WON Case WON Stockholm Internazionale 4-1 Vasalund
Fixture Case File · Ref V
S

Stockholm Internazionale

Home Side
W D W L L
4W 3D 3L → Holding Steady
VS
4-1
V
Vasalund
Away Side
W W W L W
5W 2D 3L → Holding Steady
CASE VERIFIED
70%
Monday, 8th June 2026 Case Verdict
Over 2.5
Filing on over 2.5 goals
Implied Prob65.8%Bookmaker's implied odds
Case Edge+4.2%Value detected
Kelly %12.3%Suggested bankroll %
Fixture Ledger Code
V<DFBS<<<<<<<<<I<<<<<<<<<<<V<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<CCD0892F74DFB2607262M2607269<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<
DD
Case reviewed & signed off by DailyForebet Verification Desk
Senior Fixture Analyst · Last checked 9 Jun 2026
✓ Data-Audited ✓ Independently Checked
Supporting Markets
Extras
Primary Filing
Over 2.5 — over 2.5 goals
1.52
Over 2.5 Goals65%
📋 Case Slip / Combo Builder
Stockholm Internazionale vs Vasalund Competition: Sweden Div 1 Norra Date: Monday, 8th June 2026 Pick: Over 2.5 (over 2.5 goals) Odds: 1.52 Confidence: 70% Also: Over 2.5 Goals (65%) Ledger Ref: CCD0892F7
Head to Head
Record
4
Stockholm Internazionale
5
Draws
1
Vasalund
10
Meetings
2.8
Avg Goals
70%
BTTS
60%
Over 2.5
Supports Filing Over 2.5 in 60% of H2H.
📊
Stats Duel
Comparison
Stockholm Internazionale
Metric
Vasalund
1.6
Goals For / Game
1.7
1.1
Goals Against / Game
1.6
30%
Clean Sheets
30%
4-3-3
W — D — L
5-2-3
Win Rate
40%
50%
3
Avg Goals
75%
Over 1.5
65%
Over 2.5
55%
BTTS Rate
🎯
Score Probability Matrix
Poisson Model
V0
V1
V2
V3
V4
V5
S0
0-0 5.0%
0-1 7.0%
0-2 4.9%
0-3 2.3%
0-4 0.8%
0-5 0.2%
S1
1-0 8.0%
1-1 11.2%
1-2 7.8%
1-3 3.6%
1-4 1.3%
1-5 0.4%
S2
2-0 6.4%
2-1 8.9%
2-2 6.3%
2-3 2.9%
2-4 1.0%
2-5 0.3%
S3
3-0 3.4%
3-1 4.8%
3-2 3.3%
3-3 1.6%
3-4 0.5%
3-5 0.2%
S4
4-0 1.4%
4-1 1.9%
4-2 1.3%
4-3 0.6%
4-4 0.2%
4-5 0.1%
S5
5-0 0.4%
5-1 0.6%
5-2 0.4%
5-3 0.2%
5-4 0.1%
5-5 0.0%
Top Scores 1-1(11.2%) 2-1(8.9%) 1-0(8.0%)
■ Best match ■ Possible ■ Low · ■ Contradicts filing S=Home goals ↓   V=Away →
📈
Team Ratings
Grades
Stockholm Internazionale
Overall
4.9
Scoring
5.3
Defence
6.3
Vasalund
Overall
5.6
Scoring
5.7
Defence
4.7
🔀
Combination Markets
Smart Picks
Result & BTTS
Home Win & BTTS Yes 19%
Home Win & BTTS No 16%
Draw & BTTS Yes 12%
Draw & BTTS No 10%
Away Win & BTTS Yes 24%
Away Win & BTTS No 19%
Result & Goals
Home Win & Over 2.5 23%
Home Win & Under 2.5 12%
Draw & Over 2.5 14%
Draw & Under 2.5 8%
Away Win & Over 2.5 28%
Away Win & Under 2.5 15%
🧮
Stake Calculator
Bankroll Tool
Kelly %
Stake
Potential Profit
Uses the Kelly Criterion at your selected fraction. Half Kelly (0.5) is recommended for reduced variance. Not financial advice.
🔎 How we calculate confidence, edge & Kelly %

Our confidence score blends three inputs: the market-implied signal from public odds, the head-to-head record between these two sides, and each team's recent form (weighted by sample size). No single input can move the score more than 18 points from the market signal, which keeps the model grounded.

  • Case Edge compares our confidence against the bookmaker's implied probability from the odds you enter — a positive number suggests the price may be generous relative to our model.
  • Kelly % is a standard bankroll-management formula, not a guarantee — it sizes a stake relative to perceived edge and odds.
  • Score matrix uses a Poisson distribution built from each side's recent scoring and conceding rates.

All models are statistical estimates, not certainties. Treat every figure on this page as one input into your own decision, not as a promise of an outcome.

📐 Editorial Standards for This Case File
  • Every fixture is cross-checked against at least three data points: recent form, head-to-head history, and market odds — no case is filed on a single signal alone.
  • Confidence and edge figures are generated by a documented formula (see methodology above), never assigned arbitrarily.
  • Case files are reviewed by a named analyst before publication and re-checked closer to kickoff for team news or lineup changes.
  • Settled cases are logged publicly with WON / LOST / VOID status — nothing is quietly deleted or hidden after the fact.
  • Corrections to a published case (updated odds, lineup news, postponements) are recorded in the update log below with a timestamp.
📜
Match Archives
History
Head to Head
07.03.26CF
Vasalund2
Stockholm Internazionale2
03.10.25DIV
Vasalund1
Stockholm Internazionale1
19.06.25DIV
Stockholm Internazionale0
Vasalund0
08.02.25CF
Stockholm Internazionale2
Vasalund2
04.08.24DIV
Stockholm Internazionale2
Vasalund1
20.06.24DIV
Vasalund0
Stockholm Internazionale2
24.02.24CF
Vasalund1
Stockholm Internazionale2
12.11.23DIV
Vasalund1
Stockholm Internazionale4
17.06.23DIV
Stockholm Internazionale0
Vasalund3
19.02.23CF
Vasalund1
Stockholm Internazionale1
Recent Form
Stockholm Internazionale
04.06.26CUP
Stocksund0
Stockholm Internazionale1
W
31.05.26DIV
Pitea2
Stockholm Internazionale2
D
23.05.26DIV
Stockholm Internazionale2
Karlbergs1
W
16.05.26DIV
Hammarby TFF3
Stockholm Internazionale1
L
13.05.26DIV
Stockholm Internazionale0
AFC Eskilstuna2
L
09.05.26DIV
Stocksund1
Stockholm Internazionale6
W
03.05.26DIV
Stockholm Internazionale1
Sollentuna1
D
26.04.26DIV
Stockholm Internazionale3
Umea FC0
W
18.04.26DIV
Arlanda0
Stockholm Internazionale0
D
12.04.26DIV
Stockholm Internazionale0
Karlstad1
L
Vasalund
03.06.26DIV
Vasalund3
Jarfalla1
W
28.05.26CUP
Assyriska FF0
Vasalund1
W
24.05.26DIV
AFC Eskilstuna0
Vasalund3
W
17.05.26DIV
Karlstad5
Vasalund0
L
14.05.26DIV
Vasalund1
Gefle0
W
10.05.26DIV
Vasalund1
Pitea2
L
01.05.26DIV
Stocksund2
Vasalund2
D
27.04.26DIV
Hammarby TFF2
Vasalund2
D
19.04.26DIV
Vasalund3
Umea FC1
W
12.04.26DIV
Vasalund1
FBK Karlstad3
L
📝
Match Analysis
Case Notes

On Monday, 8th June 2026, Stockholm Internazionale host Vasalund in Sweden Div 1 Norra. Our analysis desk recommends over 2.5 goals as the standout selection.

Stockholm Internazionale arrive showing mixed form, having recorded 4 wins, 3 draws and 3 defeats from their last 10 outings.

Vasalund are inconsistent on the road, with a record of 5W 2D 3L across 10 matches.

Historical meetings favour Stockholm Internazionale, who lead the head-to-head with 4 wins to Vasalund's 1, with 5 draws from 10 encounters. Both teams have scored in 70% of those meetings.

Our verdict: over 2.5 goals at odds of 1.52 represents the most compelling value in this fixture.


If you want to actually make money on football instead of just throwing it away, you have to trust the stats. This Sweden Div 1 Norra game is a perfect chance to do exactly that. Forget about the fan hype and focus entirely on how these teams are actually playing on the grass.

We always check the home team first to set the stage. Their overall season gives us a starting point, but their recent matches tell us if they are hot or cold right now in the moments that matter. Then we turn our attention to the away side.

We compare what they have done all year with their last few weeks to see if the bookies are offering a really good deal by mistake. Looking at their past matchups against each other is just as important. Head-to-head records often reveal playing styles that just do not mix well for one team, creating a natural advantage.

Taking those past games and adding today’s form makes picking a winner so much easier. Right now, the smartest bet on the board is Over 2.5, especially with the odds sitting nicely at @1.52. Once the referee starts the game, the stats step aside and the players take over.

The final score will tell us if we got it right. Check our other daily tips for more winning ideas.

Source: Recent fixture results Source: Head-to-head archive Source: Public market odds Model: Poisson score distribution
DD
DailyForebet Verification Desk
Senior Fixture Analyst
Cross-checks every fixture against form, head-to-head and market data before a case file is closed for publication.
Reviewed on 9 Jun 2026
Quick Answers
FAQ
What is the recommended bet for Stockholm Internazionale vs Vasalund?
Our selection is Over 2.5 — over 2.5 goals, priced at approximately 1.52. Tip confidence rating: 70%.
What is Stockholm Internazionale's current form?
Stockholm Internazionale have won 4, drawn 3 and lost 3 of their last 10 matches.
How has Vasalund been performing recently?
Vasalund have recorded 5 wins, 2 draws and 3 defeats from 10 recent games.
What does the head-to-head record show?
Stockholm Internazionale lead with 4 wins versus Vasalund's 1, with 5 draws across 10 meetings.
How many goals are expected in this match?
Recent fixtures involving these sides average 3 goals per game. The head-to-head BTTS rate stands at 70%.
⚠️
Bet Responsibly. DailyForebet provides predictions for informational and entertainment purposes only. Predictions are statistical models, not guaranteed outcomes. Never bet more than you can afford to lose. If gambling is affecting your life, contact BeGambleAware.org or call 0808 8020 133 (UK). 18+ only.
18+Betting carries risk: debt, isolation, dependency. Predictions are for entertainment and informational purposes only, not financial advice.