WON Case WON Cobh Ramblers 3-1 Finn Harps
Fixture Case File · Ref V
C

Cobh Ramblers

Home Side
L W W W L
5W 1D 4L → Holding Steady
VS
3-1
F
Finn Harps
Away Side
L L D L W
2W 1D 7L ▼ Trending Down
CASE VERIFIED
90%
Friday, 19th June 2026 Case Verdict
1X
Filing on Cobh Ramblers to win or draw
Implied Prob89.3%Bookmaker's implied odds
Case Edge+0.7%Value detected
Kelly %6.7%Suggested bankroll %
Fixture Ledger Code
V<DFBC<<<<R<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<F<<<<H<<<<<<<<<<<E521D9ECE4DFB2607262M2607269<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<
DD
Case reviewed & signed off by DailyForebet Verification Desk
Senior Fixture Analyst · Last checked 20 Jun 2026
✓ Data-Audited ✓ Independently Checked
Supporting Markets
Extras
Primary Filing
1X — Cobh Ramblers to win or draw
1.12
Over 1.5 Goals80%
📋 Case Slip / Combo Builder
Cobh Ramblers vs Finn Harps Competition: Ireland Division 1 Date: Friday, 19th June 2026 Pick: 1X (Cobh Ramblers to win or draw) Odds: 1.12 Confidence: 90% Also: Over 1.5 Goals (80%) Ledger Ref: E521D9ECE
Head to Head
Record
7
Cobh Ramblers
2
Draws
1
Finn Harps
10
Meetings
2.7
Avg Goals
50%
BTTS
40%
Over 2.5
Neutral Insufficient H2H data.
📊
Stats Duel
Comparison
Cobh Ramblers
Metric
Finn Harps
1.1
Goals For / Game
0.7
1.2
Goals Against / Game
2.3
50%
Clean Sheets
10%
5-1-4
W — D — L
2-1-7
Win Rate
50%
20%
2.7
Avg Goals
80%
Over 1.5
55%
Over 2.5
40%
BTTS Rate
🎯
Score Probability Matrix
Poisson Model
F0
F1
F2
F3
F4
F5
C0
0-0 7.1%
0-1 6.7%
0-2 3.2%
0-3 1.0%
0-4 0.2%
0-5 0.1%
C1
1-0 12.0%
1-1 11.4%
1-2 5.4%
1-3 1.7%
1-4 0.4%
1-5 0.1%
C2
2-0 10.2%
2-1 9.7%
2-2 4.6%
2-3 1.5%
2-4 0.4%
2-5 0.1%
C3
3-0 5.8%
3-1 5.5%
3-2 2.6%
3-3 0.8%
3-4 0.2%
3-5 0.0%
C4
4-0 2.5%
4-1 2.3%
4-2 1.1%
4-3 0.4%
4-4 0.1%
4-5 0.0%
C5
5-0 0.8%
5-1 0.8%
5-2 0.4%
5-3 0.1%
5-4 0.0%
5-5 0.0%
Top Scores 1-0(12.0%) 1-1(11.4%) 2-0(10.2%)
■ Best match ■ Possible ■ Low · ■ Contradicts filing C=Home goals ↓   F=Away →
📈
Team Ratings
Grades
Cobh Ramblers
Overall
5.3
Scoring
3.7
Defence
6.0
Finn Harps
Overall
2.3
Scoring
2.3
Defence
2.3
🔀
Combination Markets
Smart Picks
Result & BTTS
Home Win & BTTS Yes 25%
Home Win & BTTS No 38%
Draw & BTTS Yes 5%
Draw & BTTS No 8%
Away Win & BTTS Yes 10%
Away Win & BTTS No 14%
Result & Goals
Home Win & Over 2.5 35%
Home Win & Under 2.5 28%
Draw & Over 2.5 7%
Draw & Under 2.5 6%
Away Win & Over 2.5 13%
Away Win & Under 2.5 11%
🧮
Stake Calculator
Bankroll Tool
Kelly %
Stake
Potential Profit
Uses the Kelly Criterion at your selected fraction. Half Kelly (0.5) is recommended for reduced variance. Not financial advice.
🔎 How we calculate confidence, edge & Kelly %

Our confidence score blends three inputs: the market-implied signal from public odds, the head-to-head record between these two sides, and each team's recent form (weighted by sample size). No single input can move the score more than 18 points from the market signal, which keeps the model grounded.

  • Case Edge compares our confidence against the bookmaker's implied probability from the odds you enter — a positive number suggests the price may be generous relative to our model.
  • Kelly % is a standard bankroll-management formula, not a guarantee — it sizes a stake relative to perceived edge and odds.
  • Score matrix uses a Poisson distribution built from each side's recent scoring and conceding rates.

All models are statistical estimates, not certainties. Treat every figure on this page as one input into your own decision, not as a promise of an outcome.

📐 Editorial Standards for This Case File
  • Every fixture is cross-checked against at least three data points: recent form, head-to-head history, and market odds — no case is filed on a single signal alone.
  • Confidence and edge figures are generated by a documented formula (see methodology above), never assigned arbitrarily.
  • Case files are reviewed by a named analyst before publication and re-checked closer to kickoff for team news or lineup changes.
  • Settled cases are logged publicly with WON / LOST / VOID status — nothing is quietly deleted or hidden after the fact.
  • Corrections to a published case (updated odds, lineup news, postponements) are recorded in the update log below with a timestamp.
📜
Match Archives
History
Head to Head
10.04.26DIV
Finn Harps0
Cobh Ramblers2
27.02.26DIV
Cobh Ramblers1
Finn Harps1
26.09.25DIV
Cobh Ramblers4
Finn Harps1
25.07.25DIV
Finn Harps2
Cobh Ramblers2
25.04.25DIV
Cobh Ramblers3
Finn Harps1
14.03.25DIV
Finn Harps1
Cobh Ramblers2
30.08.24DIV
Finn Harps2
Cobh Ramblers0
07.06.24DIV
Cobh Ramblers2
Finn Harps0
19.04.24DIV
Cobh Ramblers2
Finn Harps0
08.03.24DIV
Finn Harps0
Cobh Ramblers1
Recent Form
Cobh Ramblers
13.06.26DIV
Longford2
Cobh Ramblers1
L
29.05.26DIV
Cobh Ramblers2
Kerry0
W
22.05.26DIV
Treaty United1
Cobh Ramblers2
W
15.05.26DIV
Cobh Ramblers1
Athlone0
W
08.05.26DIV
Bray5
Cobh Ramblers1
L
04.05.26DIV
Cobh Ramblers1
UC Dublin2
L
01.05.26DIV
Cork City0
Cobh Ramblers1
W
24.04.26DIV
Wexford2
Cobh Ramblers0
L
17.04.26DIV
Cobh Ramblers0
Longford0
D
10.04.26DIV
Finn Harps0
Cobh Ramblers2
W
Finn Harps
12.06.26DIV
Finn Harps0
UC Dublin5
L
29.05.26DIV
Cork City4
Finn Harps0
L
22.05.26DIV
Finn Harps2
Longford2
D
15.05.26DIV
Treaty United3
Finn Harps0
L
08.05.26DIV
Finn Harps1
Kerry0
W
04.05.26DIV
Finn Harps2
Bray1
W
01.05.26DIV
Wexford2
Finn Harps0
L
24.04.26DIV
Finn Harps1
Athlone2
L
17.04.26DIV
UC Dublin2
Finn Harps1
L
10.04.26DIV
Finn Harps0
Cobh Ramblers2
L
📝
Match Analysis
Case Notes

On Friday, 19th June 2026, Cobh Ramblers host Finn Harps in Ireland Division 1. Our analysis desk recommends Cobh Ramblers to win or draw as the standout selection.

Cobh Ramblers arrive showing mixed form, having recorded 5 wins, 1 draws and 4 defeats from their last 10 outings.

Finn Harps are struggling away from home, with a record of 2W 1D 7L across 10 matches.

Historical meetings favour Cobh Ramblers, who lead the head-to-head with 7 wins to Finn Harps's 1, with 2 draws from 10 encounters. Both teams have scored in 50% of those meetings.

Our verdict: cobh ramblers to win or draw at odds of 1.12 represents the most compelling value in this fixture.


If you want to actually make money on football instead of just throwing it away, you have to trust the stats. This Ireland Division 1 game is a perfect chance to do exactly that. Forget about the fan hype and focus entirely on how these teams are actually playing on the grass.

We always check the home team first to set the stage. Their overall season gives us a starting point, but their recent matches tell us if they are hot or cold right now in the moments that matter. Then we turn our attention to the away side.

We compare what they have done all year with their last few weeks to see if the bookies are offering a really good deal by mistake. Looking at their past matchups against each other is just as important. Head-to-head records often reveal playing styles that just do not mix well for one team, creating a natural advantage.

Taking those past games and adding today’s form makes picking a winner so much easier. Right now, the smartest bet on the board is 1X, especially with the odds sitting nicely at @1.12. Once the referee starts the game, the stats step aside and the players take over.

The final score will tell us if we got it right. Check our other daily tips for more winning ideas.

Source: Recent fixture results Source: Head-to-head archive Source: Public market odds Model: Poisson score distribution
DD
DailyForebet Verification Desk
Senior Fixture Analyst
Cross-checks every fixture against form, head-to-head and market data before a case file is closed for publication.
Reviewed on 20 Jun 2026
Quick Answers
FAQ
What is the recommended bet for Cobh Ramblers vs Finn Harps?
Our selection is 1X — Cobh Ramblers to win or draw, priced at approximately 1.12. Tip confidence rating: 90%.
What is Cobh Ramblers's current form?
Cobh Ramblers have won 5, drawn 1 and lost 4 of their last 10 matches.
How has Finn Harps been performing recently?
Finn Harps have recorded 2 wins, 1 draws and 7 defeats from 10 recent games.
What does the head-to-head record show?
Cobh Ramblers lead with 7 wins versus Finn Harps's 1, with 2 draws across 10 meetings.
How many goals are expected in this match?
Recent fixtures involving these sides average 2.7 goals per game. The head-to-head BTTS rate stands at 50%.
⚠️
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