WON Case WON FAR Rabat 2-1 Difaa El Jadidi
Fixture Case File · Ref V
F

FAR Rabat

Home Side
D D L W D
2W 6D 2L ▼ Trending Down
VS
2-1
D
Difaa El Jadidi
Away Side
D W D D L
4W 4D 2L ▼ Trending Down
CAUTION
43%
Thursday, 4th June 2026 Case Verdict
1
Filing on FAR Rabat to win
FAR Rabat 50%
Draw 30%
Difaa El Jadidi 20%
H Fair Odds2
D Fair Odds3.33
A Fair Odds5
Implied Prob80.6%Bookmaker's implied odds
Case Edge-37.6%Overpriced
Kelly %0%Suggested bankroll %
Fixture Ledger Code
V<DFBFAR<R<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<D<<<<<E<<J<<<<<<<D21BD6A074DFB2609212M2609219<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<
DD
Case reviewed & signed off by DailyForebet Verification Desk
Senior Fixture Analyst · Last checked 5 Jun 2026
✓ Data-Audited ✓ Independently Checked
Head to Head
Record
6
FAR Rabat
2
Draws
2
Difaa El Jadidi
10
Meetings
2
Avg Goals
30%
BTTS
30%
Over 2.5
Supports Filing FAR Rabat won 6 of the last 10 meetings (2 draws).
📊
Stats Duel
Comparison
FAR Rabat
Metric
Difaa El Jadidi
1
Goals For / Game
1.4
1
Goals Against / Game
1
20%
Clean Sheets
20%
2-6-2
W — D — L
4-4-2
Win Rate
20%
40%
2.2
Avg Goals
70%
Over 1.5
40%
Over 2.5
65%
BTTS Rate
🎯
Score Probability Matrix
Poisson Model
D0
D1
D2
D3
D4
D5
F0
0-0 11.1%
0-1 13.3%
0-2 8.0%
0-3 3.2%
0-4 1.0%
0-5 0.2%
F1
1-0 11.1%
1-1 13.3%
1-2 8.0%
1-3 3.2%
1-4 1.0%
1-5 0.2%
F2
2-0 5.5%
2-1 6.7%
2-2 4.0%
2-3 1.6%
2-4 0.5%
2-5 0.1%
F3
3-0 1.9%
3-1 2.2%
3-2 1.3%
3-3 0.5%
3-4 0.2%
3-5 0.0%
F4
4-0 0.5%
4-1 0.6%
4-2 0.3%
4-3 0.1%
4-4 0.0%
4-5 0.0%
F5
5-0 0.1%
5-1 0.1%
5-2 0.1%
5-3 0.0%
5-4 0.0%
5-5 0.0%
Top Scores 1-0(11.1%) 2-1(6.7%) 2-0(5.5%)
■ Best match ■ Possible ■ Low · ■ Contradicts filing F=Home goals ↓   D=Away →
📉
Market Odds Intelligence
Value Finder
FAR Rabat Win
50%
2
Draw
30%
3.33
Difaa El Jadidi Win
20%
5
Fair value decimal odds based on our probability model. Compare against your bookmaker's line to identify value.
📈
Team Ratings
Grades
FAR Rabat
Overall
3.8
Scoring
3.3
Defence
6.7
Difaa El Jadidi
Overall
5.2
Scoring
4.7
Defence
6.7
🔀
Combination Markets
Smart Picks
Result & BTTS
Home Win & BTTS Yes 12%
Home Win & BTTS No 6%
Draw & BTTS Yes 29%
Draw & BTTS No 16%
Away Win & BTTS Yes 24%
Away Win & BTTS No 13%
Result & Goals
Home Win & Over 2.5 7%
Home Win & Under 2.5 11%
Draw & Over 2.5 18%
Draw & Under 2.5 27%
Away Win & Over 2.5 15%
Away Win & Under 2.5 22%
🧮
Stake Calculator
Bankroll Tool
Kelly %
Stake
Potential Profit
Uses the Kelly Criterion at your selected fraction. Half Kelly (0.5) is recommended for reduced variance. Not financial advice.
🔎 How we calculate confidence, edge & Kelly %

Our confidence score blends three inputs: the market-implied signal from public odds, the head-to-head record between these two sides, and each team's recent form (weighted by sample size). No single input can move the score more than 18 points from the market signal, which keeps the model grounded.

  • Case Edge compares our confidence against the bookmaker's implied probability from the odds you enter — a positive number suggests the price may be generous relative to our model.
  • Kelly % is a standard bankroll-management formula, not a guarantee — it sizes a stake relative to perceived edge and odds.
  • Score matrix uses a Poisson distribution built from each side's recent scoring and conceding rates.

All models are statistical estimates, not certainties. Treat every figure on this page as one input into your own decision, not as a promise of an outcome.

📐 Editorial Standards for This Case File
  • Every fixture is cross-checked against at least three data points: recent form, head-to-head history, and market odds — no case is filed on a single signal alone.
  • Confidence and edge figures are generated by a documented formula (see methodology above), never assigned arbitrarily.
  • Case files are reviewed by a named analyst before publication and re-checked closer to kickoff for team news or lineup changes.
  • Settled cases are logged publicly with WON / LOST / VOID status — nothing is quietly deleted or hidden after the fact.
  • Corrections to a published case (updated odds, lineup news, postponements) are recorded in the update log below with a timestamp.
📜
Match Archives
History
Head to Head
02.11.25BOT
Difaa El Jadidi0
FAR Rabat4
26.01.25BOT
FAR Rabat1
Difaa El Jadidi0
02.10.24BOT
Difaa El Jadidi1
FAR Rabat0
04.03.23BOT
Difaa El Jadidi0
FAR Rabat1
30.09.22BOT
FAR Rabat4
Difaa El Jadidi1
27.02.22BOT
FAR Rabat3
Difaa El Jadidi1
29.09.21BOT
Difaa El Jadidi0
FAR Rabat0
08.07.21BOT
Difaa El Jadidi1
FAR Rabat0
09.04.21BOT
FAR Rabat1
Difaa El Jadidi0
10.08.20BOT
Difaa El Jadidi1
FAR Rabat1
Recent Form
FAR Rabat
30.05.26BOT
FUS Rabat1
FAR Rabat1
D
24.05.26CL
FAR Rabat1
Mamelodi Sundowns1
D
17.05.26CL
Mamelodi Sundowns1
FAR Rabat0
L
10.05.26BOT
Hassania Agadir2
FAR Rabat3
W
07.05.26BOT
FAR Rabat1
Olympique de Safi1
D
03.05.26BOT
IR Tanger0
FAR Rabat0
D
30.04.26BOT
FAR Rabat2
Raja Casablanca1
W
26.04.26BOT
Yacoub El Mansour2
FAR Rabat2
D
22.04.26BOT
FAR Rabat0
Berkane0
D
18.04.26CL
Berkane1
FAR Rabat0
L
Difaa El Jadidi
23.05.26BOT
Difaa El Jadidi1
Olympique de Safi1
D
17.05.26COU
Amal Tiznit0
Difaa El Jadidi3
W
10.05.26BOT
IR Tanger1
Difaa El Jadidi1
D
07.05.26BOT
Difaa El Jadidi2
Hassania Agadir2
D
03.05.26BOT
Raja Casablanca1
Difaa El Jadidi0
L
30.04.26BOT
Difaa El Jadidi2
Renaissance Zemamra1
W
25.04.26BOT
COD Meknes0
Difaa El Jadidi1
W
06.04.26BOT
Wydad AC1
Difaa El Jadidi1
D
08.03.26BOT
Berkane2
Difaa El Jadidi1
L
28.02.26BOT
Difaa El Jadidi2
Yacoub El Mansour1
W
📝
Match Analysis
Case Notes

On Thursday, 4th June 2026, FAR Rabat host Difaa El Jadidi in Morocco Botola Pro. Our analysis desk recommends FAR Rabat to win as the standout selection.

FAR Rabat arrive going through a difficult run, having recorded 2 wins, 6 draws and 2 defeats from their last 10 outings.

Difaa El Jadidi are inconsistent on the road, with a record of 4W 4D 2L across 10 matches.

Historical meetings favour FAR Rabat, who lead the head-to-head with 6 wins to Difaa El Jadidi's 2, with 2 draws from 10 encounters. Both teams have scored in 30% of those meetings.

Our verdict: far rabat to win at odds of 1.24 represents the most compelling value in this fixture.


If you want to actually make money on football instead of just throwing it away, you have to trust the stats. This Morocco Botola Pro game is a perfect chance to do exactly that. Forget about the fan hype and focus entirely on how these teams are actually playing on the grass.

We always check the home team first to set the stage. Their overall season gives us a starting point, but their recent matches tell us if they are hot or cold right now in the moments that matter. Then we turn our attention to the away side.

We compare what they have done all year with their last few weeks to see if the bookies are offering a really good deal by mistake. Looking at their past matchups against each other is just as important. Head-to-head records often reveal playing styles that just do not mix well for one team, creating a natural advantage.

Taking those past games and adding today’s form makes picking a winner so much easier. Right now, the smartest bet on the board is 1, especially with the odds sitting nicely at @1.24. Once the referee starts the game, the stats step aside and the players take over.

The final score will tell us if we got it right. Check our other daily tips for more winning ideas.

Source: Recent fixture results Source: Head-to-head archive Source: Public market odds Model: Poisson score distribution
DD
DailyForebet Verification Desk
Senior Fixture Analyst
Cross-checks every fixture against form, head-to-head and market data before a case file is closed for publication.
Reviewed on 5 Jun 2026
Quick Answers
FAQ
What is the recommended bet for FAR Rabat vs Difaa El Jadidi?
Our selection is 1 — FAR Rabat to win, priced at approximately 1.24. Tip confidence rating: 43%.
What is FAR Rabat's current form?
FAR Rabat have won 2, drawn 6 and lost 2 of their last 10 matches.
How has Difaa El Jadidi been performing recently?
Difaa El Jadidi have recorded 4 wins, 4 draws and 2 defeats from 10 recent games.
What does the head-to-head record show?
FAR Rabat lead with 6 wins versus Difaa El Jadidi's 2, with 2 draws across 10 meetings.
How many goals are expected in this match?
Recent fixtures involving these sides average 2.2 goals per game. The head-to-head BTTS rate stands at 30%.
⚠️
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