WON Case WON FC Lustenau 2-2 Hohenems
Fixture Case File · Ref V
F

FC Lustenau

Home Side
L D L L W
2W 2D 6L → Holding Steady
VS
2-2
H
Hohenems
Away Side
L W L D D
4W 3D 3L ▲ Trending Up
CASE VERIFIED
78%
Thursday, 4th June 2026 Case Verdict
Over 2.5
Filing on over 2.5 goals
Implied Prob70.4%Bookmaker's implied odds
Case Edge+7.6%Value detected
Kelly %25.6%Suggested bankroll %
Fixture Ledger Code
V<DFBFC<L<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<H<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<73FF062124DFB2609212M2609219<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<
DD
Case reviewed & signed off by DailyForebet Verification Desk
Senior Fixture Analyst · Last checked 5 Jun 2026
✓ Data-Audited ✓ Independently Checked
Supporting Markets
Extras
Primary Filing
Over 2.5 — over 2.5 goals
1.42
Over 2.5 Goals80% Over 1.5 Goals90% BTTS — Yes80%
📋 Case Slip / Combo Builder
FC Lustenau vs Hohenems Competition: Austria Regionalliga West Date: Thursday, 4th June 2026 Pick: Over 2.5 (over 2.5 goals) Odds: 1.42 Confidence: 78% Also: Over 2.5 Goals (80%) Also: Over 1.5 Goals (90%) Also: BTTS — Yes (80%) Ledger Ref: 73FF06212
Head to Head
Record
6
FC Lustenau
0
Draws
1
Hohenems
7
Meetings
3.4
Avg Goals
29%
BTTS
57%
Over 2.5
Neutral Over 2.5 in 57% of H2H.
📊
Stats Duel
Comparison
FC Lustenau
Metric
Hohenems
1.3
Goals For / Game
2.4
2.5
Goals Against / Game
1.9
0%
Clean Sheets
10%
2-2-6
W — D — L
4-3-3
Win Rate
20%
40%
4.1
Avg Goals
90%
Over 1.5
80%
Over 2.5
80%
BTTS Rate
🎯
Score Probability Matrix
Poisson Model
H0
H1
H2
H3
H4
H5
F0
0-0 1.7%
0-1 4.3%
0-2 5.2%
0-3 4.3%
0-4 2.6%
0-5 1.3%
F1
1-0 2.8%
1-1 6.8%
1-2 8.4%
1-3 6.8%
1-4 4.2%
1-5 2.1%
F2
2-0 2.2%
2-1 5.5%
2-2 6.7%
2-3 5.5%
2-4 3.4%
2-5 1.6%
F3
3-0 1.2%
3-1 2.9%
3-2 3.6%
3-3 2.9%
3-4 1.8%
3-5 0.9%
F4
4-0 0.5%
4-1 1.2%
4-2 1.4%
4-3 1.2%
4-4 0.7%
4-5 0.4%
F5
5-0 0.2%
5-1 0.4%
5-2 0.5%
5-3 0.4%
5-4 0.2%
5-5 0.1%
Top Scores 1-2(8.4%) 1-1(6.8%) 1-3(6.8%)
■ Best match ■ Possible ■ Low · ■ Contradicts filing F=Home goals ↓   H=Away →
📈
Team Ratings
Grades
FC Lustenau
Overall
2.6
Scoring
4.3
Defence
1.7
Hohenems
Overall
4.9
Scoring
8.0
Defence
3.7
🔀
Combination Markets
Smart Picks
Result & BTTS
Home Win & BTTS Yes 19%
Home Win & BTTS No 5%
Draw & BTTS Yes 23%
Draw & BTTS No 6%
Away Win & BTTS Yes 38%
Away Win & BTTS No 9%
Result & Goals
Home Win & Over 2.5 19%
Home Win & Under 2.5 5%
Draw & Over 2.5 23%
Draw & Under 2.5 6%
Away Win & Over 2.5 38%
Away Win & Under 2.5 9%
🧮
Stake Calculator
Bankroll Tool
Kelly %
Stake
Potential Profit
Uses the Kelly Criterion at your selected fraction. Half Kelly (0.5) is recommended for reduced variance. Not financial advice.
🔎 How we calculate confidence, edge & Kelly %

Our confidence score blends three inputs: the market-implied signal from public odds, the head-to-head record between these two sides, and each team's recent form (weighted by sample size). No single input can move the score more than 18 points from the market signal, which keeps the model grounded.

  • Case Edge compares our confidence against the bookmaker's implied probability from the odds you enter — a positive number suggests the price may be generous relative to our model.
  • Kelly % is a standard bankroll-management formula, not a guarantee — it sizes a stake relative to perceived edge and odds.
  • Score matrix uses a Poisson distribution built from each side's recent scoring and conceding rates.

All models are statistical estimates, not certainties. Treat every figure on this page as one input into your own decision, not as a promise of an outcome.

📐 Editorial Standards for This Case File
  • Every fixture is cross-checked against at least three data points: recent form, head-to-head history, and market odds — no case is filed on a single signal alone.
  • Confidence and edge figures are generated by a documented formula (see methodology above), never assigned arbitrarily.
  • Case files are reviewed by a named analyst before publication and re-checked closer to kickoff for team news or lineup changes.
  • Settled cases are logged publicly with WON / LOST / VOID status — nothing is quietly deleted or hidden after the fact.
  • Corrections to a published case (updated odds, lineup news, postponements) are recorded in the update log below with a timestamp.
📜
Match Archives
History
Head to Head
01.11.25RL
Hohenems1
FC Lustenau0
01.04.06RL
Hohenems1
FC Lustenau5
13.08.05RL
FC Lustenau6
Hohenems0
04.05.05RL
FC Lustenau1
Hohenems0
18.09.04RL
Hohenems0
FC Lustenau1
21.04.01RL
Hohenems0
FC Lustenau4
01.09.00RL
FC Lustenau3
Hohenems2
Recent Form
FC Lustenau
30.05.26RL
Kuchl3
FC Lustenau1
L
23.05.26RL
FC Lustenau2
Schwaz2
D
16.05.26RL
SC Imst4
FC Lustenau1
L
09.05.26RL
FC Lustenau1
Bischofshofen4
L
02.05.26RL
Lauterach2
FC Lustenau3
W
19.04.26RL
Wacker Innsbruck5
FC Lustenau0
L
11.04.26RL
Kitzbuhel1
FC Lustenau0
L
06.04.26RL
FC Lustenau1
Wals-Grunau2
L
03.04.26RL
Saalfelden1
FC Lustenau3
W
28.03.26RL
FC Lustenau1
Dornbirn1
D
Hohenems
30.05.26RL
Hohenems1
Wacker Innsbruck4
L
27.05.26RL
Hohenems4
Lauterach1
W
22.05.26RL
Kitzbuhel2
Hohenems1
L
16.05.26RL
Hohenems3
Wals-Grunau3
D
09.05.26RL
Saalfelden2
Hohenems2
D
02.05.26RL
Hohenems4
Dornbirn1
W
25.04.26RL
Hohenems0
Reichenau1
L
18.04.26RL
Hohenems4
Seekirchen4
D
12.04.26RL
Altach U210
Hohenems2
W
06.04.26RL
Hohenems3
TSV St. Johann1
W
📝
Match Analysis
Case Notes

On Thursday, 4th June 2026, FC Lustenau host Hohenems in Austria Regionalliga West. Our analysis desk recommends over 2.5 goals as the standout selection.

FC Lustenau arrive going through a difficult run, having recorded 2 wins, 2 draws and 6 defeats from their last 10 outings.

Hohenems are inconsistent on the road, with a record of 4W 3D 3L across 10 matches.

Historical meetings favour FC Lustenau, who lead the head-to-head with 6 wins to Hohenems's 1, with 0 draws from 7 encounters. Both teams have scored in 29% of those meetings.

Our verdict: over 2.5 goals at odds of 1.42 represents the most compelling value in this fixture.


If you want to actually make money on football instead of just throwing it away, you have to trust the stats. This Austria Regionalliga West game is a perfect chance to do exactly that. Forget about the fan hype and focus entirely on how these teams are actually playing on the grass.

We always check the home team first to set the stage. Their overall season gives us a starting point, but their recent matches tell us if they are hot or cold right now in the moments that matter. Then we turn our attention to the away side.

We compare what they have done all year with their last few weeks to see if the bookies are offering a really good deal by mistake. Looking at their past matchups against each other is just as important. Head-to-head records often reveal playing styles that just do not mix well for one team, creating a natural advantage.

Taking those past games and adding today’s form makes picking a winner so much easier. Right now, the smartest bet on the board is Over 2.5, especially with the odds sitting nicely at @1.42. Once the referee starts the game, the stats step aside and the players take over.

The final score will tell us if we got it right. Check our other daily tips for more winning ideas.

Source: Recent fixture results Source: Head-to-head archive Source: Public market odds Model: Poisson score distribution
DD
DailyForebet Verification Desk
Senior Fixture Analyst
Cross-checks every fixture against form, head-to-head and market data before a case file is closed for publication.
Reviewed on 5 Jun 2026
Quick Answers
FAQ
What is the recommended bet for FC Lustenau vs Hohenems?
Our selection is Over 2.5 — over 2.5 goals, priced at approximately 1.42. Tip confidence rating: 78%.
What is FC Lustenau's current form?
FC Lustenau have won 2, drawn 2 and lost 6 of their last 10 matches.
How has Hohenems been performing recently?
Hohenems have recorded 4 wins, 3 draws and 3 defeats from 10 recent games.
What does the head-to-head record show?
FC Lustenau lead with 6 wins versus Hohenems's 1, with 0 draws across 7 meetings.
How many goals are expected in this match?
Recent fixtures involving these sides average 4.1 goals per game. The head-to-head BTTS rate stands at 29%.
⚠️
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