WON Case WON Nykobing 5-1 Vanlose
Fixture Case File · Ref V
N

Nykobing

Home Side
W W W W W
9W 1D 0L ▲ Trending Up
VS
5-1
V
Vanlose
Away Side
L D L L L
2W 3D 5L → Holding Steady
CASE VERIFIED
67%
Saturday, 13th June 2026 Case Verdict
1
Filing on Nykobing to win
Nykobing 60%
Draw 20%
Vanlose 20%
H Fair Odds1.67
D Fair Odds5
A Fair Odds5
Implied Prob79.4%Bookmaker's implied odds
Case Edge-12.4%Overpriced
Kelly %0%Suggested bankroll %
Fixture Ledger Code
V<DFBN<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<V<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<BBAF2ECFC4DFB2607222M2607229<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<
DD
Case reviewed & signed off by DailyForebet Verification Desk
Senior Fixture Analyst · Last checked 14 Jun 2026
✓ Data-Audited ✓ Independently Checked
Supporting Markets
Extras
Primary Filing
1 — Nykobing to win
1.26
Nykobing Clean Sheet60%
📋 Case Slip / Combo Builder
Nykobing vs Vanlose Competition: Denmark 3 Division Date: Saturday, 13th June 2026 Pick: 1 (Nykobing to win) Odds: 1.26 Confidence: 67% Also: Nykobing Clean Sheet (60%) Ledger Ref: BBAF2ECFC
Head to Head
Record
5
Nykobing
4
Draws
1
Vanlose
10
Meetings
2.8
Avg Goals
60%
BTTS
60%
Over 2.5
Neutral Nykobing won 5 of the last 10 meetings (4 draws).
📊
Stats Duel
Comparison
Nykobing
Metric
Vanlose
2.7
Goals For / Game
0.6
0.5
Goals Against / Game
1.3
60%
Clean Sheets
20%
9-1-0
W — D — L
2-3-5
Win Rate
90%
20%
2.6
Avg Goals
75%
Over 1.5
45%
Over 2.5
40%
BTTS Rate
🎯
Score Probability Matrix
Poisson Model
V0
V1
V2
V3
V4
V5
N0
0-0 7.8%
0-1 4.3%
0-2 1.2%
0-3 0.2%
0-4 0.0%
0-5 0.0%
N1
1-0 15.6%
1-1 8.6%
1-2 2.4%
1-3 0.4%
1-4 0.1%
1-5 0.0%
N2
2-0 15.6%
2-1 8.6%
2-2 2.4%
2-3 0.4%
2-4 0.1%
2-5 0.0%
N3
3-0 10.4%
3-1 5.7%
3-2 1.6%
3-3 0.3%
3-4 0.0%
3-5 0.0%
N4
4-0 5.2%
4-1 2.9%
4-2 0.8%
4-3 0.1%
4-4 0.0%
4-5 0.0%
N5
5-0 2.1%
5-1 1.2%
5-2 0.3%
5-3 0.1%
5-4 0.0%
5-5 0.0%
Top Scores 1-0(15.6%) 2-0(15.6%) 3-0(10.4%)
■ Best match ■ Possible ■ Low · ■ Contradicts filing N=Home goals ↓   V=Away →
📉
Market Odds Intelligence
Value Finder
Nykobing Win
60%
1.67
Draw
20%
5
Vanlose Win
20%
5
Fair value decimal odds based on our probability model. Compare against your bookmaker's line to identify value.
📈
Team Ratings
Grades
Nykobing
Overall
9.3
Scoring
9.0
Defence
8.3
Vanlose
Overall
2.9
Scoring
2.0
Defence
5.7
🔀
Combination Markets
Smart Picks
Result & BTTS
Home Win & BTTS Yes 28%
Home Win & BTTS No 41%
Draw & BTTS Yes 6%
Draw & BTTS No 9%
Away Win & BTTS Yes 6%
Away Win & BTTS No 10%
Result & Goals
Home Win & Over 2.5 31%
Home Win & Under 2.5 38%
Draw & Over 2.5 7%
Draw & Under 2.5 8%
Away Win & Over 2.5 7%
Away Win & Under 2.5 9%
🧮
Stake Calculator
Bankroll Tool
Kelly %
Stake
Potential Profit
Uses the Kelly Criterion at your selected fraction. Half Kelly (0.5) is recommended for reduced variance. Not financial advice.
🔎 How we calculate confidence, edge & Kelly %

Our confidence score blends three inputs: the market-implied signal from public odds, the head-to-head record between these two sides, and each team's recent form (weighted by sample size). No single input can move the score more than 18 points from the market signal, which keeps the model grounded.

  • Case Edge compares our confidence against the bookmaker's implied probability from the odds you enter — a positive number suggests the price may be generous relative to our model.
  • Kelly % is a standard bankroll-management formula, not a guarantee — it sizes a stake relative to perceived edge and odds.
  • Score matrix uses a Poisson distribution built from each side's recent scoring and conceding rates.

All models are statistical estimates, not certainties. Treat every figure on this page as one input into your own decision, not as a promise of an outcome.

📐 Editorial Standards for This Case File
  • Every fixture is cross-checked against at least three data points: recent form, head-to-head history, and market odds — no case is filed on a single signal alone.
  • Confidence and edge figures are generated by a documented formula (see methodology above), never assigned arbitrarily.
  • Case files are reviewed by a named analyst before publication and re-checked closer to kickoff for team news or lineup changes.
  • Settled cases are logged publicly with WON / LOST / VOID status — nothing is quietly deleted or hidden after the fact.
  • Corrections to a published case (updated odds, lineup news, postponements) are recorded in the update log below with a timestamp.
📜
Match Archives
History
Head to Head
09.05.263D
Vanlose0
Nykobing3
28.03.263D
Nykobing2
Vanlose1
16.08.253D
Vanlose2
Nykobing2
05.04.212DIV
Nykobing1
Vanlose1
24.10.202DIV
Vanlose1
Nykobing1
03.05.14DIV2
Vanlose1
Nykobing3
10.11.13DIV2
Nykobing3
Vanlose0
28.05.11DIV2
Vanlose2
Nykobing4
10.10.10DIV2
Nykobing0
Vanlose0
22.05.10DIV2
Vanlose1
Nykobing0
Recent Form
Nykobing
06.06.263D
Bronshoj1
Nykobing2
W
31.05.263D
Nykobing3
Naesby2
W
23.05.263D
FA 20000
Nykobing2
W
17.05.263D
Nykobing4
Horsholm-Usserod0
W
09.05.263D
Vanlose0
Nykobing3
W
03.05.263D
Nykobing5
Bronshoj1
W
26.04.263D
Nykobing0
FA 20000
D
18.04.263D
Naesby1
Nykobing2
W
11.04.263D
Horsholm-Usserod0
Nykobing1
W
06.04.263D
Nykobing5
Vejgaard0
W
Vanlose
06.06.263D
Vanlose0
Horsholm-Usserod2
L
29.05.263D
Bronshoj1
Vanlose1
D
25.05.263D
Vanlose0
Naesby2
L
16.05.263D
FA 20002
Vanlose1
L
09.05.263D
Vanlose0
Nykobing3
L
02.05.263D
Horsholm-Usserod0
Vanlose1
W
25.04.263D
Naesby1
Vanlose1
D
18.04.263D
Vanlose1
Bronshoj1
D
11.04.263D
Vanlose1
FA 20000
W
06.04.263D
Sundby1
Vanlose0
L
📝
Match Analysis
Case Notes

On Saturday, 13th June 2026, Nykobing host Vanlose in Denmark 3 Division. Our analysis desk recommends Nykobing to win as the standout selection.

Nykobing arrive in strong form, having recorded 9 wins, 1 draws and 0 defeats from their last 10 outings.

Vanlose are struggling away from home, with a record of 2W 3D 5L across 10 matches.

Historical meetings favour Nykobing, who lead the head-to-head with 5 wins to Vanlose's 1, with 4 draws from 10 encounters. Both teams have scored in 60% of those meetings.

Our verdict: nykobing to win at odds of 1.26 represents the most compelling value in this fixture.


If you want to actually make money on football instead of just throwing it away, you have to trust the stats. This Denmark 3 Division game is a perfect chance to do exactly that. Forget about the fan hype and focus entirely on how these teams are actually playing on the grass.

We always check the home team first to set the stage. Their overall season gives us a starting point, but their recent matches tell us if they are hot or cold right now in the moments that matter. Then we turn our attention to the away side.

We compare what they have done all year with their last few weeks to see if the bookies are offering a really good deal by mistake. Looking at their past matchups against each other is just as important. Head-to-head records often reveal playing styles that just do not mix well for one team, creating a natural advantage.

Taking those past games and adding today’s form makes picking a winner so much easier. Right now, the smartest bet on the board is 1, especially with the odds sitting nicely at @1.26. Once the referee starts the game, the stats step aside and the players take over.

The final score will tell us if we got it right. Check our other daily tips for more winning ideas.

Source: Recent fixture results Source: Head-to-head archive Source: Public market odds Model: Poisson score distribution
DD
DailyForebet Verification Desk
Senior Fixture Analyst
Cross-checks every fixture against form, head-to-head and market data before a case file is closed for publication.
Reviewed on 14 Jun 2026
Quick Answers
FAQ
What is the recommended bet for Nykobing vs Vanlose?
Our selection is 1 — Nykobing to win, priced at approximately 1.26. Tip confidence rating: 67%.
What is Nykobing's current form?
Nykobing have won 9, drawn 1 and lost 0 of their last 10 matches.
How has Vanlose been performing recently?
Vanlose have recorded 2 wins, 3 draws and 5 defeats from 10 recent games.
What does the head-to-head record show?
Nykobing lead with 5 wins versus Vanlose's 1, with 4 draws across 10 meetings.
How many goals are expected in this match?
Recent fixtures involving these sides average 2.6 goals per game. The head-to-head BTTS rate stands at 60%.
⚠️
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