WON Case WON Coventry 3-0 Preston

Fixture Case File · Ref V ⚽

Coventry

Q: What is the recommended bet for Coventry vs Preston?

Our selection is 1 — Coventry to win, priced at approximately 1.45. Tip confidence rating: 57%.

Q: What is Coventry's current form?

Coventry have won 5, drawn 0 and lost 0 of their last 5 matches.

Q: How has Preston been performing recently?

Preston have recorded 0 wins, 2 draws and 3 defeats from 5 recent games.

Q: What does the head-to-head record show?

Coventry lead with 1 wins versus Preston's 3, with 1 draws across 5 meetings.

Q: How many goals are expected in this match?

Recent fixtures involving these sides average 2.7 goals per game. The head-to-head BTTS rate stands at 60%.

Home Side

W W W W W

5W 0D 0L → Holding Steady

3-0

Preston

Away Side

L L D L D

0W 2D 3L → Holding Steady

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MODERATE

57%

Wednesday, 11th March 2026 Case Verdict

Filing on Coventry to win

Coventry 50%

Draw 30%

Preston 20%

H Fair Odds2

D Fair Odds3.33

A Fair Odds5

Implied Prob69%Bookmaker's implied odds

Case Edge-12%Overpriced

Kelly %0%Suggested bankroll %

Fixture Ledger Code

V<DFBC<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<P<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<418207E444DFB2607202M2607209<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<

Case reviewed & signed off by DailyForebet Verification Desk

Senior Fixture Analyst · Last checked 12 Mar 2026

✓ Data-Audited ✓ Independently Checked

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Supporting Markets

Extras

Primary Filing

1 — Coventry to win

1.45

Over 1.5 Goals90%

📋 Case Slip / Combo Builder

Coventry vs Preston Competition: Championship Date: Wednesday, 11th March 2026 Pick: 1 (Coventry to win) Odds: 1.45 Confidence: 57% Also: Over 1.5 Goals (90%) Ledger Ref: 418207E44

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Head to Head

Record

Coventry

Draws

Preston

Meetings

2.8

Avg Goals

60%

BTTS

60%

Over 2.5

Against Filing Coventry won 1 of the last 5 meetings (1 draws).

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Stats Duel

Comparison

Coventry

Metric

Preston

2.2

Goals For / Game

0.8

0.6

Goals Against / Game

1.8

40%

Clean Sheets

5-0-0

W — D — L

0-2-3

Win Rate

100%

2.7

Avg Goals

90%

Over 1.5

50%

Over 2.5

60%

BTTS Rate

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Score Probability Matrix

Poisson Model

0-0 6.7%

0-1 4.7%

0-2 1.7%

0-3 0.4%

0-4 0.1%

0-5 0.0%

1-0 13.4%

1-1 9.4%

1-2 3.3%

1-3 0.8%

1-4 0.1%

1-5 0.0%

2-0 13.4%

2-1 9.4%

2-2 3.3%

2-3 0.8%

2-4 0.1%

2-5 0.0%

3-0 9.0%

3-1 6.3%

3-2 2.2%

3-3 0.5%

3-4 0.1%

3-5 0.0%

4-0 4.5%

4-1 3.1%

4-2 1.1%

4-3 0.3%

4-4 0.0%

4-5 0.0%

5-0 1.8%

5-1 1.3%

5-2 0.4%

5-3 0.1%

5-4 0.0%

5-5 0.0%

Top Scores 1-0(13.4%) 2-0(13.4%) 2-1(9.4%)

■ Best match ■ Possible ■ Low · ■ Contradicts filing C=Home goals ↓ P=Away →

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Market Odds Intelligence

Value Finder

Coventry Win

50%

Draw

30%

3.33

Preston Win

20%

Fair value decimal odds based on our probability model. Compare against your bookmaker's line to identify value.

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Team Ratings

Grades

Coventry

Overall

10.0 —

Scoring

7.3 —

Defence

8.0 —

Preston

Overall

1.2 —

Scoring

2.7 —

Defence

4.0 —

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Combination Markets

Smart Picks

Result & BTTS

Home Win & BTTS Yes 50%

Home Win & BTTS No 33%

Draw & BTTS Yes 10%

Draw & BTTS No 7%

Away Win & BTTS Yes 0%

Away Win & BTTS No 0%

Result & Goals

Home Win & Over 2.5 42%

Home Win & Under 2.5 42%

Draw & Over 2.5 9%

Draw & Under 2.5 9%

Away Win & Over 2.5 0%

Away Win & Under 2.5 0%

🧮

Stake Calculator

Bankroll Tool

Bankroll

Decimal Odds

Win Probability %

Kelly Fraction

—

Kelly %

—

Stake

—

Potential Profit

Uses the Kelly Criterion at your selected fraction. Half Kelly (0.5) is recommended for reduced variance. Not financial advice.

🔎 How we calculate confidence, edge & Kelly %

Our confidence score blends three inputs: the market-implied signal from public odds, the head-to-head record between these two sides, and each team's recent form (weighted by sample size). No single input can move the score more than 18 points from the market signal, which keeps the model grounded.

Case Edge compares our confidence against the bookmaker's implied probability from the odds you enter — a positive number suggests the price may be generous relative to our model.
Kelly % is a standard bankroll-management formula, not a guarantee — it sizes a stake relative to perceived edge and odds.
Score matrix uses a Poisson distribution built from each side's recent scoring and conceding rates.

All models are statistical estimates, not certainties. Treat every figure on this page as one input into your own decision, not as a promise of an outcome.

📐 Editorial Standards for This Case File

Every fixture is cross-checked against at least three data points: recent form, head-to-head history, and market odds — no case is filed on a single signal alone.
Confidence and edge figures are generated by a documented formula (see methodology above), never assigned arbitrarily.
Case files are reviewed by a named analyst before publication and re-checked closer to kickoff for team news or lineup changes.
Settled cases are logged publicly with WON / LOST / VOID status — nothing is quietly deleted or hidden after the fact.
Corrections to a published case (updated odds, lineup news, postponements) are recorded in the update log below with a timestamp.

📜

Match Archives

History

Head to Head

⚽ CHA (09.12.25): Preston1

Coventry1

⚽ CHA (22.02.25): Coventry2

Preston1

⚽ CHA (19.10.24): Preston1

Coventry0

⚽ CHA (23.02.24): Coventry0

Preston3

⚽ CHA (04.11.23): Preston3

Coventry2

Recent Form

Coventry

⚽ CHA (07.03.26): Bristol City0

Coventry2

⚽ CHA (28.02.26): Coventry2

Stoke1

⚽ CHA (25.02.26): Sheffield Utd1

Coventry2

⚽ CHA (21.02.26): West Brom0

Coventry2

⚽ CHA (16.02.26): Coventry3

Middlesbrough1

Preston

⚽ CHA (06.03.26): Preston1

Oxford Utd3

⚽ CHA (28.02.26): Preston0

Millwall2

⚽ CHA (24.02.26): Swansea1

Preston1

⚽ CHA (20.02.26): Blackburn1

Preston0

⚽ CHA (14.02.26): Preston2

Watford2

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Match Analysis

Case Notes

On Wednesday, 11th March 2026, Coventry host Preston in Championship. Our analysis desk recommends Coventry to win as the standout selection.

Coventry arrive in strong form, having recorded 5 wins, 0 draws and 0 defeats from their last 5 outings.

Preston are struggling away from home, with a record of 0W 2D 3L across 5 matches.

Historical meetings favour Coventry, who lead the head-to-head with 1 wins to Preston's 3, with 1 draws from 5 encounters. Both teams have scored in 60% of those meetings.

Our verdict: coventry to win at odds of 1.45 represents the most compelling value in this fixture.

Source: Recent fixture results Source: Head-to-head archive Source: Public market odds Model: Poisson score distribution

DailyForebet Verification Desk

Senior Fixture Analyst

Cross-checks every fixture against form, head-to-head and market data before a case file is closed for publication.

Reviewed on 12 Mar 2026

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Quick Answers

FAQ

What is the recommended bet for Coventry vs Preston?

Our selection is 1 — Coventry to win, priced at approximately 1.45. Tip confidence rating: 57%.

What is Coventry's current form?

Coventry have won 5, drawn 0 and lost 0 of their last 5 matches.

How has Preston been performing recently?

Preston have recorded 0 wins, 2 draws and 3 defeats from 5 recent games.

What does the head-to-head record show?

Coventry lead with 1 wins versus Preston's 3, with 1 draws across 5 meetings.

How many goals are expected in this match?

Recent fixtures involving these sides average 2.7 goals per game. The head-to-head BTTS rate stands at 60%.

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