WON Case WON Vestri 5-1 Volsungor
Fixture Case File · Ref V
V

Vestri

Home Side
W L L W L
4W 1D 5L → Holding Steady
VS
5-1
V
Volsungor
Away Side
L L L L L
0W 2D 8L → Holding Steady
CAUTION
44%
Saturday, 6th June 2026 Case Verdict
1
Filing on Vestri to win
Vestri 50%
Draw 30%
Volsungor 20%
H Fair Odds2
D Fair Odds3.33
A Fair Odds5
Implied Prob71.9%Bookmaker's implied odds
Case Edge-27.9%Overpriced
Kelly %0%Suggested bankroll %
Fixture Ledger Code
V<DFBV<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<V<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<27BD9BD154DFB2607272M2607279<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<
DD
Case reviewed & signed off by DailyForebet Verification Desk
Senior Fixture Analyst · Last checked 7 Jun 2026
✓ Data-Audited ✓ Independently Checked
Supporting Markets
Extras
Primary Filing
1 — Vestri to win
1.39
Under 2.5 Goals70% BTTS — No80%
📋 Case Slip / Combo Builder
Vestri vs Volsungor Competition: Iceland Division 1 Date: Saturday, 6th June 2026 Pick: 1 (Vestri to win) Odds: 1.39 Confidence: 44% Also: Under 2.5 Goals (70%) Also: BTTS — No (80%) Ledger Ref: 27BD9BD15
Head to Head
Record
3
Vestri
5
Draws
0
Volsungor
8
Meetings
3.1
Avg Goals
63%
BTTS
63%
Over 2.5
Against Filing Vestri won 3 of the last 8 meetings (5 draws).
📊
Stats Duel
Comparison
Vestri
Metric
Volsungor
1.2
Goals For / Game
0
2.3
Goals Against / Game
0
20%
Clean Sheets
0%
4-1-5
W — D — L
0-2-8
Win Rate
40%
0%
1.8
Avg Goals
40%
Over 1.5
30%
Over 2.5
20%
BTTS Rate
🎯
Score Probability Matrix
Poisson Model
V0
V1
V2
V3
V4
V5
V0
0-0 17.4%
0-1 20.0%
0-2 11.5%
0-3 4.4%
0-4 1.3%
0-5 0.3%
V1
1-0 10.4%
1-1 12.0%
1-2 6.9%
1-3 2.6%
1-4 0.8%
1-5 0.2%
V2
2-0 3.1%
2-1 3.6%
2-2 2.1%
2-3 0.8%
2-4 0.2%
2-5 0.1%
V3
3-0 0.6%
3-1 0.7%
3-2 0.4%
3-3 0.2%
3-4 0.1%
3-5 0.0%
V4
4-0 0.1%
4-1 0.1%
4-2 0.1%
4-3 0.0%
4-4 0.0%
4-5 0.0%
V5
5-0 0.0%
5-1 0.0%
5-2 0.0%
5-3 0.0%
5-4 0.0%
5-5 0.0%
Top Scores 1-0(10.4%) 2-1(3.6%) 2-0(3.1%)
■ Best match ■ Possible ■ Low · ■ Contradicts filing V=Home goals ↓   V=Away →
📉
Market Odds Intelligence
Value Finder
Vestri Win
50%
2
Draw
30%
3.33
Volsungor Win
20%
5
Fair value decimal odds based on our probability model. Compare against your bookmaker's line to identify value.
📈
Team Ratings
Grades
Vestri
Overall
4.3
Scoring
4.0
Defence
2.3
Volsungor
Overall
0.6
Scoring
0.0
Defence
10.0
🔀
Combination Markets
Smart Picks
Result & BTTS
Home Win & BTTS Yes 15%
Home Win & BTTS No 58%
Draw & BTTS Yes 5%
Draw & BTTS No 22%
Away Win & BTTS Yes 0%
Away Win & BTTS No 0%
Result & Goals
Home Win & Over 2.5 22%
Home Win & Under 2.5 51%
Draw & Over 2.5 8%
Draw & Under 2.5 19%
Away Win & Over 2.5 0%
Away Win & Under 2.5 0%
🧮
Stake Calculator
Bankroll Tool
Kelly %
Stake
Potential Profit
Uses the Kelly Criterion at your selected fraction. Half Kelly (0.5) is recommended for reduced variance. Not financial advice.
🔎 How we calculate confidence, edge & Kelly %

Our confidence score blends three inputs: the market-implied signal from public odds, the head-to-head record between these two sides, and each team's recent form (weighted by sample size). No single input can move the score more than 18 points from the market signal, which keeps the model grounded.

  • Case Edge compares our confidence against the bookmaker's implied probability from the odds you enter — a positive number suggests the price may be generous relative to our model.
  • Kelly % is a standard bankroll-management formula, not a guarantee — it sizes a stake relative to perceived edge and odds.
  • Score matrix uses a Poisson distribution built from each side's recent scoring and conceding rates.

All models are statistical estimates, not certainties. Treat every figure on this page as one input into your own decision, not as a promise of an outcome.

📐 Editorial Standards for This Case File
  • Every fixture is cross-checked against at least three data points: recent form, head-to-head history, and market odds — no case is filed on a single signal alone.
  • Confidence and edge figures are generated by a documented formula (see methodology above), never assigned arbitrarily.
  • Case files are reviewed by a named analyst before publication and re-checked closer to kickoff for team news or lineup changes.
  • Settled cases are logged publicly with WON / LOST / VOID status — nothing is quietly deleted or hidden after the fact.
  • Corrections to a published case (updated odds, lineup news, postponements) are recorded in the update log below with a timestamp.
📜
Match Archives
History
Head to Head
20.07.19D2
Vestri1
Volsungur0
11.05.19D2
Volsungur3
Vestri1
01.08.18D2
Vestri2
Volsungur0
19.05.18D2
Volsungur2
Vestri1
03.08.17D2
Volsungur2
Vestri0
27.05.17D2
Vestri3
Volsungur2
20.08.16D2
Volsungur2
Vestri2
11.06.16D2
Vestri2
Volsungur2
Recent Form
Vestri
31.05.26D1
IR Reykjavik0
Vestri1
W
27.05.26D1
Vestri0
Njardvik3
L
23.05.26D1
Grotta5
Vestri3
L
17.05.26D1
Aegir1
Vestri2
W
14.05.26CUP
Vestri0
Grotta4
L
09.05.26D1
Vestri4
Kopavogur3
W
04.05.26D1
Fylkir2
Vestri0
L
25.04.26D1
Vestri1
Grindavik1
D
11.04.26CUP
Vestri1
Leiknir0
W
29.03.26SC
Vikingur Reykjavik4
Vestri0
L
Volsungor
31.05.26D1
Volsungur2
Aegir3
L
27.05.26D1
Kopavogur1
Volsungur0
L
23.05.26D1
Volsungur0
Fylkir1
L
17.05.26D1
Grindavik3
Volsungur1
L
09.05.26D1
Volsungur0
Throttur3
L
01.05.26D1
Afturelding0
Volsungur0
D
25.04.26D1
Volsungur1
Leiknir1
D
28.03.26CUP
Volsungur2
Kormakur/Hvot3
L
22.02.26CUP
Volsungur1
Akranes5
L
18.02.26CUP
Thor Akureyri10
Volsungur0
L
📝
Match Analysis
Case Notes

On Saturday, 6th June 2026, Vestri host Volsungor in Iceland Division 1. Our analysis desk recommends Vestri to win as the standout selection.

Vestri arrive showing mixed form, having recorded 4 wins, 1 draws and 5 defeats from their last 10 outings.

Volsungor are struggling away from home, with a record of 0W 2D 8L across 10 matches.

Historical meetings favour Vestri, who lead the head-to-head with 3 wins to Volsungor's 0, with 5 draws from 8 encounters. Both teams have scored in 63% of those meetings.

Our verdict: vestri to win at odds of 1.39 represents the most compelling value in this fixture.


If you want to actually make money on football instead of just throwing it away, you have to trust the stats. This Iceland Division 1 game is a perfect chance to do exactly that. Forget about the fan hype and focus entirely on how these teams are actually playing on the grass.

We always check the home team first to set the stage. Their overall season gives us a starting point, but their recent matches tell us if they are hot or cold right now in the moments that matter. Then we turn our attention to the away side.

We compare what they have done all year with their last few weeks to see if the bookies are offering a really good deal by mistake. Looking at their past matchups against each other is just as important. Head-to-head records often reveal playing styles that just do not mix well for one team, creating a natural advantage.

Taking those past games and adding today’s form makes picking a winner so much easier. Right now, the smartest bet on the board is 1, especially with the odds sitting nicely at @1.39. Once the referee starts the game, the stats step aside and the players take over.

The final score will tell us if we got it right. Check our other daily tips for more winning ideas.

Source: Recent fixture results Source: Head-to-head archive Source: Public market odds Model: Poisson score distribution
DD
DailyForebet Verification Desk
Senior Fixture Analyst
Cross-checks every fixture against form, head-to-head and market data before a case file is closed for publication.
Reviewed on 7 Jun 2026
Quick Answers
FAQ
What is the recommended bet for Vestri vs Volsungor?
Our selection is 1 — Vestri to win, priced at approximately 1.39. Tip confidence rating: 44%.
What is Vestri's current form?
Vestri have won 4, drawn 1 and lost 5 of their last 10 matches.
How has Volsungor been performing recently?
Volsungor have recorded 0 wins, 2 draws and 8 defeats from 10 recent games.
What does the head-to-head record show?
Vestri lead with 3 wins versus Volsungor's 0, with 5 draws across 8 meetings.
How many goals are expected in this match?
Recent fixtures involving these sides average 1.8 goals per game. The head-to-head BTTS rate stands at 63%.
⚠️
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