WON Case WON Vasco U20 2-1 Cuiaba U20
Fixture Case File · Ref V
V

Vasco U20

Home Side
L W W W W
7W 1D 2L ▼ Trending Down
VS
2-1
C
Cuiaba U20
Away Side
W W W L L
3W 1D 6L → Holding Steady
CASE VERIFIED
66%
Thursday, 11th June 2026 Case Verdict
1
Filing on Vasco U20 to win
Vasco U20 50%
Draw 30%
Cuiaba U20 20%
H Fair Odds2
D Fair Odds3.33
A Fair Odds5
Implied Prob83.3%Bookmaker's implied odds
Case Edge-17.3%Overpriced
Kelly %0%Suggested bankroll %
Fixture Ledger Code
V<DFBV<<<<<U20<<<<<<<<<<<<<C<<<<<<U20<<<<<<<E4E671E154DFB2607222M2607229<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<
DD
Case reviewed & signed off by DailyForebet Verification Desk
Senior Fixture Analyst · Last checked 12 Jun 2026
✓ Data-Audited ✓ Independently Checked
Supporting Markets
Extras
Primary Filing
1 — Vasco U20 to win
1.20
BTTS — No70%
📋 Case Slip / Combo Builder
Vasco U20 vs Cuiaba U20 Competition: Brasileiro U20 Date: Thursday, 11th June 2026 Pick: 1 (Vasco U20 to win) Odds: 1.20 Confidence: 66% Also: BTTS — No (70%) Ledger Ref: E4E671E15
Head to Head
Record
2
Vasco U20
0
Draws
0
Cuiaba U20
2
Meetings
2
Avg Goals
0%
BTTS
50%
Over 2.5
Supports Filing Vasco U20 won 2 of the last 2 meetings (0 draws).
📊
Stats Duel
Comparison
Vasco U20
Metric
Cuiaba U20
1.8
Goals For / Game
1.4
0.6
Goals Against / Game
1.5
50%
Clean Sheets
20%
7-1-2
W — D — L
3-1-6
Win Rate
70%
30%
2.7
Avg Goals
65%
Over 1.5
40%
Over 2.5
30%
BTTS Rate
🎯
Score Probability Matrix
Poisson Model
C0
C1
C2
C3
C4
C5
V0
0-0 7.1%
0-1 7.1%
0-2 3.5%
0-3 1.2%
0-4 0.3%
0-5 0.1%
V1
1-0 11.7%
1-1 11.7%
1-2 5.8%
1-3 1.9%
1-4 0.5%
1-5 0.1%
V2
2-0 9.6%
2-1 9.6%
2-2 4.8%
2-3 1.6%
2-4 0.4%
2-5 0.1%
V3
3-0 5.3%
3-1 5.3%
3-2 2.6%
3-3 0.9%
3-4 0.2%
3-5 0.0%
V4
4-0 2.2%
4-1 2.2%
4-2 1.1%
4-3 0.4%
4-4 0.1%
4-5 0.0%
V5
5-0 0.7%
5-1 0.7%
5-2 0.4%
5-3 0.1%
5-4 0.0%
5-5 0.0%
Top Scores 1-0(11.7%) 2-0(9.6%) 2-1(9.6%)
■ Best match ■ Possible ■ Low · ■ Contradicts filing V=Home goals ↓   C=Away →
📉
Market Odds Intelligence
Value Finder
Vasco U20 Win
50%
2
Draw
30%
3.33
Cuiaba U20 Win
20%
5
Fair value decimal odds based on our probability model. Compare against your bookmaker's line to identify value.
📈
Team Ratings
Grades
Vasco U20
Overall
7.3
Scoring
6.0
Defence
8.0
Cuiaba U20
Overall
3.3
Scoring
4.7
Defence
5.0
🔀
Combination Markets
Smart Picks
Result & BTTS
Home Win & BTTS Yes 19%
Home Win & BTTS No 45%
Draw & BTTS Yes 3%
Draw & BTTS No 6%
Away Win & BTTS Yes 8%
Away Win & BTTS No 19%
Result & Goals
Home Win & Over 2.5 26%
Home Win & Under 2.5 38%
Draw & Over 2.5 4%
Draw & Under 2.5 5%
Away Win & Over 2.5 11%
Away Win & Under 2.5 16%
🧮
Stake Calculator
Bankroll Tool
Kelly %
Stake
Potential Profit
Uses the Kelly Criterion at your selected fraction. Half Kelly (0.5) is recommended for reduced variance. Not financial advice.
🔎 How we calculate confidence, edge & Kelly %

Our confidence score blends three inputs: the market-implied signal from public odds, the head-to-head record between these two sides, and each team's recent form (weighted by sample size). No single input can move the score more than 18 points from the market signal, which keeps the model grounded.

  • Case Edge compares our confidence against the bookmaker's implied probability from the odds you enter — a positive number suggests the price may be generous relative to our model.
  • Kelly % is a standard bankroll-management formula, not a guarantee — it sizes a stake relative to perceived edge and odds.
  • Score matrix uses a Poisson distribution built from each side's recent scoring and conceding rates.

All models are statistical estimates, not certainties. Treat every figure on this page as one input into your own decision, not as a promise of an outcome.

📐 Editorial Standards for This Case File
  • Every fixture is cross-checked against at least three data points: recent form, head-to-head history, and market odds — no case is filed on a single signal alone.
  • Confidence and edge figures are generated by a documented formula (see methodology above), never assigned arbitrarily.
  • Case files are reviewed by a named analyst before publication and re-checked closer to kickoff for team news or lineup changes.
  • Settled cases are logged publicly with WON / LOST / VOID status — nothing is quietly deleted or hidden after the fact.
  • Corrections to a published case (updated odds, lineup news, postponements) are recorded in the update log below with a timestamp.
📜
Match Archives
History
Head to Head
22.10.25COP
Vasco U203
Cuiaba U200
09.07.25BRA
Cuiaba U200
Vasco U201
Recent Form
Vasco U20
27.05.26BRA
Avai U201
Vasco U200
L
21.05.26BRA
Vasco U204
America MG U200
W
16.05.26BRA
Corinthians U200
Vasco U201
W
13.05.26BRA
Fluminense U200
Vasco U202
W
10.05.26RIO
America RJ U200
Vasco U201
W
07.05.26BRA
Vasco U203
Santos U201
W
02.05.26RIO
Vasco U204
America RJ U201
W
29.04.26BRA
Vasco U201
Botafogo U200
W
25.04.26BRA
Gremio U201
Vasco U200
L
22.04.26BRA
Palmeiras U202
Vasco U202
D
Cuiaba U20
06.06.26MAT
Paulistano FC U202
Cuiaba U204
W
30.05.26MAT
Cuiaba U205
Acao U200
W
27.05.26BRA
Cuiaba U202
Gremio U200
W
20.05.26BRA
Avai U202
Cuiaba U200
L
16.05.26BRA
Cuiaba U200
RB Bragantino U201
L
13.05.26BRA
Cuiaba U200
Corinthians U202
L
06.05.26BRA
Vitoria U201
Cuiaba U200
L
29.04.26BRA
Cuiaba U202
Sao Paulo U202
D
25.04.26BRA
Fluminense U202
Cuiaba U200
L
21.04.26BRA
Santos U203
Cuiaba U201
L
📝
Match Analysis
Case Notes

On Thursday, 11th June 2026, Vasco U20 host Cuiaba U20 in Brasileiro U20. Our analysis desk recommends Vasco U20 to win as the standout selection.

Vasco U20 arrive in strong form, having recorded 7 wins, 1 draws and 2 defeats from their last 10 outings.

Cuiaba U20 are struggling away from home, with a record of 3W 1D 6L across 10 matches.

Historical meetings favour Vasco U20, who lead the head-to-head with 2 wins to Cuiaba U20's 0, with 0 draws from 2 encounters. Both teams have scored in 0% of those meetings.

Our verdict: vasco u20 to win at odds of 1.20 represents the most compelling value in this fixture.


If you want to actually make money on football instead of just throwing it away, you have to trust the stats. This Brasileiro U20 game is a perfect chance to do exactly that. Forget about the fan hype and focus entirely on how these teams are actually playing on the grass.

We always check the home team first to set the stage. Their overall season gives us a starting point, but their recent matches tell us if they are hot or cold right now in the moments that matter. Then we turn our attention to the away side.

We compare what they have done all year with their last few weeks to see if the bookies are offering a really good deal by mistake. Looking at their past matchups against each other is just as important. Head-to-head records often reveal playing styles that just do not mix well for one team, creating a natural advantage.

Taking those past games and adding today’s form makes picking a winner so much easier. Right now, the smartest bet on the board is 1, especially with the odds sitting nicely at @1.20. Once the referee starts the game, the stats step aside and the players take over.

The final score will tell us if we got it right. Check our other daily tips for more winning ideas.

Source: Recent fixture results Source: Head-to-head archive Source: Public market odds Model: Poisson score distribution
DD
DailyForebet Verification Desk
Senior Fixture Analyst
Cross-checks every fixture against form, head-to-head and market data before a case file is closed for publication.
Reviewed on 12 Jun 2026
Quick Answers
FAQ
What is the recommended bet for Vasco U20 vs Cuiaba U20?
Our selection is 1 — Vasco U20 to win, priced at approximately 1.20. Tip confidence rating: 66%.
What is Vasco U20's current form?
Vasco U20 have won 7, drawn 1 and lost 2 of their last 10 matches.
How has Cuiaba U20 been performing recently?
Cuiaba U20 have recorded 3 wins, 1 draws and 6 defeats from 10 recent games.
What does the head-to-head record show?
Vasco U20 lead with 2 wins versus Cuiaba U20's 0, with 0 draws across 2 meetings.
How many goals are expected in this match?
Recent fixtures involving these sides average 2.7 goals per game. The head-to-head BTTS rate stands at 0%.
⚠️
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