WON Case WON Al Hussein 5-1 Al Buqaa

Fixture Case File · Ref V ⚽

Al Hussein

Q: What is the recommended bet for Al Hussein vs Al Buqaa?

Our selection is 1 — Al Hussein to win, priced at approximately 1.20. Tip confidence rating: 77%.

Q: What is Al Hussein's current form?

Al Hussein have won 5, drawn 0 and lost 0 of their last 5 matches.

Q: How has Al Buqaa been performing recently?

Al Buqaa have recorded 1 wins, 2 draws and 2 defeats from 5 recent games.

Q: What does the head-to-head record show?

Al Hussein lead with 4 wins versus Al Buqaa's 0, with 1 draws across 5 meetings.

Q: How many goals are expected in this match?

Recent fixtures involving these sides average 4.2 goals per game. The head-to-head BTTS rate stands at 60%.

Home Side

W W W W W

5W 0D 0L → Holding Steady

5-1

Al Buqaa

Away Side

W L L D D

1W 2D 2L ▼ Trending Down

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CASE VERIFIED

77%

Wednesday, 11th March 2026 Case Verdict

Filing on Al Hussein to win

Implied Prob83.3%Bookmaker's implied odds

Case Edge-6.3%Overpriced

Kelly %0%Suggested bankroll %

Fixture Ledger Code

V<DFBA<<H<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<A<<B<<<<<<<<<<<<<270CF7D094DFB2607262M2607269<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<

Case reviewed & signed off by DailyForebet Verification Desk

Senior Fixture Analyst · Last checked 12 Mar 2026

✓ Data-Audited ✓ Independently Checked

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Supporting Markets

Extras

Primary Filing

1 — Al Hussein to win

1.20

Over 2.5 Goals70% Over 1.5 Goals90% BTTS — Yes80%

📋 Case Slip / Combo Builder

Al Hussein vs Al Buqaa Competition: Jordan Premier League Date: Wednesday, 11th March 2026 Pick: 1 (Al Hussein to win) Odds: 1.20 Confidence: 77% Also: Over 2.5 Goals (70%) Also: Over 1.5 Goals (90%) Also: BTTS — Yes (80%) Ledger Ref: 270CF7D09

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Head to Head

Record

Al Hussein

Draws

Al Buqaa

Meetings

Avg Goals

60%

BTTS

80%

Over 2.5

Supports Filing Al Hussein won 4 of the last 5 meetings (1 draws).

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Stats Duel

Comparison

Al Hussein

Metric

Al Buqaa

3.2

Goals For / Game

1.8

Goals Against / Game

2.4

40%

Clean Sheets

5-0-0

W — D — L

1-2-2

Win Rate

100%

20%

4.2

Avg Goals

90%

Over 1.5

70%

Over 2.5

80%

BTTS Rate

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Score Probability Matrix

Poisson Model

0-0 1.5%

0-1 2.1%

0-2 1.5%

0-3 0.7%

0-4 0.2%

0-5 0.1%

1-0 4.2%

1-1 5.9%

1-2 4.1%

1-3 1.9%

1-4 0.7%

1-5 0.2%

2-0 5.9%

2-1 8.2%

2-2 5.8%

2-3 2.7%

2-4 0.9%

2-5 0.3%

3-0 5.5%

3-1 7.7%

3-2 5.4%

3-3 2.5%

3-4 0.9%

3-5 0.3%

4-0 3.8%

4-1 5.4%

4-2 3.8%

4-3 1.8%

4-4 0.6%

4-5 0.2%

5-0 2.2%

5-1 3.0%

5-2 2.1%

5-3 1.0%

5-4 0.3%

5-5 0.1%

Top Scores 2-1(8.2%) 3-1(7.7%) 2-0(5.9%)

■ Best match ■ Possible ■ Low · ■ Contradicts filing A=Home goals ↓ A=Away →

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Team Ratings

Grades

Al Hussein

Overall

10.0 —

Scoring

10.0 —

Defence

6.7 —

Al Buqaa

Overall

3.2 —

Scoring

6.0 —

Defence

2.0 —

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Combination Markets

Smart Picks

Result & BTTS

Home Win & BTTS Yes 57%

Home Win & BTTS No 14%

Draw & BTTS Yes 11%

Draw & BTTS No 3%

Away Win & BTTS Yes 12%

Away Win & BTTS No 3%

Result & Goals

Home Win & Over 2.5 50%

Home Win & Under 2.5 21%

Draw & Over 2.5 10%

Draw & Under 2.5 4%

Away Win & Over 2.5 11%

Away Win & Under 2.5 5%

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Stake Calculator

Bankroll Tool

Bankroll

Decimal Odds

Win Probability %

Kelly Fraction

—

Kelly %

—

Stake

—

Potential Profit

Uses the Kelly Criterion at your selected fraction. Half Kelly (0.5) is recommended for reduced variance. Not financial advice.

🔎 How we calculate confidence, edge & Kelly %

Our confidence score blends three inputs: the market-implied signal from public odds, the head-to-head record between these two sides, and each team's recent form (weighted by sample size). No single input can move the score more than 18 points from the market signal, which keeps the model grounded.

Case Edge compares our confidence against the bookmaker's implied probability from the odds you enter — a positive number suggests the price may be generous relative to our model.
Kelly % is a standard bankroll-management formula, not a guarantee — it sizes a stake relative to perceived edge and odds.
Score matrix uses a Poisson distribution built from each side's recent scoring and conceding rates.

All models are statistical estimates, not certainties. Treat every figure on this page as one input into your own decision, not as a promise of an outcome.

📐 Editorial Standards for This Case File

Every fixture is cross-checked against at least three data points: recent form, head-to-head history, and market odds — no case is filed on a single signal alone.
Confidence and edge figures are generated by a documented formula (see methodology above), never assigned arbitrarily.
Case files are reviewed by a named analyst before publication and re-checked closer to kickoff for team news or lineup changes.
Settled cases are logged publicly with WON / LOST / VOID status — nothing is quietly deleted or hidden after the fact.
Corrections to a published case (updated odds, lineup news, postponements) are recorded in the update log below with a timestamp.

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Match Archives

History

Head to Head

⚽ PL (26.02.26): Al Hussein5

Al Buqaa2

⚽ SC (11.10.25): Al Hussein0

Al Buqaa0

⚽ PL (25.09.25): Al Buqaa0

Al Hussein5

⚽ PL (20.10.21): Al Buqaa1

Al Hussein2

⚽ PL (15.07.21): Al Hussein3

Al Buqaa2

Recent Form

Al Hussein

⚽ PL (26.02.26): Al Hussein5

Al Buqaa2

⚽ PL (21.02.26): Al Hussein2

Al Wehdat0

⚽ CL2 (17.02.26): Al Hussein3

Esteghlal F.C.2

⚽ CL2 (10.02.26): Esteghlal F.C.0

Al Hussein1

⚽ PL (06.02.26): Al Hussein5

Shabab Al Ordon1

Al Buqaa

⚽ PL (03.03.26): Al Buqaa3

Al Wehdat1

⚽ PL (26.02.26): Al Hussein5

Al Buqaa2

⚽ PL (20.02.26): Al Buqaa1

Al-Faisaly Amman3

⚽ PL (14.02.26): Shabab Al Ordon1

Al Buqaa1

⚽ PL (08.02.26): Al Buqaa2

Al Ramtha2

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Match Analysis

Case Notes

On Wednesday, 11th March 2026, Al Hussein host Al Buqaa in Jordan Premier League. Our analysis desk recommends Al Hussein to win as the standout selection.

Al Hussein arrive in strong form, having recorded 5 wins, 0 draws and 0 defeats from their last 5 outings.

Al Buqaa are struggling away from home, with a record of 1W 2D 2L across 5 matches.

Historical meetings favour Al Hussein, who lead the head-to-head with 4 wins to Al Buqaa's 0, with 1 draws from 5 encounters. Both teams have scored in 60% of those meetings.

Our verdict: al hussein to win at odds of 1.20 represents the most compelling value in this fixture.

Source: Recent fixture results Source: Head-to-head archive Source: Public market odds Model: Poisson score distribution

DailyForebet Verification Desk

Senior Fixture Analyst

Cross-checks every fixture against form, head-to-head and market data before a case file is closed for publication.

Reviewed on 12 Mar 2026

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Quick Answers

FAQ

What is the recommended bet for Al Hussein vs Al Buqaa?

Our selection is 1 — Al Hussein to win, priced at approximately 1.20. Tip confidence rating: 77%.

What is Al Hussein's current form?

Al Hussein have won 5, drawn 0 and lost 0 of their last 5 matches.

How has Al Buqaa been performing recently?

Al Buqaa have recorded 1 wins, 2 draws and 2 defeats from 5 recent games.

What does the head-to-head record show?

Al Hussein lead with 4 wins versus Al Buqaa's 0, with 1 draws across 5 meetings.

How many goals are expected in this match?

Recent fixtures involving these sides average 4.2 goals per game. The head-to-head BTTS rate stands at 60%.

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