WON Case WON Osasco Sporting U20 4-3 Santo Andre U20
Fixture Case File · Ref V
O

Osasco Sporting U20

Home Side
W W L D W
4W 4D 2L → Holding Steady
VS
4-3
S
Santo Andre U20
Away Side
L L L W W
2W 4D 4L ▼ Trending Down
CASE VERIFIED
90%
Thursday, 11th June 2026 Case Verdict
1X
Filing on Osasco Sporting U20 to win or draw
Implied Prob86.2%Bookmaker's implied odds
Case Edge+3.8%Value detected
Kelly %27.5%Suggested bankroll %
Fixture Ledger Code
V<DFBO<<<<<<S<<<<<<<<U20<<<S<<<<<A<<<<<U20<<78D0711BB4DFB2607222M2607229<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<
DD
Case reviewed & signed off by DailyForebet Verification Desk
Senior Fixture Analyst · Last checked 12 Jun 2026
✓ Data-Audited ✓ Independently Checked
Head to Head
Record
1
Osasco Sporting U20
1
Draws
0
Santo Andre U20
2
Meetings
4.5
Avg Goals
100%
BTTS
100%
Over 2.5
Neutral Insufficient H2H data.
📊
Stats Duel
Comparison
Osasco Sporting U20
Metric
Santo Andre U20
1.5
Goals For / Game
1.1
1.3
Goals Against / Game
1.3
20%
Clean Sheets
20%
4-4-2
W — D — L
2-4-4
Win Rate
40%
20%
2.6
Avg Goals
75%
Over 1.5
45%
Over 2.5
65%
BTTS Rate
🎯
Score Probability Matrix
Poisson Model
S0
S1
S2
S3
S4
S5
O0
0-0 7.4%
0-1 8.9%
0-2 5.4%
0-3 2.1%
0-4 0.6%
0-5 0.2%
O1
1-0 10.4%
1-1 12.5%
1-2 7.5%
1-3 3.0%
1-4 0.9%
1-5 0.2%
O2
2-0 7.3%
2-1 8.7%
2-2 5.2%
2-3 2.1%
2-4 0.6%
2-5 0.2%
O3
3-0 3.4%
3-1 4.1%
3-2 2.5%
3-3 1.0%
3-4 0.3%
3-5 0.1%
O4
4-0 1.2%
4-1 1.4%
4-2 0.9%
4-3 0.3%
4-4 0.1%
4-5 0.0%
O5
5-0 0.3%
5-1 0.4%
5-2 0.2%
5-3 0.1%
5-4 0.0%
5-5 0.0%
Top Scores 1-1(12.5%) 1-0(10.4%) 2-1(8.7%)
■ Best match ■ Possible ■ Low · ■ Contradicts filing O=Home goals ↓   S=Away →
📈
Team Ratings
Grades
Osasco Sporting U20
Overall
5.2
Scoring
5.0
Defence
5.7
Santo Andre U20
Overall
3.2
Scoring
3.7
Defence
5.7
🔀
Combination Markets
Smart Picks
Result & BTTS
Home Win & BTTS Yes 26%
Home Win & BTTS No 14%
Draw & BTTS Yes 26%
Draw & BTTS No 14%
Away Win & BTTS Yes 13%
Away Win & BTTS No 7%
Result & Goals
Home Win & Over 2.5 18%
Home Win & Under 2.5 22%
Draw & Over 2.5 18%
Draw & Under 2.5 22%
Away Win & Over 2.5 9%
Away Win & Under 2.5 11%
🧮
Stake Calculator
Bankroll Tool
Kelly %
Stake
Potential Profit
Uses the Kelly Criterion at your selected fraction. Half Kelly (0.5) is recommended for reduced variance. Not financial advice.
🔎 How we calculate confidence, edge & Kelly %

Our confidence score blends three inputs: the market-implied signal from public odds, the head-to-head record between these two sides, and each team's recent form (weighted by sample size). No single input can move the score more than 18 points from the market signal, which keeps the model grounded.

  • Case Edge compares our confidence against the bookmaker's implied probability from the odds you enter — a positive number suggests the price may be generous relative to our model.
  • Kelly % is a standard bankroll-management formula, not a guarantee — it sizes a stake relative to perceived edge and odds.
  • Score matrix uses a Poisson distribution built from each side's recent scoring and conceding rates.

All models are statistical estimates, not certainties. Treat every figure on this page as one input into your own decision, not as a promise of an outcome.

📐 Editorial Standards for This Case File
  • Every fixture is cross-checked against at least three data points: recent form, head-to-head history, and market odds — no case is filed on a single signal alone.
  • Confidence and edge figures are generated by a documented formula (see methodology above), never assigned arbitrarily.
  • Case files are reviewed by a named analyst before publication and re-checked closer to kickoff for team news or lineup changes.
  • Settled cases are logged publicly with WON / LOST / VOID status — nothing is quietly deleted or hidden after the fact.
  • Corrections to a published case (updated odds, lineup news, postponements) are recorded in the update log below with a timestamp.
📜
Match Archives
History
Head to Head
13.09.25PAU
Santo Andre U201
Osasco Sporting U204
05.09.25PAU
Osasco Sporting U202
Santo Andre U202
Recent Form
Osasco Sporting U20
04.06.26PAU
Osasco Sporting U201
Velo Clube U200
W
29.05.26PAU
Aguai U201
Osasco Sporting U202
W
12.01.26CPH
Gremio Prudente U202
Osasco Sporting U200
L
09.01.26CPH
Osasco Sporting U201
Marica U201
D
06.01.26CPH
Aracatuba FC U201
Osasco Sporting U202
W
04.01.26CPH
Athletico-PR U201
Osasco Sporting U201
D
26.09.25PAU
Sao Paulo U204
Osasco Sporting U202
L
19.09.25PAU
Osasco Sporting U200
Sao Paulo U200
D
13.09.25PAU
Santo Andre U201
Osasco Sporting U204
W
05.09.25PAU
Osasco Sporting U202
Santo Andre U202
D
Santo Andre U20
05.06.26PAU
Santo Andre U200
Sao Paulo U201
L
29.05.26PAU
Desportivo U201
Santo Andre U200
L
15.01.26CPH
Santo Andre U201
Ibrachina U20 (aet, 3-5 pens)1
L
13.01.26CPH
Osasco Audax U200
Santo Andre U201
W
10.01.26CPH
Santo Andre U203
Ferroviario U200
W
07.01.26CPH
Ibrachina U201
Santo Andre U201
D
04.01.26CPH
Bangu U201
Santo Andre U201
D
13.09.25PAU
Santo Andre U201
Osasco Sporting U204
L
05.09.25PAU
Osasco Sporting U202
Santo Andre U202
D
12.08.25PAU
Portuguesa U202
Santo Andre U201
L
📝
Match Analysis
Case Notes

On Thursday, 11th June 2026, Osasco Sporting U20 host Santo Andre U20 in Brazil Paulista U20. Our analysis desk recommends Osasco Sporting U20 to win or draw as the standout selection.

Osasco Sporting U20 arrive showing mixed form, having recorded 4 wins, 4 draws and 2 defeats from their last 10 outings.

Santo Andre U20 are struggling away from home, with a record of 2W 4D 4L across 10 matches.

Historical meetings favour Osasco Sporting U20, who lead the head-to-head with 1 wins to Santo Andre U20's 0, with 1 draws from 2 encounters. Both teams have scored in 100% of those meetings.

Our verdict: osasco sporting u20 to win or draw at odds of 1.16 represents the most compelling value in this fixture.


If you want to actually make money on football instead of just throwing it away, you have to trust the stats. This Brazil Paulista U20 game is a perfect chance to do exactly that. Forget about the fan hype and focus entirely on how these teams are actually playing on the grass.

We always check the home team first to set the stage. Their overall season gives us a starting point, but their recent matches tell us if they are hot or cold right now in the moments that matter. Then we turn our attention to the away side.

We compare what they have done all year with their last few weeks to see if the bookies are offering a really good deal by mistake. Looking at their past matchups against each other is just as important. Head-to-head records often reveal playing styles that just do not mix well for one team, creating a natural advantage.

Taking those past games and adding today’s form makes picking a winner so much easier. Right now, the smartest bet on the board is 1X, especially with the odds sitting nicely at @1.16. Once the referee starts the game, the stats step aside and the players take over.

The final score will tell us if we got it right. Check our other daily tips for more winning ideas.

Source: Recent fixture results Source: Head-to-head archive Source: Public market odds Model: Poisson score distribution
DD
DailyForebet Verification Desk
Senior Fixture Analyst
Cross-checks every fixture against form, head-to-head and market data before a case file is closed for publication.
Reviewed on 12 Jun 2026
Quick Answers
FAQ
What is the recommended bet for Osasco Sporting U20 vs Santo Andre U20?
Our selection is 1X — Osasco Sporting U20 to win or draw, priced at approximately 1.16. Tip confidence rating: 90%.
What is Osasco Sporting U20's current form?
Osasco Sporting U20 have won 4, drawn 4 and lost 2 of their last 10 matches.
How has Santo Andre U20 been performing recently?
Santo Andre U20 have recorded 2 wins, 4 draws and 4 defeats from 10 recent games.
What does the head-to-head record show?
Osasco Sporting U20 lead with 1 wins versus Santo Andre U20's 0, with 1 draws across 2 meetings.
How many goals are expected in this match?
Recent fixtures involving these sides average 2.6 goals per game. The head-to-head BTTS rate stands at 100%.
⚠️
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