WON Case WON Llaneros W 0-5 Dep Cali W
Fixture Case File · Ref V
L

Llaneros W

Home Side
L W L W D
3W 3D 4L ▲ Trending Up
VS
0-5
D
Dep Cali W
Away Side
W W W W L
7W 2D 1L ▲ Trending Up
CASE VERIFIED
68%
Friday, 15th May 2026 Case Verdict
2
Filing on Dep Cali W to win
Llaneros W 20%
Draw 30%
Dep Cali W 50%
H Fair Odds5
D Fair Odds3.33
A Fair Odds2
Implied Prob73%Bookmaker's implied odds
Case Edge-5%Overpriced
Kelly %0%Suggested bankroll %
Fixture Ledger Code
V<DFBL<<<<<<<<W<<<<<<<<<<<<D<<<C<<<<W<<<<<<<066FD35764DFB2609102M2609109<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<
DD
Case reviewed & signed off by DailyForebet Verification Desk
Senior Fixture Analyst · Last checked 16 May 2026
✓ Data-Audited ✓ Independently Checked
Supporting Markets
Extras
Primary Filing
2 — Dep Cali W to win
1.37
Under 2.5 Goals70% BTTS — No65%
📋 Case Slip / Combo Builder
Llaneros W vs Dep Cali W Competition: Colombia Liga Women Date: Friday, 15th May 2026 Pick: 2 (Dep Cali W to win) Odds: 1.37 Confidence: 68% Also: Under 2.5 Goals (70%) Also: BTTS — No (65%) Ledger Ref: 066FD3576
Head to Head
Record
0
Llaneros W
0
Draws
5
Dep Cali W
5
Meetings
2.6
Avg Goals
40%
BTTS
60%
Over 2.5
Supports Filing Dep Cali W won 5 of 5 meetings.
📊
Stats Duel
Comparison
Llaneros W
Metric
Dep Cali W
0.8
Goals For / Game
1.8
1.2
Goals Against / Game
0.5
40%
Clean Sheets
50%
3-3-4
W — D — L
7-2-1
Win Rate
30%
70%
2.2
Avg Goals
75%
Over 1.5
30%
Over 2.5
35%
BTTS Rate
🎯
Score Probability Matrix
Poisson Model
D0
D1
D2
D3
D4
D5
L0
0-0 11.7%
0-1 17.5%
0-2 13.1%
0-3 6.6%
0-4 2.5%
0-5 0.7%
L1
1-0 7.6%
1-1 11.4%
1-2 8.5%
1-3 4.3%
1-4 1.6%
1-5 0.5%
L2
2-0 2.5%
2-1 3.7%
2-2 2.8%
2-3 1.4%
2-4 0.5%
2-5 0.2%
L3
3-0 0.5%
3-1 0.8%
3-2 0.6%
3-3 0.3%
3-4 0.1%
3-5 0.0%
L4
4-0 0.1%
4-1 0.1%
4-2 0.1%
4-3 0.1%
4-4 0.0%
4-5 0.0%
L5
5-0 0.0%
5-1 0.0%
5-2 0.0%
5-3 0.0%
5-4 0.0%
5-5 0.0%
Top Scores 0-1(17.5%) 0-2(13.1%) 1-2(8.5%)
■ Best match ■ Possible ■ Low · ■ Contradicts filing L=Home goals ↓   D=Away →
📉
Market Odds Intelligence
Value Finder
Llaneros W Win
20%
5
Draw
30%
3.33
Dep Cali W Win
50%
2
Fair value decimal odds based on our probability model. Compare against your bookmaker's line to identify value.
📈
Team Ratings
Grades
Llaneros W
Overall
3.9
Scoring
2.7
Defence
6.0
Dep Cali W
Overall
7.6
Scoring
6.0
Defence
8.3
🔀
Combination Markets
Smart Picks
Result & BTTS
Home Win & BTTS Yes 8%
Home Win & BTTS No 16%
Draw & BTTS Yes 7%
Draw & BTTS No 13%
Away Win & BTTS Yes 20%
Away Win & BTTS No 36%
Result & Goals
Home Win & Over 2.5 7%
Home Win & Under 2.5 17%
Draw & Over 2.5 6%
Draw & Under 2.5 14%
Away Win & Over 2.5 17%
Away Win & Under 2.5 39%
🧮
Stake Calculator
Bankroll Tool
Kelly %
Stake
Potential Profit
Uses the Kelly Criterion at your selected fraction. Half Kelly (0.5) is recommended for reduced variance. Not financial advice.
🔎 How we calculate confidence, edge & Kelly %

Our confidence score blends three inputs: the market-implied signal from public odds, the head-to-head record between these two sides, and each team's recent form (weighted by sample size). No single input can move the score more than 18 points from the market signal, which keeps the model grounded.

  • Case Edge compares our confidence against the bookmaker's implied probability from the odds you enter — a positive number suggests the price may be generous relative to our model.
  • Kelly % is a standard bankroll-management formula, not a guarantee — it sizes a stake relative to perceived edge and odds.
  • Score matrix uses a Poisson distribution built from each side's recent scoring and conceding rates.

All models are statistical estimates, not certainties. Treat every figure on this page as one input into your own decision, not as a promise of an outcome.

📐 Editorial Standards for This Case File
  • Every fixture is cross-checked against at least three data points: recent form, head-to-head history, and market odds — no case is filed on a single signal alone.
  • Confidence and edge figures are generated by a documented formula (see methodology above), never assigned arbitrarily.
  • Case files are reviewed by a named analyst before publication and re-checked closer to kickoff for team news or lineup changes.
  • Settled cases are logged publicly with WON / LOST / VOID status — nothing is quietly deleted or hidden after the fact.
  • Corrections to a published case (updated odds, lineup news, postponements) are recorded in the update log below with a timestamp.
📜
Match Archives
History
Head to Head
07.07.24LW
Llaneros W0
Dep. Cali1
15.06.24LW
Dep. Cali W3
Llaneros1
18.03.24LW
Dep. Cali W3
Llaneros0
16.04.23LW
Dep. Cali W3
Llaneros1
14.03.22LW
Dep. Cali W1
Llaneros0
Recent Form
Llaneros W
08.05.26LW
Inter Bogotá W2
Llaneros W0
L
01.05.26LW
Llaneros W2
Junior W1
W
23.04.26LW
Millonarios W4
Llaneros W0
L
12.04.26LW
Llaneros W2
Inter Palmira W0
W
30.03.26LW
Real Santander W0
Llaneros W0
D
25.03.26LW
Llaneros W1
Orsomarso W1
D
15.03.26LW
Ind. Medellin W2
Llaneros W1
L
10.03.26LW
Llaneros W0
Fortaleza W2
L
01.03.26LW
Junior W0
Llaneros W0
D
18.02.26LW
Llaneros W2
Dep. Pasto W0
W
Dep Cali W
09.05.26LW
Dep. Cali W4
Real Santander W0
W
03.05.26LW
America de Cali W0
Dep. Cali W1
W
23.04.26LW
Dep. Cali W2
Junior W0
W
15.04.26LW
Once Caldas W0
Dep. Cali W2
W
29.03.26LW
Dep. Cali W0
Inter Palmira W1
L
23.03.26LW
Santa Fe W1
Dep. Cali W1
D
17.03.26LW
Fortaleza W1
Dep. Cali W3
W
09.03.26LW
Dep. Cali W1
Inter Bogotá W0
W
01.03.26LW
Orsomarso W1
Dep. Cali W1
D
14.02.26LW
Dep. Cali W3
Ind. Medellin W1
W
📝
Match Analysis
Case Notes

On Friday, 15th May 2026, Llaneros W host Dep Cali W in Colombia Liga Women. Our analysis desk recommends Dep Cali W to win as the standout selection.

Llaneros W arrive going through a difficult run, having recorded 3 wins, 3 draws and 4 defeats from their last 10 outings.

Dep Cali W are travelling well, with a record of 7W 2D 1L across 10 matches.

Historical meetings favour Llaneros W, who lead the head-to-head with 0 wins to Dep Cali W's 5, with 0 draws from 5 encounters. Both teams have scored in 40% of those meetings.

Our verdict: dep cali w to win at odds of 1.37 represents the most compelling value in this fixture.


If you want to actually make money on football instead of just throwing it away, you have to trust the stats. This Colombia Liga Women game is a perfect chance to do exactly that. Forget about the fan hype and focus entirely on how these teams are actually playing on the grass.

We always check the home team first to set the stage. Their overall season gives us a starting point, but their recent matches tell us if they are hot or cold right now in the moments that matter. Then we turn our attention to the away side.

We compare what they have done all year with their last few weeks to see if the bookies are offering a really good deal by mistake. Looking at their past matchups against each other is just as important. Head-to-head records often reveal playing styles that just do not mix well for one team, creating a natural advantage.

Taking those past games and adding today’s form makes picking a winner so much easier. Right now, the smartest bet on the board is 2, especially with the odds sitting nicely at @1.37. Once the referee starts the game, the stats step aside and the players take over.

The final score will tell us if we got it right. Check our other daily tips for more winning ideas.

Source: Recent fixture results Source: Head-to-head archive Source: Public market odds Model: Poisson score distribution
DD
DailyForebet Verification Desk
Senior Fixture Analyst
Cross-checks every fixture against form, head-to-head and market data before a case file is closed for publication.
Reviewed on 16 May 2026
Quick Answers
FAQ
What is the recommended bet for Llaneros W vs Dep Cali W?
Our selection is 2 — Dep Cali W to win, priced at approximately 1.37. Tip confidence rating: 68%.
What is Llaneros W's current form?
Llaneros W have won 3, drawn 3 and lost 4 of their last 10 matches.
How has Dep Cali W been performing recently?
Dep Cali W have recorded 7 wins, 2 draws and 1 defeats from 10 recent games.
What does the head-to-head record show?
Llaneros W lead with 0 wins versus Dep Cali W's 5, with 0 draws across 5 meetings.
How many goals are expected in this match?
Recent fixtures involving these sides average 2.2 goals per game. The head-to-head BTTS rate stands at 40%.
⚠️
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