LOST Case LOST Oakleigh Cannons 2-2 St Albans
Fixture Case File ยท Ref V โšฝ
O

Oakleigh Cannons

Home Side
W W D W W
8W 2D 0L โ–ผ Trending Down
VS
2-2
S
St Albans
Away Side
L L D W W
4W 1D 5L โ–ผ Trending Down
โš‘
MODERATE
59%
Friday, 5th June 2026 Case Verdict
1
Filing on Oakleigh Cannons to win
Oakleigh Cannons 50%
Draw 30%
St Albans 20%
H Fair Odds2
D Fair Odds3.33
A Fair Odds5
Implied Prob75.2%Bookmaker's implied odds
Case Edge-16.2%Overpriced
Kelly %0%Suggested bankroll %
Fixture Ledger Code
V<DFBO<<<<<<<<C<<<<<<<<<<<<S<<A<<<<<<<<<<<<<B5E48B4EF4DFB2607272M2607279<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<
DD
Case reviewed & signed off by DailyForebet Verification Desk
Senior Fixture Analyst ยท Last checked 6 Jun 2026
โœ“ Data-Audited โœ“ Independently Checked
โšก
Supporting Markets
Extras
Primary Filing
1 โ€” Oakleigh Cannons to win
1.33
Over 1.5 Goals80% Oakleigh Cannons Clean Sheet60%
๐Ÿ“‹ Case Slip / Combo Builder
Oakleigh Cannons vs St Albans Competition: Australia NPL Victoria Date: Friday, 5th June 2026 Pick: 1 (Oakleigh Cannons to win) Odds: 1.33 Confidence: 59% Also: Over 1.5 Goals (80%) Also: Oakleigh Cannons Clean Sheet (60%) Ledger Ref: B5E48B4EF
โš”
Head to Head
Record
5
Oakleigh Cannons
1
Draws
4
St Albans
10
Meetings
3.2
Avg Goals
70%
BTTS
70%
Over 2.5
Neutral Oakleigh Cannons won 5 of the last 10 meetings (1 draws).
๐Ÿ“Š
Stats Duel
Comparison
Oakleigh Cannons
Metric
St Albans
2.4
Goals For / Game
1.4
0.5
Goals Against / Game
1.7
60%
Clean Sheets
20%
8-2-0
W โ€” D โ€” L
4-1-5
Win Rate
80%
40%
3
Avg Goals
80%
Over 1.5
60%
Over 2.5
50%
BTTS Rate
๐ŸŽฏ
Score Probability Matrix
Poisson Model
S0
S1
S2
S3
S4
S5
O0
0-0 5.0%
0-1 4.7%
0-2 2.3%
0-3 0.7%
0-4 0.2%
0-5 0.0%
O1
1-0 10.2%
1-1 9.7%
1-2 4.6%
1-3 1.5%
1-4 0.4%
1-5 0.1%
O2
2-0 10.5%
2-1 9.9%
2-2 4.7%
2-3 1.5%
2-4 0.4%
2-5 0.1%
O3
3-0 7.2%
3-1 6.8%
3-2 3.2%
3-3 1.0%
3-4 0.2%
3-5 0.1%
O4
4-0 3.7%
4-1 3.5%
4-2 1.7%
4-3 0.5%
4-4 0.1%
4-5 0.0%
O5
5-0 1.5%
5-1 1.4%
5-2 0.7%
5-3 0.2%
5-4 0.1%
5-5 0.0%
Top Scores 2-0(10.5%) 1-0(10.2%) 2-1(9.9%)
โ–  Best match โ–  Possible โ–  Low ยท โ–  Contradicts filing O=Home goals โ†“   S=Away โ†’
๐Ÿ“‰
Market Odds Intelligence
Value Finder
Oakleigh Cannons Win
50%
2
Draw
30%
3.33
St Albans Win
20%
5
Fair value decimal odds based on our probability model. Compare against your bookmaker's line to identify value.
๐Ÿ“ˆ
Team Ratings
Grades
Oakleigh Cannons
Overall
8.6 โ€”
Scoring
8.0 โ€”
Defence
8.3 โ€”
St Albans
Overall
4.3 โ€”
Scoring
4.7 โ€”
Defence
4.3 โ€”
๐Ÿ”€
Combination Markets
Smart Picks
Result & BTTS
Home Win & BTTS Yes 30%
Home Win & BTTS No 30%
Draw & BTTS Yes 6%
Draw & BTTS No 6%
Away Win & BTTS Yes 15%
Away Win & BTTS No 15%
Result & Goals
Home Win & Over 2.5 35%
Home Win & Under 2.5 24%
Draw & Over 2.5 7%
Draw & Under 2.5 4%
Away Win & Over 2.5 18%
Away Win & Under 2.5 12%
๐Ÿงฎ
Stake Calculator
Bankroll Tool
โ€”
Kelly %
โ€”
Stake
โ€”
Potential Profit
Uses the Kelly Criterion at your selected fraction. Half Kelly (0.5) is recommended for reduced variance. Not financial advice.
๐Ÿ”Ž How we calculate confidence, edge & Kelly %

Our confidence score blends three inputs: the market-implied signal from public odds, the head-to-head record between these two sides, and each team's recent form (weighted by sample size). No single input can move the score more than 18 points from the market signal, which keeps the model grounded.

  • Case Edge compares our confidence against the bookmaker's implied probability from the odds you enter โ€” a positive number suggests the price may be generous relative to our model.
  • Kelly % is a standard bankroll-management formula, not a guarantee โ€” it sizes a stake relative to perceived edge and odds.
  • Score matrix uses a Poisson distribution built from each side's recent scoring and conceding rates.

All models are statistical estimates, not certainties. Treat every figure on this page as one input into your own decision, not as a promise of an outcome.

๐Ÿ“ Editorial Standards for This Case File
  • Every fixture is cross-checked against at least three data points: recent form, head-to-head history, and market odds โ€” no case is filed on a single signal alone.
  • Confidence and edge figures are generated by a documented formula (see methodology above), never assigned arbitrarily.
  • Case files are reviewed by a named analyst before publication and re-checked closer to kickoff for team news or lineup changes.
  • Settled cases are logged publicly with WON / LOST / VOID status โ€” nothing is quietly deleted or hidden after the fact.
  • Corrections to a published case (updated odds, lineup news, postponements) are recorded in the update log below with a timestamp.
๐Ÿ“œ
Match Archives
History
Head to Head
27.02.26VIC
St Albans1
Oakleigh Cannons3
20.06.25VIC
St Albans3
Oakleigh Cannons2
14.03.25VIC
Oakleigh Cannons1
St Albans2
21.07.24VIC
St Albans1
Oakleigh Cannons0
19.04.24VIC
Oakleigh Cannons3
St Albans2
16.06.23VIC
Oakleigh Cannons2
St Albans0
19.03.23VIC
St Albans1
Oakleigh Cannons1
14.08.22VIC
St Albans2
Oakleigh Cannons1
06.05.22VIC
Oakleigh Cannons3
St Albans1
16.05.21VIC
St Albans0
Oakleigh Cannons3
Recent Form
Oakleigh Cannons
30.05.26VIC
Altona Magic0
Oakleigh Cannons2
W
24.05.26VIC
Preston Lions0
Oakleigh Cannons1
W
15.05.26VIC
Dandenong City1
Oakleigh Cannons1
D
08.05.26VIC
Oakleigh Cannons2
Dandenong Thunder0
W
01.05.26VIC
Green Gully0
Oakleigh Cannons5
W
24.04.26VIC
Oakleigh Cannons4
Bentleigh Greens0
W
19.04.26VIC
South Melbourne0
Oakleigh Cannons3
W
11.04.26VIC
Oakleigh Cannons3
Hume City2
W
28.03.26VIC
Avondale FC1
Oakleigh Cannons1
D
20.03.26VIC
Oakleigh Cannons2
George Cross1
W
St Albans
31.05.26VIC
St Albans0
Preston Lions1
L
22.05.26VIC
Dandenong City2
St Albans1
L
16.05.26VIC
Dandenong Thunder2
St Albans2
D
08.05.26VIC
St Albans1
Green Gully0
W
01.05.26VIC
Bentleigh Greens2
St Albans4
W
24.04.26VIC
St Albans0
South Melbourne4
L
18.04.26VIC
Hume City0
St Albans1
W
10.04.26VIC
St Albans2
Avondale FC3
L
28.03.26VIC
George Cross2
St Albans1
L
22.03.26VIC
St Albans2
Heidelberg Utd1
W
๐Ÿ“
Match Analysis
Case Notes

On Friday, 5th June 2026, Oakleigh Cannons host St Albans in Australia NPL Victoria. Our analysis desk recommends Oakleigh Cannons to win as the standout selection.

Oakleigh Cannons arrive in strong form, having recorded 8 wins, 2 draws and 0 defeats from their last 10 outings.

St Albans are inconsistent on the road, with a record of 4W 1D 5L across 10 matches.

Historical meetings favour Oakleigh Cannons, who lead the head-to-head with 5 wins to St Albans's 4, with 1 draws from 10 encounters. Both teams have scored in 70% of those meetings.

Our verdict: oakleigh cannons to win at odds of 1.33 represents the most compelling value in this fixture.


If you want to actually make money on football instead of just throwing it away, you have to trust the stats. This Australia NPL Victoria game is a perfect chance to do exactly that. Forget about the fan hype and focus entirely on how these teams are actually playing on the grass.

We always check the home team first to set the stage. Their overall season gives us a starting point, but their recent matches tell us if they are hot or cold right now in the moments that matter. Then we turn our attention to the away side.

We compare what they have done all year with their last few weeks to see if the bookies are offering a really good deal by mistake. Looking at their past matchups against each other is just as important. Head-to-head records often reveal playing styles that just do not mix well for one team, creating a natural advantage.

Taking those past games and adding today’s form makes picking a winner so much easier. Right now, the smartest bet on the board is 1, especially with the odds sitting nicely at @1.33. Once the referee starts the game, the stats step aside and the players take over.

The final score will tell us if we got it right. Check our other daily tips for more winning ideas.

Source: Recent fixture results Source: Head-to-head archive Source: Public market odds Model: Poisson score distribution
DD
DailyForebet Verification Desk
Senior Fixture Analyst
Cross-checks every fixture against form, head-to-head and market data before a case file is closed for publication.
Reviewed on 6 Jun 2026
โ“
Quick Answers
FAQ
What is the recommended bet for Oakleigh Cannons vs St Albans?
Our selection is 1 โ€” Oakleigh Cannons to win, priced at approximately 1.33. Tip confidence rating: 59%.
What is Oakleigh Cannons's current form?
Oakleigh Cannons have won 8, drawn 2 and lost 0 of their last 10 matches.
How has St Albans been performing recently?
St Albans have recorded 4 wins, 1 draws and 5 defeats from 10 recent games.
What does the head-to-head record show?
Oakleigh Cannons lead with 5 wins versus St Albans's 4, with 1 draws across 10 meetings.
How many goals are expected in this match?
Recent fixtures involving these sides average 3 goals per game. The head-to-head BTTS rate stands at 70%.
โš ๏ธ
Bet Responsibly. DailyForebet provides predictions for informational and entertainment purposes only. Predictions are statistical models, not guaranteed outcomes. Never bet more than you can afford to lose. If gambling is affecting your life, contact BeGambleAware.org or call 0808 8020 133 (UK). 18+ only.
18+Betting carries risk: debt, isolation, dependency. Predictions are for entertainment and informational purposes only, not financial advice.