WON Case WON Cambuur 1-0 Jong Utrecht

Fixture Case File · Ref V ⚽

Cambuur

Q: What is the recommended bet for Cambuur vs Jong Utrecht?

Our selection is 1 — Cambuur to win, priced at approximately 1.46. Tip confidence rating: 62%.

Q: What is Cambuur's current form?

Cambuur have won 4, drawn 1 and lost 0 of their last 5 matches.

Q: How has Jong Utrecht been performing recently?

Jong Utrecht have recorded 0 wins, 2 draws and 3 defeats from 5 recent games.

Q: What does the head-to-head record show?

Cambuur lead with 3 wins versus Jong Utrecht's 2, with 0 draws across 5 meetings.

Q: How many goals are expected in this match?

Recent fixtures involving these sides average 2.9 goals per game. The head-to-head BTTS rate stands at 80%.

Home Side

W W W D W

4W 1D 0L ▼ Trending Down

1-0

Jong Utrecht

Away Side

L L L D D

0W 2D 3L → Holding Steady

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MODERATE

62%

Sunday, 8th March 2026 Case Verdict

Filing on Cambuur to win

Cambuur 50%

Draw 30%

Jong Utrecht 20%

H Fair Odds2

D Fair Odds3.33

A Fair Odds5

Implied Prob68.5%Bookmaker's implied odds

Case Edge-6.5%Overpriced

Kelly %0%Suggested bankroll %

Fixture Ledger Code

V<DFBC<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<J<<<<U<<<<<<<<<<<32D29AD1C4DFB2607272M2607279<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<

Case reviewed & signed off by DailyForebet Verification Desk

Senior Fixture Analyst · Last checked 8 Mar 2026

✓ Data-Audited ✓ Independently Checked

⚡

Supporting Markets

Extras

Primary Filing

1 — Cambuur to win

1.46

Over 1.5 Goals80% BTTS — Yes80%

📋 Case Slip / Combo Builder

Cambuur vs Jong Utrecht Competition: Eerste Divisie Date: Sunday, 8th March 2026 Pick: 1 (Cambuur to win) Odds: 1.46 Confidence: 62% Also: Over 1.5 Goals (80%) Also: BTTS — Yes (80%) Ledger Ref: 32D29AD1C

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Head to Head

Record

Cambuur

Draws

Jong Utrecht

Meetings

Avg Goals

80%

BTTS

100%

Over 2.5

Supports Filing Cambuur won 3 of the last 5 meetings (0 draws).

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Stats Duel

Comparison

Cambuur

Metric

Jong Utrecht

Goals For / Game

1.2

Goals Against / Game

1.6

Clean Sheets

4-1-0

W — D — L

0-2-3

Win Rate

80%

2.9

Avg Goals

80%

Over 1.5

60%

Over 2.5

80%

BTTS Rate

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Score Probability Matrix

Poisson Model

0-0 5.5%

0-1 6.1%

0-2 3.3%

0-3 1.2%

0-4 0.3%

0-5 0.1%

1-0 9.9%

1-1 10.9%

1-2 6.0%

1-3 2.2%

1-4 0.6%

1-5 0.1%

2-0 8.9%

2-1 9.8%

2-2 5.4%

2-3 2.0%

2-4 0.5%

2-5 0.1%

3-0 5.4%

3-1 5.9%

3-2 3.2%

3-3 1.2%

3-4 0.3%

3-5 0.1%

4-0 2.4%

4-1 2.7%

4-2 1.5%

4-3 0.5%

4-4 0.2%

4-5 0.0%

5-0 0.9%

5-1 1.0%

5-2 0.5%

5-3 0.2%

5-4 0.1%

5-5 0.0%

Top Scores 1-0(9.9%) 2-1(9.8%) 2-0(8.9%)

■ Best match ■ Possible ■ Low · ■ Contradicts filing C=Home goals ↓ J=Away →

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Market Odds Intelligence

Value Finder

Cambuur Win

50%

Draw

30%

3.33

Jong Utrecht Win

20%

Fair value decimal odds based on our probability model. Compare against your bookmaker's line to identify value.

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Team Ratings

Grades

Cambuur

Overall

8.6 —

Scoring

6.7 —

Defence

6.0 —

Jong Utrecht

Overall

1.2 —

Scoring

3.3 —

Defence

4.7 —

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Combination Markets

Smart Picks

Result & BTTS

Home Win & BTTS Yes 58%

Home Win & BTTS No 15%

Draw & BTTS Yes 22%

Draw & BTTS No 5%

Away Win & BTTS Yes 0%

Away Win & BTTS No 0%

Result & Goals

Home Win & Over 2.5 44%

Home Win & Under 2.5 29%

Draw & Over 2.5 16%

Draw & Under 2.5 11%

Away Win & Over 2.5 0%

Away Win & Under 2.5 0%

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Stake Calculator

Bankroll Tool

Bankroll

Decimal Odds

Win Probability %

Kelly Fraction

—

Kelly %

—

Stake

—

Potential Profit

Uses the Kelly Criterion at your selected fraction. Half Kelly (0.5) is recommended for reduced variance. Not financial advice.

🔎 How we calculate confidence, edge & Kelly %

Our confidence score blends three inputs: the market-implied signal from public odds, the head-to-head record between these two sides, and each team's recent form (weighted by sample size). No single input can move the score more than 18 points from the market signal, which keeps the model grounded.

Case Edge compares our confidence against the bookmaker's implied probability from the odds you enter — a positive number suggests the price may be generous relative to our model.
Kelly % is a standard bankroll-management formula, not a guarantee — it sizes a stake relative to perceived edge and odds.
Score matrix uses a Poisson distribution built from each side's recent scoring and conceding rates.

All models are statistical estimates, not certainties. Treat every figure on this page as one input into your own decision, not as a promise of an outcome.

📐 Editorial Standards for This Case File

Every fixture is cross-checked against at least three data points: recent form, head-to-head history, and market odds — no case is filed on a single signal alone.
Confidence and edge figures are generated by a documented formula (see methodology above), never assigned arbitrarily.
Case files are reviewed by a named analyst before publication and re-checked closer to kickoff for team news or lineup changes.
Settled cases are logged publicly with WON / LOST / VOID status — nothing is quietly deleted or hidden after the fact.
Corrections to a published case (updated odds, lineup news, postponements) are recorded in the update log below with a timestamp.

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Match Archives

History

Head to Head

⚽ EER (Sep 22, 2025): Jong Utrecht2

Cambuur4

⚽ EER (Apr 13, 2025): Cambuur3

Jong Utrecht1

⚽ EER (Sep 23, 2024): Jong Utrecht0

Cambuur4

⚽ EER (Feb 16, 2024): Cambuur2

Jong Utrecht4

⚽ EER (Sep 22, 2023): Jong Utrecht3

Cambuur2

Recent Form

Cambuur

⚽ EER (Mar 3, 2026): Cambuur3

Almere City2

⚽ EER (Feb 27, 2026): Oss1

Cambuur2

⚽ EER (Feb 24, 2026): Cambuur2

Eindhoven FC1

⚽ EER (Feb 20, 2026): Cambuur1

Waalwijk1

⚽ EER (Feb 16, 2026): Jong Ajax1

Cambuur2

Jong Utrecht

⚽ EER (Mar 2, 2026): FC Emmen1

Jong Utrecht0

⚽ EER (Feb 27, 2026): Jong Utrecht2

Almere City3

⚽ EER (Feb 20, 2026): De Graafschap1

Jong Utrecht0

⚽ EER (Feb 16, 2026): Jong Utrecht1

Willem II1

⚽ EER (Feb 2, 2026): Jong Utrecht2

Venlo2

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Match Analysis

Case Notes

On Sunday, 8th March 2026, Cambuur host Jong Utrecht in Eerste Divisie. Our analysis desk recommends Cambuur to win as the standout selection.

Cambuur arrive in strong form, having recorded 4 wins, 1 draws and 0 defeats from their last 5 outings.

Jong Utrecht are struggling away from home, with a record of 0W 2D 3L across 5 matches.

Historical meetings favour Cambuur, who lead the head-to-head with 3 wins to Jong Utrecht's 2, with 0 draws from 5 encounters. Both teams have scored in 80% of those meetings.

Our verdict: cambuur to win at odds of 1.46 represents the most compelling value in this fixture.

Source: Recent fixture results Source: Head-to-head archive Source: Public market odds Model: Poisson score distribution

DailyForebet Verification Desk

Senior Fixture Analyst

Cross-checks every fixture against form, head-to-head and market data before a case file is closed for publication.

Reviewed on 8 Mar 2026

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Quick Answers

FAQ

What is the recommended bet for Cambuur vs Jong Utrecht?

Our selection is 1 — Cambuur to win, priced at approximately 1.46. Tip confidence rating: 62%.

What is Cambuur's current form?

Cambuur have won 4, drawn 1 and lost 0 of their last 5 matches.

How has Jong Utrecht been performing recently?

Jong Utrecht have recorded 0 wins, 2 draws and 3 defeats from 5 recent games.

What does the head-to-head record show?

Cambuur lead with 3 wins versus Jong Utrecht's 2, with 0 draws across 5 meetings.

How many goals are expected in this match?

Recent fixtures involving these sides average 2.9 goals per game. The head-to-head BTTS rate stands at 80%.

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