WON Case WON Al-Faisaly Amman 2-1 Al Buqaa

Fixture Case File · Ref V ⚽

Al-Faisaly Amman

Q: What is the recommended bet for Al-Faisaly Amman vs Al Buqaa?

Our selection is 1 — Al-Faisaly Amman to win, priced at approximately 1.29. Tip confidence rating: 68%.

Q: What is Al-Faisaly Amman's current form?

Al-Faisaly Amman have won 9, drawn 1 and lost 0 of their last 10 matches.

Q: How has Al Buqaa been performing recently?

Al Buqaa have recorded 3 wins, 4 draws and 3 defeats from 10 recent games.

Q: What does the head-to-head record show?

Al-Faisaly Amman lead with 9 wins versus Al Buqaa's 0, with 1 draws across 10 meetings.

Q: How many goals are expected in this match?

Recent fixtures involving these sides average 3.8 goals per game. The head-to-head BTTS rate stands at 40%.

Home Side

L D W W W

9W 1D 0L ▼ Trending Down

2-1

Al Buqaa

Away Side

W L W L L

3W 4D 3L ▲ Trending Up

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CASE VERIFIED

68%

Wednesday, 18th March 2026 Case Verdict

Filing on Al-Faisaly Amman to win

Al-Faisaly Amman 50%

Draw 30%

Al Buqaa 20%

H Fair Odds2

D Fair Odds3.33

A Fair Odds5

Implied Prob77.5%Bookmaker's implied odds

Case Edge-9.5%Overpriced

Kelly %0%Suggested bankroll %

Fixture Ledger Code

V<DFBA<<F<<<<<<<A<<<<<<<<<<A<<B<<<<<<<<<<<<<35EEAE5394DFB2607262M2607269<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<

Case reviewed & signed off by DailyForebet Verification Desk

Senior Fixture Analyst · Last checked 18 Mar 2026

✓ Data-Audited ✓ Independently Checked

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Supporting Markets

Extras

Primary Filing

1 — Al-Faisaly Amman to win

1.29

Over 2.5 Goals80% Over 1.5 Goals90% Al-Faisaly Amman Clean Sheet60%

📋 Case Slip / Combo Builder

Al-Faisaly Amman vs Al Buqaa Competition: Jordan Premier League Date: Wednesday, 18th March 2026 Pick: 1 (Al-Faisaly Amman to win) Odds: 1.29 Confidence: 68% Also: Over 2.5 Goals (80%) Also: Over 1.5 Goals (90%) Also: Al-Faisaly Amman Clean Sheet (60%) Ledger Ref: 35EEAE539

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Head to Head

Record

Al-Faisaly Amman

Draws

Al Buqaa

Meetings

3.4

Avg Goals

40%

BTTS

80%

Over 2.5

Supports Filing Al-Faisaly Amman won 9 of the last 10 meetings (1 draws).

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Stats Duel

Comparison

Al-Faisaly Amman

Metric

Al Buqaa

2.9

Goals For / Game

1.9

0.5

Goals Against / Game

2.2

60%

Clean Sheets

10%

9-1-0

W — D — L

3-4-3

Win Rate

90%

30%

3.8

Avg Goals

90%

Over 1.5

80%

Over 2.5

65%

BTTS Rate

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Score Probability Matrix

Poisson Model

0-0 2.4%

0-1 2.8%

0-2 1.7%

0-3 0.7%

0-4 0.2%

0-5 0.1%

1-0 6.0%

1-1 7.2%

1-2 4.3%

1-3 1.7%

1-4 0.5%

1-5 0.1%

2-0 7.7%

2-1 9.2%

2-2 5.5%

2-3 2.2%

2-4 0.7%

2-5 0.2%

3-0 6.5%

3-1 7.8%

3-2 4.7%

3-3 1.9%

3-4 0.6%

3-5 0.1%

4-0 4.1%

4-1 5.0%

4-2 3.0%

4-3 1.2%

4-4 0.4%

4-5 0.1%

5-0 2.1%

5-1 2.5%

5-2 1.5%

5-3 0.6%

5-4 0.2%

5-5 0.0%

Top Scores 2-1(9.2%) 3-1(7.8%) 2-0(7.7%)

■ Best match ■ Possible ■ Low · ■ Contradicts filing A=Home goals ↓ A=Away →

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Market Odds Intelligence

Value Finder

Al-Faisaly Amman Win

50%

Draw

30%

3.33

Al Buqaa Win

20%

Fair value decimal odds based on our probability model. Compare against your bookmaker's line to identify value.

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Team Ratings

Grades

Al-Faisaly Amman

Overall

9.3 ▼

Scoring

9.7 ▼

Defence

8.3 ▼

Al Buqaa

Overall

4.2 ▼

Scoring

6.3 ▼

Defence

2.7 ▼

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Combination Markets

Smart Picks

Result & BTTS

Home Win & BTTS Yes 40%

Home Win & BTTS No 22%

Draw & BTTS Yes 11%

Draw & BTTS No 6%

Away Win & BTTS Yes 14%

Away Win & BTTS No 7%

Result & Goals

Home Win & Over 2.5 50%

Home Win & Under 2.5 12%

Draw & Over 2.5 14%

Draw & Under 2.5 3%

Away Win & Over 2.5 17%

Away Win & Under 2.5 4%

🧮

Stake Calculator

Bankroll Tool

Bankroll

Decimal Odds

Win Probability %

Kelly Fraction

—

Kelly %

—

Stake

—

Potential Profit

Uses the Kelly Criterion at your selected fraction. Half Kelly (0.5) is recommended for reduced variance. Not financial advice.

🔎 How we calculate confidence, edge & Kelly %

Our confidence score blends three inputs: the market-implied signal from public odds, the head-to-head record between these two sides, and each team's recent form (weighted by sample size). No single input can move the score more than 18 points from the market signal, which keeps the model grounded.

Case Edge compares our confidence against the bookmaker's implied probability from the odds you enter — a positive number suggests the price may be generous relative to our model.
Kelly % is a standard bankroll-management formula, not a guarantee — it sizes a stake relative to perceived edge and odds.
Score matrix uses a Poisson distribution built from each side's recent scoring and conceding rates.

All models are statistical estimates, not certainties. Treat every figure on this page as one input into your own decision, not as a promise of an outcome.

📐 Editorial Standards for This Case File

Every fixture is cross-checked against at least three data points: recent form, head-to-head history, and market odds — no case is filed on a single signal alone.
Confidence and edge figures are generated by a documented formula (see methodology above), never assigned arbitrarily.
Case files are reviewed by a named analyst before publication and re-checked closer to kickoff for team news or lineup changes.
Settled cases are logged publicly with WON / LOST / VOID status — nothing is quietly deleted or hidden after the fact.
Corrections to a published case (updated odds, lineup news, postponements) are recorded in the update log below with a timestamp.

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Match Archives

History

Head to Head

20.02.26

PL: Al Buqaa1

Al-Faisaly Amman3

03.10.25

SC: Al Buqaa0

Al-Faisaly Amman3

19.09.25

PL: Al-Faisaly Amman4

Al Buqaa2

11.08.21

PL: Al-Faisaly Amman5

Al Buqaa0

19.04.21

PL: Al Buqaa0

Al-Faisaly Amman3

28.02.21

SC: Al-Faisaly Amman3

Al Buqaa0

03.05.19

PL: Al Buqaa0

Al-Faisaly Amman1

23.11.18

PL: Al-Faisaly Amman3

Al Buqaa1

17.03.18

PL: Al Buqaa0

Al-Faisaly Amman3

03.11.17

PL: Al-Faisaly Amman1

Al Buqaa1

Recent Form

Al-Faisaly Amman

20.02.26

PL: Al Buqaa1

Al-Faisaly Amman3

03.10.25

SC: Al Buqaa0

Al-Faisaly Amman3

19.09.25

PL: Al-Faisaly Amman4

Al Buqaa2

11.08.21

PL: Al-Faisaly Amman5

Al Buqaa0

19.04.21

PL: Al Buqaa0

Al-Faisaly Amman3

28.02.21

SC: Al-Faisaly Amman3

Al Buqaa0

03.05.19

PL: Al Buqaa0

Al-Faisaly Amman1

23.11.18

PL: Al-Faisaly Amman3

Al Buqaa1

17.03.18

PL: Al Buqaa0

Al-Faisaly Amman3

03.11.17

PL: Al-Faisaly Amman1

Al Buqaa1

Al Buqaa

14.03.26

PL: Al Buqaa4

Sama Al Sarhan2

11.03.26

PL: Al Hussein5

Al Buqaa1

03.03.26

PL: Al Buqaa3

Al Wehdat1

26.02.26

PL: Al Hussein5

Al Buqaa2

20.02.26

PL: Al Buqaa1

Al-Faisaly Amman3

14.02.26

PL: Shabab Al Ordon1

Al Buqaa1

08.02.26

PL: Al Buqaa2

Al Ramtha2

04.02.26

PL: Al Salt1

Al Buqaa3

30.01.26

PL: Al Jazeera Amman2

Al Buqaa2

25.01.26

PL: Al Buqaa0

Al Ahli0

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Match Analysis

Case Notes

On Wednesday, 18th March 2026, Al-Faisaly Amman host Al Buqaa in Jordan Premier League. Our analysis desk recommends Al-Faisaly Amman to win as the standout selection.

Al-Faisaly Amman arrive in strong form, having recorded 9 wins, 1 draws and 0 defeats from their last 10 outings.

Al Buqaa are struggling away from home, with a record of 3W 4D 3L across 10 matches.

Historical meetings favour Al-Faisaly Amman, who lead the head-to-head with 9 wins to Al Buqaa's 0, with 1 draws from 10 encounters. Both teams have scored in 40% of those meetings.

Our verdict: al-faisaly amman to win at odds of 1.29 represents the most compelling value in this fixture.

Source: Recent fixture results Source: Head-to-head archive Source: Public market odds Model: Poisson score distribution

DailyForebet Verification Desk

Senior Fixture Analyst

Cross-checks every fixture against form, head-to-head and market data before a case file is closed for publication.

Reviewed on 18 Mar 2026

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Quick Answers

FAQ

What is the recommended bet for Al-Faisaly Amman vs Al Buqaa?

Our selection is 1 — Al-Faisaly Amman to win, priced at approximately 1.29. Tip confidence rating: 68%.

What is Al-Faisaly Amman's current form?

Al-Faisaly Amman have won 9, drawn 1 and lost 0 of their last 10 matches.

How has Al Buqaa been performing recently?

Al Buqaa have recorded 3 wins, 4 draws and 3 defeats from 10 recent games.

What does the head-to-head record show?

Al-Faisaly Amman lead with 9 wins versus Al Buqaa's 0, with 1 draws across 10 meetings.

How many goals are expected in this match?

Recent fixtures involving these sides average 3.8 goals per game. The head-to-head BTTS rate stands at 40%.

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