goals are expected in this match?
Recent fixtures involving these sides average 2.5 goals per game. The head-to-head BTTS rate stands at 0%.
⚠️
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