WON Case WON Zenit 1-0 Dynamo Makhachkala

Fixture Case File · Ref V ⚽

Zenit

Q: What is the recommended bet for Zenit vs Dynamo Makhachkala?

Our selection is 1 — Zenit to win, priced at approximately 1.40. Tip confidence rating: 68%.

Q: What is Zenit's current form?

Zenit have won 7, drawn 1 and lost 2 of their last 10 matches.

Q: How has Dynamo Makhachkala been performing recently?

Dynamo Makhachkala have recorded 6 wins, 0 draws and 4 defeats from 10 recent games.

Q: What does the head-to-head record show?

Zenit lead with 4 wins versus Dynamo Makhachkala's 0, with 0 draws across 4 meetings.

Q: How many goals are expected in this match?

Recent fixtures involving these sides average 1.4 goals per game. The head-to-head BTTS rate stands at 25%.

Home Side

W L W W W

7W 1D 2L → Holding Steady

1-0

Dynamo Makhachkala

Away Side

W L W W W

6W 0D 4L ▼ Trending Down

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CASE VERIFIED

68%

Wednesday, 18th March 2026 Case Verdict

Filing on Zenit to win

Zenit 50%

Draw 20%

Dynamo Makhachkala 30%

H Fair Odds2

D Fair Odds5

A Fair Odds3.33

Implied Prob71.4%Bookmaker's implied odds

Case Edge-3.4%Overpriced

Kelly %0%Suggested bankroll %

Fixture Ledger Code

V<DFBZ<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<D<<<<<<M<<<<<<<<<F07FE70E24DFB2607202M2607209<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<

Case reviewed & signed off by DailyForebet Verification Desk

Senior Fixture Analyst · Last checked 18 Mar 2026

✓ Data-Audited ✓ Independently Checked

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Supporting Markets

Extras

Primary Filing

1 — Zenit to win

1.40

Under 2.5 Goals70% BTTS — No80% Zenit Clean Sheet60%

📋 Case Slip / Combo Builder

Zenit vs Dynamo Makhachkala Competition: Russian Cup Date: Wednesday, 18th March 2026 Pick: 1 (Zenit to win) Odds: 1.40 Confidence: 68% Also: Under 2.5 Goals (70%) Also: BTTS — No (80%) Also: Zenit Clean Sheet (60%) Ledger Ref: F07FE70E2

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Head to Head

Record

Zenit

Draws

Dynamo Makhachkala

Meetings

2.5

Avg Goals

25%

BTTS

50%

Over 2.5

Supports Filing Zenit won 4 of the last 4 meetings (0 draws).

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Stats Duel

Comparison

Zenit

Metric

Dynamo Makhachkala

1.7

Goals For / Game

0.1

0.8

Goals Against / Game

0.2

60%

Clean Sheets

7-1-2

W — D — L

6-0-4

Win Rate

70%

60%

1.4

Avg Goals

35%

Over 1.5

30%

Over 2.5

20%

BTTS Rate

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Score Probability Matrix

Poisson Model

0-0 24.7%

0-1 11.1%

0-2 2.5%

0-3 0.4%

0-4 0.0%

0-5 0.0%

1-0 23.4%

1-1 10.5%

1-2 2.4%

1-3 0.4%

1-4 0.0%

1-5 0.0%

2-0 11.1%

2-1 5.0%

2-2 1.1%

2-3 0.2%

2-4 0.0%

2-5 0.0%

3-0 3.5%

3-1 1.6%

3-2 0.4%

3-3 0.1%

3-4 0.0%

3-5 0.0%

4-0 0.8%

4-1 0.4%

4-2 0.1%

4-3 0.0%

4-4 0.0%

4-5 0.0%

5-0 0.2%

5-1 0.1%

5-2 0.0%

5-3 0.0%

5-4 0.0%

5-5 0.0%

Top Scores 1-0(23.4%) 2-0(11.1%) 2-1(5.0%)

■ Best match ■ Possible ■ Low · ■ Contradicts filing Z=Home goals ↓ D=Away →

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Market Odds Intelligence

Value Finder

Zenit Win

50%

Draw

20%

Dynamo Makhachkala Win

30%

3.33

Fair value decimal odds based on our probability model. Compare against your bookmaker's line to identify value.

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Team Ratings

Grades

Zenit

Overall

7.3 ▼

Scoring

5.7 ▼

Defence

7.3 ▼

Dynamo Makhachkala

Overall

6.0 ▼

Scoring

0.3 ▼

Defence

9.3 ▼

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Combination Markets

Smart Picks

Result & BTTS

Home Win & BTTS Yes 10%

Home Win & BTTS No 42%

Draw & BTTS Yes 1%

Draw & BTTS No 3%

Away Win & BTTS Yes 9%

Away Win & BTTS No 35%

Result & Goals

Home Win & Over 2.5 16%

Home Win & Under 2.5 36%

Draw & Over 2.5 1%

Draw & Under 2.5 3%

Away Win & Over 2.5 13%

Away Win & Under 2.5 31%

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Stake Calculator

Bankroll Tool

Bankroll

Decimal Odds

Win Probability %

Kelly Fraction

—

Kelly %

—

Stake

—

Potential Profit

Uses the Kelly Criterion at your selected fraction. Half Kelly (0.5) is recommended for reduced variance. Not financial advice.

🔎 How we calculate confidence, edge & Kelly %

Our confidence score blends three inputs: the market-implied signal from public odds, the head-to-head record between these two sides, and each team's recent form (weighted by sample size). No single input can move the score more than 18 points from the market signal, which keeps the model grounded.

Case Edge compares our confidence against the bookmaker's implied probability from the odds you enter — a positive number suggests the price may be generous relative to our model.
Kelly % is a standard bankroll-management formula, not a guarantee — it sizes a stake relative to perceived edge and odds.
Score matrix uses a Poisson distribution built from each side's recent scoring and conceding rates.

All models are statistical estimates, not certainties. Treat every figure on this page as one input into your own decision, not as a promise of an outcome.

📐 Editorial Standards for This Case File

Every fixture is cross-checked against at least three data points: recent form, head-to-head history, and market odds — no case is filed on a single signal alone.
Confidence and edge figures are generated by a documented formula (see methodology above), never assigned arbitrarily.
Case files are reviewed by a named analyst before publication and re-checked closer to kickoff for team news or lineup changes.
Settled cases are logged publicly with WON / LOST / VOID status — nothing is quietly deleted or hidden after the fact.
Corrections to a published case (updated odds, lineup news, postponements) are recorded in the update log below with a timestamp.

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Match Archives

History

Head to Head

23.08.25

PL: Zenit4

Dynamo Makhachkala0

03.07.25

CF: Zenit2

Dynamo Makhachkala0

10.05.25

PL: Dynamo Makhachkala0

Zenit1

02.11.24

PL: Zenit2

Dynamo Makhachkala1

Recent Form

Zenit

14.03.26

PL: Zenit2

Spartak Moscow0

08.03.26

PL: Orenburg2

Zenit1

03.03.26

CUP: Baltika0

Zenit1

27.02.26

PL: Zenit1

Baltika0

17.02.26

CF: Krasnodar0

Zenit1

10.02.26

CF: Zenit2

CSKA Moscow - L (2-3)2

09.02.26

CF: Zenit1

Din. Samarkand0

06.02.26

CF: Krasnodar3

Zenit0

03.02.26

CF: Zenit2

Dynamo Moscow1

26.01.26

CF: Zenit6

Shanghai Port0

Dynamo Makhachkala

4.03.26

PL: Zenit2

Spartak Moscow0

08.03.26

PL: Orenburg2

Zenit1

03.03.26

CUP: Baltika0

Zenit1

27.02.26

PL: Zenit1

Baltika0

17.02.26

CF: Krasnodar0

Zenit1

10.02.26

CF: Zenit2

CSKA Moscow2

09.02.26

CF: Zenit1

Din. Samarkand0

06.02.26

CF: Krasnodar3

Zenit0

03.02.26

CF: Zenit2

Dynamo Moscow1

26.01.26

CF: Zenit6

Shanghai Port0

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Match Analysis

Case Notes

On Wednesday, 18th March 2026, Zenit host Dynamo Makhachkala in Russian Cup. Our analysis desk recommends Zenit to win as the standout selection.

Zenit arrive in strong form, having recorded 7 wins, 1 draws and 2 defeats from their last 10 outings.

Dynamo Makhachkala are inconsistent on the road, with a record of 6W 0D 4L across 10 matches.

Historical meetings favour Zenit, who lead the head-to-head with 4 wins to Dynamo Makhachkala's 0, with 0 draws from 4 encounters. Both teams have scored in 25% of those meetings.

Our verdict: zenit to win at odds of 1.40 represents the most compelling value in this fixture.

Source: Recent fixture results Source: Head-to-head archive Source: Public market odds Model: Poisson score distribution

DailyForebet Verification Desk

Senior Fixture Analyst

Cross-checks every fixture against form, head-to-head and market data before a case file is closed for publication.

Reviewed on 18 Mar 2026

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Quick Answers

FAQ

What is the recommended bet for Zenit vs Dynamo Makhachkala?

Our selection is 1 — Zenit to win, priced at approximately 1.40. Tip confidence rating: 68%.

What is Zenit's current form?

Zenit have won 7, drawn 1 and lost 2 of their last 10 matches.

How has Dynamo Makhachkala been performing recently?

Dynamo Makhachkala have recorded 6 wins, 0 draws and 4 defeats from 10 recent games.

What does the head-to-head record show?

Zenit lead with 4 wins versus Dynamo Makhachkala's 0, with 0 draws across 4 meetings.

How many goals are expected in this match?

Recent fixtures involving these sides average 1.4 goals per game. The head-to-head BTTS rate stands at 25%.

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