LOST Case LOST Al Faisaly Amman 0-1 Shabab Al Ordon

Fixture Case File · Ref V ⚽

Al Faisaly Amman

Q: What is the recommended bet for Al Faisaly Amman vs Shabab Al Ordon?

Our selection is 1 — Al Faisaly Amman to win, priced at approximately 1.35. Tip confidence rating: 56%.

Q: What is Al Faisaly Amman's current form?

Al Faisaly Amman have won 3, drawn 1 and lost 1 of their last 5 matches.

Q: How has Shabab Al Ordon been performing recently?

Shabab Al Ordon have recorded 1 wins, 3 draws and 1 defeats from 5 recent games.

Q: What does the head-to-head record show?

Al Faisaly Amman lead with 3 wins versus Shabab Al Ordon's 0, with 2 draws across 5 meetings.

Q: How many goals are expected in this match?

Recent fixtures involving these sides average 2.1 goals per game. The head-to-head BTTS rate stands at 60%.

Home Side

D W W W L

3W 1D 1L → Holding Steady

0-1

Shabab Al Ordon

Away Side

L D W D D

1W 3D 1L ▲ Trending Up

⚑

MODERATE

56%

Thursday, 12th March 2026 Case Verdict

Filing on Al Faisaly Amman to win

Al Faisaly Amman 50%

Draw 30%

Shabab Al Ordon 20%

H Fair Odds2

D Fair Odds3.33

A Fair Odds5

Implied Prob74.1%Bookmaker's implied odds

Case Edge-18.1%Overpriced

Kelly %0%Suggested bankroll %

Fixture Ledger Code

V<DFBA<<F<<<<<<<A<<<<<<<<<<S<<<<<<A<<O<<<<<<DE359A0304DFB2607262M2607269<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<

Case reviewed & signed off by DailyForebet Verification Desk

Senior Fixture Analyst · Last checked 12 Mar 2026

✓ Data-Audited ✓ Independently Checked

⚡

Supporting Markets

Extras

Primary Filing

1 — Al Faisaly Amman to win

1.35

BTTS — No70% Al Faisaly Amman Clean Sheet60%

📋 Case Slip / Combo Builder

Al Faisaly Amman vs Shabab Al Ordon Competition: Jordan Premier League Date: Thursday, 12th March 2026 Pick: 1 (Al Faisaly Amman to win) Odds: 1.35 Confidence: 56% Also: BTTS — No (70%) Also: Al Faisaly Amman Clean Sheet (60%) Ledger Ref: DE359A030

⚔

Head to Head

Record

Al Faisaly Amman

Draws

Shabab Al Ordon

Meetings

1.8

Avg Goals

60%

BTTS

20%

Over 2.5

Supports Filing Al Faisaly Amman won 3 of the last 5 meetings (2 draws).

📊

Stats Duel

Comparison

Al Faisaly Amman

Metric

Shabab Al Ordon

Goals For / Game

0.6

Goals Against / Game

60%

Clean Sheets

40%

3-1-1

W — D — L

1-3-1

Win Rate

60%

20%

2.1

Avg Goals

70%

Over 1.5

40%

Over 2.5

30%

BTTS Rate

🎯

Score Probability Matrix

Poisson Model

0-0 12.3%

0-1 7.4%

0-2 2.2%

0-3 0.4%

0-4 0.1%

0-5 0.0%

1-0 18.4%

1-1 11.0%

1-2 3.3%

1-3 0.7%

1-4 0.1%

1-5 0.0%

2-0 13.8%

2-1 8.3%

2-2 2.5%

2-3 0.5%

2-4 0.1%

2-5 0.0%

3-0 6.9%

3-1 4.1%

3-2 1.2%

3-3 0.3%

3-4 0.0%

3-5 0.0%

4-0 2.6%

4-1 1.6%

4-2 0.5%

4-3 0.1%

4-4 0.0%

4-5 0.0%

5-0 0.8%

5-1 0.5%

5-2 0.1%

5-3 0.0%

5-4 0.0%

5-5 0.0%

Top Scores 1-0(18.4%) 2-0(13.8%) 2-1(8.3%)

■ Best match ■ Possible ■ Low · ■ Contradicts filing A=Home goals ↓ S=Away →

📉

Market Odds Intelligence

Value Finder

Al Faisaly Amman Win

50%

Draw

30%

3.33

Shabab Al Ordon Win

20%

Fair value decimal odds based on our probability model. Compare against your bookmaker's line to identify value.

📈

Team Ratings

Grades

Al Faisaly Amman

Overall

6.6 —

Scoring

6.7 —

Defence

8.0 —

Shabab Al Ordon

Overall

3.8 —

Scoring

2.0 —

Defence

6.7 —

🔀

Combination Markets

Smart Picks

Result & BTTS

Home Win & BTTS Yes 15%

Home Win & BTTS No 35%

Draw & BTTS Yes 10%

Draw & BTTS No 23%

Away Win & BTTS Yes 5%

Away Win & BTTS No 12%

Result & Goals

Home Win & Over 2.5 20%

Home Win & Under 2.5 30%

Draw & Over 2.5 13%

Draw & Under 2.5 20%

Away Win & Over 2.5 7%

Away Win & Under 2.5 10%

🧮

Stake Calculator

Bankroll Tool

Bankroll

Decimal Odds

Win Probability %

Kelly Fraction

—

Kelly %

—

Stake

—

Potential Profit

Uses the Kelly Criterion at your selected fraction. Half Kelly (0.5) is recommended for reduced variance. Not financial advice.

🔎 How we calculate confidence, edge & Kelly %

Our confidence score blends three inputs: the market-implied signal from public odds, the head-to-head record between these two sides, and each team's recent form (weighted by sample size). No single input can move the score more than 18 points from the market signal, which keeps the model grounded.

Case Edge compares our confidence against the bookmaker's implied probability from the odds you enter — a positive number suggests the price may be generous relative to our model.
Kelly % is a standard bankroll-management formula, not a guarantee — it sizes a stake relative to perceived edge and odds.
Score matrix uses a Poisson distribution built from each side's recent scoring and conceding rates.

All models are statistical estimates, not certainties. Treat every figure on this page as one input into your own decision, not as a promise of an outcome.

📐 Editorial Standards for This Case File

Every fixture is cross-checked against at least three data points: recent form, head-to-head history, and market odds — no case is filed on a single signal alone.
Confidence and edge figures are generated by a documented formula (see methodology above), never assigned arbitrarily.
Case files are reviewed by a named analyst before publication and re-checked closer to kickoff for team news or lineup changes.
Settled cases are logged publicly with WON / LOST / VOID status — nothing is quietly deleted or hidden after the fact.
Corrections to a published case (updated odds, lineup news, postponements) are recorded in the update log below with a timestamp.

📜

Match Archives

History

Head to Head

⚽ PL (02.02.26): Shabab Al Ordon1

Al-Faisaly Amman1

⚽ JC (22.12.25): Al-Faisaly Amman1

Shabab Al Ordon (0-0 FT)0

⚽ SC (07.09.25): Shabab Al Ordon0

Al-Faisaly Amman1

⚽ PL (19.08.25): Al-Faisaly Amman2

Shabab Al Ordon1

⚽ PL (22.02.25): Shabab Al Ordon1

Al-Faisaly Amman1

Recent Form

Al Faisaly Amman

⚽ PL (06.03.26): Sama Al Sarhan0

Al-Faisaly Amman0

⚽ PL (01.03.26): Al Ahli0

Al-Faisaly Amman3

⚽ PL (25.02.26): Al-Faisaly Amman4

Sama Al Sarhan0

⚽ PL (20.02.26): Al Buqaa1

Al-Faisaly Amman3

⚽ PL (07.02.26): Al-Faisaly Amman0

Al Wehdat2

Shabab Al Ordon

⚽ PL (07.03.26): Shabab Al Ordon0

Al Salt3

⚽ PL (02.03.26): Shabab Al Ordon1

Al Jazeera Amman1

⚽ PL (24.02.26): Al Ahli0

Shabab Al Ordon1

⚽ PL (20.02.26): Sama Al Sarhan0

Shabab Al Ordon0

⚽ PL (14.02.26): Shabab Al Ordon1

Al Buqaa1

📝

Match Analysis

Case Notes

On Thursday, 12th March 2026, Al Faisaly Amman host Shabab Al Ordon in Jordan Premier League. Our analysis desk recommends Al Faisaly Amman to win as the standout selection.

Al Faisaly Amman arrive showing mixed form, having recorded 3 wins, 1 draws and 1 defeats from their last 5 outings.

Shabab Al Ordon are struggling away from home, with a record of 1W 3D 1L across 5 matches.

Historical meetings favour Al Faisaly Amman, who lead the head-to-head with 3 wins to Shabab Al Ordon's 0, with 2 draws from 5 encounters. Both teams have scored in 60% of those meetings.

Our verdict: al faisaly amman to win at odds of 1.35 represents the most compelling value in this fixture.

Source: Recent fixture results Source: Head-to-head archive Source: Public market odds Model: Poisson score distribution

DailyForebet Verification Desk

Senior Fixture Analyst

Cross-checks every fixture against form, head-to-head and market data before a case file is closed for publication.

Reviewed on 12 Mar 2026

❓

Quick Answers

FAQ

What is the recommended bet for Al Faisaly Amman vs Shabab Al Ordon?

Our selection is 1 — Al Faisaly Amman to win, priced at approximately 1.35. Tip confidence rating: 56%.

What is Al Faisaly Amman's current form?

Al Faisaly Amman have won 3, drawn 1 and lost 1 of their last 5 matches.

How has Shabab Al Ordon been performing recently?

Shabab Al Ordon have recorded 1 wins, 3 draws and 1 defeats from 5 recent games.

What does the head-to-head record show?

Al Faisaly Amman lead with 3 wins versus Shabab Al Ordon's 0, with 2 draws across 5 meetings.

How many goals are expected in this match?

Recent fixtures involving these sides average 2.1 goals per game. The head-to-head BTTS rate stands at 60%.

🔗

More Cases Today

⚠️

Bet Responsibly. DailyForebet provides predictions for informational and entertainment purposes only. Predictions are statistical models, not guaranteed outcomes. Never bet more than you can afford to lose. If gambling is affecting your life, contact BeGambleAware.org or call 0808 8020 133 (UK). 18+ only.