LOST Case LOST Skenderbeu 0-0 Korabi Peshkopi

Fixture Case File · Ref V ⚽

Skenderbeu

Q: What is the recommended bet for Skenderbeu vs Korabi Peshkopi?

Our selection is 1 — Skenderbeu to win, priced at approximately 1.15. Tip confidence rating: 67%.

Q: What is Skenderbeu's current form?

Skenderbeu have won 7, drawn 2 and lost 1 of their last 10 matches.

Q: How has Korabi Peshkopi been performing recently?

Korabi Peshkopi have recorded 3 wins, 3 draws and 12 defeats from 18 recent games.

Q: What does the head-to-head record show?

Skenderbeu lead with 6 wins versus Korabi Peshkopi's 1, with 1 draws across 8 meetings.

Q: How many goals are expected in this match?

Recent fixtures involving these sides average 2.4 goals per game. The head-to-head BTTS rate stands at 25%.

Home Side

W W W W W

7W 2D 1L ▼ Trending Down

0-0

Korabi Peshkopi

Away Side

L L W D L

3W 3D 12L ▲ Trending Up

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CASE VERIFIED

67%

Wednesday, 18th March 2026 Case Verdict

Filing on Skenderbeu to win

Skenderbeu 60%

Draw 20%

Korabi Peshkopi 20%

H Fair Odds1.67

D Fair Odds5

A Fair Odds5

Implied Prob87%Bookmaker's implied odds

Case Edge-20%Overpriced

Kelly %0%Suggested bankroll %

Fixture Ledger Code

V<DFBS<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<K<<<<<<P<<<<<<<<<65D45553D4DFB2607262M2607269<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<

Case reviewed & signed off by DailyForebet Verification Desk

Senior Fixture Analyst · Last checked 18 Mar 2026

✓ Data-Audited ✓ Independently Checked

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Head to Head

Record

Skenderbeu

Draws

Korabi Peshkopi

Meetings

2.1

Avg Goals

25%

BTTS

38%

Over 2.5

Supports Filing Skenderbeu won 6 of the last 8 meetings (1 draws).

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Stats Duel

Comparison

Skenderbeu

Metric

Korabi Peshkopi

1.8

Goals For / Game

0.6

0.9

Goals Against / Game

1.6

40%

Clean Sheets

22%

7-2-1

W — D — L

3-3-12

Win Rate

70%

17%

2.4

Avg Goals

64%

Over 1.5

46%

Over 2.5

47%

BTTS Rate

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Score Probability Matrix

Poisson Model

0-0 8.6%

0-1 6.5%

0-2 2.4%

0-3 0.6%

0-4 0.1%

0-5 0.0%

1-0 14.7%

1-1 11.0%

1-2 4.1%

1-3 1.0%

1-4 0.2%

1-5 0.0%

2-0 12.5%

2-1 9.4%

2-2 3.5%

2-3 0.9%

2-4 0.2%

2-5 0.0%

3-0 7.1%

3-1 5.3%

3-2 2.0%

3-3 0.5%

3-4 0.1%

3-5 0.0%

4-0 3.0%

4-1 2.3%

4-2 0.8%

4-3 0.2%

4-4 0.0%

4-5 0.0%

5-0 1.0%

5-1 0.8%

5-2 0.3%

5-3 0.1%

5-4 0.0%

5-5 0.0%

Top Scores 1-0(14.7%) 2-0(12.5%) 2-1(9.4%)

■ Best match ■ Possible ■ Low · ■ Contradicts filing S=Home goals ↓ K=Away →

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Market Odds Intelligence

Value Finder

Skenderbeu Win

60%

1.67

Draw

20%

Korabi Peshkopi Win

20%

Fair value decimal odds based on our probability model. Compare against your bookmaker's line to identify value.

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Team Ratings

Grades

Skenderbeu

Overall

7.6 ▼

Scoring

6.0 ▼

Defence

7.0 ▼

Korabi Peshkopi

Overall

2.2 ▼

Scoring

2.0 ▼

Defence

4.6 ▼

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Combination Markets

Smart Picks

Result & BTTS

Home Win & BTTS Yes 29%

Home Win & BTTS No 38%

Draw & BTTS Yes 7%

Draw & BTTS No 10%

Away Win & BTTS Yes 7%

Away Win & BTTS No 9%

Result & Goals

Home Win & Over 2.5 31%

Home Win & Under 2.5 36%

Draw & Over 2.5 8%

Draw & Under 2.5 9%

Away Win & Over 2.5 7%

Away Win & Under 2.5 9%

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Stake Calculator

Bankroll Tool

Bankroll

Decimal Odds

Win Probability %

Kelly Fraction

—

Kelly %

—

Stake

—

Potential Profit

Uses the Kelly Criterion at your selected fraction. Half Kelly (0.5) is recommended for reduced variance. Not financial advice.

🔎 How we calculate confidence, edge & Kelly %

Our confidence score blends three inputs: the market-implied signal from public odds, the head-to-head record between these two sides, and each team's recent form (weighted by sample size). No single input can move the score more than 18 points from the market signal, which keeps the model grounded.

Case Edge compares our confidence against the bookmaker's implied probability from the odds you enter — a positive number suggests the price may be generous relative to our model.
Kelly % is a standard bankroll-management formula, not a guarantee — it sizes a stake relative to perceived edge and odds.
Score matrix uses a Poisson distribution built from each side's recent scoring and conceding rates.

All models are statistical estimates, not certainties. Treat every figure on this page as one input into your own decision, not as a promise of an outcome.

📐 Editorial Standards for This Case File

Every fixture is cross-checked against at least three data points: recent form, head-to-head history, and market odds — no case is filed on a single signal alone.
Confidence and edge figures are generated by a documented formula (see methodology above), never assigned arbitrarily.
Case files are reviewed by a named analyst before publication and re-checked closer to kickoff for team news or lineup changes.
Settled cases are logged publicly with WON / LOST / VOID status — nothing is quietly deleted or hidden after the fact.
Corrections to a published case (updated odds, lineup news, postponements) are recorded in the update log below with a timestamp.

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Match Archives

History

Head to Head

07.02.26

KP: Korabi Peshkopi0

Skenderbeu0

03.11.25

KP: Skenderbeu3

Korabi Peshkopi2

15.04.23

KP: Skenderbeu2

Korabi Peshkopi0

14.11.22

KP: Korabi Peshkopi2

Skenderbeu1

15.04.17

SL: Skenderbeu3

Korabi Peshkopi0

06.02.17

SL: Korabi Peshkopi0

Skenderbeu1

20.11.16

SL: Skenderbeu1

Korabi Peshkopi0

11.09.16

SL: Korabi Peshkopi0

Skenderbeu2

Recent Form

Skenderbeu

14.03.26

KP: Apolonia Fier0

Skenderbeu1

07.03.26

KP: Skenderbeu2

Lushnja0

01.03.26

KP: AF Luftetari0

Skenderbeu3

21.02.26

KP: Skenderbeu2

Kukesi1

14.02.26

KP: Skenderbeu3

Apolonia Fier2

07.02.26

KP: Korabi Peshkopi0

Skenderbeu0

30.01.26

KP: Skenderbeu2

Kastrioti1

24.01.26

KP: Besa Kavaje2

Skenderbeu3

17.01.26

KP: Skenderbeu1

AF Luftetari1

10.01.26

CUP: KF Tirana2

Skenderbeu1

Korabi Peshkopi

07.02.26

KP: Korabi Peshkopi0

Skenderbeu0

03.11.25

KP: Skenderbeu3

Korabi Peshkopi2

15.04.23

KP: Skenderbeu2

Korabi Peshkopi0

14.11.22

KP: Korabi Peshkopi2

Skenderbeu1

15.04.17

SL: Skenderbeu3

Korabi Peshkopi0

06.02.17

SL: Korabi Peshkopi0

Skenderbeu1

20.11.16

SL: Skenderbeu1

Korabi Peshkopi0

11.09.16

SL: Korabi Peshkopi0

Skenderbeu2

14.03.26

KP: Korabi Peshkopi0

Laci1

07.03.26

KP: Pogradeci4

Korabi Peshkopi1

28.02.26

KP: Korabi Peshkopi1

Kastrioti0

22.02.26

KP: Burreli0

Korabi Peshkopi0

14.02.26

KP: Kukesi4

Korabi Peshkopi2

07.02.26

KP: Korabi Peshkopi0

Skenderbeu0

31.01.26

KP: Pogradeci3

Korabi Peshkopi1

24.01.26

KP: Korabi Peshkopi2

Iliria Fushe-Kruje1

17.01.26

KP: Lushnja2

Korabi Peshkopi0

23.12.25

KP: Korabi Peshkopi0

Burreli1

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Match Analysis

Case Notes

On Wednesday, 18th March 2026, Skenderbeu host Korabi Peshkopi in Albania Kategoria E Pare. Our analysis desk recommends Skenderbeu to win as the standout selection.

Skenderbeu arrive in strong form, having recorded 7 wins, 2 draws and 1 defeats from their last 10 outings.

Korabi Peshkopi are struggling away from home, with a record of 3W 3D 12L across 18 matches.

Historical meetings favour Skenderbeu, who lead the head-to-head with 6 wins to Korabi Peshkopi's 1, with 1 draws from 8 encounters. Both teams have scored in 25% of those meetings.

Our verdict: skenderbeu to win at odds of 1.15 represents the most compelling value in this fixture.

Source: Recent fixture results Source: Head-to-head archive Source: Public market odds Model: Poisson score distribution

DailyForebet Verification Desk

Senior Fixture Analyst

Cross-checks every fixture against form, head-to-head and market data before a case file is closed for publication.

Reviewed on 18 Mar 2026

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Quick Answers

FAQ

What is the recommended bet for Skenderbeu vs Korabi Peshkopi?

Our selection is 1 — Skenderbeu to win, priced at approximately 1.15. Tip confidence rating: 67%.

What is Skenderbeu's current form?

Skenderbeu have won 7, drawn 2 and lost 1 of their last 10 matches.

How has Korabi Peshkopi been performing recently?

Korabi Peshkopi have recorded 3 wins, 3 draws and 12 defeats from 18 recent games.

What does the head-to-head record show?

Skenderbeu lead with 6 wins versus Korabi Peshkopi's 1, with 1 draws across 8 meetings.

How many goals are expected in this match?

Recent fixtures involving these sides average 2.4 goals per game. The head-to-head BTTS rate stands at 25%.

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