WON Case WON Falu 2-1 Korsnas
Fixture Case File · Ref V
F

Falu

Home Side
D W L W D
5W 4D 1L ▼ Trending Down
VS
2-1
K
Korsnas
Away Side
L L L L D
1W 3D 6L ▼ Trending Down
MODERATE
50%
Saturday, 6th June 2026 Case Verdict
1
Filing on Falu to win
Falu 50%
Draw 30%
Korsnas 20%
H Fair Odds2
D Fair Odds3.33
A Fair Odds5
Implied Prob80%Bookmaker's implied odds
Case Edge-30%Overpriced
Kelly %0%Suggested bankroll %
Fixture Ledger Code
V<DFBF<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<K<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<4DA84EB774DFB2607222M2607229<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<
DD
Case reviewed & signed off by DailyForebet Verification Desk
Senior Fixture Analyst · Last checked 7 Jun 2026
✓ Data-Audited ✓ Independently Checked
Supporting Markets
Extras
Primary Filing
1 — Falu to win
1.25
Over 1.5 Goals80%
📋 Case Slip / Combo Builder
Falu vs Korsnas Competition: Sweden D2 Norra Svealand Date: Saturday, 6th June 2026 Pick: 1 (Falu to win) Odds: 1.25 Confidence: 50% Also: Over 1.5 Goals (80%) Ledger Ref: 4DA84EB77
Head to Head
Record
1
Falu
0
Draws
1
Korsnas
2
Meetings
3
Avg Goals
50%
BTTS
50%
Over 2.5
Neutral Falu won 1 of the last 2 meetings (0 draws).
📊
Stats Duel
Comparison
Falu
Metric
Korsnas
1.7
Goals For / Game
0.8
0.9
Goals Against / Game
1.8
40%
Clean Sheets
0%
5-4-1
W — D — L
1-3-6
Win Rate
50%
10%
2.6
Avg Goals
80%
Over 1.5
45%
Over 2.5
60%
BTTS Rate
🎯
Score Probability Matrix
Poisson Model
K0
K1
K2
K3
K4
K5
F0
0-0 7.4%
0-1 6.3%
0-2 2.7%
0-3 0.8%
0-4 0.2%
0-5 0.0%
F1
1-0 13.0%
1-1 11.1%
1-2 4.7%
1-3 1.3%
1-4 0.3%
1-5 0.1%
F2
2-0 11.4%
2-1 9.7%
2-2 4.1%
2-3 1.2%
2-4 0.3%
2-5 0.0%
F3
3-0 6.6%
3-1 5.6%
3-2 2.4%
3-3 0.7%
3-4 0.1%
3-5 0.0%
F4
4-0 2.9%
4-1 2.5%
4-2 1.1%
4-3 0.3%
4-4 0.1%
4-5 0.0%
F5
5-0 1.0%
5-1 0.9%
5-2 0.4%
5-3 0.1%
5-4 0.0%
5-5 0.0%
Top Scores 1-0(13.0%) 2-0(11.4%) 2-1(9.7%)
■ Best match ■ Possible ■ Low · ■ Contradicts filing F=Home goals ↓   K=Away →
📉
Market Odds Intelligence
Value Finder
Falu Win
50%
2
Draw
30%
3.33
Korsnas Win
20%
5
Fair value decimal odds based on our probability model. Compare against your bookmaker's line to identify value.
📈
Team Ratings
Grades
Falu
Overall
6.2
Scoring
5.7
Defence
7.0
Korsnas
Overall
1.9
Scoring
2.7
Defence
4.0
🔀
Combination Markets
Smart Picks
Result & BTTS
Home Win & BTTS Yes 32%
Home Win & BTTS No 21%
Draw & BTTS Yes 22%
Draw & BTTS No 15%
Away Win & BTTS Yes 6%
Away Win & BTTS No 4%
Result & Goals
Home Win & Over 2.5 24%
Home Win & Under 2.5 29%
Draw & Over 2.5 17%
Draw & Under 2.5 20%
Away Win & Over 2.5 5%
Away Win & Under 2.5 6%
🧮
Stake Calculator
Bankroll Tool
Kelly %
Stake
Potential Profit
Uses the Kelly Criterion at your selected fraction. Half Kelly (0.5) is recommended for reduced variance. Not financial advice.
🔎 How we calculate confidence, edge & Kelly %

Our confidence score blends three inputs: the market-implied signal from public odds, the head-to-head record between these two sides, and each team's recent form (weighted by sample size). No single input can move the score more than 18 points from the market signal, which keeps the model grounded.

  • Case Edge compares our confidence against the bookmaker's implied probability from the odds you enter — a positive number suggests the price may be generous relative to our model.
  • Kelly % is a standard bankroll-management formula, not a guarantee — it sizes a stake relative to perceived edge and odds.
  • Score matrix uses a Poisson distribution built from each side's recent scoring and conceding rates.

All models are statistical estimates, not certainties. Treat every figure on this page as one input into your own decision, not as a promise of an outcome.

📐 Editorial Standards for This Case File
  • Every fixture is cross-checked against at least three data points: recent form, head-to-head history, and market odds — no case is filed on a single signal alone.
  • Confidence and edge figures are generated by a documented formula (see methodology above), never assigned arbitrarily.
  • Case files are reviewed by a named analyst before publication and re-checked closer to kickoff for team news or lineup changes.
  • Settled cases are logged publicly with WON / LOST / VOID status — nothing is quietly deleted or hidden after the fact.
  • Corrections to a published case (updated odds, lineup news, postponements) are recorded in the update log below with a timestamp.
📜
Match Archives
History
Head to Head
08.08.25DIV
Korsnas3
Falu2
17.05.25DIV
Falu1
Korsnas0
Recent Form
Falu
31.05.26DIV
Lidingo IFK1
Falu1
D
24.05.26DIV
Falu2
Enskede0
W
17.05.26DIV
Bollstanas3
Falu1
L
09.05.26DIV
IK Franke1
Falu2
W
03.05.26DIV
Falu2
Helges2
D
25.04.26DIV
Falu5
Viggbyholms0
W
18.04.26DIV
Angby1
Falu2
W
12.04.26DIV
Falu1
Skiljebo1
D
05.04.26DIV
Falu1
Kungsangen0
W
28.03.26DIV
Taby0
Falu0
D
Korsnas
31.05.26DIV
Korsnas0
Viggbyholms1
L
24.05.26DIV
IK Franke3
Korsnas1
L
17.05.26DIV
Korsnas0
Angby1
L
09.05.26DIV
Korsnas0
Skiljebo2
L
02.05.26DIV
Kungsangen1
Korsnas1
D
26.04.26DIV
Korsnas3
Enskede2
W
19.04.26DIV
Korsnas0
Taby3
L
12.04.26DIV
Gute1
Korsnas1
D
05.04.26DIV
Lidingo IFK1
Korsnas1
D
28.03.26DIV
Korsnas1
Bollstanas3
L
📝
Match Analysis
Case Notes

On Saturday, 6th June 2026, Falu host Korsnas in Sweden D2 Norra Svealand. Our analysis desk recommends Falu to win as the standout selection.

Falu arrive showing mixed form, having recorded 5 wins, 4 draws and 1 defeats from their last 10 outings.

Korsnas are struggling away from home, with a record of 1W 3D 6L across 10 matches.

Historical meetings favour Falu, who lead the head-to-head with 1 wins to Korsnas's 1, with 0 draws from 2 encounters. Both teams have scored in 50% of those meetings.

Our verdict: falu to win at odds of 1.25 represents the most compelling value in this fixture.


If you want to actually make money on football instead of just throwing it away, you have to trust the stats. This Sweden D2 Norra Svealand game is a perfect chance to do exactly that. Forget about the fan hype and focus entirely on how these teams are actually playing on the grass.

We always check the home team first to set the stage. Their overall season gives us a starting point, but their recent matches tell us if they are hot or cold right now in the moments that matter. Then we turn our attention to the away side.

We compare what they have done all year with their last few weeks to see if the bookies are offering a really good deal by mistake. Looking at their past matchups against each other is just as important. Head-to-head records often reveal playing styles that just do not mix well for one team, creating a natural advantage.

Taking those past games and adding today’s form makes picking a winner so much easier. Right now, the smartest bet on the board is 1, especially with the odds sitting nicely at @1.25. Once the referee starts the game, the stats step aside and the players take over.

The final score will tell us if we got it right. Check our other daily tips for more winning ideas.

Source: Recent fixture results Source: Head-to-head archive Source: Public market odds Model: Poisson score distribution
DD
DailyForebet Verification Desk
Senior Fixture Analyst
Cross-checks every fixture against form, head-to-head and market data before a case file is closed for publication.
Reviewed on 7 Jun 2026
Quick Answers
FAQ
What is the recommended bet for Falu vs Korsnas?
Our selection is 1 — Falu to win, priced at approximately 1.25. Tip confidence rating: 50%.
What is Falu's current form?
Falu have won 5, drawn 4 and lost 1 of their last 10 matches.
How has Korsnas been performing recently?
Korsnas have recorded 1 wins, 3 draws and 6 defeats from 10 recent games.
What does the head-to-head record show?
Falu lead with 1 wins versus Korsnas's 1, with 0 draws across 2 meetings.
How many goals are expected in this match?
Recent fixtures involving these sides average 2.6 goals per game. The head-to-head BTTS rate stands at 50%.
⚠️
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