WON Case WON Dinamo Zagreb 4-2 Slaven Belupo

Fixture Case File · Ref V ⚽

Dinamo Zagreb

Q: What is the recommended bet for Dinamo Zagreb vs Slaven Belupo?

Our selection is 1 — Dinamo Zagreb to win, priced at approximately 1.26. Tip confidence rating: 67%.

Q: What is Dinamo Zagreb's current form?

Dinamo Zagreb have won 4, drawn 1 and lost 0 of their last 5 matches.

Q: How has Slaven Belupo been performing recently?

Slaven Belupo have recorded 2 wins, 3 draws and 0 defeats from 5 recent games.

Q: What does the head-to-head record show?

Dinamo Zagreb lead with 4 wins versus Slaven Belupo's 0, with 1 draws across 5 meetings.

Q: How many goals are expected in this match?

Recent fixtures involving these sides average 3.5 goals per game. The head-to-head BTTS rate stands at 60%.

Home Side

W W W W W

4W 1D 0L ▼ Trending Down

4-2

Slaven Belupo

Away Side

W D W D W

2W 3D 0L ▲ Trending Up

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CASE VERIFIED

67%

Saturday, 14th March 2026 Case Verdict

Filing on Dinamo Zagreb to win

Dinamo Zagreb 50%

Draw 30%

Slaven Belupo 20%

H Fair Odds2

D Fair Odds3.33

A Fair Odds5

Implied Prob79.4%Bookmaker's implied odds

Case Edge-12.4%Overpriced

Kelly %0%Suggested bankroll %

Fixture Ledger Code

V<DFBD<<<<<<Z<<<<<<<<<<<<<<S<<<<<<B<<<<<<<<<9F4F29BBC4DFB2607252M2607259<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<

Case reviewed & signed off by DailyForebet Verification Desk

Senior Fixture Analyst · Last checked 14 Mar 2026

✓ Data-Audited ✓ Independently Checked

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Supporting Markets

Extras

Primary Filing

1 — Dinamo Zagreb to win

1.26

Over 1.5 Goals90%

📋 Case Slip / Combo Builder

Dinamo Zagreb vs Slaven Belupo Competition: Croatia HNL Date: Saturday, 14th March 2026 Pick: 1 (Dinamo Zagreb to win) Odds: 1.26 Confidence: 67% Also: Over 1.5 Goals (90%) Ledger Ref: 9F4F29BBC

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Head to Head

Record

Dinamo Zagreb

Draws

Slaven Belupo

Meetings

Avg Goals

60%

BTTS

60%

Over 2.5

Supports Filing Dinamo Zagreb won 4 of the last 5 meetings (1 draws).

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Stats Duel

Comparison

Dinamo Zagreb

Metric

Slaven Belupo

3.2

Goals For / Game

1.6

1.2

Goals Against / Game

40%

Clean Sheets

40%

4-1-0

W — D — L

2-3-0

Win Rate

80%

40%

3.5

Avg Goals

90%

Over 1.5

60%

Over 2.5

60%

BTTS Rate

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Score Probability Matrix

Poisson Model

0-0 3.0%

0-1 4.2%

0-2 3.0%

0-3 1.4%

0-4 0.5%

0-5 0.1%

1-0 6.3%

1-1 8.9%

1-2 6.2%

1-3 2.9%

1-4 1.0%

1-5 0.3%

2-0 6.7%

2-1 9.3%

2-2 6.5%

2-3 3.1%

2-4 1.1%

2-5 0.3%

3-0 4.7%

3-1 6.5%

3-2 4.6%

3-3 2.1%

3-4 0.8%

3-5 0.2%

4-0 2.5%

4-1 3.4%

4-2 2.4%

4-3 1.1%

4-4 0.4%

4-5 0.1%

5-0 1.0%

5-1 1.4%

5-2 1.0%

5-3 0.5%

5-4 0.2%

5-5 0.1%

Top Scores 2-1(9.3%) 2-0(6.7%) 3-1(6.5%)

■ Best match ■ Possible ■ Low · ■ Contradicts filing D=Home goals ↓ S=Away →

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Market Odds Intelligence

Value Finder

Dinamo Zagreb Win

50%

Draw

30%

3.33

Slaven Belupo Win

20%

Fair value decimal odds based on our probability model. Compare against your bookmaker's line to identify value.

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Team Ratings

Grades

Dinamo Zagreb

Overall

8.6 —

Scoring

10.0 —

Defence

6.0 —

Slaven Belupo

Overall

5.8 —

Scoring

5.3 —

Defence

6.7 —

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Combination Markets

Smart Picks

Result & BTTS

Home Win & BTTS Yes 30%

Home Win & BTTS No 20%

Draw & BTTS Yes 15%

Draw & BTTS No 10%

Away Win & BTTS Yes 15%

Away Win & BTTS No 10%

Result & Goals

Home Win & Over 2.5 30%

Home Win & Under 2.5 20%

Draw & Over 2.5 15%

Draw & Under 2.5 10%

Away Win & Over 2.5 15%

Away Win & Under 2.5 10%

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Stake Calculator

Bankroll Tool

Bankroll

Decimal Odds

Win Probability %

Kelly Fraction

—

Kelly %

—

Stake

—

Potential Profit

Uses the Kelly Criterion at your selected fraction. Half Kelly (0.5) is recommended for reduced variance. Not financial advice.

🔎 How we calculate confidence, edge & Kelly %

Our confidence score blends three inputs: the market-implied signal from public odds, the head-to-head record between these two sides, and each team's recent form (weighted by sample size). No single input can move the score more than 18 points from the market signal, which keeps the model grounded.

Case Edge compares our confidence against the bookmaker's implied probability from the odds you enter — a positive number suggests the price may be generous relative to our model.
Kelly % is a standard bankroll-management formula, not a guarantee — it sizes a stake relative to perceived edge and odds.
Score matrix uses a Poisson distribution built from each side's recent scoring and conceding rates.

All models are statistical estimates, not certainties. Treat every figure on this page as one input into your own decision, not as a promise of an outcome.

📐 Editorial Standards for This Case File

Every fixture is cross-checked against at least three data points: recent form, head-to-head history, and market odds — no case is filed on a single signal alone.
Confidence and edge figures are generated by a documented formula (see methodology above), never assigned arbitrarily.
Case files are reviewed by a named analyst before publication and re-checked closer to kickoff for team news or lineup changes.
Settled cases are logged publicly with WON / LOST / VOID status — nothing is quietly deleted or hidden after the fact.
Corrections to a published case (updated odds, lineup news, postponements) are recorded in the update log below with a timestamp.

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Match Archives

History

Head to Head

⚽ HNL (Dec 14, 2025): Slaven Belupo2

Din. Zagreb5

⚽ HNL (Sep 28, 2025): Din. Zagreb4

Slaven Belupo1

⚽ HNL (May 10, 2025): Din. Zagreb5

Slaven Belupo0

⚽ HNL (Mar 09, 2025): Slaven Belupo0

Din. Zagreb1

⚽ HNL (Dec 06, 2024): Din. Zagreb1

Slaven Belupo1

Recent Form

Dinamo Zagreb

⚽ HNL (Mar 8, 2026): Hajduk Split1

Din. Zagreb3

⚽ CUP (Mar 4, 2026): Din. Zagreb2

Kurilovec0

⚽ HNL (Mar 1, 2026): Din. Zagreb4

Gorica2

⚽ EL (Feb 26, 2026): Genk3

Din. Zagreb3

⚽ HNL (Feb 22, 2026): Varazdin0

Din. Zagreb4

Slaven Belupo

⚽ CUP (Mar 10, 2026): Slaven Belupo1

Lok. Zagreb (4-2)1

⚽ HNL (Mar 7, 2026): Gorica2

Slaven Belupo2

⚽ HNL (Feb 27, 2026): Slaven Belupo1

Istra 19610

⚽ HNL (Feb 20, 2026): Vukovar 19912

Slaven Belupo2

⚽ HNL (Feb 13, 2026): Slaven Belupo2

Lok. Zagreb0

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Match Analysis

Case Notes

On Saturday, 14th March 2026, Dinamo Zagreb host Slaven Belupo in Croatia HNL. Our analysis desk recommends Dinamo Zagreb to win as the standout selection.

Dinamo Zagreb arrive in strong form, having recorded 4 wins, 1 draws and 0 defeats from their last 5 outings.

Slaven Belupo are inconsistent on the road, with a record of 2W 3D 0L across 5 matches.

Historical meetings favour Dinamo Zagreb, who lead the head-to-head with 4 wins to Slaven Belupo's 0, with 1 draws from 5 encounters. Both teams have scored in 60% of those meetings.

Our verdict: dinamo zagreb to win at odds of 1.26 represents the most compelling value in this fixture.

Source: Recent fixture results Source: Head-to-head archive Source: Public market odds Model: Poisson score distribution

DailyForebet Verification Desk

Senior Fixture Analyst

Cross-checks every fixture against form, head-to-head and market data before a case file is closed for publication.

Reviewed on 14 Mar 2026

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Quick Answers

FAQ

What is the recommended bet for Dinamo Zagreb vs Slaven Belupo?

Our selection is 1 — Dinamo Zagreb to win, priced at approximately 1.26. Tip confidence rating: 67%.

What is Dinamo Zagreb's current form?

Dinamo Zagreb have won 4, drawn 1 and lost 0 of their last 5 matches.

How has Slaven Belupo been performing recently?

Slaven Belupo have recorded 2 wins, 3 draws and 0 defeats from 5 recent games.

What does the head-to-head record show?

Dinamo Zagreb lead with 4 wins versus Slaven Belupo's 0, with 1 draws across 5 meetings.

How many goals are expected in this match?

Recent fixtures involving these sides average 3.5 goals per game. The head-to-head BTTS rate stands at 60%.

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