WON Case WON Kortrijk 3-1 OC Charleroi

Fixture Case File · Ref V ⚽

Kortrijk

Q: What is the recommended bet for Kortrijk vs OC Charleroi?

Our selection is 1 — Kortrijk to win, priced at approximately 1.30. Tip confidence rating: 67%.

Q: What is Kortrijk's current form?

Kortrijk have won 3, drawn 1 and lost 1 of their last 5 matches.

Q: How has OC Charleroi been performing recently?

OC Charleroi have recorded 1 wins, 1 draws and 3 defeats from 5 recent games.

Q: What does the head-to-head record show?

Kortrijk lead with 3 wins versus OC Charleroi's 0, with 0 draws across 3 meetings.

Q: How many goals are expected in this match?

Recent fixtures involving these sides average 2.9 goals per game. The head-to-head BTTS rate stands at 33%.

Home Side

D W W L W

3W 1D 1L → Holding Steady

3-1

OC Charleroi

Away Side

L L L W D

1W 1D 3L ▲ Trending Up

⚑

CASE VERIFIED

67%

Saturday, 14th March 2026 Case Verdict

Filing on Kortrijk to win

Implied Prob76.9%Bookmaker's implied odds

Case Edge-9.9%Overpriced

Kelly %0%Suggested bankroll %

Fixture Ledger Code

V<DFBK<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<OC<C<<<<<<<<<<<<<7BF415B724DFB2607252M2607259<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<

Case reviewed & signed off by DailyForebet Verification Desk

Senior Fixture Analyst · Last checked 14 Mar 2026

✓ Data-Audited ✓ Independently Checked

⚡

Supporting Markets

Extras

Primary Filing

1 — Kortrijk to win

1.30

Over 1.5 Goals80%

📋 Case Slip / Combo Builder

Kortrijk vs OC Charleroi Competition: Challenger Pro League Date: Saturday, 14th March 2026 Pick: 1 (Kortrijk to win) Odds: 1.30 Confidence: 67% Also: Over 1.5 Goals (80%) Ledger Ref: 7BF415B72

⚔

Head to Head

Record

Kortrijk

Draws

OC Charleroi

Meetings

Avg Goals

33%

BTTS

67%

Over 2.5

Supports Filing Kortrijk won 3 of the last 3 meetings (0 draws).

📊

Stats Duel

Comparison

Kortrijk

Metric

OC Charleroi

1.6

Goals For / Game

1.2

Goals Against / Game

20%

Clean Sheets

3-1-1

W — D — L

1-1-3

Win Rate

60%

20%

2.9

Avg Goals

80%

Over 1.5

40%

Over 2.5

60%

BTTS Rate

🎯

Score Probability Matrix

Poisson Model

0-0 5.5%

0-1 6.1%

0-2 3.3%

0-3 1.2%

0-4 0.3%

0-5 0.1%

1-0 9.9%

1-1 10.9%

1-2 6.0%

1-3 2.2%

1-4 0.6%

1-5 0.1%

2-0 8.9%

2-1 9.8%

2-2 5.4%

2-3 2.0%

2-4 0.5%

2-5 0.1%

3-0 5.4%

3-1 5.9%

3-2 3.2%

3-3 1.2%

3-4 0.3%

3-5 0.1%

4-0 2.4%

4-1 2.7%

4-2 1.5%

4-3 0.5%

4-4 0.2%

4-5 0.0%

5-0 0.9%

5-1 1.0%

5-2 0.5%

5-3 0.2%

5-4 0.1%

5-5 0.0%

Top Scores 1-0(9.9%) 2-1(9.8%) 2-0(8.9%)

■ Best match ■ Possible ■ Low · ■ Contradicts filing K=Home goals ↓ O=Away →

📈

Team Ratings

Grades

Kortrijk

Overall

6.6 —

Scoring

5.3 —

Defence

6.7 —

OC Charleroi

Overall

2.6 —

Scoring

4.0 —

Defence

3.3 —

🔀

Combination Markets

Smart Picks

Result & BTTS

Home Win & BTTS Yes 36%

Home Win & BTTS No 24%

Draw & BTTS Yes 12%

Draw & BTTS No 8%

Away Win & BTTS Yes 12%

Away Win & BTTS No 8%

Result & Goals

Home Win & Over 2.5 24%

Home Win & Under 2.5 36%

Draw & Over 2.5 8%

Draw & Under 2.5 12%

Away Win & Over 2.5 8%

Away Win & Under 2.5 12%

🧮

Stake Calculator

Bankroll Tool

Bankroll

Decimal Odds

Win Probability %

Kelly Fraction

—

Kelly %

—

Stake

—

Potential Profit

Uses the Kelly Criterion at your selected fraction. Half Kelly (0.5) is recommended for reduced variance. Not financial advice.

🔎 How we calculate confidence, edge & Kelly %

Our confidence score blends three inputs: the market-implied signal from public odds, the head-to-head record between these two sides, and each team's recent form (weighted by sample size). No single input can move the score more than 18 points from the market signal, which keeps the model grounded.

Case Edge compares our confidence against the bookmaker's implied probability from the odds you enter — a positive number suggests the price may be generous relative to our model.
Kelly % is a standard bankroll-management formula, not a guarantee — it sizes a stake relative to perceived edge and odds.
Score matrix uses a Poisson distribution built from each side's recent scoring and conceding rates.

All models are statistical estimates, not certainties. Treat every figure on this page as one input into your own decision, not as a promise of an outcome.

📐 Editorial Standards for This Case File

Every fixture is cross-checked against at least three data points: recent form, head-to-head history, and market odds — no case is filed on a single signal alone.
Confidence and edge figures are generated by a documented formula (see methodology above), never assigned arbitrarily.
Case files are reviewed by a named analyst before publication and re-checked closer to kickoff for team news or lineup changes.
Settled cases are logged publicly with WON / LOST / VOID status — nothing is quietly deleted or hidden after the fact.
Corrections to a published case (updated odds, lineup news, postponements) are recorded in the update log below with a timestamp.

📜

Match Archives

History

Head to Head

⚽ CPL (Aug 23, 2025): OC Charleroi0

Kortrijk3

⚽ CPL (Mar 29, 2008): Kortrijk3

OC Charleroi2

⚽ CPL (Nov 18, 2007): OC Charleroi0

Kortrijk1

Recent Form

Kortrijk

⚽ CPL (Mar 7, 2026): Lommel SK1

Kortrijk1

⚽ CPL (Feb 27, 2026): Kortrijk3

RFC Liege1

⚽ CPL (Feb 14, 2026): Kortrijk1

Beerschot VA0

⚽ CPL (Feb 7, 2026): Eupen1

Kortrijk0

⚽ CPL (Feb 1, 2026): Kortrijk3

Sporting Lokeren2

OC Charleroi

⚽ CPL (Mar 11, 2026): OC Charleroi2

RFC Seraing4

⚽ CPL (Mar 7, 2026): OC Charleroi0

RWDM Brussels2

⚽ CPL (Feb 28, 2026): SK Beveren2

OC Charleroi0

⚽ CPL (Feb 15, 2026): Gent U231

OC Charleroi3

⚽ CPL (Feb 7, 2026): Sporting Lokeren1

OC Charleroi1

📝

Match Analysis

Case Notes

On Saturday, 14th March 2026, Kortrijk host OC Charleroi in Challenger Pro League. Our analysis desk recommends Kortrijk to win as the standout selection.

Kortrijk arrive showing mixed form, having recorded 3 wins, 1 draws and 1 defeats from their last 5 outings.

OC Charleroi are struggling away from home, with a record of 1W 1D 3L across 5 matches.

Historical meetings favour Kortrijk, who lead the head-to-head with 3 wins to OC Charleroi's 0, with 0 draws from 3 encounters. Both teams have scored in 33% of those meetings.

Our verdict: kortrijk to win at odds of 1.30 represents the most compelling value in this fixture.

Source: Recent fixture results Source: Head-to-head archive Source: Public market odds Model: Poisson score distribution

DailyForebet Verification Desk

Senior Fixture Analyst

Cross-checks every fixture against form, head-to-head and market data before a case file is closed for publication.

Reviewed on 14 Mar 2026

❓

Quick Answers

FAQ

What is the recommended bet for Kortrijk vs OC Charleroi?

Our selection is 1 — Kortrijk to win, priced at approximately 1.30. Tip confidence rating: 67%.

What is Kortrijk's current form?

Kortrijk have won 3, drawn 1 and lost 1 of their last 5 matches.

How has OC Charleroi been performing recently?

OC Charleroi have recorded 1 wins, 1 draws and 3 defeats from 5 recent games.

What does the head-to-head record show?

Kortrijk lead with 3 wins versus OC Charleroi's 0, with 0 draws across 3 meetings.

How many goals are expected in this match?

Recent fixtures involving these sides average 2.9 goals per game. The head-to-head BTTS rate stands at 33%.

🔗

More Cases Today

⚠️

Bet Responsibly. DailyForebet provides predictions for informational and entertainment purposes only. Predictions are statistical models, not guaranteed outcomes. Never bet more than you can afford to lose. If gambling is affecting your life, contact BeGambleAware.org or call 0808 8020 133 (UK). 18+ only.