WON Case WON Dalstorps 4-0 Astrio
Fixture Case File · Ref V
D

Dalstorps

Home Side
W W D W L
6W 3D 1L ▲ Trending Up
VS
4-0
A
Astrio
Away Side
L L D L W
1W 2D 7L ▼ Trending Down
MODERATE
53%
Thursday, 18th June 2026 Case Verdict
1
Filing on Dalstorps to win
Dalstorps 50%
Draw 30%
Astrio 20%
H Fair Odds2
D Fair Odds3.33
A Fair Odds5
Implied Prob75.2%Bookmaker's implied odds
Case Edge-22.2%Overpriced
Kelly %0%Suggested bankroll %
Fixture Ledger Code
V<DFBD<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<A<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<23AF496074DFB2607252M2607259<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<
DD
Case reviewed & signed off by DailyForebet Verification Desk
Senior Fixture Analyst · Last checked 19 Jun 2026
✓ Data-Audited ✓ Independently Checked
Head to Head
Record
1
Dalstorps
0
Draws
1
Astrio
2
Meetings
3.5
Avg Goals
50%
BTTS
50%
Over 2.5
Neutral Dalstorps won 1 of the last 2 meetings (0 draws).
📊
Stats Duel
Comparison
Dalstorps
Metric
Astrio
2
Goals For / Game
0.7
1.2
Goals Against / Game
1.9
20%
Clean Sheets
20%
6-3-1
W — D — L
1-2-7
Win Rate
60%
10%
2.9
Avg Goals
75%
Over 1.5
50%
Over 2.5
60%
BTTS Rate
🎯
Score Probability Matrix
Poisson Model
A0
A1
A2
A3
A4
A5
D0
0-0 5.5%
0-1 5.2%
0-2 2.5%
0-3 0.8%
0-4 0.2%
0-5 0.0%
D1
1-0 10.7%
1-1 10.2%
1-2 4.8%
1-3 1.5%
1-4 0.4%
1-5 0.1%
D2
2-0 10.5%
2-1 9.9%
2-2 4.7%
2-3 1.5%
2-4 0.4%
2-5 0.1%
D3
3-0 6.8%
3-1 6.5%
3-2 3.1%
3-3 1.0%
3-4 0.2%
3-5 0.0%
D4
4-0 3.3%
4-1 3.2%
4-2 1.5%
4-3 0.5%
4-4 0.1%
4-5 0.0%
D5
5-0 1.3%
5-1 1.2%
5-2 0.6%
5-3 0.2%
5-4 0.0%
5-5 0.0%
Top Scores 1-0(10.7%) 2-0(10.5%) 2-1(9.9%)
■ Best match ■ Possible ■ Low · ■ Contradicts filing D=Home goals ↓   A=Away →
📉
Market Odds Intelligence
Value Finder
Dalstorps Win
50%
2
Draw
30%
3.33
Astrio Win
20%
5
Fair value decimal odds based on our probability model. Compare against your bookmaker's line to identify value.
📈
Team Ratings
Grades
Dalstorps
Overall
6.9
Scoring
6.7
Defence
6.0
Astrio
Overall
1.6
Scoring
2.3
Defence
3.7
🔀
Combination Markets
Smart Picks
Result & BTTS
Home Win & BTTS Yes 38%
Home Win & BTTS No 25%
Draw & BTTS Yes 16%
Draw & BTTS No 10%
Away Win & BTTS Yes 7%
Away Win & BTTS No 4%
Result & Goals
Home Win & Over 2.5 32%
Home Win & Under 2.5 32%
Draw & Over 2.5 13%
Draw & Under 2.5 13%
Away Win & Over 2.5 6%
Away Win & Under 2.5 6%
🧮
Stake Calculator
Bankroll Tool
Kelly %
Stake
Potential Profit
Uses the Kelly Criterion at your selected fraction. Half Kelly (0.5) is recommended for reduced variance. Not financial advice.
🔎 How we calculate confidence, edge & Kelly %

Our confidence score blends three inputs: the market-implied signal from public odds, the head-to-head record between these two sides, and each team's recent form (weighted by sample size). No single input can move the score more than 18 points from the market signal, which keeps the model grounded.

  • Case Edge compares our confidence against the bookmaker's implied probability from the odds you enter — a positive number suggests the price may be generous relative to our model.
  • Kelly % is a standard bankroll-management formula, not a guarantee — it sizes a stake relative to perceived edge and odds.
  • Score matrix uses a Poisson distribution built from each side's recent scoring and conceding rates.

All models are statistical estimates, not certainties. Treat every figure on this page as one input into your own decision, not as a promise of an outcome.

📐 Editorial Standards for This Case File
  • Every fixture is cross-checked against at least three data points: recent form, head-to-head history, and market odds — no case is filed on a single signal alone.
  • Confidence and edge figures are generated by a documented formula (see methodology above), never assigned arbitrarily.
  • Case files are reviewed by a named analyst before publication and re-checked closer to kickoff for team news or lineup changes.
  • Settled cases are logged publicly with WON / LOST / VOID status — nothing is quietly deleted or hidden after the fact.
  • Corrections to a published case (updated odds, lineup news, postponements) are recorded in the update log below with a timestamp.
📜
Match Archives
History
Head to Head
13.11.21DIV
Astrio3
Dalstorps2
04.09.21DIV
Dalstorps2
Astrio0
Recent Form
Dalstorps
11.06.26DIV
Hestrafors2
Dalstorps3
W
07.06.26DIV
Dalstorps3
Onsala1
W
31.05.26DIV
Frolunda1
Dalstorps1
D
23.05.26DIV
Kongahalla1
Dalstorps3
W
16.05.26DIV
Dalstorps2
Astorps4
L
08.05.26DIV
Dalstorps1
Landvetter0
W
01.05.26DIV
Jonsereds1
Dalstorps1
D
25.04.26DIV
Dalstorps1
Galtabacks0
W
17.04.26DIV
Lindome1
Dalstorps1
D
11.04.26DIV
Dalstorps4
Qviding1
W
Astrio
11.06.26DIV
Astrio1
Lindome2
L
05.06.26DIV
Boljan3
Astrio1
L
30.05.26DIV
Onsala0
Astrio0
D
24.05.26DIV
Astrio0
Landvetter2
L
17.05.26DIV
Astrio2
Galtabacks1
W
09.05.26DIV
Frolunda5
Astrio3
L
03.05.26DIV
Astrio0
Qviding3
L
26.04.26DIV
Torslanda2
Astrio0
L
19.04.26DIV
Hestrafors0
Astrio0
D
11.04.26DIV
Astrio0
Jonsereds1
L
📝
Match Analysis
Case Notes

On Thursday, 18th June 2026, Dalstorps host Astrio in Sweden Div 2 Västra Götaland. Our analysis desk recommends Dalstorps to win as the standout selection.

Dalstorps arrive showing mixed form, having recorded 6 wins, 3 draws and 1 defeats from their last 10 outings.

Astrio are struggling away from home, with a record of 1W 2D 7L across 10 matches.

Historical meetings favour Dalstorps, who lead the head-to-head with 1 wins to Astrio's 1, with 0 draws from 2 encounters. Both teams have scored in 50% of those meetings.

Our verdict: dalstorps to win at odds of 1.33 represents the most compelling value in this fixture.


If you want to actually make money on football instead of just throwing it away, you have to trust the stats. This Sweden Div 2 Västra Götaland game is a perfect chance to do exactly that. Forget about the fan hype and focus entirely on how these teams are actually playing on the grass.

We always check the home team first to set the stage. Their overall season gives us a starting point, but their recent matches tell us if they are hot or cold right now in the moments that matter. Then we turn our attention to the away side.

We compare what they have done all year with their last few weeks to see if the bookies are offering a really good deal by mistake. Looking at their past matchups against each other is just as important. Head-to-head records often reveal playing styles that just do not mix well for one team, creating a natural advantage.

Taking those past games and adding today’s form makes picking a winner so much easier. Right now, the smartest bet on the board is 1, especially with the odds sitting nicely at @1.33. Once the referee starts the game, the stats step aside and the players take over.

The final score will tell us if we got it right. Check our other daily tips for more winning ideas.

Source: Recent fixture results Source: Head-to-head archive Source: Public market odds Model: Poisson score distribution
DD
DailyForebet Verification Desk
Senior Fixture Analyst
Cross-checks every fixture against form, head-to-head and market data before a case file is closed for publication.
Reviewed on 19 Jun 2026
Quick Answers
FAQ
What is the recommended bet for Dalstorps vs Astrio?
Our selection is 1 — Dalstorps to win, priced at approximately 1.33. Tip confidence rating: 53%.
What is Dalstorps's current form?
Dalstorps have won 6, drawn 3 and lost 1 of their last 10 matches.
How has Astrio been performing recently?
Astrio have recorded 1 wins, 2 draws and 7 defeats from 10 recent games.
What does the head-to-head record show?
Dalstorps lead with 1 wins versus Astrio's 1, with 0 draws across 2 meetings.
How many goals are expected in this match?
Recent fixtures involving these sides average 2.9 goals per game. The head-to-head BTTS rate stands at 50%.
⚠️
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