LOST Case LOST Qatar 1-1 Switzerland
Fixture Case File · Ref V
Q

Qatar

Home Side
D L L D L
1W 4D 5L ▼ Trending Down
VS
1-1
S
Switzerland
Away Side
D W D L D
5W 4D 1L ▲ Trending Up
MODERATE
46%
Saturday, 13th June 2026 Case Verdict
2
Filing on Switzerland to win
Qatar 20%
Draw 20%
Switzerland 60%
H Fair Odds5
D Fair Odds5
A Fair Odds1.67
Implied Prob78.7%Bookmaker's implied odds
Case Edge-32.7%Overpriced
Kelly %0%Suggested bankroll %
Fixture Ledger Code
V<DFBQ<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<S<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<F6EB072664DFB2607262M2607269<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<
DD
Case reviewed & signed off by DailyForebet Verification Desk
Senior Fixture Analyst · Last checked 14 Jun 2026
✓ Data-Audited ✓ Independently Checked
Head to Head
Record
1
Qatar
0
Draws
0
Switzerland
1
Meetings
1
Avg Goals
0%
BTTS
0%
Over 2.5
Against Filing Switzerland won 0 of 1 meetings.
📊
Stats Duel
Comparison
Qatar
Metric
Switzerland
0.7
Goals For / Game
2.2
1.5
Goals Against / Game
0.8
20%
Clean Sheets
50%
1-4-5
W — D — L
5-4-1
Win Rate
10%
50%
2.6
Avg Goals
70%
Over 1.5
50%
Over 2.5
50%
BTTS Rate
🎯
Score Probability Matrix
Poisson Model
S0
S1
S2
S3
S4
S5
Q0
0-0 7.4%
0-1 13.7%
0-2 12.7%
0-3 7.8%
0-4 3.6%
0-5 1.3%
Q1
1-0 5.6%
1-1 10.3%
1-2 9.5%
1-3 5.9%
1-4 2.7%
1-5 1.0%
Q2
2-0 2.1%
2-1 3.9%
2-2 3.6%
2-3 2.2%
2-4 1.0%
2-5 0.4%
Q3
3-0 0.5%
3-1 1.0%
3-2 0.9%
3-3 0.6%
3-4 0.3%
3-5 0.1%
Q4
4-0 0.1%
4-1 0.2%
4-2 0.2%
4-3 0.1%
4-4 0.1%
4-5 0.0%
Q5
5-0 0.0%
5-1 0.0%
5-2 0.0%
5-3 0.0%
5-4 0.0%
5-5 0.0%
Top Scores 0-1(13.7%) 0-2(12.7%) 1-2(9.5%)
■ Best match ■ Possible ■ Low · ■ Contradicts filing Q=Home goals ↓   S=Away →
📉
Market Odds Intelligence
Value Finder
Qatar Win
20%
5
Draw
20%
5
Switzerland Win
60%
1.67
Fair value decimal odds based on our probability model. Compare against your bookmaker's line to identify value.
📈
Team Ratings
Grades
Qatar
Overall
2.2
Scoring
2.3
Defence
5.0
Switzerland
Overall
6.2
Scoring
7.3
Defence
7.3
🔀
Combination Markets
Smart Picks
Result & BTTS
Home Win & BTTS Yes 5%
Home Win & BTTS No 5%
Draw & BTTS Yes 20%
Draw & BTTS No 20%
Away Win & BTTS Yes 25%
Away Win & BTTS No 25%
Result & Goals
Home Win & Over 2.5 5%
Home Win & Under 2.5 5%
Draw & Over 2.5 20%
Draw & Under 2.5 20%
Away Win & Over 2.5 25%
Away Win & Under 2.5 25%
🧮
Stake Calculator
Bankroll Tool
Kelly %
Stake
Potential Profit
Uses the Kelly Criterion at your selected fraction. Half Kelly (0.5) is recommended for reduced variance. Not financial advice.
🔎 How we calculate confidence, edge & Kelly %

Our confidence score blends three inputs: the market-implied signal from public odds, the head-to-head record between these two sides, and each team's recent form (weighted by sample size). No single input can move the score more than 18 points from the market signal, which keeps the model grounded.

  • Case Edge compares our confidence against the bookmaker's implied probability from the odds you enter — a positive number suggests the price may be generous relative to our model.
  • Kelly % is a standard bankroll-management formula, not a guarantee — it sizes a stake relative to perceived edge and odds.
  • Score matrix uses a Poisson distribution built from each side's recent scoring and conceding rates.

All models are statistical estimates, not certainties. Treat every figure on this page as one input into your own decision, not as a promise of an outcome.

📐 Editorial Standards for This Case File
  • Every fixture is cross-checked against at least three data points: recent form, head-to-head history, and market odds — no case is filed on a single signal alone.
  • Confidence and edge figures are generated by a documented formula (see methodology above), never assigned arbitrarily.
  • Case files are reviewed by a named analyst before publication and re-checked closer to kickoff for team news or lineup changes.
  • Settled cases are logged publicly with WON / LOST / VOID status — nothing is quietly deleted or hidden after the fact.
  • Corrections to a published case (updated odds, lineup news, postponements) are recorded in the update log below with a timestamp.
📜
Match Archives
History
Head to Head
14.11.18FI
Switzerland0
Qatar1
Recent Form
Qatar
06.06.26FI
Qatar0
El Salvador0
D
28.05.26FI
Ireland1
Qatar0
L
07.12.25ARC
Qatar0
Tunisia3
L
04.12.25ARC
Syria1
Qatar1
D
01.12.25ARC
Qatar0
Palestine1
L
17.11.25FI
Qatar1
Zimbabwe2
L
14.10.25WC
Qatar2
United Arab Emirates1
W
08.10.25WC
Oman0
Qatar0
D
07.09.25FI
Qatar1
Russia4
L
03.09.25FI
Qatar2
Bahrain2
D
Switzerland
06.06.26FI
Switzerland1
Australia1
D
31.05.26FI
Switzerland4
Jordan1
W
31.03.26FI
Norway0
Switzerland0
D
27.03.26FI
Switzerland3
Germany4
L
18.11.25WC
Kosovo1
Switzerland1
D
15.11.25WC
Switzerland4
Sweden1
W
13.10.25WC
Slovenia0
Switzerland0
D
10.10.25WC
Sweden0
Switzerland2
W
08.09.25WC
Switzerland3
Slovenia0
W
05.09.25WC
Switzerland4
Kosovo0
W
📝
Match Analysis
Case Notes

On Saturday, 13th June 2026, Qatar host Switzerland in World Cup 2026. Our analysis desk recommends Switzerland to win as the standout selection.

Qatar arrive going through a difficult run, having recorded 1 wins, 4 draws and 5 defeats from their last 10 outings.

Switzerland are inconsistent on the road, with a record of 5W 4D 1L across 10 matches.

Historical meetings favour Qatar, who lead the head-to-head with 1 wins to Switzerland's 0, with 0 draws from 1 encounters. Both teams have scored in 0% of those meetings.

Our verdict: switzerland to win at odds of 1.27 represents the most compelling value in this fixture.


If you want to actually make money on football instead of just throwing it away, you have to trust the stats. This World Cup 2026 game is a perfect chance to do exactly that. Forget about the fan hype and focus entirely on how these teams are actually playing on the grass.

We always check the home team first to set the stage. Their overall season gives us a starting point, but their recent matches tell us if they are hot or cold right now in the moments that matter. Then we turn our attention to the away side.

We compare what they have done all year with their last few weeks to see if the bookies are offering a really good deal by mistake. Looking at their past matchups against each other is just as important. Head-to-head records often reveal playing styles that just do not mix well for one team, creating a natural advantage.

Taking those past games and adding today’s form makes picking a winner so much easier. Right now, the smartest bet on the board is 2, especially with the odds sitting nicely at @1.27. Once the referee starts the game, the stats step aside and the players take over.

The final score will tell us if we got it right. Check our other daily tips for more winning ideas.

Source: Recent fixture results Source: Head-to-head archive Source: Public market odds Model: Poisson score distribution
DD
DailyForebet Verification Desk
Senior Fixture Analyst
Cross-checks every fixture against form, head-to-head and market data before a case file is closed for publication.
Reviewed on 14 Jun 2026
Quick Answers
FAQ
What is the recommended bet for Qatar vs Switzerland?
Our selection is 2 — Switzerland to win, priced at approximately 1.27. Tip confidence rating: 46%.
What is Qatar's current form?
Qatar have won 1, drawn 4 and lost 5 of their last 10 matches.
How has Switzerland been performing recently?
Switzerland have recorded 5 wins, 4 draws and 1 defeats from 10 recent games.
What does the head-to-head record show?
Qatar lead with 1 wins versus Switzerland's 0, with 0 draws across 1 meetings.
How many goals are expected in this match?
Recent fixtures involving these sides average 2.6 goals per game. The head-to-head BTTS rate stands at 0%.
⚠️
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