WON Case WON HB Torshavn 2-0 07 Vestur Sorvagur

Fixture Case File · Ref V ⚽

HB Torshavn

Q: What is the recommended bet for HB Torshavn vs 07 Vestur Sorvagur?

Our selection is 1 — HB Torshavn to win, priced at approximately 1.15. Tip confidence rating: 77%.

Q: What is HB Torshavn's current form?

HB Torshavn have won 4, drawn 1 and lost 0 of their last 5 matches.

Q: How has 07 Vestur Sorvagur been performing recently?

07 Vestur Sorvagur have recorded 0 wins, 2 draws and 3 defeats from 5 recent games.

Q: What does the head-to-head record show?

HB Torshavn lead with 5 wins versus 07 Vestur Sorvagur's 0, with 0 draws across 5 meetings.

Q: How many goals are expected in this match?

Recent fixtures involving these sides average 4.1 goals per game. The head-to-head BTTS rate stands at 60%.

Home Side

W L W W W

4W 1D 0L ▼ Trending Down

2-0

07 Vestur Sorvagur

Away Side

L D D L L

0W 2D 3L → Holding Steady

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CASE VERIFIED

77%

Sunday, 15th March 2026 Case Verdict

Filing on HB Torshavn to win

HB Torshavn 60%

Draw 20%

07 Vestur Sorvagur 20%

H Fair Odds1.67

D Fair Odds5

A Fair Odds5

Implied Prob87%Bookmaker's implied odds

Case Edge-10%Overpriced

Kelly %0%Suggested bankroll %

Fixture Ledger Code

V<DFBHB<T<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<07<V<<<<<<S<<<<<<28FBA74E94DFB2607262M2607269<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<

Case reviewed & signed off by DailyForebet Verification Desk

Senior Fixture Analyst · Last checked 15 Mar 2026

✓ Data-Audited ✓ Independently Checked

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Supporting Markets

Extras

Primary Filing

1 — HB Torshavn to win

1.15

Over 2.5 Goals80% Over 1.5 Goals100% BTTS — Yes80%

📋 Case Slip / Combo Builder

HB Torshavn vs 07 Vestur Sorvagur Competition: Faroe Islands Premier League Date: Sunday, 15th March 2026 Pick: 1 (HB Torshavn to win) Odds: 1.15 Confidence: 77% Also: Over 2.5 Goals (80%) Also: Over 1.5 Goals (100%) Also: BTTS — Yes (80%) Ledger Ref: 28FBA74E9

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Head to Head

Record

HB Torshavn

Draws

07 Vestur Sorvagur

Meetings

Avg Goals

60%

BTTS

80%

Over 2.5

Supports Filing HB Torshavn won 5 of the last 5 meetings (0 draws).

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Stats Duel

Comparison

HB Torshavn

Metric

07 Vestur Sorvagur

2.8

Goals For / Game

1.4

0.8

Goals Against / Game

3.2

40%

Clean Sheets

4-1-0

W — D — L

0-2-3

Win Rate

80%

4.1

Avg Goals

100%

Over 1.5

80%

Over 2.5

80%

BTTS Rate

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Score Probability Matrix

Poisson Model

0-0 1.7%

0-1 1.8%

0-2 1.0%

0-3 0.4%

0-4 0.1%

0-5 0.0%

1-0 5.0%

1-1 5.5%

1-2 3.0%

1-3 1.1%

1-4 0.3%

1-5 0.1%

2-0 7.5%

2-1 8.2%

2-2 4.5%

2-3 1.7%

2-4 0.5%

2-5 0.1%

3-0 7.5%

3-1 8.2%

3-2 4.5%

3-3 1.7%

3-4 0.5%

3-5 0.1%

4-0 5.6%

4-1 6.2%

4-2 3.4%

4-3 1.2%

4-4 0.3%

4-5 0.1%

5-0 3.4%

5-1 3.7%

5-2 2.0%

5-3 0.7%

5-4 0.2%

5-5 0.1%

Top Scores 2-1(8.2%) 3-1(8.2%) 2-0(7.5%)

■ Best match ■ Possible ■ Low · ■ Contradicts filing H=Home goals ↓ 0=Away →

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Market Odds Intelligence

Value Finder

HB Torshavn Win

60%

1.67

Draw

20%

07 Vestur Sorvagur Win

20%

Fair value decimal odds based on our probability model. Compare against your bookmaker's line to identify value.

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Team Ratings

Grades

HB Torshavn

Overall

8.6 —

Scoring

9.3 —

Defence

7.3 —

07 Vestur Sorvagur

Overall

1.2 —

Scoring

4.7 —

Defence

0.0 —

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Combination Markets

Smart Picks

Result & BTTS

Home Win & BTTS Yes 58%

Home Win & BTTS No 15%

Draw & BTTS Yes 22%

Draw & BTTS No 5%

Away Win & BTTS Yes 0%

Away Win & BTTS No 0%

Result & Goals

Home Win & Over 2.5 58%

Home Win & Under 2.5 15%

Draw & Over 2.5 22%

Draw & Under 2.5 5%

Away Win & Over 2.5 0%

Away Win & Under 2.5 0%

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Stake Calculator

Bankroll Tool

Bankroll

Decimal Odds

Win Probability %

Kelly Fraction

—

Kelly %

—

Stake

—

Potential Profit

Uses the Kelly Criterion at your selected fraction. Half Kelly (0.5) is recommended for reduced variance. Not financial advice.

🔎 How we calculate confidence, edge & Kelly %

Our confidence score blends three inputs: the market-implied signal from public odds, the head-to-head record between these two sides, and each team's recent form (weighted by sample size). No single input can move the score more than 18 points from the market signal, which keeps the model grounded.

Case Edge compares our confidence against the bookmaker's implied probability from the odds you enter — a positive number suggests the price may be generous relative to our model.
Kelly % is a standard bankroll-management formula, not a guarantee — it sizes a stake relative to perceived edge and odds.
Score matrix uses a Poisson distribution built from each side's recent scoring and conceding rates.

All models are statistical estimates, not certainties. Treat every figure on this page as one input into your own decision, not as a promise of an outcome.

📐 Editorial Standards for This Case File

Every fixture is cross-checked against at least three data points: recent form, head-to-head history, and market odds — no case is filed on a single signal alone.
Confidence and edge figures are generated by a documented formula (see methodology above), never assigned arbitrarily.
Case files are reviewed by a named analyst before publication and re-checked closer to kickoff for team news or lineup changes.
Settled cases are logged publicly with WON / LOST / VOID status — nothing is quietly deleted or hidden after the fact.
Corrections to a published case (updated odds, lineup news, postponements) are recorded in the update log below with a timestamp.

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Match Archives

History

Head to Head

17.08.25

PL: HB Torshavn3

07 Vestur Sorvagur0

22.06.25

PL: 07 Vestur Sorvagur1

HB Torshavn2

16.03.25

PL: 07 Vestur Sorvagur1

HB Torshavn2

05.10.24

PL: HB Torshavn1

07 Vestur Sorvagur0

15.06.24

PL: 07 Vestur Sorvagur1

HB Torshavn4

Recent Form

HB Torshavn

08.03.26

PL: Skala Itrottarfelag1

HB Torshavn2

25.10.25

PL: Vikingur0

HB Torshavn2

19.10.25

PL: HB Torshavn3

NSI Runavik0

03.10.25

PL: HB Torshavn5

Toftir1

28.09.25

PL: Streymur2

HB Torshavn2

07 Vestur Sorvagur

08.03.26

PL: 07 Vestur Sorvagur1

Klaksvik5

25.10.25

PL: 07 Vestur Sorvagur3

Streymur3

19.10.25

PL: Toftir1

07 Vestur Sorvagur1

03.10.25

PL: 07 Vestur Sorvagur1

Klaksvik2

28.09.25

PL: 07 Vestur Sorvagur1

NSI Runavik5

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Match Analysis

Case Notes

On Sunday, 15th March 2026, HB Torshavn host 07 Vestur Sorvagur in Faroe Islands Premier League. Our analysis desk recommends HB Torshavn to win as the standout selection.

HB Torshavn arrive in strong form, having recorded 4 wins, 1 draws and 0 defeats from their last 5 outings.

07 Vestur Sorvagur are struggling away from home, with a record of 0W 2D 3L across 5 matches.

Historical meetings favour HB Torshavn, who lead the head-to-head with 5 wins to 07 Vestur Sorvagur's 0, with 0 draws from 5 encounters. Both teams have scored in 60% of those meetings.

Our verdict: hb torshavn to win at odds of 1.15 represents the most compelling value in this fixture.

Source: Recent fixture results Source: Head-to-head archive Source: Public market odds Model: Poisson score distribution

DailyForebet Verification Desk

Senior Fixture Analyst

Cross-checks every fixture against form, head-to-head and market data before a case file is closed for publication.

Reviewed on 15 Mar 2026

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Quick Answers

FAQ

What is the recommended bet for HB Torshavn vs 07 Vestur Sorvagur?

Our selection is 1 — HB Torshavn to win, priced at approximately 1.15. Tip confidence rating: 77%.

What is HB Torshavn's current form?

HB Torshavn have won 4, drawn 1 and lost 0 of their last 5 matches.

How has 07 Vestur Sorvagur been performing recently?

07 Vestur Sorvagur have recorded 0 wins, 2 draws and 3 defeats from 5 recent games.

What does the head-to-head record show?

HB Torshavn lead with 5 wins versus 07 Vestur Sorvagur's 0, with 0 draws across 5 meetings.

How many goals are expected in this match?

Recent fixtures involving these sides average 4.1 goals per game. The head-to-head BTTS rate stands at 60%.

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