WON Case WON Jayxun 1-4 Aral
Fixture Case File · Ref V
J

Jayxun

Home Side
D L W W D
2W 2D 6L → Holding Steady
VS
1-4
A
Aral
Away Side
W W W D W
7W 2D 1L → Holding Steady
CAUTION
0%
Monday, 8th June 2026 Case Verdict
X2
Filing on Aral to win or draw
Implied Prob90.9%Bookmaker's implied odds
Case Edge-90.9%Overpriced
Fixture Ledger Code
V<DFBJ<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<A<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<13E5D43614DFB2607222M2607229<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<
DD
Case reviewed & signed off by DailyForebet Verification Desk
Senior Fixture Analyst · Last checked 9 Jun 2026
✓ Data-Audited ✓ Independently Checked
Supporting Markets
Extras
Primary Filing
X2 — Aral to win or draw
1.10
BTTS — No70%
📋 Case Slip / Combo Builder
Jayxun vs Aral Competition: Uzbekistan Pro Liga Date: Monday, 8th June 2026 Pick: X2 (Aral to win or draw) Odds: 1.10 Confidence: 0% Also: BTTS — No (70%) Ledger Ref: 13E5D4361
Head to Head
Record
0
Jayxun
1
Draws
3
Aral
4
Meetings
2.5
Avg Goals
50%
BTTS
75%
Over 2.5
Neutral Insufficient H2H data.
📊
Stats Duel
Comparison
Jayxun
Metric
Aral
0.6
Goals For / Game
2
1.6
Goals Against / Game
0.7
40%
Clean Sheets
40%
2-2-6
W — D — L
7-2-1
Win Rate
20%
70%
2.5
Avg Goals
75%
Over 1.5
45%
Over 2.5
30%
BTTS Rate
🎯
Score Probability Matrix
Poisson Model
A0
A1
A2
A3
A4
A5
J0
0-0 8.6%
0-1 15.5%
0-2 14.0%
0-3 8.4%
0-4 3.8%
0-5 1.4%
J1
1-0 5.6%
1-1 10.1%
1-2 9.1%
1-3 5.5%
1-4 2.5%
1-5 0.9%
J2
2-0 1.8%
2-1 3.3%
2-2 3.0%
2-3 1.8%
2-4 0.8%
2-5 0.3%
J3
3-0 0.4%
3-1 0.7%
3-2 0.6%
3-3 0.4%
3-4 0.2%
3-5 0.1%
J4
4-0 0.1%
4-1 0.1%
4-2 0.1%
4-3 0.1%
4-4 0.0%
4-5 0.0%
J5
5-0 0.0%
5-1 0.0%
5-2 0.0%
5-3 0.0%
5-4 0.0%
5-5 0.0%
Top Scores 0-1(15.5%) 0-2(14.0%) 1-1(10.1%)
■ Best match ■ Possible ■ Low · ■ Contradicts filing J=Home goals ↓   A=Away →
📈
Team Ratings
Grades
Jayxun
Overall
2.6
Scoring
2.0
Defence
4.7
Aral
Overall
7.6
Scoring
6.7
Defence
7.7
🔀
Combination Markets
Smart Picks
Result & BTTS
Home Win & BTTS Yes 5%
Home Win & BTTS No 13%
Draw & BTTS Yes 5%
Draw & BTTS No 13%
Away Win & BTTS Yes 19%
Away Win & BTTS No 45%
Result & Goals
Home Win & Over 2.5 8%
Home Win & Under 2.5 10%
Draw & Over 2.5 8%
Draw & Under 2.5 10%
Away Win & Over 2.5 29%
Away Win & Under 2.5 35%
🧮
Stake Calculator
Bankroll Tool
Kelly %
Stake
Potential Profit
Uses the Kelly Criterion at your selected fraction. Half Kelly (0.5) is recommended for reduced variance. Not financial advice.
🔎 How we calculate confidence, edge & Kelly %

Our confidence score blends three inputs: the market-implied signal from public odds, the head-to-head record between these two sides, and each team's recent form (weighted by sample size). No single input can move the score more than 18 points from the market signal, which keeps the model grounded.

  • Case Edge compares our confidence against the bookmaker's implied probability from the odds you enter — a positive number suggests the price may be generous relative to our model.
  • Kelly % is a standard bankroll-management formula, not a guarantee — it sizes a stake relative to perceived edge and odds.
  • Score matrix uses a Poisson distribution built from each side's recent scoring and conceding rates.

All models are statistical estimates, not certainties. Treat every figure on this page as one input into your own decision, not as a promise of an outcome.

📐 Editorial Standards for This Case File
  • Every fixture is cross-checked against at least three data points: recent form, head-to-head history, and market odds — no case is filed on a single signal alone.
  • Confidence and edge figures are generated by a documented formula (see methodology above), never assigned arbitrarily.
  • Case files are reviewed by a named analyst before publication and re-checked closer to kickoff for team news or lineup changes.
  • Settled cases are logged publicly with WON / LOST / VOID status — nothing is quietly deleted or hidden after the fact.
  • Corrections to a published case (updated odds, lineup news, postponements) are recorded in the update log below with a timestamp.
📜
Match Archives
History
Head to Head
05.10.25PL
Jayxun1
Aral2
12.08.25PL
Aral2
Jayxun1
18.05.25PL
Jayxun0
Aral0
03.04.25PL
Aral4
Jayxun0
Recent Form
Jayxun
03.06.26PL
Gazalkent0
Jayxun0
D
30.05.26PL
Jayxun1
Shortan Guzor2
L
05.05.26PL
Jayxun2
Metallurg Bekabad0
W
01.05.26PL
Pakhtakor II0
Jayxun3
W
25.04.26PL
Jayxun0
TerDU0
D
20.04.26PL
Yaypan2
Jayxun0
L
16.04.26PL
Jayxun0
Lochin2
L
12.04.26PL
FarDU4
Jayxun0
L
06.04.26PL
Jayxun0
Kattaqurgon2
L
09.11.25PL
Olimpik-Mobiuz4
Jayxun0
L
Aral
03.06.26PL
Aral3
Pakhtakor II0
W
29.05.26PL
TerDU0
Aral1
W
06.05.26PL
Aral5
Yaypan1
W
01.05.26PL
Lochin2
Aral2
D
26.04.26PL
Aral2
FarDU0
W
21.04.26PL
Kattaqurgon1
Aral1
D
17.04.26PL
Aral1
Olimpik-Mobiuz0
W
12.04.26PL
BuxDu1
Aral3
W
05.04.26PL
Aral2
Respublika FA1
W
16.12.25SL
Aral0
Buxoro1
L
📝
Match Analysis
Case Notes

On Monday, 8th June 2026, Jayxun host Aral in Uzbekistan Pro Liga. Our analysis desk recommends Aral to win or draw as the standout selection.

Jayxun arrive going through a difficult run, having recorded 2 wins, 2 draws and 6 defeats from their last 10 outings.

Aral are travelling well, with a record of 7W 2D 1L across 10 matches.

Historical meetings favour Jayxun, who lead the head-to-head with 0 wins to Aral's 3, with 1 draws from 4 encounters. Both teams have scored in 50% of those meetings.

Our verdict: aral to win or draw at odds of 1.10 represents the most compelling value in this fixture.


If you want to actually make money on football instead of just throwing it away, you have to trust the stats. This Uzbekistan Pro Liga game is a perfect chance to do exactly that. Forget about the fan hype and focus entirely on how these teams are actually playing on the grass.

We always check the home team first to set the stage. Their overall season gives us a starting point, but their recent matches tell us if they are hot or cold right now in the moments that matter. Then we turn our attention to the away side.

We compare what they have done all year with their last few weeks to see if the bookies are offering a really good deal by mistake. Looking at their past matchups against each other is just as important. Head-to-head records often reveal playing styles that just do not mix well for one team, creating a natural advantage.

Taking those past games and adding today’s form makes picking a winner so much easier. Right now, the smartest bet on the board is X2, especially with the odds sitting nicely at @1.10. Once the referee starts the game, the stats step aside and the players take over.

The final score will tell us if we got it right. Check our other daily tips for more winning ideas.

Source: Recent fixture results Source: Head-to-head archive Source: Public market odds Model: Poisson score distribution
DD
DailyForebet Verification Desk
Senior Fixture Analyst
Cross-checks every fixture against form, head-to-head and market data before a case file is closed for publication.
Reviewed on 9 Jun 2026
Quick Answers
FAQ
What is the recommended bet for Jayxun vs Aral?
Our selection is X2 — Aral to win or draw, priced at approximately 1.10.
What is Jayxun's current form?
Jayxun have won 2, drawn 2 and lost 6 of their last 10 matches.
How has Aral been performing recently?
Aral have recorded 7 wins, 2 draws and 1 defeats from 10 recent games.
What does the head-to-head record show?
Jayxun lead with 0 wins versus Aral's 3, with 1 draws across 4 meetings.
How many goals are expected in this match?
Recent fixtures involving these sides average 2.5 goals per game. The head-to-head BTTS rate stands at 50%.
⚠️
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