WON Case WON Kalamata 1-0 Olympiacos B

Fixture Case File · Ref V ⚽

Kalamata

Q: What is the recommended bet for Kalamata vs Olympiacos B?

Our selection is 1 — Kalamata to win, priced at approximately 1.27. Tip confidence rating: 67%.

Q: What is Kalamata's current form?

Kalamata have won 4, drawn 0 and lost 1 of their last 5 matches.

Q: How has Olympiacos B been performing recently?

Olympiacos B have recorded 2 wins, 1 draws and 2 defeats from 5 recent games.

Q: What does the head-to-head record show?

Kalamata lead with 4 wins versus Olympiacos B's 0, with 1 draws across 5 meetings.

Q: How many goals are expected in this match?

Recent fixtures involving these sides average 2.5 goals per game. The head-to-head BTTS rate stands at 40%.

Home Side

W W W D W

4W 0D 1L ▼ Trending Down

1-0

Olympiacos B

Away Side

L W L D W

2W 1D 2L → Holding Steady

⚑

CASE VERIFIED

67%

Sunday, 15th March 2026 Case Verdict

Filing on Kalamata to win

Kalamata 50%

Draw 30%

Olympiacos B 20%

H Fair Odds2

D Fair Odds3.33

A Fair Odds5

Implied Prob78.7%Bookmaker's implied odds

Case Edge-11.7%Overpriced

Kelly %0%Suggested bankroll %

Fixture Ledger Code

V<DFBK<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<O<<<<<<<<<<B<<<<<B56852DA74DFB2607272M2607279<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<

Case reviewed & signed off by DailyForebet Verification Desk

Senior Fixture Analyst · Last checked 15 Mar 2026

✓ Data-Audited ✓ Independently Checked

⚡

Supporting Markets

Extras

Primary Filing

1 — Kalamata to win

1.27

Over 1.5 Goals90% Kalamata Clean Sheet60%

📋 Case Slip / Combo Builder

Kalamata vs Olympiacos B Competition: Greece Super League 2 Date: Sunday, 15th March 2026 Pick: 1 (Kalamata to win) Odds: 1.27 Confidence: 67% Also: Over 1.5 Goals (90%) Also: Kalamata Clean Sheet (60%) Ledger Ref: B56852DA7

⚔

Head to Head

Record

Kalamata

Draws

Olympiacos B

Meetings

2.6

Avg Goals

40%

BTTS

60%

Over 2.5

Supports Filing Kalamata won 4 of the last 5 meetings (1 draws).

📊

Stats Duel

Comparison

Kalamata

Metric

Olympiacos B

1.6

Goals For / Game

0.6

Goals Against / Game

1.8

60%

Clean Sheets

4-0-1

W — D — L

2-1-2

Win Rate

80%

40%

2.5

Avg Goals

90%

Over 1.5

60%

Over 2.5

40%

BTTS Rate

🎯

Score Probability Matrix

Poisson Model

0-0 8.2%

0-1 6.6%

0-2 2.6%

0-3 0.7%

0-4 0.1%

0-5 0.0%

1-0 14.0%

1-1 11.2%

1-2 4.5%

1-3 1.2%

1-4 0.2%

1-5 0.0%

2-0 11.9%

2-1 9.5%

2-2 3.8%

2-3 1.0%

2-4 0.2%

2-5 0.0%

3-0 6.7%

3-1 5.4%

3-2 2.2%

3-3 0.6%

3-4 0.1%

3-5 0.0%

4-0 2.9%

4-1 2.3%

4-2 0.9%

4-3 0.2%

4-4 0.1%

4-5 0.0%

5-0 1.0%

5-1 0.8%

5-2 0.3%

5-3 0.1%

5-4 0.0%

5-5 0.0%

Top Scores 1-0(14.0%) 2-0(11.9%) 2-1(9.5%)

■ Best match ■ Possible ■ Low · ■ Contradicts filing K=Home goals ↓ O=Away →

📉

Market Odds Intelligence

Value Finder

Kalamata Win

50%

Draw

30%

3.33

Olympiacos B Win

20%

Fair value decimal odds based on our probability model. Compare against your bookmaker's line to identify value.

📈

Team Ratings

Grades

Kalamata

Overall

8.0 —

Scoring

5.3 —

Defence

8.0 —

Olympiacos B

Overall

4.6 —

Scoring

3.3 —

Defence

4.0 —

🔀

Combination Markets

Smart Picks

Result & BTTS

Home Win & BTTS Yes 25%

Home Win & BTTS No 37%

Draw & BTTS Yes 3%

Draw & BTTS No 5%

Away Win & BTTS Yes 12%

Away Win & BTTS No 18%

Result & Goals

Home Win & Over 2.5 37%

Home Win & Under 2.5 25%

Draw & Over 2.5 5%

Draw & Under 2.5 3%

Away Win & Over 2.5 18%

Away Win & Under 2.5 12%

🧮

Stake Calculator

Bankroll Tool

Bankroll

Decimal Odds

Win Probability %

Kelly Fraction

—

Kelly %

—

Stake

—

Potential Profit

Uses the Kelly Criterion at your selected fraction. Half Kelly (0.5) is recommended for reduced variance. Not financial advice.

🔎 How we calculate confidence, edge & Kelly %

Our confidence score blends three inputs: the market-implied signal from public odds, the head-to-head record between these two sides, and each team's recent form (weighted by sample size). No single input can move the score more than 18 points from the market signal, which keeps the model grounded.

Case Edge compares our confidence against the bookmaker's implied probability from the odds you enter — a positive number suggests the price may be generous relative to our model.
Kelly % is a standard bankroll-management formula, not a guarantee — it sizes a stake relative to perceived edge and odds.
Score matrix uses a Poisson distribution built from each side's recent scoring and conceding rates.

All models are statistical estimates, not certainties. Treat every figure on this page as one input into your own decision, not as a promise of an outcome.

📐 Editorial Standards for This Case File

Every fixture is cross-checked against at least three data points: recent form, head-to-head history, and market odds — no case is filed on a single signal alone.
Confidence and edge figures are generated by a documented formula (see methodology above), never assigned arbitrarily.
Case files are reviewed by a named analyst before publication and re-checked closer to kickoff for team news or lineup changes.
Settled cases are logged publicly with WON / LOST / VOID status — nothing is quietly deleted or hidden after the fact.
Corrections to a published case (updated odds, lineup news, postponements) are recorded in the update log below with a timestamp.

📜

Match Archives

History

Head to Head

21.02.26

SL2: Olympiacos Piraeus B0

Kalamata3

06.12.25

SL2: Kalamata3

Olympiacos Piraeus B1

05.10.25

SL2: Olympiacos Piraeus B1

Kalamata4

24.02.24

SL2: Kalamata1

Olympiacos Piraeus B0

26.11.23

SL2: Olympiacos Piraeus B0

Kalamata0

Recent Form

Kalamata

07.03.26

SL2: Panionios0

Kalamata1

01.03.26

SL2: Kalamata2

Marko0

21.02.26

SL2: Olympiacos Piraeus B0

Kalamata3

15.02.26

SL2: Kalamata0

Panionios2

25.01.26

SL2: Ellas Syrou1

Kalamata2

Olympiacos B

07.03.26

SL2: Olympiacos Piraeus B0

Marko3

01.03.26

SL2: Olympiacos Piraeus B2

Panionios1

21.02.26

SL2: Olympiacos Piraeus B0

Kalamata3

15.02.26

SL2: Marko1

Olympiacos Piraeus B1

25.01.26

SL2: Olympiacos Piraeus B2

Egaleo1

📝

Match Analysis

Case Notes

On Sunday, 15th March 2026, Kalamata host Olympiacos B in Greece Super League 2. Our analysis desk recommends Kalamata to win as the standout selection.

Kalamata arrive in strong form, having recorded 4 wins, 0 draws and 1 defeats from their last 5 outings.

Olympiacos B are inconsistent on the road, with a record of 2W 1D 2L across 5 matches.

Historical meetings favour Kalamata, who lead the head-to-head with 4 wins to Olympiacos B's 0, with 1 draws from 5 encounters. Both teams have scored in 40% of those meetings.

Our verdict: kalamata to win at odds of 1.27 represents the most compelling value in this fixture.

Source: Recent fixture results Source: Head-to-head archive Source: Public market odds Model: Poisson score distribution

DailyForebet Verification Desk

Senior Fixture Analyst

Cross-checks every fixture against form, head-to-head and market data before a case file is closed for publication.

Reviewed on 15 Mar 2026

❓

Quick Answers

FAQ

What is the recommended bet for Kalamata vs Olympiacos B?

Our selection is 1 — Kalamata to win, priced at approximately 1.27. Tip confidence rating: 67%.

What is Kalamata's current form?

Kalamata have won 4, drawn 0 and lost 1 of their last 5 matches.

How has Olympiacos B been performing recently?

Olympiacos B have recorded 2 wins, 1 draws and 2 defeats from 5 recent games.

What does the head-to-head record show?

Kalamata lead with 4 wins versus Olympiacos B's 0, with 1 draws across 5 meetings.

How many goals are expected in this match?

Recent fixtures involving these sides average 2.5 goals per game. The head-to-head BTTS rate stands at 40%.

🔗

More Cases Today

⚠️

Bet Responsibly. DailyForebet provides predictions for informational and entertainment purposes only. Predictions are statistical models, not guaranteed outcomes. Never bet more than you can afford to lose. If gambling is affecting your life, contact BeGambleAware.org or call 0808 8020 133 (UK). 18+ only.