WON Case WON Santa Clara U23 1-2 Gil Vicente U23
Fixture Case File · Ref V
S

Santa Clara U23

Home Side
L W D W W
2W 1D 5L ▼ Trending Down
VS
1-2
G
Gil Vicente U23
Away Side
W W D W W
7W 1D 1L ▼ Trending Down
CASE VERIFIED
94%
Wednesday, 3rd June 2026 Case Verdict
Over 1.5
Filing on over 1.5 goals
Implied Prob85.5%Bookmaker's implied odds
Case Edge+8.5%Value detected
Kelly %58.7%Suggested bankroll %
Fixture Ledger Code
V<DFBS<<<<<C<<<<<U23<<<<<<<G<<<V<<<<<<<U23<<162D060D54DFB2609112M2609119<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<
DD
Case reviewed & signed off by DailyForebet Verification Desk
Senior Fixture Analyst · Last checked 4 Jun 2026
✓ Data-Audited ✓ Independently Checked
Supporting Markets
Extras
Primary Filing
Over 1.5 — over 1.5 goals
1.17
Over 2.5 Goals76% Over 1.5 Goals82% BTTS — Yes77%
📋 Case Slip / Combo Builder
Santa Clara U23 vs Gil Vicente U23 Competition: Portugal Taca Revelacao Date: Wednesday, 3rd June 2026 Pick: Over 1.5 (over 1.5 goals) Odds: 1.17 Confidence: 94% Also: Over 2.5 Goals (76%) Also: Over 1.5 Goals (82%) Also: BTTS — Yes (77%) Ledger Ref: 162D060D5
Head to Head
Record
0
Santa Clara U23
0
Draws
1
Gil Vicente U23
1
Meetings
3
Avg Goals
100%
BTTS
100%
Over 2.5
Supports Filing Over 1.5 in 100% of H2H.
📊
Stats Duel
Comparison
Santa Clara U23
Metric
Gil Vicente U23
1.5
Goals For / Game
2.2
1.8
Goals Against / Game
1.2
13%
Clean Sheets
22%
2-1-5
W — D — L
7-1-1
Win Rate
25%
78%
3.4
Avg Goals
82%
Over 1.5
76%
Over 2.5
77%
BTTS Rate
🎯
Score Probability Matrix
Poisson Model
G0
G1
G2
G3
G4
G5
S0
0-0 3.5%
0-1 7.0%
0-2 7.0%
0-3 4.7%
0-4 2.3%
0-5 0.9%
S1
1-0 4.7%
1-1 9.5%
1-2 9.5%
1-3 6.3%
1-4 3.2%
1-5 1.3%
S2
2-0 3.2%
2-1 6.4%
2-2 6.4%
2-3 4.3%
2-4 2.1%
2-5 0.9%
S3
3-0 1.4%
3-1 2.9%
3-2 2.9%
3-3 1.9%
3-4 1.0%
3-5 0.4%
S4
4-0 0.5%
4-1 1.0%
4-2 1.0%
4-3 0.7%
4-4 0.3%
4-5 0.1%
S5
5-0 0.1%
5-1 0.3%
5-2 0.3%
5-3 0.2%
5-4 0.1%
5-5 0.0%
Top Scores 1-1(9.5%) 1-2(9.5%) 0-1(7.0%)
■ Best match ■ Possible ■ Low · ■ Contradicts filing S=Home goals ↓   G=Away →
📈
Team Ratings
Grades
Santa Clara U23
Overall
2.9
Scoring
5.0
Defence
4.2
Gil Vicente U23
Overall
8.1
Scoring
7.4
Defence
5.9
🔀
Combination Markets
Smart Picks
Result & BTTS
Home Win & BTTS Yes 17%
Home Win & BTTS No 5%
Draw & BTTS Yes 8%
Draw & BTTS No 2%
Away Win & BTTS Yes 52%
Away Win & BTTS No 16%
Result & Goals
Home Win & Over 2.5 17%
Home Win & Under 2.5 5%
Draw & Over 2.5 8%
Draw & Under 2.5 2%
Away Win & Over 2.5 52%
Away Win & Under 2.5 16%
🧮
Stake Calculator
Bankroll Tool
Kelly %
Stake
Potential Profit
Uses the Kelly Criterion at your selected fraction. Half Kelly (0.5) is recommended for reduced variance. Not financial advice.
🔎 How we calculate confidence, edge & Kelly %

Our confidence score blends three inputs: the market-implied signal from public odds, the head-to-head record between these two sides, and each team's recent form (weighted by sample size). No single input can move the score more than 18 points from the market signal, which keeps the model grounded.

  • Case Edge compares our confidence against the bookmaker's implied probability from the odds you enter — a positive number suggests the price may be generous relative to our model.
  • Kelly % is a standard bankroll-management formula, not a guarantee — it sizes a stake relative to perceived edge and odds.
  • Score matrix uses a Poisson distribution built from each side's recent scoring and conceding rates.

All models are statistical estimates, not certainties. Treat every figure on this page as one input into your own decision, not as a promise of an outcome.

📐 Editorial Standards for This Case File
  • Every fixture is cross-checked against at least three data points: recent form, head-to-head history, and market odds — no case is filed on a single signal alone.
  • Confidence and edge figures are generated by a documented formula (see methodology above), never assigned arbitrarily.
  • Case files are reviewed by a named analyst before publication and re-checked closer to kickoff for team news or lineup changes.
  • Settled cases are logged publicly with WON / LOST / VOID status — nothing is quietly deleted or hidden after the fact.
  • Corrections to a published case (updated odds, lineup news, postponements) are recorded in the update log below with a timestamp.
📜
Match Archives
History
Head to Head
26.05.26TAC
Gil Vicente U232
Santa Clara U231
Recent Form
Santa Clara U23
26.05.26TAC
Gil Vicente U232
Santa Clara U231
L
16.05.26TAC
Santa Clara U230
Benfica U230
D
11.05.26TAC
Academico Viseu U232
Santa Clara U234
W
28.04.26LIR
Santa Clara U233
Sporting CP U231
W
21.04.26LIR
Leixoes U233
Santa Clara U231
L
14.04.26LIR
Santa Clara U231
Academico Viseu U232
L
07.04.26LIR
Santa Clara U232
Benfica U233
L
17.03.26LIR
Torreense U231
Santa Clara U230
L
Gil Vicente U23
26.05.26TAC
Gil Vicente U232
Santa Clara U231
W
16.05.26TAC
Gil Vicente U232
Leixoes U232
D
11.05.26TAC
Famalicao U231
Gil Vicente U234
W
06.05.26TAC
Gil Vicente U232
Sporting CP U231
W
28.04.26LIR
Estoril U231
Gil Vicente U232
W
21.04.26LIR
Gil Vicente U232
Maritimo U230
W
14.04.26LIR
Gil Vicente U231
Estrela U230
W
03.04.26LIR
Gil Vicente U233
SC Farense U232
W
18.03.26LIR
Rio Ave U233
Gil Vicente U232
L
📝
Match Analysis
Case Notes

On Wednesday, 3rd June 2026, Santa Clara U23 host Gil Vicente U23 in Portugal Taca Revelacao. Our analysis desk recommends over 1.5 goals as the standout selection.

Santa Clara U23 arrive going through a difficult run, having recorded 2 wins, 1 draws and 5 defeats from their last 8 outings.

Gil Vicente U23 are travelling well, with a record of 7W 1D 1L across 9 matches.

Historical meetings favour Santa Clara U23, who lead the head-to-head with 0 wins to Gil Vicente U23's 1, with 0 draws from 1 encounters. Both teams have scored in 100% of those meetings.

Our verdict: over 1.5 goals at odds of 1.17 represents the most compelling value in this fixture.


If you want to actually make money on football instead of just throwing it away, you have to trust the stats. This Portugal Taca Revelacao game is a perfect chance to do exactly that. Forget about the fan hype and focus entirely on how these teams are actually playing on the grass.

We always check the home team first to set the stage. Their overall season gives us a starting point, but their recent matches tell us if they are hot or cold right now in the moments that matter. Then we turn our attention to the away side.

We compare what they have done all year with their last few weeks to see if the bookies are offering a really good deal by mistake. Looking at their past matchups against each other is just as important. Head-to-head records often reveal playing styles that just do not mix well for one team, creating a natural advantage.

Taking those past games and adding today’s form makes picking a winner so much easier. Right now, the smartest bet on the board is Over 1.5, especially with the odds sitting nicely at @1.17. Once the referee starts the game, the stats step aside and the players take over.

The final score will tell us if we got it right. Check our other daily tips for more winning ideas.

Source: Recent fixture results Source: Head-to-head archive Source: Public market odds Model: Poisson score distribution
DD
DailyForebet Verification Desk
Senior Fixture Analyst
Cross-checks every fixture against form, head-to-head and market data before a case file is closed for publication.
Reviewed on 4 Jun 2026
Quick Answers
FAQ
What is the recommended bet for Santa Clara U23 vs Gil Vicente U23?
Our selection is Over 1.5 — over 1.5 goals, priced at approximately 1.17. Tip confidence rating: 94%.
What is Santa Clara U23's current form?
Santa Clara U23 have won 2, drawn 1 and lost 5 of their last 8 matches.
How has Gil Vicente U23 been performing recently?
Gil Vicente U23 have recorded 7 wins, 1 draws and 1 defeats from 9 recent games.
What does the head-to-head record show?
Santa Clara U23 lead with 0 wins versus Gil Vicente U23's 1, with 0 draws across 1 meetings.
How many goals are expected in this match?
Recent fixtures involving these sides average 3.4 goals per game. The head-to-head BTTS rate stands at 100%.
⚠️
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