LOST Case LOST Netherlands 0-1 Algeria
Fixture Case File · Ref V
N

Netherlands

Home Side
D W W D W
7W 3D 0L ▼ Trending Down
VS
0-1
A
Algeria
Away Side
D W L W W
7W 1D 1L → Holding Steady
CASE VERIFIED
90%
Wednesday, 3rd June 2026 Case Verdict
1X
Filing on Netherlands to win or draw
Implied Prob93.5%Bookmaker's implied odds
Case Edge-3.5%Overpriced
Kelly %0%Suggested bankroll %
Fixture Ledger Code
V<DFBN<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<A<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<D70D96BF74DFB2609202M2609209<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<
DD
Case reviewed & signed off by DailyForebet Verification Desk
Senior Fixture Analyst · Last checked 4 Jun 2026
✓ Data-Audited ✓ Independently Checked
Supporting Markets
Extras
Primary Filing
1X — Netherlands to win or draw
1.07
Over 1.5 Goals84% Algeria Clean Sheet67%
📋 Case Slip / Combo Builder
Netherlands vs Algeria Competition: International Friendly Date: Wednesday, 3rd June 2026 Pick: 1X (Netherlands to win or draw) Odds: 1.07 Confidence: 90% Also: Over 1.5 Goals (84%) Also: Algeria Clean Sheet (67%) Ledger Ref: D70D96BF7
Head to Head
Record
Neutral Insufficient H2H data.
📊
Stats Duel
Comparison
Netherlands
Metric
Algeria
3
Goals For / Game
2.4
0.6
Goals Against / Game
0.4
50%
Clean Sheets
67%
7-3-0
W — D — L
7-1-1
Win Rate
70%
78%
3.3
Avg Goals
84%
Over 1.5
53%
Over 2.5
36%
BTTS Rate
🎯
Score Probability Matrix
Poisson Model
A0
A1
A2
A3
A4
A5
N0
0-0 4.1%
0-1 6.1%
0-2 4.6%
0-3 2.3%
0-4 0.9%
0-5 0.3%
N1
1-0 6.9%
1-1 10.4%
1-2 7.8%
1-3 3.9%
1-4 1.5%
1-5 0.4%
N2
2-0 5.9%
2-1 8.8%
2-2 6.6%
2-3 3.3%
2-4 1.2%
2-5 0.4%
N3
3-0 3.3%
3-1 5.0%
3-2 3.8%
3-3 1.9%
3-4 0.7%
3-5 0.2%
N4
4-0 1.4%
4-1 2.1%
4-2 1.6%
4-3 0.8%
4-4 0.3%
4-5 0.1%
N5
5-0 0.5%
5-1 0.7%
5-2 0.5%
5-3 0.3%
5-4 0.1%
5-5 0.0%
Top Scores 1-1(10.4%) 2-1(8.8%) 1-0(6.9%)
■ Best match ■ Possible ■ Low · ■ Contradicts filing N=Home goals ↓   A=Away →
📈
Team Ratings
Grades
Netherlands
Overall
7.9
Scoring
10.0
Defence
8.0
Algeria
Overall
8.1
Scoring
8.1
Defence
8.5
🔀
Combination Markets
Smart Picks
Result & BTTS
Home Win & BTTS Yes 15%
Home Win & BTTS No 26%
Draw & BTTS Yes 4%
Draw & BTTS No 8%
Away Win & BTTS Yes 17%
Away Win & BTTS No 30%
Result & Goals
Home Win & Over 2.5 22%
Home Win & Under 2.5 19%
Draw & Over 2.5 6%
Draw & Under 2.5 6%
Away Win & Over 2.5 25%
Away Win & Under 2.5 22%
🧮
Stake Calculator
Bankroll Tool
Kelly %
Stake
Potential Profit
Uses the Kelly Criterion at your selected fraction. Half Kelly (0.5) is recommended for reduced variance. Not financial advice.
🔎 How we calculate confidence, edge & Kelly %

Our confidence score blends three inputs: the market-implied signal from public odds, the head-to-head record between these two sides, and each team's recent form (weighted by sample size). No single input can move the score more than 18 points from the market signal, which keeps the model grounded.

  • Case Edge compares our confidence against the bookmaker's implied probability from the odds you enter — a positive number suggests the price may be generous relative to our model.
  • Kelly % is a standard bankroll-management formula, not a guarantee — it sizes a stake relative to perceived edge and odds.
  • Score matrix uses a Poisson distribution built from each side's recent scoring and conceding rates.

All models are statistical estimates, not certainties. Treat every figure on this page as one input into your own decision, not as a promise of an outcome.

📐 Editorial Standards for This Case File
  • Every fixture is cross-checked against at least three data points: recent form, head-to-head history, and market odds — no case is filed on a single signal alone.
  • Confidence and edge figures are generated by a documented formula (see methodology above), never assigned arbitrarily.
  • Case files are reviewed by a named analyst before publication and re-checked closer to kickoff for team news or lineup changes.
  • Settled cases are logged publicly with WON / LOST / VOID status — nothing is quietly deleted or hidden after the fact.
  • Corrections to a published case (updated odds, lineup news, postponements) are recorded in the update log below with a timestamp.
📜
Match Archives
History
Head to Head

No data found.

Recent Form
Netherlands
31.03.26FI
Netherlands1
Ecuador1
D
27.03.26FI
Netherlands2
Norway1
W
17.11.25WC
Netherlands4
Lithuania0
W
14.11.25WC
Poland1
Netherlands1
D
12.10.25WC
Netherlands4
Finland0
W
09.10.25WC
Malta0
Netherlands4
W
07.09.25WC
Lithuania2
Netherlands3
W
04.09.25WC
Netherlands1
Poland1
D
10.06.25WC
Netherlands8
Malta0
W
07.06.25WC
Finland0
Netherlands2
W
Algeria
31.03.26FI
Algeria0
Uruguay0
D
27.03.26FI
Algeria7
Guatemala0
W
10.01.26ACN
Algeria0
Nigeria2
L
06.01.26ACN
Algeria1
D.R. Congo0
W
31.12.25ACN
Equatorial Guinea1
Algeria3
W
28.12.25ACN
Algeria1
Burkina Faso0
W
24.12.25ACN
Algeria3
Sudan0
W
09.12.25ARC
Algeria2
Iraq0
W
06.12.25ARC
Bahrain1
Algeria5
W
📝
Match Analysis
Case Notes

On Wednesday, 3rd June 2026, Netherlands host Algeria in International Friendly. Our analysis desk recommends Netherlands to win or draw as the standout selection.

Netherlands arrive in strong form, having recorded 7 wins, 3 draws and 0 defeats from their last 10 outings.

Algeria are travelling well, with a record of 7W 1D 1L across 9 matches.

Our verdict: netherlands to win or draw at odds of 1.07 represents the most compelling value in this fixture.


If you want to actually make money on football instead of just throwing it away, you have to trust the stats. This International Friendly game is a perfect chance to do exactly that. Forget about the fan hype and focus entirely on how these teams are actually playing on the grass.

We always check the home team first to set the stage. Their overall season gives us a starting point, but their recent matches tell us if they are hot or cold right now in the moments that matter. Then we turn our attention to the away side.

We compare what they have done all year with their last few weeks to see if the bookies are offering a really good deal by mistake. Looking at their past matchups against each other is just as important. Head-to-head records often reveal playing styles that just do not mix well for one team, creating a natural advantage.

Taking those past games and adding today’s form makes picking a winner so much easier. Right now, the smartest bet on the board is 1X, especially with the odds sitting nicely at @1.07. Once the referee starts the game, the stats step aside and the players take over.

The final score will tell us if we got it right. Check our other daily tips for more winning ideas.

Source: Recent fixture results Source: Head-to-head archive Source: Public market odds Model: Poisson score distribution
DD
DailyForebet Verification Desk
Senior Fixture Analyst
Cross-checks every fixture against form, head-to-head and market data before a case file is closed for publication.
Reviewed on 4 Jun 2026
Quick Answers
FAQ
What is the recommended bet for Netherlands vs Algeria?
Our selection is 1X — Netherlands to win or draw, priced at approximately 1.07. Tip confidence rating: 90%.
What is Netherlands's current form?
Netherlands have won 7, drawn 3 and lost 0 of their last 10 matches.
How has Algeria been performing recently?
Algeria have recorded 7 wins, 1 draws and 1 defeats from 9 recent games.
What does the head-to-head record show?
No recent head-to-head data available.
How many goals are expected in this match?
Recent fixtures involving these sides average 3.3 goals per game.
⚠️
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