WON Case WON U Catolica 5-1 Cobresal
Fixture Case File · Ref V
U

U Catolica

Home Side
W W L W W
5W 3D 2L → Holding Steady
VS
5-1
C
Cobresal
Away Side
L L W W L
2W 0D 8L → Holding Steady
MODERATE
47%
Saturday, 6th June 2026 Case Verdict
1
Filing on U Catolica to win
U Catolica 50%
Draw 30%
Cobresal 20%
H Fair Odds2
D Fair Odds3.33
A Fair Odds5
Implied Prob75.8%Bookmaker's implied odds
Case Edge-28.8%Overpriced
Kelly %0%Suggested bankroll %
Fixture Ledger Code
V<DFBU<C<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<C<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<03D9EE55A4DFB2607202M2607209<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<
DD
Case reviewed & signed off by DailyForebet Verification Desk
Senior Fixture Analyst · Last checked 7 Jun 2026
✓ Data-Audited ✓ Independently Checked
Head to Head
Record
4
U Catolica
3
Draws
3
Cobresal
10
Meetings
3.5
Avg Goals
80%
BTTS
70%
Over 2.5
Against Filing U Catolica won 4 of the last 10 meetings (3 draws).
📊
Stats Duel
Comparison
U Catolica
Metric
Cobresal
1.4
Goals For / Game
1
0.7
Goals Against / Game
1.9
50%
Clean Sheets
10%
5-3-2
W — D — L
2-0-8
Win Rate
50%
20%
2.5
Avg Goals
70%
Over 1.5
50%
Over 2.5
50%
BTTS Rate
🎯
Score Probability Matrix
Poisson Model
C0
C1
C2
C3
C4
C5
U0
0-0 8.2%
0-1 7.0%
0-2 3.0%
0-3 0.8%
0-4 0.2%
0-5 0.0%
U1
1-0 13.5%
1-1 11.5%
1-2 4.9%
1-3 1.4%
1-4 0.3%
1-5 0.1%
U2
2-0 11.2%
2-1 9.5%
2-2 4.0%
2-3 1.1%
2-4 0.2%
2-5 0.0%
U3
3-0 6.2%
3-1 5.2%
3-2 2.2%
3-3 0.6%
3-4 0.1%
3-5 0.0%
U4
4-0 2.5%
4-1 2.2%
4-2 0.9%
4-3 0.3%
4-4 0.1%
4-5 0.0%
U5
5-0 0.8%
5-1 0.7%
5-2 0.3%
5-3 0.1%
5-4 0.0%
5-5 0.0%
Top Scores 1-0(13.5%) 2-0(11.2%) 2-1(9.5%)
■ Best match ■ Possible ■ Low · ■ Contradicts filing U=Home goals ↓   C=Away →
📉
Market Odds Intelligence
Value Finder
U Catolica Win
50%
2
Draw
30%
3.33
Cobresal Win
20%
5
Fair value decimal odds based on our probability model. Compare against your bookmaker's line to identify value.
📈
Team Ratings
Grades
U Catolica
Overall
5.9
Scoring
4.7
Defence
7.7
Cobresal
Overall
2.0
Scoring
3.3
Defence
3.7
🔀
Combination Markets
Smart Picks
Result & BTTS
Home Win & BTTS Yes 30%
Home Win & BTTS No 30%
Draw & BTTS Yes 9%
Draw & BTTS No 9%
Away Win & BTTS Yes 12%
Away Win & BTTS No 12%
Result & Goals
Home Win & Over 2.5 30%
Home Win & Under 2.5 30%
Draw & Over 2.5 9%
Draw & Under 2.5 9%
Away Win & Over 2.5 12%
Away Win & Under 2.5 12%
🧮
Stake Calculator
Bankroll Tool
Kelly %
Stake
Potential Profit
Uses the Kelly Criterion at your selected fraction. Half Kelly (0.5) is recommended for reduced variance. Not financial advice.
🔎 How we calculate confidence, edge & Kelly %

Our confidence score blends three inputs: the market-implied signal from public odds, the head-to-head record between these two sides, and each team's recent form (weighted by sample size). No single input can move the score more than 18 points from the market signal, which keeps the model grounded.

  • Case Edge compares our confidence against the bookmaker's implied probability from the odds you enter — a positive number suggests the price may be generous relative to our model.
  • Kelly % is a standard bankroll-management formula, not a guarantee — it sizes a stake relative to perceived edge and odds.
  • Score matrix uses a Poisson distribution built from each side's recent scoring and conceding rates.

All models are statistical estimates, not certainties. Treat every figure on this page as one input into your own decision, not as a promise of an outcome.

📐 Editorial Standards for This Case File
  • Every fixture is cross-checked against at least three data points: recent form, head-to-head history, and market odds — no case is filed on a single signal alone.
  • Confidence and edge figures are generated by a documented formula (see methodology above), never assigned arbitrarily.
  • Case files are reviewed by a named analyst before publication and re-checked closer to kickoff for team news or lineup changes.
  • Settled cases are logged publicly with WON / LOST / VOID status — nothing is quietly deleted or hidden after the fact.
  • Corrections to a published case (updated odds, lineup news, postponements) are recorded in the update log below with a timestamp.
📜
Match Archives
History
Head to Head
30.03.26CDL
Cobresal1
U. Catolica3
15.02.26LDP
Cobresal3
U. Catolica2
30.08.25LDP
U. Catolica2
Cobresal1
12.04.25LDP
Cobresal1
U. Catolica1
28.08.24LDP
Cobresal3
U. Catolica1
06.04.24LDP
U. Catolica2
Cobresal0
29.07.23LDP
Cobresal2
U. Catolica2
12.02.23LDP
U. Catolica3
Cobresal3
30.07.22LDP
U. Catolica1
Cobresal0
07.03.22LDP
Cobresal3
U. Catolica1
Recent Form
U Catolica
31.05.26LDP
Huachipato0
U. Catolica3
W
29.05.26COP
Boca Juniors0
U. Catolica1
W
24.05.26LDP
U. Catolica1
Colo Colo2
L
22.05.26COP
U. Catolica2
Barcelona SC0
W
17.05.26LDP
Limache0
U. Catolica2
W
10.05.26CDL
U. Catolica1
Nublense1
D
07.05.26COP
U. Catolica0
Cruzeiro0
D
03.05.26CDL
U. De Concepcion2
U. Catolica2
D
30.04.26COP
Barcelona SC1
U. Catolica2
W
25.04.26LDP
U. De Chile1
U. Catolica0
L
Cobresal
29.05.26LDP
Cobresal0
Nublense1
L
23.05.26LDP
A. Italiano2
Cobresal1
L
17.05.26LDP
Cobresal1
U. De Chile0
W
09.05.26CDL
Cobresal2
U. De Concepcion1
W
03.05.26CDL
Nublense2
Cobresal0
L
26.04.26LDP
Everton3
Cobresal1
L
19.04.26LDP
Cobresal2
O’Higgins3
L
13.04.26LDP
U. De Concepcion1
Cobresal0
L
03.04.26LDP
Coquimbo3
Cobresal2
L
30.03.26CDL
Cobresal1
U. Catolica3
L
📝
Match Analysis
Case Notes

On Saturday, 6th June 2026, U Catolica host Cobresal in Chile: Copa De La Liga. Our analysis desk recommends U Catolica to win as the standout selection.

U Catolica arrive showing mixed form, having recorded 5 wins, 3 draws and 2 defeats from their last 10 outings.

Cobresal are struggling away from home, with a record of 2W 0D 8L across 10 matches.

Historical meetings favour U Catolica, who lead the head-to-head with 4 wins to Cobresal's 3, with 3 draws from 10 encounters. Both teams have scored in 80% of those meetings.

Our verdict: u catolica to win at odds of 1.32 represents the most compelling value in this fixture.


If you want to actually make money on football instead of just throwing it away, you have to trust the stats. This Chile: Copa De La Liga game is a perfect chance to do exactly that. Forget about the fan hype and focus entirely on how these teams are actually playing on the grass.

We always check the home team first to set the stage. Their overall season gives us a starting point, but their recent matches tell us if they are hot or cold right now in the moments that matter. Then we turn our attention to the away side.

We compare what they have done all year with their last few weeks to see if the bookies are offering a really good deal by mistake. Looking at their past matchups against each other is just as important. Head-to-head records often reveal playing styles that just do not mix well for one team, creating a natural advantage.

Taking those past games and adding today’s form makes picking a winner so much easier. Right now, the smartest bet on the board is 1, especially with the odds sitting nicely at @1.32. Once the referee starts the game, the stats step aside and the players take over.

The final score will tell us if we got it right. Check our other daily tips for more winning ideas.

Source: Recent fixture results Source: Head-to-head archive Source: Public market odds Model: Poisson score distribution
DD
DailyForebet Verification Desk
Senior Fixture Analyst
Cross-checks every fixture against form, head-to-head and market data before a case file is closed for publication.
Reviewed on 7 Jun 2026
Quick Answers
FAQ
What is the recommended bet for U Catolica vs Cobresal?
Our selection is 1 — U Catolica to win, priced at approximately 1.32. Tip confidence rating: 47%.
What is U Catolica's current form?
U Catolica have won 5, drawn 3 and lost 2 of their last 10 matches.
How has Cobresal been performing recently?
Cobresal have recorded 2 wins, 0 draws and 8 defeats from 10 recent games.
What does the head-to-head record show?
U Catolica lead with 4 wins versus Cobresal's 3, with 3 draws across 10 meetings.
How many goals are expected in this match?
Recent fixtures involving these sides average 2.5 goals per game. The head-to-head BTTS rate stands at 80%.
⚠️
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