WON Case WON Liaoning W 3-0 Shandong SL W
Fixture Case File · Ref V
L

Liaoning W

Home Side
W W L W L
5W 2D 3L → Holding Steady
VS
3-0
S
Shandong SL W
Away Side
L L D L D
2W 4D 4L ▲ Trending Up
CAUTION
41%
Saturday, 13th June 2026 Case Verdict
1
Filing on Liaoning W to win
Liaoning W 50%
Draw 30%
Shandong SL W 20%
H Fair Odds2
D Fair Odds3.33
A Fair Odds5
Implied Prob76.9%Bookmaker's implied odds
Case Edge-35.9%Overpriced
Kelly %0%Suggested bankroll %
Fixture Ledger Code
V<DFBL<<<<<<<<W<<<<<<<<<<<<S<<<<<<<<SL<W<<<<FEDFFC6DC4DFB2607262M2607269<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<
DD
Case reviewed & signed off by DailyForebet Verification Desk
Senior Fixture Analyst · Last checked 14 Jun 2026
✓ Data-Audited ✓ Independently Checked
Head to Head
Record
0
Liaoning W
1
Draws
1
Shandong SL W
2
Meetings
1.5
Avg Goals
50%
BTTS
0%
Over 2.5
Against Filing Liaoning W won 0 of the last 2 meetings (1 draws).
📊
Stats Duel
Comparison
Liaoning W
Metric
Shandong SL W
1.4
Goals For / Game
1.6
1.2
Goals Against / Game
1.5
20%
Clean Sheets
20%
5-2-3
W — D — L
2-4-4
Win Rate
50%
20%
2.9
Avg Goals
75%
Over 1.5
50%
Over 2.5
60%
BTTS Rate
🎯
Score Probability Matrix
Poisson Model
S0
S1
S2
S3
S4
S5
L0
0-0 5.8%
0-1 8.1%
0-2 5.7%
0-3 2.7%
0-4 0.9%
0-5 0.3%
L1
1-0 8.4%
1-1 11.7%
1-2 8.2%
1-3 3.8%
1-4 1.3%
1-5 0.4%
L2
2-0 6.1%
2-1 8.5%
2-2 6.0%
2-3 2.8%
2-4 1.0%
2-5 0.3%
L3
3-0 2.9%
3-1 4.1%
3-2 2.9%
3-3 1.3%
3-4 0.5%
3-5 0.1%
L4
4-0 1.1%
4-1 1.5%
4-2 1.0%
4-3 0.5%
4-4 0.2%
4-5 0.1%
L5
5-0 0.3%
5-1 0.4%
5-2 0.3%
5-3 0.1%
5-4 0.1%
5-5 0.0%
Top Scores 2-1(8.5%) 1-0(8.4%) 2-0(6.1%)
■ Best match ■ Possible ■ Low · ■ Contradicts filing L=Home goals ↓   S=Away →
📉
Market Odds Intelligence
Value Finder
Liaoning W Win
50%
2
Draw
30%
3.33
Shandong SL W Win
20%
5
Fair value decimal odds based on our probability model. Compare against your bookmaker's line to identify value.
📈
Team Ratings
Grades
Liaoning W
Overall
5.6
Scoring
4.7
Defence
6.0
Shandong SL W
Overall
3.2
Scoring
5.3
Defence
5.0
🔀
Combination Markets
Smart Picks
Result & BTTS
Home Win & BTTS Yes 30%
Home Win & BTTS No 20%
Draw & BTTS Yes 18%
Draw & BTTS No 12%
Away Win & BTTS Yes 12%
Away Win & BTTS No 8%
Result & Goals
Home Win & Over 2.5 25%
Home Win & Under 2.5 25%
Draw & Over 2.5 15%
Draw & Under 2.5 15%
Away Win & Over 2.5 10%
Away Win & Under 2.5 10%
🧮
Stake Calculator
Bankroll Tool
Kelly %
Stake
Potential Profit
Uses the Kelly Criterion at your selected fraction. Half Kelly (0.5) is recommended for reduced variance. Not financial advice.
🔎 How we calculate confidence, edge & Kelly %

Our confidence score blends three inputs: the market-implied signal from public odds, the head-to-head record between these two sides, and each team's recent form (weighted by sample size). No single input can move the score more than 18 points from the market signal, which keeps the model grounded.

  • Case Edge compares our confidence against the bookmaker's implied probability from the odds you enter — a positive number suggests the price may be generous relative to our model.
  • Kelly % is a standard bankroll-management formula, not a guarantee — it sizes a stake relative to perceived edge and odds.
  • Score matrix uses a Poisson distribution built from each side's recent scoring and conceding rates.

All models are statistical estimates, not certainties. Treat every figure on this page as one input into your own decision, not as a promise of an outcome.

📐 Editorial Standards for This Case File
  • Every fixture is cross-checked against at least three data points: recent form, head-to-head history, and market odds — no case is filed on a single signal alone.
  • Confidence and edge figures are generated by a documented formula (see methodology above), never assigned arbitrarily.
  • Case files are reviewed by a named analyst before publication and re-checked closer to kickoff for team news or lineup changes.
  • Settled cases are logged publicly with WON / LOST / VOID status — nothing is quietly deleted or hidden after the fact.
  • Corrections to a published case (updated odds, lineup news, postponements) are recorded in the update log below with a timestamp.
📜
Match Archives
History
Head to Head
11.09.25SL
Liaoning W1
Shandong SL1
15.03.25SL
Shandong SL W1
Liaoning0
Recent Form
Liaoning W
16.05.26SL
Zhejiang W0
Liaoning W1
W
09.05.26SL
Liaoning W3
Sichuan W1
W
02.05.26SL
Beijing Beikong W1
Liaoning W0
L
25.04.26SL
Liaoning W2
Guangdong Meizhou W0
W
28.09.25SL
Beijing Beikong W4
Liaoning W0
L
20.09.25SL
Liaoning W4
Wuhan Jiangda W2
W
11.09.25SL
Liaoning W1
Shandong SL W1
D
07.09.25SL
Liaoning W1
Henan Songshan Longmen W1
D
30.08.25SL
Liaoning W2
Changchun Dazhong W1
W
23.08.25SL
Liaoning W0
Jiangsu Suning W1
L
Shandong SL W
17.05.26SL
Shaanxi Changan W1
Shandong SL W0
L
10.05.26SL
Shandong SL W1
Shanghai RCB W2
L
02.05.26SL
Sichuan W1
Shandong SL W1
D
26.04.26SL
Shandong SL W1
Jiangsu Suning W2
L
28.09.25SL
Shanghai RCB W0
Shandong SL W0
D
21.09.25SL
Jiangsu Suning W3
Shandong SL W3
D
11.09.25SL
Liaoning W1
Shandong SL W1
D
07.09.25SL
Shandong SL W4
Yongchuan Chashan W1
W
31.08.25SL
Shandong SL W3
Shaanxi Changan W0
W
24.08.25SL
Changchun Dazhong W4
Shandong SL W2
L
📝
Match Analysis
Case Notes

On Saturday, 13th June 2026, Liaoning W host Shandong SL W in China SL Women. Our analysis desk recommends Liaoning W to win as the standout selection.

Liaoning W arrive showing mixed form, having recorded 5 wins, 2 draws and 3 defeats from their last 10 outings.

Shandong SL W are struggling away from home, with a record of 2W 4D 4L across 10 matches.

Historical meetings favour Liaoning W, who lead the head-to-head with 0 wins to Shandong SL W's 1, with 1 draws from 2 encounters. Both teams have scored in 50% of those meetings.

Our verdict: liaoning w to win at odds of 1.30 represents the most compelling value in this fixture.


If you want to actually make money on football instead of just throwing it away, you have to trust the stats. This China SL Women game is a perfect chance to do exactly that. Forget about the fan hype and focus entirely on how these teams are actually playing on the grass.

We always check the home team first to set the stage. Their overall season gives us a starting point, but their recent matches tell us if they are hot or cold right now in the moments that matter. Then we turn our attention to the away side.

We compare what they have done all year with their last few weeks to see if the bookies are offering a really good deal by mistake. Looking at their past matchups against each other is just as important. Head-to-head records often reveal playing styles that just do not mix well for one team, creating a natural advantage.

Taking those past games and adding today’s form makes picking a winner so much easier. Right now, the smartest bet on the board is 1, especially with the odds sitting nicely at @1.30. Once the referee starts the game, the stats step aside and the players take over.

The final score will tell us if we got it right. Check our other daily tips for more winning ideas.

Source: Recent fixture results Source: Head-to-head archive Source: Public market odds Model: Poisson score distribution
DD
DailyForebet Verification Desk
Senior Fixture Analyst
Cross-checks every fixture against form, head-to-head and market data before a case file is closed for publication.
Reviewed on 14 Jun 2026
Quick Answers
FAQ
What is the recommended bet for Liaoning W vs Shandong SL W?
Our selection is 1 — Liaoning W to win, priced at approximately 1.30. Tip confidence rating: 41%.
What is Liaoning W's current form?
Liaoning W have won 5, drawn 2 and lost 3 of their last 10 matches.
How has Shandong SL W been performing recently?
Shandong SL W have recorded 2 wins, 4 draws and 4 defeats from 10 recent games.
What does the head-to-head record show?
Liaoning W lead with 0 wins versus Shandong SL W's 1, with 1 draws across 2 meetings.
How many goals are expected in this match?
Recent fixtures involving these sides average 2.9 goals per game. The head-to-head BTTS rate stands at 50%.
⚠️
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