WON Case WON Stocksund 0-1 Stockholm Internazionale
Fixture Case File ยท Ref V โšฝ
S

Stocksund

Home Side
D D L L L
0W 4D 6L โ†’ Holding Steady
VS
0-1
S
Stockholm Internazionale
Away Side
D W L L W
4W 3D 3L โ–ผ Trending Down
โš‘
MODERATE
57%
Thursday, 4th June 2026 Case Verdict
2
Filing on Stockholm Internazionale to win
Stocksund 20%
Draw 30%
Stockholm Internazionale 50%
H Fair Odds5
D Fair Odds3.33
A Fair Odds2
Implied Prob69%Bookmaker's implied odds
Case Edge-12%Overpriced
Kelly %0%Suggested bankroll %
Fixture Ledger Code
V<DFBS<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<S<<<<<<<<<I<<<<<<3D66DFBDE4DFB2609212M2609219<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<
DD
Case reviewed & signed off by DailyForebet Verification Desk
Senior Fixture Analyst ยท Last checked 5 Jun 2026
โœ“ Data-Audited โœ“ Independently Checked
โšก
Supporting Markets
Extras
Primary Filing
2 โ€” Stockholm Internazionale to win
1.45
Over 2.5 Goals70% Over 1.5 Goals80% BTTS โ€” Yes70%
๐Ÿ“‹ Case Slip / Combo Builder
Stocksund vs Stockholm Internazionale Competition: Sweden Svenska Cupen Date: Thursday, 4th June 2026 Pick: 2 (Stockholm Internazionale to win) Odds: 1.45 Confidence: 57% Also: Over 2.5 Goals (70%) Also: Over 1.5 Goals (80%) Also: BTTS โ€” Yes (70%) Ledger Ref: 3D66DFBDE
โš”
Head to Head
Record
0
Stocksund
1
Draws
9
Stockholm Internazionale
10
Meetings
4
Avg Goals
60%
BTTS
70%
Over 2.5
Supports Filing Stockholm Internazionale won 9 of 10 meetings.
๐Ÿ“Š
Stats Duel
Comparison
Stocksund
Metric
Stockholm Internazionale
1.8
Goals For / Game
1.7
2.9
Goals Against / Game
1.2
0%
Clean Sheets
20%
0-4-6
W โ€” D โ€” L
4-3-3
Win Rate
0%
40%
3.8
Avg Goals
80%
Over 1.5
70%
Over 2.5
70%
BTTS Rate
๐ŸŽฏ
Score Probability Matrix
Poisson Model
S0
S1
S2
S3
S4
S5
S0
0-0 2.2%
0-1 5.2%
0-2 5.9%
0-3 4.5%
0-4 2.6%
0-5 1.2%
S1
1-0 3.4%
1-1 7.7%
1-2 8.9%
1-3 6.8%
1-4 3.9%
1-5 1.8%
S2
2-0 2.5%
2-1 5.8%
2-2 6.7%
2-3 5.1%
2-4 2.9%
2-5 1.4%
S3
3-0 1.3%
3-1 2.9%
3-2 3.3%
3-3 2.6%
3-4 1.5%
3-5 0.7%
S4
4-0 0.5%
4-1 1.1%
4-2 1.3%
4-3 1.0%
4-4 0.6%
4-5 0.3%
S5
5-0 0.1%
5-1 0.3%
5-2 0.4%
5-3 0.3%
5-4 0.2%
5-5 0.1%
Top Scores 1-2(8.9%) 1-3(6.8%) 0-2(5.9%)
โ–  Best match โ–  Possible โ–  Low ยท โ–  Contradicts filing S=Home goals โ†“   S=Away โ†’
๐Ÿ“‰
Market Odds Intelligence
Value Finder
Stocksund Win
20%
5
Draw
30%
3.33
Stockholm Internazionale Win
50%
2
Fair value decimal odds based on our probability model. Compare against your bookmaker's line to identify value.
๐Ÿ“ˆ
Team Ratings
Grades
Stocksund
Overall
1.2 โ€”
Scoring
6.0 โ€”
Defence
0.3 โ€”
Stockholm Internazionale
Overall
4.9 โ€”
Scoring
5.7 โ€”
Defence
6.0 โ€”
๐Ÿ”€
Combination Markets
Smart Picks
Result & BTTS
Home Win & BTTS Yes 0%
Home Win & BTTS No 0%
Draw & BTTS Yes 33%
Draw & BTTS No 14%
Away Win & BTTS Yes 37%
Away Win & BTTS No 16%
Result & Goals
Home Win & Over 2.5 0%
Home Win & Under 2.5 0%
Draw & Over 2.5 33%
Draw & Under 2.5 14%
Away Win & Over 2.5 37%
Away Win & Under 2.5 16%
๐Ÿงฎ
Stake Calculator
Bankroll Tool
โ€”
Kelly %
โ€”
Stake
โ€”
Potential Profit
Uses the Kelly Criterion at your selected fraction. Half Kelly (0.5) is recommended for reduced variance. Not financial advice.
๐Ÿ”Ž How we calculate confidence, edge & Kelly %

Our confidence score blends three inputs: the market-implied signal from public odds, the head-to-head record between these two sides, and each team's recent form (weighted by sample size). No single input can move the score more than 18 points from the market signal, which keeps the model grounded.

  • Case Edge compares our confidence against the bookmaker's implied probability from the odds you enter โ€” a positive number suggests the price may be generous relative to our model.
  • Kelly % is a standard bankroll-management formula, not a guarantee โ€” it sizes a stake relative to perceived edge and odds.
  • Score matrix uses a Poisson distribution built from each side's recent scoring and conceding rates.

All models are statistical estimates, not certainties. Treat every figure on this page as one input into your own decision, not as a promise of an outcome.

๐Ÿ“ Editorial Standards for This Case File
  • Every fixture is cross-checked against at least three data points: recent form, head-to-head history, and market odds โ€” no case is filed on a single signal alone.
  • Confidence and edge figures are generated by a documented formula (see methodology above), never assigned arbitrarily.
  • Case files are reviewed by a named analyst before publication and re-checked closer to kickoff for team news or lineup changes.
  • Settled cases are logged publicly with WON / LOST / VOID status โ€” nothing is quietly deleted or hidden after the fact.
  • Corrections to a published case (updated odds, lineup news, postponements) are recorded in the update log below with a timestamp.
๐Ÿ“œ
Match Archives
History
Head to Head
09.05.26DIV
Stocksund1
Stockholm Internazionale6
13.09.25DIV
Stocksund0
Stockholm Internazionale2
05.04.25DIV
Stockholm Internazionale5
Stocksund0
27.10.24DIV
Stocksund0
Stockholm Internazionale2
06.04.24DIV
Stockholm Internazionale3
Stocksund0
21.10.23DIV
Stocksund1
Stockholm Internazionale3
27.05.23DIV
Stockholm Internazionale2
Stocksund1
24.10.21DIV
Stockholm Internazionale5
Stocksund2
13.06.21DIV
Stocksund2
Stockholm Internazionale3
29.08.20DIV
Stockholm Internazionale1
Stocksund1
Recent Form
Stocksund
31.05.26DIV
Umea FC2
Stocksund2
D
23.05.26DIV
Stocksund3
Assyriska FF3
D
17.05.26DIV
Stocksund2
Pitea3
L
14.05.26DIV
Karlstad1
Stocksund0
L
09.05.26DIV
Stocksund1
Stockholm Internazionale6
L
01.05.26DIV
Stocksund2
Vasalund2
D
25.04.26DIV
FBK Karlstad1
Stocksund0
L
20.04.26DIV
Stocksund4
AFC Eskilstuna4
D
11.04.26DIV
Stocksund2
Hammarby TFF4
L
04.04.26DIV
Enkoping SK3
Stocksund2
L
Stockholm Internazionale
31.05.26DIV
Pitea2
Stockholm Internazionale2
D
23.05.26DIV
Stockholm Internazionale2
Karlbergs1
W
16.05.26DIV
Hammarby TFF3
Stockholm Internazionale1
L
13.05.26DIV
Stockholm Internazionale0
AFC Eskilstuna2
L
09.05.26DIV
Stocksund1
Stockholm Internazionale6
W
03.05.26DIV
Stockholm Internazionale1
Sollentuna1
D
26.04.26DIV
Stockholm Internazionale3
Umea FC0
W
18.04.26DIV
Arlanda0
Stockholm Internazionale0
D
12.04.26DIV
Stockholm Internazionale0
Karlstad1
L
05.04.26DIV
Assyriska FF1
Stockholm Internazionale2
W
๐Ÿ“
Match Analysis
Case Notes

On Thursday, 4th June 2026, Stocksund host Stockholm Internazionale in Sweden Svenska Cupen. Our analysis desk recommends Stockholm Internazionale to win as the standout selection.

Stocksund arrive going through a difficult run, having recorded 0 wins, 4 draws and 6 defeats from their last 10 outings.

Stockholm Internazionale are inconsistent on the road, with a record of 4W 3D 3L across 10 matches.

Historical meetings favour Stocksund, who lead the head-to-head with 0 wins to Stockholm Internazionale's 9, with 1 draws from 10 encounters. Both teams have scored in 60% of those meetings.

Our verdict: stockholm internazionale to win at odds of 1.45 represents the most compelling value in this fixture.


If you want to actually make money on football instead of just throwing it away, you have to trust the stats. This Sweden Svenska Cupen game is a perfect chance to do exactly that. Forget about the fan hype and focus entirely on how these teams are actually playing on the grass.

We always check the home team first to set the stage. Their overall season gives us a starting point, but their recent matches tell us if they are hot or cold right now in the moments that matter. Then we turn our attention to the away side.

We compare what they have done all year with their last few weeks to see if the bookies are offering a really good deal by mistake. Looking at their past matchups against each other is just as important. Head-to-head records often reveal playing styles that just do not mix well for one team, creating a natural advantage.

Taking those past games and adding today’s form makes picking a winner so much easier. Right now, the smartest bet on the board is 2, especially with the odds sitting nicely at @1.45. Once the referee starts the game, the stats step aside and the players take over.

The final score will tell us if we got it right. Check our other daily tips for more winning ideas.

Source: Recent fixture results Source: Head-to-head archive Source: Public market odds Model: Poisson score distribution
DD
DailyForebet Verification Desk
Senior Fixture Analyst
Cross-checks every fixture against form, head-to-head and market data before a case file is closed for publication.
Reviewed on 5 Jun 2026
โ“
Quick Answers
FAQ
What is the recommended bet for Stocksund vs Stockholm Internazionale?
Our selection is 2 โ€” Stockholm Internazionale to win, priced at approximately 1.45. Tip confidence rating: 57%.
What is Stocksund's current form?
Stocksund have won 0, drawn 4 and lost 6 of their last 10 matches.
How has Stockholm Internazionale been performing recently?
Stockholm Internazionale have recorded 4 wins, 3 draws and 3 defeats from 10 recent games.
What does the head-to-head record show?
Stocksund lead with 0 wins versus Stockholm Internazionale's 9, with 1 draws across 10 meetings.
How many goals are expected in this match?
Recent fixtures involving these sides average 3.8 goals per game. The head-to-head BTTS rate stands at 60%.
โš ๏ธ
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