Fixture Case File · Ref V ⚽

Berkane

Q: What is the recommended bet for Berkane vs Al Hilal Omdurman?

Our selection is 1 — Berkane to win, priced at approximately 1.55. Tip confidence rating: 62%.

Q: What is Berkane's current form?

Berkane have won 3, drawn 1 and lost 1 of their last 5 matches.

Q: How has Al Hilal Omdurman been performing recently?

Al Hilal Omdurman have recorded 2 wins, 1 draws and 2 defeats from 5 recent games.

Q: What does the head-to-head record show?

Berkane lead with 2 wins versus Al Hilal Omdurman's 0, with 0 draws across 2 meetings.

Q: How many goals are expected in this match?

Recent fixtures involving these sides average 2.5 goals per game. The head-to-head BTTS rate stands at 0%.

Home Side

W W L D W

3W 1D 1L ▼ Trending Down

—

Al Hilal Omdurman

Away Side

W L D W L

2W 1D 2L → Holding Steady

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MODERATE

62%

Saturday, 14th March 2026 Case Verdict

Filing on Berkane to win

Berkane 50%

Draw 30%

Al Hilal Omdurman 20%

H Fair Odds2

D Fair Odds3.33

A Fair Odds5

Implied Prob64.5%Bookmaker's implied odds

Case Edge-2.5%Overpriced

Kelly %0%Suggested bankroll %

Fixture Ledger Code

V<DFBB<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<A<<H<<<<<O<<<<<<<A871F025A4DFB2607252M2607259<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<

Case reviewed & signed off by DailyForebet Verification Desk

Senior Fixture Analyst · Last checked 14 Mar 2026

✓ Data-Audited ✓ Independently Checked

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Head to Head

Record

Berkane

Draws

Al Hilal Omdurman

Meetings

1.5

Avg Goals

BTTS

Over 2.5

Supports Filing Berkane won 2 of the last 2 meetings (0 draws).

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Stats Duel

Comparison

Berkane

Metric

Al Hilal Omdurman

1.2

Goals For / Game

1.8

0.8

Goals Against / Game

1.2

20%

Clean Sheets

40%

3-1-1

W — D — L

2-1-2

Win Rate

60%

40%

2.5

Avg Goals

70%

Over 1.5

50%

Over 2.5

60%

BTTS Rate

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Score Probability Matrix

Poisson Model

0-0 8.2%

0-1 10.7%

0-2 6.9%

0-3 3.0%

0-4 1.0%

0-5 0.3%

1-0 9.9%

1-1 12.8%

1-2 8.3%

1-3 3.6%

1-4 1.2%

1-5 0.3%

2-0 5.9%

2-1 7.7%

2-2 5.0%

2-3 2.2%

2-4 0.7%

2-5 0.2%

3-0 2.4%

3-1 3.1%

3-2 2.0%

3-3 0.9%

3-4 0.3%

3-5 0.1%

4-0 0.7%

4-1 0.9%

4-2 0.6%

4-3 0.3%

4-4 0.1%

4-5 0.0%

5-0 0.2%

5-1 0.2%

5-2 0.1%

5-3 0.1%

5-4 0.0%

5-5 0.0%

Top Scores 1-0(9.9%) 2-1(7.7%) 2-0(5.9%)

■ Best match ■ Possible ■ Low · ■ Contradicts filing B=Home goals ↓ A=Away →

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Market Odds Intelligence

Value Finder

Berkane Win

50%

Draw

30%

3.33

Al Hilal Omdurman Win

20%

Fair value decimal odds based on our probability model. Compare against your bookmaker's line to identify value.

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Team Ratings

Grades

Berkane

Overall

6.6 —

Scoring

4.0 —

Defence

7.3 —

Al Hilal Omdurman

Overall

4.6 —

Scoring

6.0 —

Defence

6.0 —

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Combination Markets

Smart Picks

Result & BTTS

Home Win & BTTS Yes 30%

Home Win & BTTS No 20%

Draw & BTTS Yes 10%

Draw & BTTS No 7%

Away Win & BTTS Yes 20%

Away Win & BTTS No 13%

Result & Goals

Home Win & Over 2.5 25%

Home Win & Under 2.5 25%

Draw & Over 2.5 9%

Draw & Under 2.5 9%

Away Win & Over 2.5 17%

Away Win & Under 2.5 17%

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Stake Calculator

Bankroll Tool

Bankroll

Decimal Odds

Win Probability %

Kelly Fraction

—

Kelly %

—

Stake

—

Potential Profit

Uses the Kelly Criterion at your selected fraction. Half Kelly (0.5) is recommended for reduced variance. Not financial advice.

🔎 How we calculate confidence, edge & Kelly %

Our confidence score blends three inputs: the market-implied signal from public odds, the head-to-head record between these two sides, and each team's recent form (weighted by sample size). No single input can move the score more than 18 points from the market signal, which keeps the model grounded.

Case Edge compares our confidence against the bookmaker's implied probability from the odds you enter — a positive number suggests the price may be generous relative to our model.
Kelly % is a standard bankroll-management formula, not a guarantee — it sizes a stake relative to perceived edge and odds.
Score matrix uses a Poisson distribution built from each side's recent scoring and conceding rates.

All models are statistical estimates, not certainties. Treat every figure on this page as one input into your own decision, not as a promise of an outcome.

📐 Editorial Standards for This Case File

Every fixture is cross-checked against at least three data points: recent form, head-to-head history, and market odds — no case is filed on a single signal alone.
Confidence and edge figures are generated by a documented formula (see methodology above), never assigned arbitrarily.
Case files are reviewed by a named analyst before publication and re-checked closer to kickoff for team news or lineup changes.
Settled cases are logged publicly with WON / LOST / VOID status — nothing is quietly deleted or hidden after the fact.
Corrections to a published case (updated odds, lineup news, postponements) are recorded in the update log below with a timestamp.

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Match Archives

History

Head to Head

⚽ CON (Aug 19, 2018): Al-Hilal Omdurman0

RSB Berkane2

⚽ CON (May 6, 2018): RSB Berkane1

Al-Hilal Omdurman0

Recent Form

Berkane

⚽ BOT (Mar 8, 2026): Berkane2

Difaa El Jadidi1

⚽ BOT (Mar 4, 2026): Berkane2

Hassania Agadir1

⚽ BOT (Mar 1, 2026): Wydad AC1

Berkane0

⚽ BOT (Feb 25, 2026): Berkane1

Raja Casablanca1

⚽ BOT (Feb 22, 2026): Berkane1

FUS Rabat0

Al Hilal Omdurman

⚽ PL (Mar 3, 2026): Al-Hilal Omdurman5

Gicumbi0

⚽ PL (Feb 28, 2026): Mukura Victory Sports3

Al-Hilal Omdurman1

⚽ PL (Feb 25, 2026): Rayon Sport1

Al-Hilal Omdurman1

⚽ PL (Feb 21, 2026): Al-Hilal Omdurman1

Gorilla0

⚽ PL (Feb 17, 2026): Al-Hilal Omdurman1

Al-Merreikh2

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Match Analysis

Case Notes

On Saturday, 14th March 2026, Berkane host Al Hilal Omdurman in CAF Champions League. Our analysis desk recommends Berkane to win as the standout selection.

Berkane arrive showing mixed form, having recorded 3 wins, 1 draws and 1 defeats from their last 5 outings.

Al Hilal Omdurman are inconsistent on the road, with a record of 2W 1D 2L across 5 matches.

Historical meetings favour Berkane, who lead the head-to-head with 2 wins to Al Hilal Omdurman's 0, with 0 draws from 2 encounters. Both teams have scored in 0% of those meetings.

Our verdict: berkane to win at odds of 1.55 represents the most compelling value in this fixture.

Source: Recent fixture results Source: Head-to-head archive Source: Public market odds Model: Poisson score distribution

DailyForebet Verification Desk

Senior Fixture Analyst

Cross-checks every fixture against form, head-to-head and market data before a case file is closed for publication.

Reviewed on 14 Mar 2026

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Quick Answers

FAQ

What is the recommended bet for Berkane vs Al Hilal Omdurman?

Our selection is 1 — Berkane to win, priced at approximately 1.55. Tip confidence rating: 62%.

What is Berkane's current form?

Berkane have won 3, drawn 1 and lost 1 of their last 5 matches.

How has Al Hilal Omdurman been performing recently?

Al Hilal Omdurman have recorded 2 wins, 1 draws and 2 defeats from 5 recent games.

What does the head-to-head record show?

Berkane lead with 2 wins versus Al Hilal Omdurman's 0, with 0 draws across 2 meetings.

How many goals are expected in this match?

Recent fixtures involving these sides average 2.5 goals per game. The head-to-head BTTS rate stands at 0%.

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