WON Case WON Beveren 3-2 RWDM Brussels

Fixture Case File · Ref V ⚽

Beveren

Q: What is the recommended bet for Beveren vs RWDM Brussels?

Our selection is 1 — Beveren to win, priced at approximately 1.30. Tip confidence rating: 68%.

Q: What is Beveren's current form?

Beveren have won 5, drawn 0 and lost 0 of their last 5 matches.

Q: How has RWDM Brussels been performing recently?

RWDM Brussels have recorded 1 wins, 3 draws and 1 defeats from 5 recent games.

Q: What does the head-to-head record show?

Beveren lead with 3 wins versus RWDM Brussels's 1, with 1 draws across 5 meetings.

Q: How many goals are expected in this match?

Recent fixtures involving these sides average 2.5 goals per game. The head-to-head BTTS rate stands at 40%.

Home Side

W W W W W

5W 0D 0L → Holding Steady

3-2

RWDM Brussels

Away Side

W D D L D

1W 3D 1L ▼ Trending Down

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CASE VERIFIED

68%

Wednesday, 11th March 2026 Case Verdict

Filing on Beveren to win

Beveren 50%

Draw 30%

RWDM Brussels 20%

H Fair Odds2

D Fair Odds3.33

A Fair Odds5

Implied Prob76.9%Bookmaker's implied odds

Case Edge-8.9%Overpriced

Kelly %0%Suggested bankroll %

Fixture Ledger Code

V<DFBB<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<RWDM<B<<<<<<<<<<<F2BBCA43C4DFB2607202M2607209<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<

Case reviewed & signed off by DailyForebet Verification Desk

Senior Fixture Analyst · Last checked 12 Mar 2026

✓ Data-Audited ✓ Independently Checked

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Supporting Markets

Extras

Primary Filing

1 — Beveren to win

1.30

Over 1.5 Goals90% Beveren Clean Sheet60%

📋 Case Slip / Combo Builder

Beveren vs RWDM Brussels Competition: Challenge Pro League Date: Wednesday, 11th March 2026 Pick: 1 (Beveren to win) Odds: 1.30 Confidence: 68% Also: Over 1.5 Goals (90%) Also: Beveren Clean Sheet (60%) Ledger Ref: F2BBCA43C

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Head to Head

Record

Beveren

Draws

RWDM Brussels

Meetings

2.2

Avg Goals

40%

BTTS

20%

Over 2.5

Supports Filing Beveren won 3 of the last 5 meetings (1 draws).

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Stats Duel

Comparison

Beveren

Metric

RWDM Brussels

2.4

Goals For / Game

1.2

0.4

Goals Against / Game

60%

Clean Sheets

40%

5-0-0

W — D — L

1-3-1

Win Rate

100%

20%

2.5

Avg Goals

90%

Over 1.5

40%

Over 2.5

50%

BTTS Rate

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Score Probability Matrix

Poisson Model

0-0 8.2%

0-1 6.6%

0-2 2.6%

0-3 0.7%

0-4 0.1%

0-5 0.0%

1-0 14.0%

1-1 11.2%

1-2 4.5%

1-3 1.2%

1-4 0.2%

1-5 0.0%

2-0 11.9%

2-1 9.5%

2-2 3.8%

2-3 1.0%

2-4 0.2%

2-5 0.0%

3-0 6.7%

3-1 5.4%

3-2 2.2%

3-3 0.6%

3-4 0.1%

3-5 0.0%

4-0 2.9%

4-1 2.3%

4-2 0.9%

4-3 0.2%

4-4 0.1%

4-5 0.0%

5-0 1.0%

5-1 0.8%

5-2 0.3%

5-3 0.1%

5-4 0.0%

5-5 0.0%

Top Scores 1-0(14.0%) 2-0(11.9%) 2-1(9.5%)

■ Best match ■ Possible ■ Low · ■ Contradicts filing B=Home goals ↓ R=Away →

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Market Odds Intelligence

Value Finder

Beveren Win

50%

Draw

30%

3.33

RWDM Brussels Win

20%

Fair value decimal odds based on our probability model. Compare against your bookmaker's line to identify value.

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Team Ratings

Grades

Beveren

Overall

10.0 —

Scoring

8.0 —

Defence

8.7 —

RWDM Brussels

Overall

3.8 —

Scoring

4.0 —

Defence

6.7 —

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Combination Markets

Smart Picks

Result & BTTS

Home Win & BTTS Yes 34%

Home Win & BTTS No 34%

Draw & BTTS Yes 10%

Draw & BTTS No 10%

Away Win & BTTS Yes 7%

Away Win & BTTS No 7%

Result & Goals

Home Win & Over 2.5 27%

Home Win & Under 2.5 40%

Draw & Over 2.5 8%

Draw & Under 2.5 12%

Away Win & Over 2.5 5%

Away Win & Under 2.5 8%

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Stake Calculator

Bankroll Tool

Bankroll

Decimal Odds

Win Probability %

Kelly Fraction

—

Kelly %

—

Stake

—

Potential Profit

Uses the Kelly Criterion at your selected fraction. Half Kelly (0.5) is recommended for reduced variance. Not financial advice.

🔎 How we calculate confidence, edge & Kelly %

Our confidence score blends three inputs: the market-implied signal from public odds, the head-to-head record between these two sides, and each team's recent form (weighted by sample size). No single input can move the score more than 18 points from the market signal, which keeps the model grounded.

Case Edge compares our confidence against the bookmaker's implied probability from the odds you enter — a positive number suggests the price may be generous relative to our model.
Kelly % is a standard bankroll-management formula, not a guarantee — it sizes a stake relative to perceived edge and odds.
Score matrix uses a Poisson distribution built from each side's recent scoring and conceding rates.

All models are statistical estimates, not certainties. Treat every figure on this page as one input into your own decision, not as a promise of an outcome.

📐 Editorial Standards for This Case File

Every fixture is cross-checked against at least three data points: recent form, head-to-head history, and market odds — no case is filed on a single signal alone.
Confidence and edge figures are generated by a documented formula (see methodology above), never assigned arbitrarily.
Case files are reviewed by a named analyst before publication and re-checked closer to kickoff for team news or lineup changes.
Settled cases are logged publicly with WON / LOST / VOID status — nothing is quietly deleted or hidden after the fact.
Corrections to a published case (updated odds, lineup news, postponements) are recorded in the update log below with a timestamp.

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Match Archives

History

Head to Head

⚽ CPL (23.08.25): RWDM Brussels0

Beveren2

⚽ CPL (14.03.25): Beveren0

RWDM Brussels2

⚽ CPL (23.11.24): RWDM Brussels0

Beveren2

⚽ CPL (16.04.23): RWDM Brussels1

Beveren1

⚽ CPL (04.03.23): Beveren2

RWDM Brussels1

Recent Form

Beveren

⚽ CPL (08.03.26): Sporting Lokeren1

Beveren2

⚽ CPL (28.02.26): Beveren2

OC Charleroi0

⚽ CPL (22.02.26): Patro Eisden1

Beveren4

⚽ CPL (15.02.26): Francs Borains0

Beveren2

⚽ CPL (08.02.26): Beveren2

Lommel SK0

RWDM Brussels

⚽ CPL (07.03.26): OC Charleroi0

RWDM Brussels2

⚽ CPL (01.03.26): RWDM Brussels2

Eupen2

⚽ CPL (22.02.26): Beerschot VA1

RWDM Brussels1

⚽ CPL (14.02.26): RWDM Brussels1

Sporting Lokeren2

⚽ CPL (08.02.26): Francs Borains0

RWDM Brussels0

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Match Analysis

Case Notes

On Wednesday, 11th March 2026, Beveren host RWDM Brussels in Challenge Pro League. Our analysis desk recommends Beveren to win as the standout selection.

Beveren arrive in strong form, having recorded 5 wins, 0 draws and 0 defeats from their last 5 outings.

RWDM Brussels are struggling away from home, with a record of 1W 3D 1L across 5 matches.

Historical meetings favour Beveren, who lead the head-to-head with 3 wins to RWDM Brussels's 1, with 1 draws from 5 encounters. Both teams have scored in 40% of those meetings.

Our verdict: beveren to win at odds of 1.30 represents the most compelling value in this fixture.

Source: Recent fixture results Source: Head-to-head archive Source: Public market odds Model: Poisson score distribution

DailyForebet Verification Desk

Senior Fixture Analyst

Cross-checks every fixture against form, head-to-head and market data before a case file is closed for publication.

Reviewed on 12 Mar 2026

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Quick Answers

FAQ

What is the recommended bet for Beveren vs RWDM Brussels?

Our selection is 1 — Beveren to win, priced at approximately 1.30. Tip confidence rating: 68%.

What is Beveren's current form?

Beveren have won 5, drawn 0 and lost 0 of their last 5 matches.

How has RWDM Brussels been performing recently?

RWDM Brussels have recorded 1 wins, 3 draws and 1 defeats from 5 recent games.

What does the head-to-head record show?

Beveren lead with 3 wins versus RWDM Brussels's 1, with 1 draws across 5 meetings.

How many goals are expected in this match?

Recent fixtures involving these sides average 2.5 goals per game. The head-to-head BTTS rate stands at 40%.

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