WON Case WON Linkoping W 4-0 Alingsas W
Fixture Case File · Ref V
L

Linkoping W

Home Side
W W W W W
7W 3D 0L ▲ Trending Up
VS
4-0
A
Alingsas W
Away Side
D L W L L
2W 2D 6L ▼ Trending Down
CASE VERIFIED
68%
Thursday, 18th June 2026 Case Verdict
1
Filing on Linkoping W to win
Linkoping W 50%
Draw 30%
Alingsas W 20%
H Fair Odds2
D Fair Odds3.33
A Fair Odds5
Implied Prob74.1%Bookmaker's implied odds
Case Edge-6.1%Overpriced
Kelly %0%Suggested bankroll %
Fixture Ledger Code
V<DFBL<<<<<<<<<W<<<<<<<<<<<A<<<<<<<<W<<<<<<<9848237EB4DFB2607252M2607259<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<
DD
Case reviewed & signed off by DailyForebet Verification Desk
Senior Fixture Analyst · Last checked 19 Jun 2026
✓ Data-Audited ✓ Independently Checked
Head to Head
Record
4
Linkoping W
0
Draws
0
Alingsas W
4
Meetings
4
Avg Goals
50%
BTTS
75%
Over 2.5
Supports Filing Linkoping W won 4 of the last 4 meetings (0 draws).
📊
Stats Duel
Comparison
Linkoping W
Metric
Alingsas W
1.9
Goals For / Game
0.5
0.8
Goals Against / Game
1.7
40%
Clean Sheets
30%
7-3-0
W — D — L
2-2-6
Win Rate
70%
20%
2.5
Avg Goals
70%
Over 1.5
40%
Over 2.5
40%
BTTS Rate
🎯
Score Probability Matrix
Poisson Model
A0
A1
A2
A3
A4
A5
L0
0-0 8.6%
0-1 5.6%
0-2 1.8%
0-3 0.4%
0-4 0.1%
0-5 0.0%
L1
1-0 15.5%
1-1 10.1%
1-2 3.3%
1-3 0.7%
1-4 0.1%
1-5 0.0%
L2
2-0 14.0%
2-1 9.1%
2-2 3.0%
2-3 0.6%
2-4 0.1%
2-5 0.0%
L3
3-0 8.4%
3-1 5.5%
3-2 1.8%
3-3 0.4%
3-4 0.1%
3-5 0.0%
L4
4-0 3.8%
4-1 2.5%
4-2 0.8%
4-3 0.2%
4-4 0.0%
4-5 0.0%
L5
5-0 1.4%
5-1 0.9%
5-2 0.3%
5-3 0.1%
5-4 0.0%
5-5 0.0%
Top Scores 1-0(15.5%) 2-0(14.0%) 2-1(9.1%)
■ Best match ■ Possible ■ Low · ■ Contradicts filing L=Home goals ↓   A=Away →
📉
Market Odds Intelligence
Value Finder
Linkoping W Win
50%
2
Draw
30%
3.33
Alingsas W Win
20%
5
Fair value decimal odds based on our probability model. Compare against your bookmaker's line to identify value.
📈
Team Ratings
Grades
Linkoping W
Overall
7.9
Scoring
6.3
Defence
7.3
Alingsas W
Overall
2.6
Scoring
1.7
Defence
4.3
🔀
Combination Markets
Smart Picks
Result & BTTS
Home Win & BTTS Yes 24%
Home Win & BTTS No 37%
Draw & BTTS Yes 9%
Draw & BTTS No 13%
Away Win & BTTS Yes 7%
Away Win & BTTS No 10%
Result & Goals
Home Win & Over 2.5 24%
Home Win & Under 2.5 37%
Draw & Over 2.5 9%
Draw & Under 2.5 13%
Away Win & Over 2.5 7%
Away Win & Under 2.5 10%
🧮
Stake Calculator
Bankroll Tool
Kelly %
Stake
Potential Profit
Uses the Kelly Criterion at your selected fraction. Half Kelly (0.5) is recommended for reduced variance. Not financial advice.
🔎 How we calculate confidence, edge & Kelly %

Our confidence score blends three inputs: the market-implied signal from public odds, the head-to-head record between these two sides, and each team's recent form (weighted by sample size). No single input can move the score more than 18 points from the market signal, which keeps the model grounded.

  • Case Edge compares our confidence against the bookmaker's implied probability from the odds you enter — a positive number suggests the price may be generous relative to our model.
  • Kelly % is a standard bankroll-management formula, not a guarantee — it sizes a stake relative to perceived edge and odds.
  • Score matrix uses a Poisson distribution built from each side's recent scoring and conceding rates.

All models are statistical estimates, not certainties. Treat every figure on this page as one input into your own decision, not as a promise of an outcome.

📐 Editorial Standards for This Case File
  • Every fixture is cross-checked against at least three data points: recent form, head-to-head history, and market odds — no case is filed on a single signal alone.
  • Confidence and edge figures are generated by a documented formula (see methodology above), never assigned arbitrarily.
  • Case files are reviewed by a named analyst before publication and re-checked closer to kickoff for team news or lineup changes.
  • Settled cases are logged publicly with WON / LOST / VOID status — nothing is quietly deleted or hidden after the fact.
  • Corrections to a published case (updated odds, lineup news, postponements) are recorded in the update log below with a timestamp.
📜
Match Archives
History
Head to Head
31.08.25ALL
Linkoping W2
Alingsas1
26.04.25ALL
Alingsas W0
Linkoping1
26.02.23CUP
Alingsas W0
Linkoping7
27.02.22CUP
Alingsas W1
Linkoping4
Recent Form
Linkoping W
14.06.26ELI
Umea W1
Linkoping W2
W
31.05.26ELI
Husqvarna W1
Linkoping W3
W
23.05.26ELI
Linkoping W1
Sandviken W0
W
16.05.26ELI
Gamla Upsala W0
Linkoping W2
W
08.05.26ELI
Linkoping W3
KIF Orebro W2
W
02.05.26ELI
Elfsborg W0
Linkoping W0
D
25.04.26ELI
Linkoping W1
Jitex W1
D
04.04.26ELI
Linkoping W3
Hacken B W0
W
28.03.26ELI
Goteborg W2
Linkoping W3
W
22.03.26CF
Elfsborg W1
Linkoping W1
D
Alingsas W
13.06.26ELI
Alingsas W0
Gamla Upsala W0
D
30.05.26ELI
KIF Orebro W2
Alingsas W0
L
23.05.26ELI
Alingsas W2
Umea W0
W
15.05.26ELI
Alingsas W0
Elfsborg W1
L
09.05.26ELI
Trelleborg W1
Alingsas W0
L
02.05.26ELI
Hacken B W0
Alingsas W1
W
24.04.26ELI
Alingsas W1
Goteborg W1
D
03.04.26ELI
Alingsas W0
Jitex W3
L
28.03.26ELI
Husqvarna W2
Alingsas W1
L
14.03.26CUP
IF Brommapojkarna W7
Alingsas W0
L
📝
Match Analysis
Case Notes

On Thursday, 18th June 2026, Linkoping W host Alingsas W in Sweden Elitettan Women. Our analysis desk recommends Linkoping W to win as the standout selection.

Linkoping W arrive in strong form, having recorded 7 wins, 3 draws and 0 defeats from their last 10 outings.

Alingsas W are struggling away from home, with a record of 2W 2D 6L across 10 matches.

Historical meetings favour Linkoping W, who lead the head-to-head with 4 wins to Alingsas W's 0, with 0 draws from 4 encounters. Both teams have scored in 50% of those meetings.

Our verdict: linkoping w to win at odds of 1.35 represents the most compelling value in this fixture.


If you want to actually make money on football instead of just throwing it away, you have to trust the stats. This Sweden Elitettan Women game is a perfect chance to do exactly that. Forget about the fan hype and focus entirely on how these teams are actually playing on the grass.

We always check the home team first to set the stage. Their overall season gives us a starting point, but their recent matches tell us if they are hot or cold right now in the moments that matter. Then we turn our attention to the away side.

We compare what they have done all year with their last few weeks to see if the bookies are offering a really good deal by mistake. Looking at their past matchups against each other is just as important. Head-to-head records often reveal playing styles that just do not mix well for one team, creating a natural advantage.

Taking those past games and adding today’s form makes picking a winner so much easier. Right now, the smartest bet on the board is 1, especially with the odds sitting nicely at @1.35. Once the referee starts the game, the stats step aside and the players take over.

The final score will tell us if we got it right. Check our other daily tips for more winning ideas.

Source: Recent fixture results Source: Head-to-head archive Source: Public market odds Model: Poisson score distribution
DD
DailyForebet Verification Desk
Senior Fixture Analyst
Cross-checks every fixture against form, head-to-head and market data before a case file is closed for publication.
Reviewed on 19 Jun 2026
Quick Answers
FAQ
What is the recommended bet for Linkoping W vs Alingsas W?
Our selection is 1 — Linkoping W to win, priced at approximately 1.35. Tip confidence rating: 68%.
What is Linkoping W's current form?
Linkoping W have won 7, drawn 3 and lost 0 of their last 10 matches.
How has Alingsas W been performing recently?
Alingsas W have recorded 2 wins, 2 draws and 6 defeats from 10 recent games.
What does the head-to-head record show?
Linkoping W lead with 4 wins versus Alingsas W's 0, with 0 draws across 4 meetings.
How many goals are expected in this match?
Recent fixtures involving these sides average 2.5 goals per game. The head-to-head BTTS rate stands at 50%.
⚠️
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